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Areas of Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall Tuesday

Severe thunderstorms will be possible over parts of the northern Plains Tuesday which could bring large hail, damaging winds, and possible tornadoes. Thunderstorms with heavy to excessive rainfall may produce flooding over parts of the southern High Plains and North Dakota on Tuesday. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Tue, Jun 2, 2026 at 12:10:22 am CDT

Shower and thunderstorm chances increase this week thanks to a series of shortwaves ahead of an upper-level trough. We will be keeping a close eye out for flash flooding, especially in urban and low-lying areas. A few storms may also become strong.
Model guidance indicates medium probabilities (40-60%) of greater than 1 inch of rainfall across portions of the area this week, including across the Permian Basin (especially northernmost portions) and in the Davis Mountains.
Lows overnight should average ~ 5-7 F above climatology. Early-evening thunderstorms are possible, mainly over Southeast New Mexico.

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