Hurricane and Storm Surge Watches Issued for the Northern Gulf Coast for Strengthening Tropical Storm Isaias

Tropical Storm Isaias is forecast to track toward the central Gulf Coast while strengthening into a hurricane on Thursday. There is an increasing risk of damaging hurricane-force winds and life-threatening storm surge impacts along portions of the northern Gulf Coast Friday into Saturday. Isaias will bring heavy rainfall to the central Gulf Coast and much of the Southeast Friday into the weekend. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Wed, Oct 7, 2026 at 1:48:32 pm EDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

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National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area, FL

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Tropical Storm Warning

Coastal Flood Statement

Short Term Forecast

Wetter and Breezier Pattern Incoming

Coastal Flood Statement

Tropical Storm Isaias

Island Chain

Marine Winds

Wave Heights

Tropical Storm Isaias in the SW Gulf poses no threat to the Florida Keys. A stalled frontal boundary across central Florida this morning will lead to increasing moisture leading to an uptick in rain and thunder chances over the next several days. Light to gentle, mainly S breezes will freshen late this week and over the holiday weekend to moderate to fresh E-SE breezes.

A Coastal Flood Statement remains in effect for all of the Florida Keys through Thursday evening. Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and lots is likely around the times of higher high tide. Some storm drains will overflow, and some seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters should expect less clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost certain to contain a mix of saltwater. For more information on coastal flooding in the Florida Keys, refer to weather.gov/key/coastal_flooding.

Tropical Storm Isaias does not pose a threat to the Florida Keys. Advisory 4. the center of Tropical Storm Isaias was located near latitude 22.4 North, longitude 93.6 West. Isaias is moving toward the east-northeast near 8 mph. A continued east-northeastward motion is expected today, followed by a turn toward the northeast and north on Thursday and Friday. On the forecast track, Isaias is expected to pass to the north of the Yucatan Peninsula on Thursday and approach the U.S. Northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast over the next day or two, and Isaias is expected to become a Hurricane by Thursday.

TODAY: Partly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. South to southwest winds near 5 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

TODAY: Light to gentle S-SW breezes, becoming SW. Seas: Bay/Gulfside ~1 ft; Hawk Channel ~1 ft; FL Straits ~1 ft; SE Gulf ~1 ft. Bay / nearshore waters smooth to a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms, except for SE Gulf- showers likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms.