Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Mon, Oct 12, 2026 at 1:00:18 pm CDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM

National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas, TX

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National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio, TX

There are no watches, warnings, or advisories at this time.

Wet Weather This Week

Risk of Flash Flooding, Then Much Cooler

Tuesday: Severe Weather Outlook

Wednesday: Excessive Rainfall Outlook

Thursday: Excessive Rainfall Outlook

Remnant moisture from Hurricane Simon and several upper-level disturbances bring increasing atmospheric moisture to the region this week. This will likely result in heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding. Keep checking weather.gov/midland for the latest forecast information.

A risk of heavy rainfall and flash flooding begins Tuesday evening, continuing through Friday. Highest chance of heavy rain and flash flooding will be on Wednesday and Thursday, from the Big Bend into the northern Permian Basin. Be sure that you are able to receive alerts on your device, and continue to monitor the forecast for any flood watch products.

Isolated strong to severe storms developing Tuesday afternoon and evening may pose a threat for damaging winds and hail. Be sure to have a way to receive alerts on your device, and stay alert to rapidly changing weather conditions.

There is a risk for flash flooding across much of the Permian Basin and Stockton Plateau into Big Bend for Wednesday through Thursday morning. While not everyone will see rain or experience flooding, flash flooding is likely to occur in/near poor drainage, low lying, and sloped terrain where heavier and/or repeated heavy storms occur. Flood waters can be deeper than they appear. Remember to never drive through flood waters and seek higher ground if flood waters threaten.

There is a risk for flash flooding across much of west Texas and southeast New Mexico for Thursday through Friday morning. While not everyone will see rain or experience flooding, flash flooding is likely to occur in/near poor drainage, low lying, and sloped terrain where heavier and/or repeated heavy storms occur. Expect higher flood risk than Wednesday where heavy rains occur over recently saturated soils. Flood waters can be deeper than they appear. Remember to never drive through flood waters and seek higher ground if flood waters threaten.

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Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

NWS Midland/Odessa