...NOVEMBER 2015 MID-SOUTH CLIMATE SUMMARY...
November was warm and wet around the Mid-South. Enough so that the month went down as one of the top 10 warmest Novembers on record for three of the four sites, and as one of the top 10 wettest Novembers on record for two sites.
Memphis was only 0.2 degrees warmer than Tupelo in November, with an average temperature that was 4.6 degrees warmer than normal. With only one month left to complete the year 2015, Memphis is 0.8 degrees warmer than normal for the year to date. Additionally, Memphis recorded the warmest temperature of the four sites this month with 81.0 degrees. Tupelo had an average temperature that was 4.7 degrees warmer than normal, and currently sits right at average for 2015 to date. Likewise, Jackson also had a 4.7 degree warmer than normal departure for the month, and is also right at average for the year to date. Jackson recorded the coolest temperature of the four sites this month with 21.0 degrees. Jonesboro had an average temperature that was 3.2 degrees warmer than the normal, while being the only site still cooler than normal for the year to date at 1.2 degrees below normal.
A couple of storm systems brought heavy rainfall to much of the region throughout the month. Jonesboro led the other sites, receiving just over 12.00 inches of rain, a 7.32 inch departure above normal. For the year to date Jonesboro is nearly 15.00 inches above normal, which already secures a wetter than normal 2015, with a month of the year remaining. Likewise, Tupelo has already received enough precipitation in eleven months to make for a wetter than normal year, having already received over 63.00 inches for the year to date! Further, Tupelo’s current precipitation total for the year to date is enough to place the entire year within the top 20 wettest years at Tupelo. However, Tupelo was the driest site for November, though it was not really that dry at all, picking up 1.63 inches of precipitation above the normal. Memphis received just over 10.00 inches of rain in November, 4.67 inches above the monthly normal. For 2015 to date Memphis is only 0.05 inches below normal. Finally, Jackson received 2.62 inches of precipitation above normal for November, and is still 4.85 inches drier than normal for the year to date.
The climate data for November are as follows:
TEMPERATURE DATA:
Memphis Jackson Jonesboro Tupelo
Average Temperature (MONTH) : 57.8 54.8 52.8 57.6
Normal Avg. Temp (MONTH) : 53.2 50.1 49.6 52.9
Departure from Normal (MONTH): 4.6 4.7 3.2 4.7
Average Temperature (YEAR) : 65.0 61.5 60.6 64.1
Normal Avg. Temp (YEAR) : 64.2 61.5 61.8 64.1
Departure from Normal (YEAR) : 0.8 0.0 -1.2 0.0
Maximum Temperature : 81.0 79.0 74.0 80.0
Minimum Temperature : 28.0 21.0 27.0 24.0
PRECIPITATION DATA:
Memphis Jackson Jonesboro Tupelo
Total Precipitation (MONTH) : 10.16 7.52 12.22 6.33
Normal Precipitation (MONTH) : 5.49 4.90 4.90 4.70
Departure from Normal (MONTH): 4.67 2.62 7.32 1.63
Total Precipitation (YEAR) : 47.89 43.07 58.16 63.40
Normal Precipitation (YEAR) : 47.94 47.92 43.33 48.73
Departure from Normal (YEAR) : -0.05 -4.85 14.83 14.67
Percent of Normal : 100% 90% 134% 130%
Notables:
MEMPHIS- 4th Warmest November
8th Wettest November
JACKSON- 5th Warmest November
JONESBORO- 7th Wettest Month
2nd Wettest November
TUPELO- 4th Warmest November
Fall 2015 Review:
November concluded meteorological fall, which encompasses the months of September, October, and November. As evident by the data which follow, this fall was warmer than normal. In fact, it was warm enough at Memphis to secure the fifth warmest fall season on record, while being the tenth warmest fall season on record at Tupelo.
Memphis had the warmest average temperature this fall and had the greatest departure above normal with 67.2 degrees and 3.0 degrees, respectively. Tupelo had an average temperature of 65.5 degrees and was 2.2 degrees warmer than normal. Jackson had an average temperature that was only 2.0 degrees warmer than normal for fall, while Jonesboro finished the season 1.3 degrees warmer than normal.
Jonesboro was excessively wet this fall, receiving 5.85 inches of precipitation above normal. Memphis was the only other site to have an above normal precipitation total, with a departure of 1.36 inches above normal. Jackson and Tupelo both had drier than normal precipitation totals with departures below normal of 0.44 inches and 1.43 inches, respectively.
TEMPERATURE DATA:
Memphis Jackson Jonesboro Tupelo
Average Temperature(Fall 2015) : 67.2 62.7 62.2 65.5
Normal Avg. Temp (Fall) : 64.2 60.7 60.9 63.3
Departure from Normal(Fall 2015): 3.0 2.0 1.3 2.2
PRECIPITATION DATA:
Memphis Jackson Jonesboro Tupelo
Total Precipitation(Fall 2015) : 13.92 11.61 18.07 10.83
Normal Precipitation (Fall) : 12.56 12.05 12.22 12.26
Departure from Normal(Fall 2015): 1.36 -0.44 5.85 -1.43
Notables:
MEMPHIS- 5th Warmest Fall
TUPELO- 10th Warmest Fall
Climate Outlook:
Having now entered meteorological winter, many begin to speculate about the cool season and what it may hold in store for the region. A strong El Nino will play a large role in our winter climate, with El Nino having its greatest influence on climate during the cool season. The current El Nino is one of the strongest on record, which allows us to look back at similar seasons to see what the outcome was and what we may anticipate for this season.
The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has predicted well enhanced odds for warmer than normal temperatures for the month of December. For December precipitation the outlook is for enhanced odds of above normal precipitation for the southern half of the region, with equal chances of above, near, or below normal precipitation amounts for the northern half of the region. For the three month period encompassing meteorological winter- December, January, and February- collectively the prediction is for equal chances of above, near, or below normal temperatures and precipitation.
MAYE
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