American Samoa's Tropical Cyclone Outlook 2026-27

Above-Normal Tropical Cyclone (TC) Activity anticipated for American Samoa in the 2026-26 TC Season Read More >

587
FXZS60 NSTU 300140
AFDPPG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pago Pago AS
240 PM SST Thu Oct 29 2026

.DISCUSSION...
Model data continues to show a high pressure system to the
southeast exiting the region further east, as winds decrease to a
gentle east flow. Models also show another high pressure system to
the southwest migrating east. As this scenario comes to play,
winds will build again and peak to a strong southeast breeze by
the new week. for the rest of the week, fair weather patterns will
remain with a gentle breeze for this time. These conditions are
further supported by the stable atmospheric profile shown on the
latest upper air sounding (30/00Z).

By Saturday night into the new week, the latter aforementioned
high pressure will move south of the area as it produces fresh to
strong trades. This high pressure system will also continue to
hold a trough to the north and west of the area throughout the
long term forecast period. Thus, expect scattered to numerous
showers with fresh to strong breeze to dominate weather patterns
for the new week.

&&

.Marine...
Seas continue to subside to favorable conditions and remain
through at least Saturday night. By Sunday, model data show seas
building and peaking at the end of the period (Tuesday) as winds
increase to a strong breeze. The threat of hazardous seas and
high surfs, and the risk of rip currents remains low. Thus, the
advisory for small crafts is now cancelled.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Small Craft Advisory Cancelled

&&

$$

JTAllen