National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
How Dry Is It?
Abnormally Dry Conditions
At times, below normal precipitation will lead to a lack of ground water and worsening drought conditions in Arkansas. Check out the latest conditions below.
 
Monitoring Drought in Arkansas
 
Drought Status
 
There were no drought conditions across Arkansas on 01/28/2025.

There was no drought across Arkansas to end January. Next Page Update: March 1, 2025

 
Drought Conditions (Percent Area)
Category Coverage
None 97.20%
D0-D4 2.80%
D1-D4 0%
D2-D4 0%
D3-D4 0%
D4 0%
In the picture: There were no drought conditions across Arkansas on 01/28/2025.
 
 
Drought conditions as of 01/28/2025.
In the picture: Drought conditions as of 01/28/2025.
 

Across the country, the worst drought conditions (at least D3) were in the Desert Southwest, Rockies, parts of the Plains, Tennessee Valley, and the Northeast.

 

Precipitation across Arkansas in January, 2025.
In the picture: Precipitation across Arkansas in January, 2025.
 

Here at home in January, the month was drier than usual until a big rain event during the final days. In the end, precipitation totals were at/above average in northern, western, and central Arkansas. Amounts were below average in the far northwest, and from south central into east central sections of the state.

 

Precipitation in January, 2025
Site Amount Normal +/- % of Normal
Fayetteville (NW AR) 1.77 2.75 -0.98 64%
Harrison (NC AR) 2.78 2.67 +0.11 104%
Jonesboro (NE AR) 5.43 3.52 +1.91 154%
Fort Smith (WC AR) 2.93 2.91 +0.02 101%
Little Rock (C AR) 3.53 3.50 +0.03 101%
West Memphis (EC AR) 2.89 3.82 -0.93 76%
Texarkana (SW AR) 3.96 3.64 +0.32 109%
El Dorado (SC AR) 3.34 4.39 -1.05 76%
Pine Bluff (SE AR) 2.34 3.82 -1.48 61%

 

It was a very wet period from November 1, 2024 to January 31, 2025, especially in the northwest half of the state. There was a surplus of liquid by more than four inches at Fayetteville (Washington County), Fort Smith (Sebastian County), Harrison (Boone County), and Texarkana (Miller County). Conditions were not so wet farther south/east. In this part of the state, while precipitation was close to normal at many locations, it was subpar by more than two inches in a few spots. Overall, soil moisture/ground water was in good shape across the region.

 

Precipitation (November 1, 2024 to January 31, 2025)
Site Amount Normal +/- % of Normal
Fayetteville (NW AR) 14.00 9.50 +4.50 147%
Harrison (NC AR) 21.15 9.57 +11.58 221%
Jonesboro (NE AR) 14.25 12.37 +1.88 115%
Fort Smith (WC AR) 18.38 10.24 +8.14 179%
Little Rock (C AR) 13.46 13.30 +0.16 101%
West Memphis (EC AR) 12.68 13.20 -0.52 96%
Texarkana (SW AR) 16.93 12.23 +4.70 138%
El Dorado (SC AR) 13.94 13.83 +0.11 101%
Pine Bluff (SE AR) 12.20 13.09 -0.89 93%

 

Drought outlook through April, 2025.
In the pictures: Drought outlook through April, 2025.
 

Looking ahead, a weak La Niña (cooler than normal water temperatures in the Pacific Ocean) will continue through the winter/early spring. Given this, there is a wet signal from the Great Lakes through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys into Arkansas during this time frame. A dry signal is found along the Gulf Coast, and this is where drought is favored to develop/persist. We will monitor the situation closely.

 

Precipitation Trends
 
Departure from Normal Precipitation for Latest Month (click "Precipitation Estimate" for rainfall legend)
Departure from Normal Precipitation for Year (click "Precipitation Estimate" for rainfall legend)

 

Streamflow and Soil Moisture
 
Most recent streamflow (values in the 25th to 75th percentile are normal)
Most recent soil moisture (values between 30 and 70 percent are normal)

 

Fire Danger

 

The Forecast