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Hurricane Debby Strikes the Florida Big Bend
August 5, 2024

Overview

Hurricane Debby originated as a tropical wave at the end of July 2024 in the Central Atlantic Ocean. This tropical wave moved west-northwest through the end of July and into the early part of August. Development of this wave occurred very slowly through the next week as it moved through the Lesser and Greater Antilles in the Caribbean. The National Hurricane Center initiated advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Four on August 2nd at 11am as the system continued to organize and observational and model trends increased confidence that a tropical storm would develop. Debby would become a tropical depression that evening, and then a tropical storm on Saturday afternoon on August 3rd as it exited the northwest coast of Cuba. Debby would remain a tropical storm for most of its life as it lifted north into the eastern Gulf of Mexico and moved towards the Apalachee Bay. Debby strengthened into a category 1 hurricane less than 12 hours before landfall with the 11 pm ET August 4th advisory. After Debby made landfall Monday morning near Steinhatchee, Florida around 7am ET on August 5, its forward motion would slow and it was during this period that most of the significant impacts from storm surge and flooding rains were felt. Debby would continue to move northeast across the eastern Florida Big Bend and into southeast Georgia into Tuesday taking most of the impacts away from the forecast area. While the winds and rain had moved on by Tuesday, a new impact was developing as the heavy rains across the southeast Big Bend, north Florida, and southern Georgia began to work their way through the river/aquifer system.

Hurricane Debby's primary impact across the forecast area was flooding due to heavy rainfall, but notable storm surge of 3 to 5 feet above normally dry ground across portions of the Nature Coast and the southeast Big Bend still brought damage to the immediate coastline where many are still recovering from Hurricane Idalia which came ashore less than one year prior. Rainfall amounts of 8 to 12 inches across the heaviest hit regions caused widespread flooding in southeast Madison and eastern Lafayette counties with even more significant flooding just east of our forecast area in NWS Jacksonville's forecast area across Suwannee and Gilchrist counties. In these areas, rainfall amounts approaching 15" were observed. Areal flooding continued for at least 2 weeks post landfall across southeast Madison county as high ground water levels and the heavy rainfall totals put pressure on the groundwater system. It was here in southeast Madison county that the pressure on the groundwater system caused new flooding to develop and persist for several weeks as water was coming up from the ground. Riverine flooding along the Suwannee River continued up to 3 weeks after landfall.

Advisory 1 Track
Figure 2. Satellite Loop of Hurricane Debby from NOAA/CIRA on August 5th

 

Rainfall Amounts

Debby brought widespread rainfall amounts of 2 to 7 inches across portions of the Florida Big Bend and southern Georgia with even higher amounts of 7 to 12 inches observed across the southeast Big Bend and the Suwannee River Basin. The rainfall gradient for Debby was much sharper than most typical tropical systems. The primary reason the gradient was so sharp across the forecast area was due to the sheared nature of the system. Westerly shear around 10 to 15 knots, and much drier air on the western periphery of Debby caused much of the rainfall and impacts wind wise to be on the eastern side of the circulation as seen in the animation just after landfall (Fig 2 above). 

Advisory 1 Track
Figure 3: Radar estimated rainfall amounts during Hurricane Debby

 

Wind Gusts

Wind gusts were not nearly as strong as what many folks in this area observed one year prior during Hurricane Idalia. Regardless, widespread wind gusts nearing 70 mph were observed/estimated to have occurred across much of Dixie and Lafayette counties in the southeast Florida Big Bend. Elsewhere across the forecast area, widespread 30 to 50 mph wind gusts were observed. Much of these strong wind gusts occurred early Monday morning and into the early afternoon. These gusts were strong enough to cause widespread power outages across the southeast Big Bend

Figure 4: Hurricane Debby max estimated wind gusts

 

Site Name City State Land or Marine Observing Network Max Gust (knots) Direction of Max Gust (deg) Max Gust Time (UTC) Max Gust - Day
"Shell Point, FL" Crawfordville FL M USF COMPS 43 20 800 8/5/2024
West Tampa Bouy 42036   FL M NDBC 53 40 150 8/5/2024
Tallahassee International Airport Tallahassee FL L ASOS 42 340 1522 8/5/2024
Apalachicola Regional Airport Apalachicola FL L ASOS 37 340 1743 8/5/2024
Southwest Georgia Regional Airport Albany GA L ASOS 37 40 1759 8/5/2024
Perry-Foley Airport Perry FL L AWOS 54 30 1035 8/5/2024
Valdosta Regional Airport Valdosta GA L ASOS 50 70 1339 8/5/2024
Moody Air Force Base Valdosta GA L ASOS 43 30 2059 8/5/2024
Tifton Henry Tift Myers Airport Tifton GA L AWOS 34 360 1921 8/5/2024
Fitzgerald Municipal Airport Fitzgerald GA L AWOS 31 20 2315 8/5/2024
St. George Island WeatherFlow Eastpoint FL L WeatherFlow 37   2034 8/4/2024
Lafayette High School Mayo FL L WeatherSTEM 61 100 1351 8/5/2024
Madison County High School Madison FL L WeatherSTEM 56 20 1247 8/5/2024
Lowndes County Utilities Grassy Pond Lake Park GA L WeatherSTEM 52 10 1400 8/5/2024
Madison Creative Ars Academy Madison FL L WeatherSTEM 47 30 1244 8/5/2024
FSWN Wakulla St. Mark's Lighthouse St. Mark's FL L WeatherSTEM 43 18 1012 8/5/2024
Historic Downtown Monticello Monticello FL L WeatherSTEM 43 336 1307 8/5/2024
FSWN Old Town Elementary School Old Town FL L WeatherSTEM 43 128 1200 8/5/2024
Florida A&M University Tallahassee FL L WeatherSTEM 41 285 1346 8/5/2024
Northeast Tallahassee Tallahassee FL L WeatherSTEM 42 338 1200 8/5/2024
Lowndes County Utilities Kinderlou Kinderlou GA L WeatherSTEM 40 44 1323 8/5/2024
FSWN Dixie County Manager's Office Cross City FL L WeatherSTEM 41 203 1140 8/5/2024
Dixie County High School Cross City FL L WeatherSTEM 49 160 1005 8/5/2024
Montford Middle Tallahassee FL L WeatherSTEM 34 26 1354 8/5/2024
Ballard Partners Tallahassee FL L WeatherSTEM 36 321 930 8/5/2024
FSU WeatherSTEM Tallahassee FL L WeatherSTEM 40 343 1336 8/5/2024
FSWN Ochlockonee Boat Ramp Bald Point FL L WeatherSTEM 38 291 1200 8/5/2024
Moultrie Moultrie GA L UGA Mesonet 38     8/5/2024
Ben Hill County Emergency Management Fitzgerald GA L WeatherSTEM 34 23 47 8/6/2024
St. George Island Bridge Eastpoint FL L WeatherSTEM 37 360 1756 8/5/2024
Wakulla High School Crawfordville FL L WeatherSTEM 33 98 1132 8/5/2024
FSWN Lake Jackson Tallahassee FL L WeatherSTEM 36 344 1450 8/5/2024
FSWN Franklin County EOC Apalachicola FL L WeatherSTEM 40 309 1509 8/5/2024
FSWN Dixie County EOC Cross City FL L WeatherSTEM 47 153 1126 8/5/2024
FSWN Franklin Alligator Point Alligator Point FL L WeatherSTEM 43 334 2051 8/5/2024
FSWN Madison County EOC Madison FL L WeatherSTEM 42 360 1038 8/5/2024
FSU Rec SportsPlex Tallahassee FL L WeatherSTEM 35 97 1417 8/5/2024
Chiles High School Tallahassee FL L WeatherSTEM 34 40 1329 8/5/2024
Jefferson County Middle/High School Monticello FL L WeatherSTEM 34 109 1448 8/5/2024
Table 1. Hurricane Debby max estimated wind gusts. Note: These come from a variety of sensors, a majority not operated/maintained by NWS. Averaging periods and the siting of stations can vary. Please view the Debby Tropical PSH for more information.

 

Storm Surge

Debby brought storm surge inundation of approximately 3 to 5 feet above normally dry ground to portions of the southeast Florida Big Bend. These values brought widespread flooding to the immediate coastal strip and unfortunately flooded some homes/businesses that were affected by Idalia less than one year earlier. While these amounts did not cause damage as widespread/severe as Idalia, this storm served as another reminder that the Apalachee Bay and Nature Coast of Florida is one of the most surge prone areas of the country.

Advisory 1 Track
Figure 5. Graphic showing the peak surge of Debby at Cedar Key (just south of our forecast area in NWS Tampa's Area of Responsibility. Graphic used to show the large tidal variations across this part of the Gulf and the timing of Debby's surge. 

 

Site Name Latitude Longitude City State Max Water Level (ft) Datum Time (UTC) Day Watermark Observed (* = Date Retrieved) Source Comment (I = incomplete data; E = estimated)
Steinhatchee River at Steinhatchee 29.6681 -83.3775 Steinhatchee FL 3.7 MHHW 1615 8/5/2024 USGS  
Suwannee River above Gopher River Confluence 29.3392 -83.0867 Suwannee FL 3.5 MHHW 1200 8/5/2024 USGS "I, data stopped before peak"
571 SE 205 St 29.3228 -83.1459 Suwannee FL 2.5 AGL 1736 8/6/2024* FDEM  
37 SE 217th St 29.3278 -83.1463 Suwannee FL 1.7 AGL 1751 8/6/2024* FDEM  
16 SE 252nd St 29.3368 -83.1359 Suwannee FL 2.5 AGL 1540 8/6/2024* FDEM  
222 SE 240th St 29.3392 -83.1366 Suwannee FL 2.8 AGL 1835 8/6/2024* FDEM  
283 SE 240th St 29.3401 -83.1364 Suwannee FL 1.7 AGL 1831 8/6/2024* FDEM  
189 SE 867th Ave 29.3401 -83.1384 Suwannee FL 2 AGL 1631 8/6/2024* FDEM  
30 SE 234th St 29.3408 -83.1382 Suwannee FL 2.5 AGL 1627 8/6/2024* FDEM  
11072 SE 357 Hwy 29.3939 -83.2022 Shired Island FL 2.2 AGL 11 8/7/2024* FDEM  
133 10th Ave W 29.4383 -83.2924 Horseshoe Beach FL 1.8 AGL 2323 8/6/2024* FDEM  
199 7th Ave W 29.4401 -83.291 Horseshoe Beach FL 2.4 AGL 2340 8/6/2024* FDEM  
88 8th Ave E 29.4396 -83.2864 Horseshoe Beach FL 2.8 AGL 2347 8/6/2024* FDEM  
48 6th Ave E 29.4407 -83.2867 Horseshoe Beach FL 3 AGL 2356 8/6/2024* FDEM  
111 2nd Ave W 29.4435 -83.2885 Horseshoe Beach FL 3.1 AGL 2343 8/6/2024* FDEM  
SW 351 Hwy 29.4442 -83.2869 Horseshoe Beach FL 1.2 AGL 9 8/7/2024* FDEM  
88 1st St 29.4427 -83.2856 Horseshoe Beach FL 1.6 AGL 3 8/7/2024* FDEM  
182 5th Ave E 29.4413 -83.2844 Horseshoe Beach FL 2.8 AGL 0 8/7/2024* FDEM  
139 SW 464th Ave 29.5953 -83.3796 Rocky Creek FL 1.3 AGL 1919 8/7/2024* FDEM  
79 SW 464th Ave 29.5942 -83.3794 Rocky Creek FL 1.1 AGL 1943 8/7/2024* FDEM  
240 SW 470th Ave 29.5937 -83.3808 Rocky Creek FL 1 AGL 1946 8/7/2024* FDEM  
112 SW 276th Ave 29.6682 -83.3901 Jena FL 1.6 AGL 1949 8/7/2024* FDEM  
86 SW 911th St 29.6676 -83.3893 Jena FL 2.7 AGL 1954 8/7/2024* FDEM  
315-399 Peninsula Rd SE 29.6689 -83.3655 Steinhatchee FL 1.9 AGL 2009 8/7/2024* FDEM  
318 Granger Rd SE 29.6684 -83.3641 Steinhatchee FL 1.1 AGL 2007 8/7/2024* FDEM  
19040 Goodtime Dr. 29.8488 -83.619 Dekle Beach FL 1 AGL 1935 8/7/2024* FDEM  
19060 Goodtime Dr. 29.8486 -83.6188 Dekle Beach FL 1.3 AGL 1947 8/7/2024* FDEM
Table 2. Water levels across the Florida Big Bend during Debby for the NWS Tallahassee Forecast Area. Thank you to the Florida Department of Emergency Management (FDEM) for providing survey and high watermark data which is used to measure storm surge inundation. More information on water levels can be found in the Debby PSH.

 

River Levels

Widespread heavy heavy rain across the Suwannee, Withlacoochee, Fenholloway, and Aucilla River Basins from Debby brought widespread river flooding to the forecast area. However, more significant flooding, on the riverine front, was likely avoided across our rivers due to the sheared nature of Debby and the antecedent dry conditions in place across the southeast Florida Big Bend before Debby arrived. 

Figure 6. Suwannee River above Gopher River Confluence (in MHHW) Figure 7. Steinhatchee River at Steinhatchee (in MHHW) Figure 8. Fenholloway River at Foley
Figure 9. Suwannee River at Rock Bluff  near Bell - CR 340 (in NAVD88) Figure 10. Suwannee River at Branford - US 27 (in NAVD88) Figure 11. Suwannee River near Wilcox - US 19 (in NAVD88)
 
Figure 12. Aucilla River at Lamont (US 27) Figure 13. Suwannee River at Luraville - SR 51 (in NAVD88)  

 

Impacts Summary

The impacts summary from our local counties is available by clicking here. The link provides summarized impacts from local county emergency management and other local officials. It is not a full summary of impacts and it is possible some realized impacts from Debby are not listed here or are missing. A quick summary of these impacts revealed widespread to numerous power outages across the southeast Florida Big Bend and into south-central Georgia. Many downed trees were reported across the southeast Florida Big Bend and into south-central Georgia. Unfortunately there were at least 2 direct fatalities from Debby (in our forecast area) due to trees falling on structures and 2 indirect fatalities due to traffic accidents. In addition to the power outages, widespread flooding occurred across the southeast portions of the forecast area in Madison, Lafayette, and Dixie counties. One of the more damaging aspects of Debby was long term flooding that developed across southeast Madison county. In these areas, high ground water levels combined with the slow movement of water towards southeast parts of the county caused new areas of flooding as the water was moving into areas that already had been affected by extremely heavy rains. Additionally, higher water levels caused water to come up from scattered sinkholes in portions of the county inducing new flooded areas. Riverine flooding, though within the minor flood category on portions of the Middle and Lower Suwannee River, persisted for up to 3 weeks, inundating or isolating residential areas immediately adjacent to the river from near Branford, FL southward to Manatee Springs, FL. 

Figure 11. Debby about one to two hours after landfall as flooding rains overspread the region
Figure 12. Widespread down trees caused several road closes and incidents during landfall. Many segments of I-10 between Tallahassee and Lake City were closed due to fallen trees blocking interstate traffic.

 

Storm Photos

Various photos from around the forecast area due to Debby. These photos do not encompass all of the impacts and damages from Debby.

Figure 13. Extensive flooding in Madison County well after landfall Figure 14. Extensive flooding in Madison County well after landfall) Figure 15. Extensive flooding in Madison County well after landfall
 
Figure 16. Tree Damage in Jefferson County Figure 17. Tree Damage in Jefferson County  

Photo Credits: Madison County Emergency Management and Jefferson County Sheriff's Office

 

A more thorough survey of Debby's forecast history and impacts across a broader region will be available by viewing the National Hurricane Center's Tropical Cyclone Report. These are typically completed several months after a storm has made landfall. It will be available at this link when it's completed.