Winter Weather Update

563
FLUS43 KJKL 061910
HWOJKL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
310 PM EDT Sun Apr 6 2025

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-104-106>109-111-112-
114-116-071915-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Breathitt-Owsley-Clay-
310 PM EDT Sun Apr 6 2025

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Sub-freezing temperatures are forecast for Monday night into Tuesday
morning, and again Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

Thunderstorms are possible Thursday morning through Thursday
evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

KYZ087-088-110-113-115-117>120-071915-
Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
310 PM EDT Sun Apr 6 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Temperatures are forecast to fall briefly below freezing Monday
night into Tuesday morning, with a longer duration of sub-freezing
temperatures Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

Thunderstorms are possible Thursday morning through Thursday
evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

CMC

705
FXUS63 KJKL 061913
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
313 PM EDT Sun Apr 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Light rain and drizzle will impact eastern Kentucky through
this evening before tapering off overnight.

- A much colder air mass arrives behind a cold frontal passage
this evening, and lingers until mid-week.

- Near-freezing and/or sub-freezing temperatures are forecast for
most places Monday night and Tuesday night. A Freeze Watch has
been issued for Monday night where there is high confidence that
temperatures will fall below 30 degrees for two or more hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 313 PM EDT SUN APR 6 2025

A cold front over far southeastern Kentucky will exit to the east
and southeast this evening. Meanwhile, a southern stream trough
that has moved little over the last several days and brought
several days of heavy rain to most of Kentucky will finally move
east across the Southeast U.S. by Monday evening, with eastern
Kentucky coming under the influence of cyclonic northwesterly flow
aloft to the south of a large upper low over the Great Lakes
region Monday night.

There is not much change to the current short-term forecast, with
light rain and drizzle tapering off overnight, but low ceilings
not improving until midday Monday at the earliest as a cold front
approaches from the north. A brief round of showers is looking
increasingly likely as the cold front passes, but the big story
will be the reinforcing shot of cold air that will help bring
widespread frost and sub-freezing temperatures to the region
Monday night into Tuesday morning. A Freeze Watch is in effect
for all but far southeast Kentucky, where forecast lows are sub-
freezing currently but do not currently meet the technical
threshold of 2 or more hours below 30 degrees. How low
temperatures fall in the far southeast counties will be dependent
on how quickly cloud cover decreases through the early morning
hours Tuesday morning.


.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 313 PM EDT SUN APR 6 2025

Chilly and dry conditions are expected Tuesday through Wednesday
morning with surface high pressure in place, with widespread sub-
freezing temperatures in the 20s likely warranting another Freeze
Warning for the entirety of eastern and southeastern Kentucky.

Warm advection returns Wednesday ahead of a shortwave passing the
area Thursday bringing the next chance of rain. This is followed
by a shortwave that amplifies and digs south-southeast from the
center of the country to the northeastern Gulf of America by
Friday, and likely bringing another round of unsettled weather
and cooler conditions. Temperatures then gradually warm Saturday
through the remainder of the weekend as precipitation chances end
with the upper trough/low exiting to the east.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 129 PM EDT SUN APR 6 2025

Generally IFR or lower conditions are expected through the TAF
period, with the possible exception of the tail end of the period
(~16z Monday or later) when conditions may improve to MVFR or VFR
conditions at KSYM and KSME. Areas of broken stratiform rain and
drizzle are generally expected through about 06z, with weather
trending dry thereafter despite low cigs continuing. Winds will
initially be north to northeast through 12z Monday, but will
begin to bend to northwesterly by the end of the TAF period Monday
afternoon as a cold front begins to approach from the north-
northwest. Wind speeds will generally be less than 10 kts.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Watch from late Monday night through Tuesday morning for
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-104-106>109-111-
112-114-116.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CMC
LONG TERM...CMC
AVIATION...CMC