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Guide to decoding the forecast below.

636
FNUS81 KBGM 171931
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,240718,13,1,79,43,3,1,NW,09,,82,58,100,42,3,0,N
FCST,301011,240719,13,1,78,45,1,1,NW,03,,81,52,100,41,0,0,N
FCST,301011,240720,13,1,83,41,1,1,W,04,,85,56,96,39,0,0,N
FCST,301011,240721,13,1,83,44,1,1,NW,04,,86,58,93,39,0,0,N
FCST,301011,240722,13,1,84,45,1,2,W,03,,86,60,96,41,0,0,N
FCST,301011,240723,13,2,83,55,2,3,S,04,,87,62,97,40,0,0,N
FCST,301011,240724,13,2,82,59,3,1,SSW,04,,86,64,100,51,0,0,N
FCST,300171,240718,13,1,74,52,3,1,NW,10,,78,58,100,51,4,0,N
FCST,300171,240719,13,1,74,51,1,1,NW,05,,76,52,100,50,0,0,N
FCST,300171,240720,13,1,78,46,1,1,W,05,,80,54,96,45,0,0,N
FCST,300171,240721,13,1,78,51,1,2,WNW,05,,82,57,93,44,0,0,N
FCST,300171,240722,13,1,79,49,2,2,W,03,,81,56,100,45,0,0,N
FCST,300171,240723,13,2,79,57,2,3,S,03,,81,60,93,45,0,0,N
FCST,300171,240724,13,2,79,62,3,1,SSW,04,,82,63,100,54,0,0,N
FCST,361802,240718,13,1,83,47,4,3,NNW,05,,91,65,100,46,5,0,N
FCST,361802,240719,13,0,81,45,1,1,NW,02,,85,54,100,40,0,0,N
FCST,361802,240720,13,2,83,49,1,1,SW,04,,85,59,90,40,0,0,N
FCST,361802,240721,13,1,85,45,1,1,WNW,03,,87,63,100,43,0,0,N
FCST,361802,240722,13,1,86,48,1,2,SSW,03,,88,62,97,43,0,0,N
FCST,361802,240723,13,2,81,65,2,3,SSE,03,,89,65,100,45,0,0,N
FCST,361802,240724,13,2,81,71,3,1,S,03,,84,65,100,61,0,0,N
FCST,360791,240718,13,1,77,50,4,1,NW,09,,81,60,100,48,4,0,N
FCST,360791,240719,13,0,74,52,1,1,NW,04,,79,53,96,47,0,0,N
FCST,360791,240720,13,2,78,55,1,1,SW,05,,80,58,86,47,0,0,N
FCST,360791,240721,13,1,80,50,1,1,WNW,04,,81,60,97,49,0,0,N
FCST,360791,240722,13,1,81,53,1,2,SW,03,,82,60,93,47,0,0,N
FCST,360791,240723,13,2,77,70,2,3,SSE,04,,83,63,97,51,0,0,N
FCST,360791,240724,13,2,76,76,3,1,S,05,,79,64,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,360792,240718,13,1,81,47,4,1,NNW,06,,87,62,100,43,4,0,N
FCST,360792,240719,13,0,79,49,1,1,NW,02,,85,55,96,41,0,0,N
FCST,360792,240720,13,2,82,54,1,1,SW,04,,85,59,87,40,0,0,N
FCST,360792,240721,13,1,84,47,1,1,WNW,03,,88,61,97,42,0,0,N
FCST,360792,240722,13,1,85,48,1,2,SW,02,,89,61,90,41,0,0,N
FCST,360792,240723,13,2,81,65,2,3,SSE,03,,90,64,97,42,0,0,N
FCST,360792,240724,13,2,81,69,3,1,SSW,03,,86,65,100,57,0,0,N
FCST,360151,240718,13,1,79,50,3,1,NNW,06,,82,61,100,49,5,0,N
FCST,360151,240719,13,1,77,53,1,1,NW,03,,80,54,100,45,0,0,N
FCST,360151,240720,13,2,80,56,1,1,WSW,04,,81,58,93,47,0,0,N
FCST,360151,240721,13,1,83,49,1,1,NW,03,,84,60,100,48,0,0,N
FCST,360151,240722,13,1,84,51,1,2,W,03,,85,61,100,46,0,0,N
FCST,360151,240723,13,2,81,67,2,3,S,03,,86,64,97,48,0,0,N
FCST,360151,240724,13,2,81,70,3,1,SSW,04,,83,65,100,63,0,0,N
FCST,361031,240718,13,1,81,48,4,2,NNW,05,,89,63,100,46,4,0,N
FCST,361031,240719,13,0,79,47,1,1,NW,03,,83,54,96,43,0,0,N
FCST,361031,240720,13,2,81,55,1,1,SW,05,,83,58,93,41,0,0,N
FCST,361031,240721,13,1,84,49,1,1,WNW,03,,84,61,100,48,0,0,N
FCST,361031,240722,13,1,84,52,1,2,SSW,03,,85,61,97,46,0,0,N
FCST,361031,240723,13,2,80,69,2,3,SSE,03,,86,63,100,48,0,0,N
FCST,361031,240724,13,2,79,76,3,1,S,04,,81,64,100,65,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240718,13,1,73,55,3,1,NW,10,,79,58,100,55,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240719,13,1,74,54,1,1,NW,05,,74,54,96,53,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240720,13,1,79,48,1,1,W,05,,79,57,93,47,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240721,13,1,78,56,1,2,NNW,06,,80,60,90,47,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240722,13,1,79,54,2,2,NW,05,,79,60,93,54,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240723,13,2,79,62,2,3,SSW,05,,80,62,93,54,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240724,13,2,78,70,3,1,SSW,06,,80,64,97,60,0,0,N

 
    
                        

338

FNUS51 KBGM 171931

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

330 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024



.SYNOPSIS...

Cold front pushes through the area this afternoon and evening

with another round of showers and thunderstorms. A few storms

may become severe, with damaging wind gusts. An extended period

of fair weather is expected starting Thursday and lasting into

the weekend.





NYZ210-180800-

Leatherstocking-

330 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024



                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear

Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         None

Chance Precip (%)     70           0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      57 (-8)      76 (-4)      51           78

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      43 (-12)     100          41

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               NW 4-8                    Lgt/Var

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  Lgt/Var      NW 9-13      NW 4-8       NW 3-7

Precip Amount         0.18         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration       2

Precip Begin          6 PM

Precip End            1 AM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5740                      6170

Transport Wnd (mph)                W 17                      NW 10

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  116010                    73920

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     11                        13

LAL                   9-15 strikes No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          3            3            4            3

ADI early             15 Gen Poor  66 Good      55 Gen Good  45 Gen Good

ADI late              5 Very Poor  89 Good      4 Very Poor  66 Good

Max LVORI early       9            8            5            6

Max LVORI late        9            1            9            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower

80s. South winds around 5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.

Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.

Northeast winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

North winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

Northeast winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-180800-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

330 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024



                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear

Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         None

Chance Precip (%)     70           0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      58 (-8)      79 (-3)      52           80

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      43 (-10)     100          45

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               NW 3-7                    Lgt/Var

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  Lgt/Var      NW 6-10      N 4-8        Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.16         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration       2

Precip Begin          6 PM

Precip End            12 AM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             6660                      6880

Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 13                     NW  8

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  82300                     60510

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     10                        13

LAL                   9-15 strikes No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          3            3            4            4

ADI early             14 Gen Poor  57 Gen Good  58 Gen Good  39 Fair

ADI late              4 Very Poor  89 Good      4 Very Poor  62 Good

Max LVORI early       9            8            5            6

Max LVORI late        9            1            8            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the

lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the

lower 80s. West winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

East winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-180800-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

330 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024



                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear

Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         None

Chance Precip (%)     70           0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      61 (-7)      83 (-1)      53           82

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      40 (-5)      100          37

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               N 3-7                     Lgt/Var

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  Lgt/Var      NW 5-9       N 3-7        Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.26         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration       2

Precip Begin          6 PM

Precip End            1 AM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             6770                      6870

Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 12                     NW  8

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  76310                     51470

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     10                        13

LAL                   9-15 strikes No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          3            3            4            4

ADI early             15 Gen Poor  50 Gen Good  52 Gen Good  34 Fair

ADI late              5 Very Poor  81 Good      5 Very Poor  61 Good

Max LVORI early       7            8            4            6

Max LVORI late        9            1            7            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the

lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid

80s. Light winds.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light

winds.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East

winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-180800-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

330 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024



                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear

Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         None

Chance Precip (%)     80           0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      60 (-6)      80 (-4)      52           80

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      40 (-10)     100          40

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               NW 4-8                    Lgt/Var

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  Lgt/Var      NW 6-10      NW 3-7       Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.28         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration       3

Precip Begin          6 PM

Precip End            2 AM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             6460                      7250

Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 13                     NW  8

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  83740                     56740

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     11                        13

LAL                   16-25 strikesNo tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          3            4            4            4

ADI early             15 Gen Poor  59 Gen Good  59 Gen Good  39 Fair

ADI late              6 Very Poor  91 Good      5 Very Poor  71 Good

Max LVORI early       8            8            4            6

Max LVORI late        9            1            8            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the

lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the

lower 80s. West winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s. North winds

around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. East winds

around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. Chance of

precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.



$$

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather

Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.