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Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop (CPASW) Historic Archive The annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop (CPASW), initiated in 2002 by the NOAA National Weather Service Climate Services Division, brings together a diverse group of climate researchers, climate product producers, and climate information users to share developments in research and applications of climate predictions for societal decision-making. A unique planning team, consisting of several NOAA climate services partners, organizes and hosts CPASW at a different location each year to ensure varying climate application focuses, and both regional and national perspectives. Below are the agenda and presentations from past meetings.

More historic information will be added in the future.

 

In 2024, NOAA's 21st Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop (CPASW21) was held in conjunction as a joint workshop with the NOAA's 48th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop (CDPW48). The joint meeting was held in sunny Tallahassee, Florida, USA from March 26-29th, 2024. The joint workshop was hosted by the Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science (EOAS) and the Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies (COAPS) at Florida State University and was co-hosted by the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and the Climate Services Branch (CSB) of the National Weather Service (NWS). The joint workshop brought together a diverse community to share developments in research and application of weather and climate information for societal decision-making. Participants included researchers, service producers, resource managers, planners, practitioners, social scientists, and others making weather and climate-sensitive decisions. The meeting was planned as a hybrid, in person / virtual event, in hopes to combine the benefits of a face-to-face meeting with the potential for broader virtual participation. The plan was to have all speakers and poster presenters on site in Tallahassee, with the option for virtual attendance for those who would like to listen to workshop speakers without traveling to Tallahassee.

Printable Version

Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Day 4 | Posters

 

48th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop

21st Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop

Joint Meeting

Tuesday, March 26th 2024
Opening Remarks
Vasu MisraProfessor of Meteorology, EOAS, COAPS, Florida State UniversitySam Huckaba Dean of College Arts and Sciences, Florida State UniversityDavid DeWitt Director, NWS Climate Prediction CenterMarina Timofeyeva Chief, NWS Climate Services Branch
Keynote Speaker
Lessons Learned at the Intersection of Research and Service in the Southeastern U. S. Pam Knox, Director of the University of Georgia Weather Network, Extension Climatologist, UGA
Session 1: Communicating and Responding to the Risk of Extreme Heat
Moderator: Wassila Thiaw, NWS Climate Prediction Center
NIHHIS: Building an Equitable Climate Ready Nation through Extreme Heat ScenariosMaggie Allen, NOAA Climate Program OfficeThe Heat Is On: Forecasting and Communicating Human-Caused Climate Change in Real TimeDaniel Gilford, Climate CentralExploring Heat-related Vulnerability using NOAA’s Urban Heat Watch Mapping Campaigns Chris Fuhrmann, NOAA’s Southeast Regional Climate Center Experimental HeatRisk: Expanding a New Heat Service to the CONUS Michael Staudenmaier, NWS WRH STID
Session 2: Understanding and Predicting Extreme Heat
Moderator: Aaron Salter, National Institutes of Health
Comparing the Causes and Unusualness of the Texas Heatwaves in 2022 and 2023 Carl Schreck, North Carolina State UniversitySources of U.S. seasonal extreme heat predictability diagnosed from the GFDL Seamless System for Prediction and EArth System Research (SPEAR) Nathaniel Johnson, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Regional Analysis of the 2023 Summer via a CPC-Internal Week 2 Extreme Heat Forecasting Tool Evan Oswald, NWS CPC
Session 3: Advances in Climate Monitoring and Prediction Tools
Moderator: Michael Goss, NWS Climate Prediction Center
CPC-PSL LIM Enhancements for Weeks 3-4 Temperature Forecasts: Updates and Challenges Yuan-Ming Cheng, CIRES, University of Colorado/NOAA PSL ENSO and non-ENSO (low frequency!) Variability from the Modern Reanalysis Data Sets and Implications! Muthu Chelliah, NWS CPC Informing Major Pattern Change Messaging at the Climate Prediction Center via the Regime Change Prognostic Tool Cory Baggett, NWS CPC CPC New OLR Data Set Shaorong Wu, NWS CPC Investigating SST Bias in the UFS Seasonal Forecast Shan Sun, NOAA GSL
Session 4 - Panel: Air Quality Research, Applications, and Products
Moderator: Monika Kopacz, NOAA OAR Climate Program Office
Overview of Air Quality science and products at NOAA Monika Kopacz, OAR /CPOExperimental Pollen Forecast Jordan Schnell, OAR/GSLSatellite Data for Wildfire Smoke Amy Huff, NESDIS/STAREvolving Urban Air Quality Brian McDonald, OAR/CSLDust and Health Karin Ardon-Dryer, Texas Tech University
Poster Reception (Link to Posters)
End of Day 1
Tuesday Morning Keynote Speaker:
Pam Knox, Director of the University of Georgia Weather Network, Extension Climatologist, UGA
Pam Knox is an Extension Climatologist specializing in impacts of weather and climate variability and change on agriculture. She is also the Director of the University of Georgia Weather Network, a group of 90 automated weather stations across the state which provide weather and climate data to farmers, utilities, Extension agents and private citizens. Knox is a past Assistant State Climatologist for Georgia and has also served as the Wisconsin State Climatologist in University of Wisconsin-Extension and in the National Weather Service Office of Hydrology studying extreme rainfall. She was an author for the 5th National Climate Assessment chapter on the Southeast released in November 2023.

48th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop

21st Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop

Joint Meeting

Wednesday, March 27th 2024
Invited Talk
Foundation Models for Weather and Climate ScienceParis Perdikaris, Microsoft
Session 5: Leveraging AI / ML to Advance Climate Prediction and Applications
Moderator: Matthew Rosencrans, NWS Climate Prediction Center
Deep Learning Based Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Prediction System for the Indian Ocean Dipole Ehsan Bhuiyan, NWS CPC Identify Potential to Improve Ensemble Sub-seasonal Precipitation and Temperature Forecasts with Machine Learning Technology Yun Fan, NWS CPC Comparison of Conventional and Novel Deep Neural Network Methods to Post-process Sub-seasonal, Accumulated Precipitation Forecasts over the United States Rochelle Worsnop, NOAA/Physical Sciences Laboratory XCast: An AI/ML based S2S forecasting tool for Climate Services Nachiketa Acharya, CIRES/NOAA-PSL Generative AI Enabled Disaster Scene Computing for Climate Risk-Informed Communication ZhiQiang Chen, University of Missouri Kansas City
Break
Session 6 - Panel: National, Regional, and Local Tools for Climate Decision Support
Moderator: Marina Timofeyeva, NWS Climate Services Branch
Climate Key Messages at CPC and a Review of Events Over the Past Year Jon Gottschalck, NWS CPCImproving User Interactivity with Climate Tools at HPRCC Gannon Rush, High Plains Regional Climate CenterClimate-based DSTs for Row Crop and Specialty Crop Producers Daniel Brouillette, Midwestern Regional Climate CenterEmpowering Climate-Sensitive Decisions: The Next-Generation Local Climate Analysis Tool Stephen Baxter, NWS CSB
Session 7: Bridging Science and Service to Improve Decision Making
Moderator: Cory Baggett, NWS Climate Prediction Center
Status and Plan in Developing and Implementing Subseasonal and Seasonal (S2S) Forecast Systems Based on the Unified Forecast System at NOAA: Towards Meeting Stakeholder’s Needs and Requirements Jason Anderson, NOAA OSTI Probabilistic Decision Modeling using S2S Forecasts: the Importance of Calibration and Reliability to Decision Support System Design Brian Zimmerman, Salient Predictions Decision Support Research Recommendations to Improve Forecast Understandability and Service Equity Melissa Kenney, University of Minnesota R&D Complete. Now What? Fiona Horsfall, NOAA OAR The Value of Environmental Information from NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information Tamara Houston, NOAA NCEI
Session 8: Building Preparedness and Reslience Through Applied Climate Services
Moderator: Sarah Strazzo, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University
Applied Climate Services: Managing Risk for Food Production, Fire Mitigation, and Energy Production in GuatemalaDiego Pons, University of Denver Climate Services Development: Experiences from Taiwan Meng-Shih Chen, Central Weather Administration, Taiwan Developing New Climate Risk Indicators to Ensure Crops against Drought in the Southeastern USA Clyde Fraisse, University of Florida Climate Adaptation Science Investigators Workgroup (CASI): A Partnership between Scientists and Facility Managers to Enhance Climate Resilience at NASA Nick Pelaccio and Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies The Importance of Climate Diagnostics and Prediction for Resilient Water Resources Management in South Florida: Practitioner Perspective Carolina Maran, South Florida Water Management District
End of Day Two
Wednesday Invited Speaker: 
Paris Perdikaris, Microsoft
Paris Perdikaris is a Principal Researcher at Microsoft Research AI4Science and an Associate Professor of Mechanical Engineering and Applied Mechanics at the University of Pennsylvania. He received his PhD in Applied Mathematics at Brown University in 2015, and, prior to joining Penn in 2018, he was a postdoctoral researcher at the department of Mechanical Engineering at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. His current research interests include foundation models for weather and climate modeling, physics-informed deep learning, generative models and uncertainty quantification.

48th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop

21st Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop

Joint Meeting

Thursday, March 28th 2024
Invited Talk
Florida Climate Recap: 2023 and Beyond David Zierden, State Climatologist, FL / Florida State University - Center for Ocean-Atmosphere Prediction Studies
Welcome from the FSU President
Richard McCullough, Florida State University
Session 9: Climate Prediction and Application Over the Southeast U.S.
Moderator: Adam Hartman, NWS Climate Prediction Center
Summertime Seasonal Rainfall Predictability over Florida Vasu Misra, Florida State University The Value of Dynamic Downscaling in the Seasonal Predictability of the Winter Seasonal Forecasts Over Florida C.B. Jayasankar, COAPS, Florida State UniversityThe Tropical Indian Ocean Matters for U. S. Winter Precipitation Variability and PredictabilityZeng-Zhen Hu, NWS CPCApplication-specific Model Selection and Model Weighting of Global Climate Models with Application to Regional Environmental Management of Red Tide Ming Ye, Florida State UniversityClimate Change Impact on Harmful Algal Blooms: An Integration of Data-Driven and Downscaling Approaches Zhengxiao Yan, Florida State University
Session 10 - Panel: Best Practices in Local and Regional Climate Service Delivery
Moderator: Steve Baxter, NWS Climate Services Branch
Messaging Impacts from Extreme Weather and Climate Along the Northeastern Gulf Coast Parks Camp, NWS Tallahassee Subseasonal Forecasts and Applications for West Michigan’s Transportation SectorBrandon Hoving, NWS Grand RapidsThe Alabama Office of the State Climatologist Innovating Climate Service DeliveryRobert Junod, University of Alabama in HuntsvilleImproving National Weather Service Communication of Subeasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Sea Ice Information to Underserved Communities in AlaskaNathan Kettle, University of Alaska Fairbanks
Session 11: Advances in S2S Hydroclimate Prediction
Moderator: Hailan Wang, NWS Climate Prediction Center
Influences of Large Scale Circulation and Atmospheric Rivers on US Winter Precipitation Beyond ENSO Qinghua Ding, University of California Santa BarbaraUnderstanding and Predicting the U.S. Hydroclimate from Weather Regime and Climate Perspectives Grace Affram and Wei Zhang, Utah State University Skillful Prediction of Seasonal Mean United States Precipitation Based on Past Global Sea Surface Temperatures Hui Wang, NWS CPC Precipitation distributions are not normal; can we make them look the part? Michael Goss, NWS CPC & ERT Potential Physical Mechanisms Driving Central Great Plains Extreme Precipitation Increases During Winter Paul Flanagan, USDA
Session 12: Applications of Hydroclimate and Associated Extremes
Moderator: C. B. Jayasankar, COAPS, Florida State University
Tailoring climate information and Services for Water Resources Management in Taiwan Tzu-Ting Lo, Central Weather Administration, TaiwanUpdating Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) Curves for Sub-Daily Precipitation Events under CMIP6 Climate Change Scenarios: The Case of Pensacola and Perdido Bays Watersheds Samiul Kaiser, Florida State University Observed Changes in Extreme Precipitation Associated with United States Tropical Cyclones John Uehling, North Carolina Institute for Climate StudiesAn Alaska Case Study in Extreme Snowfall VerificationBrian Brettschneider, NOAA, NWSProjecting Future Trends in Extreme Rainfall over Peninsular Florida with a High-resolution Climate Model of the Southeastern United States Jason Bellino, U.S. Geological Survey
Banquet
Banquet Speaker: Michael Berkowitz, Executive Director of the University of Miami’s Climate Resilience Academy
End of Day Three
Thursday Invited Speaker: David Zierden, State Climatologist, FL / Florida State University - Center for Ocean-Atmosphere Prediction Studies

David Zierden earned his Bachelor of Science degree in Meteorology in 1996 at Florida State University. He followed that with a Master of Science in Meteorology under the direction of Dr. James J. O’Brien, then director of FSU’s Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies. Following graduation, David served under Dr. O’Brien, a recognized world leader in ocean modeling and climate application studies, as the Assistant State Climatologist from 1998 through 2005. In 2006, Mr. Zierden was appointed State Climatologist and has served that role ever since.

David is a full member of the American Association of State Climatologist and the American Meteorological Society, and the Florida Climate Institute. He has published journal articles on satellite meteorology, climate variability and wildfire threat, and applications to agriculture in the Southeast U.S. and presented these findings at many professional conferences. He is well know among growers, producers, and Extension in the Southeast for providing seasonal climate forecasts and presents this information at many workshops, trade shows, and commodity meetings. David Zierden is involved in many other climate applications projects in Florida and the Southeast involving agriculture, water resources, environment, and human health.

David Zierden grew up in Panama City, but has lived in Tallahassee since 1995. He is married to Pastor Betsy Ouellette-Zierden and has two teenage children, Ian and Adam. Growing up in the outdoors and continuing to enjoy fishing, surfing, skiing, and running, helped spur his interest in weather and climate.

Thursday Banquet Speaker: Michael Berkowitz, Executive Director, University of Miami's Climate Resilience Academy

Michael Berkowitz is the Executive Director of the University of Miami’s Climate Resilience Academy. He is also the Eric T. Levin Endowed Chair in Climate Resilience. The Academy is an operational unit connecting and amplifying the work the University’s 12 schools and colleges.

Previously he was a Founding Principal at Resilient Cities Catalyst, a global non-profit helping cities and their partners tackle their toughest challenges.

In August 2013, he joined the Rockefeller Foundation to shape and oversee the creation of 100 Resilient Cities (100RC). He served as the 100RC President from 2013 to 2019. The cities in the 100RC network created more than 80 holistic resilience strategies, which outlined over 4,000 concrete actions and initiatives, resulting in more than 150 collaborations between private sector and public sector to address city challenges, including $230 million of pledged support from platform partners and more than $25 billion leveraged from national, philanthropic, and private sources to implement resilience projects.

From 2005 to 2013 he worked at Deutsche Bank in a variety of risk management roles including as the global head of Operational Risk Management, where he oversaw the firm’s operational risk capital planning efforts and connected the myriad operational risk management efforts group-wide.

From 1998 until 2005, he was Deputy Commissioner at the Office of Emergency Management in New York City. He worked on planning initiatives, including the city’s Coastal Storm, Biological Terrorism and Transit Strike plans. He also responded to major incidents including the crash of American Airlines 587, the 2003 Northeast blackout, as well as the 2001 World Trade Center disaster.

48th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop

21st Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop

Joint Meeting

Friday, March 29th 2024
Session 13: Understanding and Predicting S2S Climate Drivers
Moderator: Nathaniel Johnson, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
Constructing Equatorial Wave Indices for Historical Analysis with Application to Real-time Ensemble Model Systems using Objectively Filtered 200-hPa Velocity Potential Anomalies over the Global TropicsNick Novella, NWS CPCOn the Role of Indian Ocean SST in Influencing the Differences in Atmospheric Variability between 2020-2021 and 2021-2022 La Niña Boreal Winters Tao Zhang, NWS CPC & ESSIC/UMDPrediction of the Indian Ocean Dipole with Canonical Correlation Analysis Zewdu Segele, CPC & CPAESSHow Well Did 2023-24 Winter Climate Anomalies Match Expected El Niño Impacts? Michelle L’Heureux, NWS CPC
Session 14: Innovations in Drought Monitoring and Prediction
Moderator: Brad Pugh, NWS Climate Prediction Center
Addressing Contemporary Drought Challenges: Ongoing NIDIS Efforts to Gather and Act on New Service Requirements and Innovation Amanda Sheffield, NOAA NIDIS; CIRES CU Boulder An Objective, Near Real-time US Drought IndicatorLi Xu, NWS CPC Development of NOAA CPC Probabilistic Drought OutlooksHailan Wang, NWS CPC Converging Deep Learning and Numerical Prediction for Skillful Subseasonal Soil Moisture and Flash Drought ForecastKyle Lesinger, Auburn University Increasing Drought Occurrence in the Coastal Carolinas May Impact Oyster FarmingKaitlin Karaffa, North Carolina State University
Closing Remarks
Vasu Misra, FSU, Professor of Meteorology, EOAS, COAPS
David DeWitt, NWS Climate Prediction Center Director
Marina Timofeyeva, NWS Climate Services Branch Chief
End of Meeting and Adjourn
Poster List
  1. Development of an Improved Week 3-4 Temperature Consolidation First GuessDanny Barandiaran, NWS CPC
  2. Detecting Major Pattern Changes at the Climate Prediction Center via the Regime Change Prognostic ToolCory Baggett, NWS CPC
  3. Key Messages at the Climate Prediction CenterJohnna Infanti, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC
  4. The Impact of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on the Frequency of Extreme Winter Weather over the Contiguous United StatesStephen Foskey, University of Oklahoma
  5. Short-term Bias of the MJO in the Hindcast Inter-comparison of Weather and Climate ModelsMeng-Pai Hung, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan
  6. Discovering Global Sources of Regional Flash Drought Predictability using Causal NetworksSudhanshu Kumar, Auburn University
  7. The Role of Indian Ocean SST Variability on African Winter and Summer SeasonsBhaskar Jha, CPC/ERT
  8. Operationalizing the Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI) and Value-added Products for CONUS Drought Monitoring and Early Warning at the NOAA Climate Prediction CenterYutong Pan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Climate Prediction Center; Earth Resources Technology (ERT) Inc.
  9. Developing a New CPC Long-term and Real-time Land Surface Monitoring ProductLi Xu, NWS CPC
  10. Extensions of the TCLOGG Tropical Cyclone Formation Guidance to all Basins and through Two Weeks Lead TimeRyan Remondelli, Florida State University
  11. Process-Oriented Diagnostics for Tropical Cyclones and Disturbances in Climate Models Using the Column-Integrated Moist Static Energy Variance BudgetJarrett Starr, Florida State University
  12. Model Agreement in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble: Forecast of Opportunity or Source of False Confidence?Sarah Strazzo, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University
  13. Improving the CMORPH2 Real-Time Production Through Infusing GPE and PMW Retrievals from Direct BroadcastsPingping Xie, Shaorong Wu, and Xiujuan Su, NWS CPC & ERT
  14. Empowering Climate-Sensitive Decisions: The Next-Generation Local Climate Analysis ToolJenna Meyers, NWS Climate Services Branch
  15. Towards a Process-Oriented Diagnostic for Tropical Disturbances: Tracking in ERA-5Allison A. Wing, Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida
  16. Impact of Arctic Sea Ice Concentration on Winter Temperature over East Asia since the 2000sYoujin Won, Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA)
  17. Exploring Seasonal Prediction Skill Potential of U.S. NAMS Precipitation in CFSv2 through Statistical Post-processingYanyun Liu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Climate Prediction Center and Earth Resources Technology Inc
  18. Verification and Potential Usage of Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity Forecast based on the JMA/MRI–CPS3Akio Nishimura, Japan Meteorological Agency
  19. Post-processing for Week 2 Forecasting of (absolute) Extreme Heat MetricsEvan Oswald, NWS CPC
  20. Supporting At-Risk Aquatic Species Management with Hydrologic ProjectionsCatherine A. Nikiel, ORISE/SECASC USGS
  21. On Establishing the U.S. Weekly Drought Prediction System based on Empirical, Dynamical, and Machine Learning FrameworksLisi Pei, Climate Prediction Center, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
  22. The Navy Earth System Prediction Capability: Overview and Future DevelopmentsCarolyn Reynolds, U. S. Naval Research Laboratory Marine Meteorology
  23. Towards a Distributed Soil Moisture Network in Alabama: Opportunities for Low-cost, Easy Deployable SensorsLee Ellenburg, University of Alabama in Huntsville
  24. Integrating the Global Hydro Intelligence Sub-Seasonal-to-Seasonal Subsystem into 14th Weather Squadron Climate OperationsAlexa Rohling, USAF 14th Weather Squadron
  25. Usability Testing of Drought Forecast Visualizations for Improved Understanding and Decision MakingApoorva Joshi, Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota
  26. Introduction to KMA Activities Based on ExCMOS Supporting to Several Sectors Against Extreme Climate DisastersJeongmok Choi, Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA)
  27. Audience Segmentation to Improve Usability Flood Inundation Mapping: Engagement and Testing with Technical Users and Impacted CommunitiesSajani Kandel, Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota
  28. Enhancing Climate Information Services for Underserved Communities: A Solution-Oriented Approach through National Weather Service Insights.Shubhechchha Sharma, University of Minnesota
  29. Building Knowledge to Support Equitable Climate Resilience in the Upper Mississippi River BasinAmelia Kreiter, University of Minnesota Institute on the Environment
  30. Hybrid Post-Processing of NOAA NCEP GEFSv12 Reforecasts for Predicting Extreme Rainfall Events on Sub-Seasonal Scale over CONUSMurali Malasala, NOAA/NCEP/EMC; UCAR

The 20th Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop (CPASW) brought together a diverse community to share developments in research and application of weather and climate information for societal decision-making. Participants will include researchers, service producers, resource managers, planners, practitioners, social scientists, and others making weather and climate-sensitive decisions. NOAA’s National Weather Service Climate Services Branch, National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI), North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies (NCICS), and many other climate services partners collaborated in the organization of the March 2023 CPASW.

 

The workshop convened in Asheville, North Carolina from May 9-11, 2023, for discussion centered on the theme of "Understanding Socio-economic Value of Climate Data, Prediction, Information and Services" and addressed the following focus areas: (1) Linking social, behavioral, and economic sciences (SBES) to climate services and (2) Improving Data, Prediction, and Attribution to Understand and Communicate the Risk of Extreme Events and Response Strategies.

Printable Version

Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Posters

 

20th Annual
Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop
Tuesday, May 9th 2023
8:00am Room Open
8:30am Opening Remarks
  Marina TimofeyevaNWS Climate Services Branch ChiefJeff Privette NCEI Acting Chief of Climatic Science and Services DivisionDouglas Rao North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies
  Keynote Speakers
8:45am Building a Climate Ready Nation: What Does it Mean for Our Service Evolution and Partners Including Service Producers and Users Ko Barrett, NOAA's Senior Advisor for Climate
9:05am NESDIS NCEI’s Role in Building a Climate Ready Nation, Past Successes In Climate Services, and Future DirectionsDeke Arndt, NCEI Director
9:25am NWS CPC’s Role In Building a Climate Ready Nation, Past Successes In Climate Services, and Future DirectionsDavid DeWitt, NWS CPC Director
9:45am Session 1: Panel on History and Legacy of NOAA Climate Services Partnership
Moderator: Marina Timofeyeva, NWS CSB
  Celebrating 50 Years of AASC and Partnership with NOAAHope Mizzell, South Carolina State ClimatologistCelebrating 40 Years of the Regional Climate Center Program and Partnership with NOAAAlison Tarter, Southern Regional Climate Center/Texas A&M for the RCC 40th Anniversary CommitteeCelebrating 20th CPASW: Original Vision for NWS Climate Services and CPASW Bob Livezey, NWS Climate Services Division Chief 2000-2008 (Retired) Celebrating 20th CPASW: NWS Climate Services Evolution and Partnership Development Fiona Horsfall, NOAA OAR/RTA, Climate Services Branch Chief 2010-2021
10:45am Break
11:15am Session 2: Heat & Health Services
Moderator: Steve Baxter, NWS CSB
  Using a Web-Based Tool to Forecast Local Variations in Wet Bulb Globe Temperature Chip Konrad, SERCC / UNC Chapel Hill NOAA/NWS Western Region HeatRisk v2.0: Updates and Impact-Based Verification Michael Staudenmaier, NWS WRH Extreme Heat: the CPC Forecasting of it and its Sensitivity to Definition Evan Oswald, NWS CPC The National Integrated Heat Health Information System and Heat.gov: A Federal Approach to Addressing Extreme Heat and Health Morgan Zabow, NOAA CPO
12:15pm Lunch (On Your Own)
1:45pm Session 3: Climate Services Data & Tools
Moderator: Tami Houston, NCEI
  The Global Historical Climatology Network hourly (GHCNh) Dataset Matt Menne, NCEI An Overview of State Climate Office of North Carolina Initiatives for Data-Driven Extreme Event Monitoring and Response Sheila Saia, State Climate Office of North Carolina AgroClimate Indicators for Decision Making in Southeast USA Clyde Fraisse, University of Florida Conversion of Week 3-4 Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks from 2-category to 3-category Systems Cory Baggett, NOAA CPC MRCC Resources to Assess Climate Patterns and Risk Melissa Widhalm, MRCC Climate Decision Support as a Service - Not Just Up and Coming, Up and Running Bruce Ford, Clear Science, Inc
3:15pm 14th Weather Squadron Mission Brief
Lt Col Bill Danyluk, Commander, 14th Weather Squadron
3:30pm Break
4:30pm Travel to New Belgium Brewery
Directions / Instructions for Travel
 

91 Craven Street, Asheville

Transportation will be provided between The Collider and New Belgium before and after the event. Additional details will be available the day of the event.

If you wish to use your own transportation, the New Belgium Brewhouse is separate and to the left (and across the walking bridge) of the New Belgium Liquid Center. Park in the left side parking lot titled "Brewery and Liquid Center Parking" versus the right side parking lot titled "Liquid Center Parking - Tours and Tastings".

 

 

5:00-7:00pm Field Trip / Banquet
New Belgium Brewery Sustainability at New Belgium, taking action on climate changeBanquet Speaker: Sarah Fraser, New Belgium Brewery Sustainability Specialist
Sarah Fraser is the sustainability specialist at New Belgium's east coast brewery located in Asheville, NC. Sarah supports the company’s social and environmental programs with a focus on supply chain and material sustainability. She engages brewery coworkers and supply chain partners in making progress toward the company’s ambitious GHG, energy, water, emissions and waste reduction goals.
End of Day 1
Tuesday Morning Keynote Speaker:
Ko Barrett, NOAA's Senior Advisor for Climate
Ko Barrett is NOAA’s Senior Advisor for Climate. In this role, Barrett is responsible for providing strategic advice and direction within NOAA to enable the agency to align, integrate, and extend its capabilities to best provide the climate services needed to address the climate challenge. She represents NOAA’s equities in whole-of-government efforts to transform the economy and achieve U.S. climate goals to reduce emissions and stabilize global temperature by mid-century.
Tuesday Morning Keynote Speaker:
Deke Arndt, Director, NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Deke Arndt became NCEI’s Director on January 30, 2023. He served as Chief of NCEI’s Climatic Science and Services Division (CSSD) for three years after previously leading the CSSD Monitoring Section. Deke’s career began in 1996 at the Oklahoma Climatological Survey. He worked closely with public safety, agriculture, climate monitoring, and the energy generation and transmission sectors. In recent years, he served on the Council of the American Meteorological Society, was a co-lead editor of the AMS’s annual State of the Climate report, and co-chaired the US Global Change Research Program’s Interagency Indicators Working Group.
Tuesday Morning Keynote Speaker:
David DeWitt, Director, NWS Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
David DeWitt is the Director of the NWS Climate Prediction Center. DeWitt joined NOAA’s National Weather Service (NWS) in 2012 as the lead modeler within the Science Plans Branch of the Office of Science and Technology. During his tenure at NWS, he served a detail as the acting deputy director for NCEP’s Environmental Modeling Center, and as a project manager for the Sandy Supplemental projects, which accelerated development of NOAA’s foundational numerical guidance for weather prediction. David has provided leadership on several NWS and NOAA cross-line office activities targeted toward improving NOAA’s products and services. Prior to coming to NOAA, DeWitt worked as a research scientist at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) at Columbia University from 1999-2012. From 1994-1999, DeWitt worked at the Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies developing coupled atmosphere-ocean models for seasonal forecasts and conducting research to better understand short-term climate variability.
20th Annual
Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop
Wednesday, May 10th 2023
8:00am Room Open
8:30am Invited Talk
  Climate Change and Asheville's Urban Forest: Building Resilience in Vulnerable CommunitiesDawn Chávez, Executive Director of Asheville GreenWorks
9:00am Session 4: Subseasonal to Seasonal Impact-based Decision Support Services
Moderator: Andrea Bair, NWS Western Region
  The Start of the NWS “Key Messages” Concept at the Climate Prediction Center: Objectives, Procedures, Coordination and Examples to Date Jon Gottschalck, NWS CPC S2S IDSS - Developing Climate Partner Relationships with NWS Steve Baxter, NWS CSB for Chelsea Peters, NWS Sacramento Tailoring NOAA Seasonal Outlooks for Local Audiences Tim Armstrong, NWS Wilmington NC Providing S2S Support to Transportation Officials Ahead of the 17-20 November 2022 Record Snow Event Brandon Hoving, NWS Grand Rapids
10:00am Poster Lightning Talks (Huang, Rao, and Kumar)
10:15am Break & Poster Session 1 (see list here)
10:45am Session 5: PANEL - Discussion on Climate Information for the Retail Industry
Moderator: Jenny Dissen, NCICS
  NCEI Listens and Collaborates: Case Study with the Retail Sector Jenny Dissen, NCICSFrom Listening Sessions to Roundtables: Building User Engagement with the Retail Industry Erin Hiatt, RILA Ron Jarvis, Chief Sustainability Office, Home Depot
11:15am Panel Discussion
Moderator: Jenny Dissen, NCICS
11:45am Lunch (on your own)
1:15pm Session 6A: Linking Social, Behavorial, and Economic Sciences to Climate Services
Moderator: Marina Timofeyeva, NWS CSB
  Improving the Understandability and Usability of NOAA CPC Drought Outlooks Melissa Kenney, University of Minnesota Salmon, Census, and the “Nth” Warmest Summer on Record: Finding Ways to Converge Socioeconomic and Climate Data Jared Rennie, NOAA NCEI Informing the Design of Climate Applications and Websites through User Research and Usability Studies Dave Michelson, NEMAC NASA Earth Science Climate-Related Applications Programs Allison Leidner, NASA
2:15pm Poster Lightning Talks (Joyner, Parsons, Boyne)
2:30pm Break & Poster Session 2 (see list here)
3:00-400pm Session 6B: Linking Social, Behavorial, and Economic Sciences to Climate Services
Moderator: Monica Rao, NWS
  What Might a Million Dollar Disaster Product Look Like for AlaskaJessica Cherry, NOAA NCEI The Socioeconomic Value of Weather Information: The Case Study of the Households in Taiwan Hen-I Lin, Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research Economic Effects of Coastal Hazards on Employment Kate Quigley, NOAA Office for Coastal Management Applying Climatology for Strategic Planning: The 14th Weather Squadron Capabilities in Eastern Europe Stephanie Smith, U.S. Air Force 14th Weather Squadron
End of Day Two
Wednesday Invited Speaker: Dawn Chávez, Executive Director of Asheville GreenWorks
Dawn has more than 25 years of leadership experience in nonprofit management in the environmental field. A native of the Bronx in New York City, Dawn has lived and worked across the country in many different communities, from wilderness outposts to small towns to large urban centers. Throughout her career, Dawn has been passionate about equity issues, environmental protection and the intersection of the two. Before moving to Asheville in January 2015, Dawn worked in Boston for twelve years as director of the Boston Youth Environmental Network and education director of the Urban Ecology Institute. Dawn serves on the board of the NC Center for Nonprofits and the North American Association for Environmental Education. In her free time, Dawn enjoys hiking and camping in the mountains around Asheville with her husband, Andrew, two children, Noah and Phoebe and the family dogs, Finn and Paco.
20th Annual
Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop
Thursday, May 11 2023
8:00am Room Open
8:30am Invited Talk
  The Future of Sustainable Aviation Michelle Ragland, EH&S Manager, Pratt & Whitney
9:00am Session 7: Data to Decisions
Moderator: Jeff Boyne, NWS La Crosse
  Recent Strides in Enhancing NOAA’s Climate Information Services and Risk Mitigation Capabilities David Benson, NOAA CPO Climate Impact Tracability with NOAA Pathfinders Vanessa Escobar, NESDIS OSAAPDisaster Normals Esther Boyle, Arizona State UniversityCalculating and Communicating Daily Climate Change Attribution Andrew Pershing, Climate CentralA Multidecade Reanalysis of Coastal Water Levels and Waves Taylor Asher, UNC Chapel HillBarriers to Recognizing, Communicating, and Mitigating Compound Flood Risk: A Case Study in Rural Eastern North Carolina Scott Curtis, The Citadel
10:30am Break
11:00am Session 8: Advancing Climate Resilience
Moderator: Justyn Jackson, U.S. Air Force 14th Weather Squadron
  Building a Trained Workforce of Climate Service Providers for Societal Decision-making Jim Fox, Fernleaf for Aashka Patel, Fernleaf Going Rogue: Social Sciencing (v.) Social Science (n.) for Weather and Climate Applications

Chris Ellis, NOAA OCM

Valerie Were, CIRA

Gina Eosco, NOAA OAR

12:00pm Group Discussion
Moderator: Chris Ellis
12:30pm Lunch (on your own)
2:00pm Session 9: Applications of Modern Technologies
Moderator: Valerie Were, CIRA
  A Data Fusion Approach for Daily Humidity at Public Health Relevant Scales Using AI methods Revathi Muralidharan, NCICSHyperspectral & Polarimetric Ocean Observations from space! How the NASA PACE Mission will Advance Environmental & Societal Applications in Disaster Management Natasha Sadoff, NASA Risk Communication of Urban Flood through Augmented Reality ZhiQiang Chen, University of Missouri Kansas City Use of Machine Learned Mutual Information Between Drought Factors Influencing the USDM Michael Shaw, NOAA, iSciences LLC, Riverside
3:00pm Break
3:30pm Session 10: Enhancing Climate Data and Services Dissemination Practices
Moderator: Sheila Saia, State Climate Office of North Carolina / NCSU
  Reaching Cloud Users via NOAA Open Data Dissemination Patrick Keown, NOAA OCIOMicrosoft Weather - Empowering the World for Better Decisions Matt Corey, Microsoft Weather From Data to Decision - Using Open Data in the Cloud Chris Stoner, Amazon Web ServicesUsing Climate Engine for Cloud-Based Drought Monitoring Steve Ansari, NOAA NCEICloud-native Geospatial with Pangeo and the Planetary ComputerTom Augspurger, Microsoft
4:45-5:00pm Workshop Wrap-Up
Marina Timofeyeva, NWS CSB
End of Meeting
Thursday Invited Speaker: Michelle Ragland, EH&S Manager, Pratt & Whitney
Michelle Ragland is the site Environment, Health, and Safety Manager for Pratt and Whitney’s new state-of-the-art aerospace manufacturing facility in Asheville, North Carolina. Her responsibilities span from supporting the design of the LEED-accredited facility to overall compliance with internal and external regulatory bodies. Michelle spent the first half of her career as an Environmental Officer in the maritime industry and transitioned to the aerospace industry in 2015. After supporting a greenfield expansion with sister company, Collins Aerospace, she expanded her interest in startups to pursue Pratt and Whitney's new 1.2 million square foot facility. Michelle takes this opportunity with great responsibility because she believes today’s investments in design and forward-thinking technologies will have environmental and operational impacts for many years to come.
Poster List
Poster Session 1 (Wednesday 10:15am - 10:45am) Improvements of Land Surface Air Temperature Reconstruction in NOAAGlobalTemp: An Artificial Neural Network Approach Boyin Huang, NOAA NCEI Long-Range Forecasting of Atmospheric Variables using Transformers Trained on MERRA2Ankur Kumar, University of Alabama in Huntsville ClimateBench v1.0: A Benchmark for Data-Driven Climate Projections Yuhan “Douglas” Rao, Cooperative Institute for Satellite and Earth System Studies CONUS404: The NCAR-USGS 4-km Long-term Regional Hydroclimate Reanalysis over the CONUSRoy Rasmussen, NCAR Comparison of CLM 4.5 and BATS Land-Surface Scheme in Regional Climate Model for Climate Prediction in Indonesia: A Sensitivity StudyJose Rizal, Indonesia for Agency Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG) Analyzing Future Changes of Frost Damage Risk for Apples in Nagano prefecture, Japan - Assessment of Delay in Breaking Bud Dormancy Due to Climate ChangeFumi Sezaki, Japan Meteorological Agency Poster Session 2 (Wednesday 10:15am - 10:45am) Impacts of Increased Precipitation on the Upper Mississippi RiverJeffrey Boyne, NWS La Crosse Making NASA Earth Data Accessible and Actionable Elizabeth Joyner, NASA Economic Assessment of Weather Information Services: A Case Study of the Outlying Island Tourism in Penghu, Taiwan Hen-I Lin, Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research Disproportionate Heat Exposure Makes Fan Use Unsafe for Many Vulnerable Populations in the US Luke Parsons, Duke University An Integrated Approach to Develop a National Early Warning System for Forest Fire Alberth Nahas, Agency for Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG) Indonesia Hyperspectral & Polarimetric Ocean Observations from space! How the NASA PACE Mission will Advance Environmental & Societal Applications in Disaster ManagementNatasha Sadoff, NASA Examining the North American Monsoon: A Look at the Onset of, and Climatology of the Monsoon and its Impacts on New Mexico Tim Brice, NWS El Paso Assessing Tropical Pacific-induced Predictability of Southern California Precipitation Using a Novel Multi-input Multi-output Autoencoder Salil Mahajan, Oak Ridge National Laboratory Observed Changes in Extreme Precipitation Associated with United States Tropical Cyclones John Uehling, North Carolina State University, NCICS

The 19th Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop (CPASW) brought together a diverse community to share developments in research and application of weather and climate information for societal decision-making. Participants included researchers, service producers, resource managers, planners, practitioners, social scientists, and others making weather and climate-sensitive decisions. NOAA’s National Weather Service Climate Services Branch, Michigan State University, the Michigan State Climate Office, and many climate services partners collaborated in the organization of the 2022 CPASW.

The workshop convened in East Lansing, Michigan, May 24-26, 2022, for discussion centered on the theme of “Toward equitable and actionable climate services across communities and timescales”and addressed the following focus areas: (1) Equitable and Seamless Climate Services ; (2) Climate Impact-based Decision Support Tools and Service Delivery Across Sectors and (3) User Engagement and Service Requirements.

Download the full agenda here!

View the original meeting web page here.

Tuesday, May 24 2022
Workshop Welcome
Opening RemarksJeff Andresen, Michigan State University | Michigan State Climate Office Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA NWS Climate Services Branch Welcome Address John Murphy, Chief Operating Officer, NOAA National Weather Service
Keynote Address
Just Transition to a Carbon Neutral Economy: A Welcome to Michigan and Inside Look at the MI Healthy Climate Plan James Clift, Deputy Director, Michigan Department of Environment, Great Lakes, and Energy
Session 1 Part 1: Expanding Climate Services to Better Serve Users
Moderator: Jeff Andresen, Michigan State University
Going To Extremes In Weather And Climate Services: Some Lessons From The US Midwest And Elsewhere Doug Kluck, NOAA / NCEI How National Weather Service Central Region Offices are Working toward Providing More Actionable Climate Information to Core Partners through Consistent Subseasonal to Seasonal Impact-Based Decision Support Services Audra Bruschi, NWS Central Region Headquarters Arctic Environment Threats to Military Facilities, Operations, and Planning Jason Senter, U.S. Air Force
Session 1 Part 2: Expanding Climate Services to Better Serve Users
Moderator: Marina Timofeyeva, NWS Climate Services Branch
Decision Support Messaging of Rare Weather/Climate Events: A Retrospective of the December 15-16, 2021 Record Warmth & Severe Weather in the Midwest Jeff Boyne, NWS LaCrosse Climate Change IDSS for WFO Local Partners Ray Wolf, NWS Davenport Annual Climate Trends and Impacts Summary for the Great Lakes Basin: Communicating Climate Information to a Binational Audience Jeff Andresen, Michigan State UniversityVIRTUAL: Climate Change Data For Minnesota: High-Resolution Climate Information and Dedicated Extension Programming to Accelerate Cross-Sector Resilience Efforts Brenda Hoppe, University of Minnesota
Workshop Breakout Sessions
Breakout Group 1: Climate Impact-based Decision Support Tools and Service Delivery Across Sectors (Room 110)Moderator: Beth Hall, Purdue University Scribe: Audra Bruschi, NWS Central Region Headquarters Breakout Group 2: Partnership Engagement (Willy Room)Moderator: Doug Kluck, NOAA NCEI Scribe: Jenna Meyers, NWS Climate Services Branch Breakout Group 3: Equitable and Seamless Climate Services (Lincoln Room)Moderator: Marina Timofeyeva, NWS Climate Services Branch Scribe: Jeff Boyne, NWS LaCrosse
Report Outs and Wrap Up
Moderators from each breakout group
Tuesday Morning Welcome Speaker: John Murphy, NOAA National Weather Service
John D. Murphy is the Chief Operating Officer (COO) of NOAA’s National Weather Service (NWS). He has overall responsibility for day-to-day mission execution units responsible for delivering NWS weather, water, climate, and space weather products, services, and information as well as the budgetary planning for 11 National Service Programs. He joined NWS in 2011 after serving more than 29 years with the United States Air Force as a career meteorologist and finally as Commander of the Air Force Weather Agency and Deputy Foreign Policy Advisor to United States Strategic Command.
Tuesday Morning Keynote Speaker: James Clift, Michigan Department of Environment, Great Lakes, and Energy (EGLE)

James Clift is Deputy Director of the Michigan Department of Environment, Great Lakes, and Energy (EGLE), where he oversees the department’s policy and engagement work. He heads the offices of Legislative Affairs, Public Information, and Great Lakes; as well as three offices created under the administration of Gov. Gretchen Whitmer: Climate and Energy, Clean Water Public Advocate, and Environmental Justice Public Advocate.

James helped launch all three new offices – vital steps in pursuing the state’s goal of carbon neutrality in an equitable manner that provides opportunity for all Michiganders and protects the state’s world-class water resources.

He began his work in the state Capitol as a Michigan Senate environmental policy analyst. More recently, he was policy director at the Michigan Environmental Council for 20 years, working on environmental policy with the council’s more than 70 member and partner organizations. A fixture at the Capitol, he coordinated the council’s legislative and policy work on an array of environmental issues including water protection, environmental justice, clean energy, air quality, and climate mitigation and adaptation.

A graduate of Central Michigan University, James earned a Juris Doctorate degree from Wayne State University, where he spent two years assisting in research and editing textbooks and other works of Prof. Robert Abrams, a leading U.S. expert in water law. James is a member of the State Bar of Michigan and its Environmental Law Section.

Wednesday, May 25 2022
Invited Talk
Midwestern Regional Climate Services for Agriculture: Working in Regional Partnerships Dennis Todey, Director, USDA Midwest Climate Hub
Session 2 Part 1: Preparing for Drought
Moderator: Steve Baxter, NWS Climate Services Branch
Predictability of Drought using Different Types of Drought Indices in the Western United States Mohammad Hadi Bazrkar, Texas A&M Predicting the Risk of a Developing Flash Drought Event Beth Hall, Purdue University
Session 2 Part 2: Preparing for Drought
Moderator: Steve Baxter, NWS Climate Services Branch
The Climate Toolbox's Subseasonal Forecast and Drought Stripes Tools Katherine Hegewisch, University of California MercedRecommendations from the NWS Western States Drought Workshop Chelsea Peters, NWS Las VegasCPC's Experimental Water Year Outlook Tool Emerson LaJoie, NWS Climate Prediction Center
Session 3: Infusing Climate Information for Agricultural Decisions
Moderator: Audra Bruschi, NWS Central Region Headquarters
Improving Cover Crop Management in Illinois with Subseasonal Climate Prediction Trent Ford, University of Illinois Changes in Precipitation Indicators Across the Midwestern and Great Lakes Regions of the United States: Climatic Implications for Corn-soy Production from Field to Region William Baule, Michigan State University Historical and Future Variability in Growing Season Heat Stress and Fall Storage Conditions with Shifts in Planting Date: An Example for Potato Production in Michigan, USA Julie Winkler, Michigan State University
Field Trip & Dinner

Workshop attendees will enjoy a field trip to visit the beautiful Meijer Gardens and Sculpture Park in Grand Rapids, Michigan followed by a tour and dinner at the Schwallier’s Country Basket Apple Orchard.

Itinerary and details below:

  • 1:30pm Bus leaves Kellogg Center
  • 2:30pm Stop at Meijer Gardens, Grand Rapids, MI
    • Tour of Gardens
  • 4:30pm Bus leaves Meijer Gardens
  • 5:00pm Stop at Schwallier’s Country Basket Orchard, Sparta MI
    • Apple Orchard Tour and Talk by Phil Schwallier (Tree Fruit Grower & Extension Agent)
  • 5:30pm Dinner @ Schwallier’s County Basket
  • 6:30pm Bus leaves to return to Kellogg Center

Frederik Meijer Gardens & Sculpture Park opened in April 1995 after 13 years of planning and fundraising by the West Michigan Horticultural Society. In 1990, Fred & Lena Meijer were asked for their support, and they embraced the concept of a major cultural attraction centering around horticulture & sculpture. The original vision has turned into a top cultural destination in the Midwest region, known internationally for the quality of the art and gardens.

Meijer Gardens' commitment is to create a legacy of lifelong learning, enjoyment and a rich cultural experience for generations to come. It is a non-profit organization, privately funded by grants, foundations and individual and corporate gifts. The organization is operated by almost 200 full and part-time staff, more than 850 active volunteers and supported by gifts from more than 28,000 member households and many donors.

Meijer Gardens promotes the enjoyment, understanding and appreciation of gardens, sculpture, the natural environment and the arts.
www.meijergardens.org

Schwallier’s Country Basket has been a family-owned business since we first opened our barn doors in 1989. We are located in Sparta, Mich., in the heart of West Michigan’s apple capital known as “the Ridge”— just a short drive north of downtown Grand Rapids. They are dedicated to serving friends and family who come from near and far to enjoy our delicious treats, fresh produce, and simple, satisfying slice of farm life.

The one-of-a-kind store has grown from humble beginnings as a roadside produce stand into a thriving farm market, complete with giant corn maze, petting farm, pumpkin patch, cow train and wagon rides, and other attractions. And each year we strive to add new, fun activities for families at the farm.
www.schwalliers.com

Wednesday Invited Speaker: Dennis Todey, USDA Midwest Climate Hub
Dennis Todey is the Director of the Midwest Climate Hub in Ames. He is a native Iowan with his BS and PhD from Iowa State in Meteorology and Agricultural Meteorology. He has spent two stints in South Dakota, first completing his MS at the South Dakota School of Mines and Technology and most recently as Associate Professor and State Climatologist for South Dakota at South Dakota State University. He is well known regionally as a speaker and media source on various climate issues and is the former president of the American Association of State Climatologists.
Thursday, May 26 2022
Invited Talk (Virtual)
CPC National and International Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Decision Support Services David DeWitt, Director, NWS Climate Prediction Center
Session 4: Addressing Services for Extreme Heat
Moderators: Jeff Boyne, NWS LaCrosse
A Socio-spatial Model of Hospitalizations from Exposure and Sensitivity to High Temperatures Juan Declet-Barreto, Union of Concerned Scientists Week 3-4 Forecasting of Extreme Heat: a new tool-based SST and regional soil moisture patterns Evan Oswald, NWS Climate Prediction CenterVIRTUAL: Understanding Local Variations in Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) and Tailoring the WBGT Forecast Tool to Local Environments Charles Konrad, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Session 5 Part 1: Climate Decision Support Services
Moderator: Steve Baxter, NWS Climate Services Branch
The Cellular Cooperative Observer Program Project Pilar Trevino, NWS Paducah The Use of Social Science and Expanding the IDSS footprint at the Climate Prediction Center Jon Gottschalck, NWS Climate Prediction Center VIRTUAL: Updating the CPC T2M Observational Verification Dataset and Impact on the Seasonal T2M GPRA Mike Halpert, NWS Climate Prediction Center
Session 5 Part 2: Climate Decision Support Services
Moderator: Jenna Meyers, NWS Climate Services Branch
Extending the Temporal Range for Aviation Wind Guidance Erica Burrows, NWS Climate Prediction Center NWS DSS and Partnerships with Michigan's Transportation Sector Brandon Hoving, NWS Grand Rapids VIRTUAL: The Value of Environmental Information from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information Tamara Houston, NOAA NCEI
Panel Session: Engaging Users and Co-producing Climate Services
Moderator: Marina Timofeyeva, NWS Climate Services Branch
Introductory Remarks Stephen Baxter, NWS Doug Kluck, NOAA NCEI Allison Leidner, NASA Earth Science Division Beth Hall, Purdue University Dennis Todey, USDA Midwest Climate HubKelly Karll, Southeast Michigan Council of Governments Q&A Discussion

 

Meeting Wrap-up (Marina Timofeyeva & Jeff Andresen)
Thursday Invited Speaker: David DeWitt, NWS Climate Prediction Center
David DeWitt is the Director of the NWS Climate Prediction Center. DeWitt joined NOAA’s National Weather Service (NWS) in 2012 as the lead modeler within the Science Plans Branch of the Office of Science and Technology. During his tenure at NWS, he served a detail as the acting deputy director for NCEP’s Environmental Modeling Center, and as a project manager for the Sandy Supplemental projects, which accelerated development of NOAA’s foundational numerical guidance for weather prediction. David has provided leadership on several NWS and NOAA cross-line office activities targeted toward improving NOAA’s products and services. Prior to coming to NOAA, DeWitt worked as a research scientist at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) at Columbia University from 1999-2012. From 1994-1999, DeWitt worked at the Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies developing coupled atmosphere-ocean models for seasonal forecasts and conducting research to better understand short-term climate variability.