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Heavy Rainfall Continues from the Southwest to the Plains; Severe Thunderstorms in the Southern Plains

Pacific tropical moisture wrapping into a storm will continue a multi-day heavy rainfall event this week that will impact the Southwest into the Plains. Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of mainly severe wind gusts appear possible across portions of the southern Plains this afternoon into tonight. There is also a risk of isolated severe winds gusts and tornadoes in Kansas into Nebraska. Read More >

Click a location below for detailed forecast.

Last Map Update: Wed, Sep 30, 2026 at 10:50:22 am CDT

Numerous to widespread showers and storms will develop over portions of the eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos regions late this afternoon through tonight. Deep tropical moisture associated with the remnants of Hurricane Polo will bring the potential for very heavy rainfall and flash flooding over these locations through tonight. Rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches with localized higher amounts of 3+ inches will be possible.
Another round of storms are expected today, though it will be for the eastern half of the region. The primary threats with the strongest storms remain heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding, damaging winds, and a brief spin-up tornado is possible. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive warnings!
A quick meteorological explanation to why some locations received rainfall and others did not. The bulk of deep tropical moisture and lift spread from the Guadalupe Mountains to the southeast New Mexico Plains, and into the Texas panhandle last night where swaths of rainfall amounts between 2" and 5" fell. A very pronounced "dry slot" (a region of dry air and subsidence in the mid-levels of the atmosphere) that some of the models were indicating spread into the Permian Basin and Trans Pecos on the eastern side of the system last night, which greatly limited rainfall amounts and coverage.

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