Excessive Rainfall Possible for the Gulf Coast and Florida; October Heat Wave in California

A slow moving front will be the focus area for heavy to excessive rainfall and a threat for flash/urban flooding across parts of the Gulf Coast into central/northern Florida early this week. Abnormally hot, potentially record-breaking, temperatures will continue for southern California and stretch north toward the Bay Area and Central Valley this week. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Mon, Oct 5, 2026 at 1:30:18 am EDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

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Coastal Flood Statement

New Week Outlook

Coastal Flood Statement

Tropical Weather Outlook

🌤️ 7-Day Outlook for the Florida Keys: Near to slightly above normal rain chances are expected this week, with daily rain chances between 10% and 40%. Temperatures will remain warm, with highs mostly in the upper 80s and lows near 80°. Overall, much drier than the very wet weather pattern last week!

A Coastal Flood Statement remains in effect for all of the Florida Keys through Monday morning. Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and lots is likely around the times of higher high tide. Some storm drains will overflow, and some seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters should expect less clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost certain to contain a mix of saltwater. For more information on coastal flooding in the Florida Keys, refer to weather.gov/key/coastal_flooding.

An area of low pressure is likely to form around the middle of the week over the southwestern Gulf of America. Although environmental conditions are only expected to be marginally conducive, some slow development is possible and a tropical depression could form late this week while the system drifts northward. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Excessive Rainfall Possible for the Gulf Coast and Florida; October Heat Wave in California

NWS Key West