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Guide to decoding the forecast below.

099
FNUS81 KBGM 221002
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,241122,13,6,38,91,1,1,NNW,11,,46,31,100,65,14,8,N
FCST,301011,241123,13,2,43,77,1,1,WNW,12,,44,32,100,73,4,0,N
FCST,301011,241124,13,2,44,66,1,1,WNW,10,,46,35,96,65,0,0,N
FCST,301011,241125,13,2,48,67,1,1,SSW,08,,50,30,100,60,0,0,N
FCST,301011,241126,13,2,45,60,1,1,W,12,,52,39,100,58,0,0,N
FCST,301011,241127,13,2,39,56,1,1,WNW,08,,47,29,85,54,0,0,N
FCST,301011,241128,13,2,36,67,1,1,SSE,06,,42,26,96,52,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241122,13,3,36,90,1,1,NE,12,,39,30,100,85,16,5,N
FCST,300171,241123,13,2,37,90,1,1,WNW,13,,38,26,100,82,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241124,13,2,38,80,1,1,WNW,12,,40,33,100,79,10,0,N
FCST,300171,241125,13,2,43,72,1,1,SW,05,,45,27,100,70,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241126,13,2,43,69,1,1,W,13,,46,36,100,67,9,7,N
FCST,300171,241127,13,2,36,62,1,1,WNW,10,,45,27,88,61,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241128,13,2,34,66,1,1,NW,06,,38,25,92,59,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241122,13,6,36,93,1,1,SSW,05,,46,31,100,83,15,8,N
FCST,361802,241123,13,2,43,71,1,1,NW,11,,44,30,100,68,5,0,N
FCST,361802,241124,13,1,47,62,1,1,WNW,09,,49,35,96,60,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241125,13,1,50,63,1,1,WSW,03,,52,28,100,58,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241126,13,1,52,61,1,1,WNW,08,,54,37,100,59,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241127,13,1,43,50,1,1,WNW,06,,54,29,85,49,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241128,13,2,39,65,1,1,NNE,04,,45,27,92,47,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241122,13,7,33,94,1,1,W,10,,38,28,100,92,16,8,N
FCST,360791,241123,13,2,38,83,1,1,WNW,18,,40,28,100,79,4,0,N
FCST,360791,241124,13,2,41,75,1,1,WNW,13,,42,34,100,73,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241125,13,2,45,73,1,1,SW,05,,45,29,100,70,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241126,13,2,46,67,1,1,W,14,,48,38,100,65,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241127,13,2,37,59,1,1,WNW,10,,47,27,85,57,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241128,13,2,35,70,1,1,NE,06,,39,27,88,56,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241122,13,6,35,91,1,1,WSW,08,,44,29,100,79,16,8,N
FCST,360792,241123,13,2,43,73,1,1,WNW,13,,45,28,100,70,4,0,N
FCST,360792,241124,13,2,45,71,1,1,WNW,10,,48,35,92,65,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241125,13,2,48,69,1,1,SW,04,,51,30,100,63,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241126,13,2,50,63,1,1,W,11,,53,39,100,59,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241127,13,2,41,56,1,1,WNW,08,,53,28,85,51,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241128,13,2,38,68,1,1,NE,05,,45,28,92,49,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241122,13,3,36,92,1,1,NW,06,,43,32,100,79,15,8,N
FCST,360151,241123,13,2,43,75,1,1,WNW,11,,44,31,100,73,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241124,13,2,46,67,1,1,WNW,09,,46,35,100,65,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241125,13,2,48,70,1,1,SW,05,,49,29,100,65,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241126,13,2,48,60,1,1,W,10,,50,38,100,58,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241127,13,2,40,57,1,1,WNW,06,,49,28,88,55,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241128,13,2,37,70,1,1,E,04,,42,27,92,52,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241122,13,6,36,90,1,1,SW,06,,43,31,100,82,15,8,N
FCST,361031,241123,13,2,42,74,1,1,WNW,14,,43,29,100,70,5,0,N
FCST,361031,241124,13,2,46,65,1,1,WNW,11,,47,34,100,60,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241125,13,1,49,64,1,1,WSW,05,,50,27,100,60,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241126,13,2,51,61,1,1,WNW,11,,52,37,100,61,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241127,13,1,42,52,1,1,WNW,08,,51,27,88,50,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241128,13,2,38,68,1,1,NNE,06,,43,26,96,49,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241122,13,3,36,95,1,1,N,13,,40,31,100,85,14,8,N
FCST,300971,241123,13,2,41,84,1,1,WNW,14,,41,32,100,82,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241124,13,2,40,77,1,1,WNW,14,,41,36,100,73,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241125,13,2,45,76,1,1,SSW,10,,46,32,100,73,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241126,13,2,42,69,1,1,W,17,,47,40,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241127,13,2,36,65,1,1,WNW,12,,43,30,85,64,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241128,13,2,33,77,1,1,SSW,09,,37,29,88,61,0,0,N

 
    
                        

326

FNUS51 KBGM 221001

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

500 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024



.SYNOPSIS...

A strong low pressure system over the region today will move

offshore this weekend. Steady rain and snow this morning will

become more showery as a result. A cold frontal boundary then

brings an additional chance of rain and snow showers early next

week.





NYZ210-222100-

Leatherstocking-

500 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024



                      Today        Tonight      Sat



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           Snow/Rain    Showers      Showers

Chance Precip (%)     90           30           50

Temp (24h trend)      39 (-2)      27 (-4)      41

RH % (24h trend)      70 (+13)     100 (0)      73

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  N 9-13                    NW 8-12 G18

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  NE 8-12      NE 6-10      NW 12-16

Precip Amount         0.27         0.03         0.05

Precip Duration       8            2            2

Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing

Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2090                      2420

Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 18                     NW 22

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     67130                     77280

DSI                   1            1            1

Sunshine Hours        1                         2

LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          3            3            3

ADI early             30 Fair      17 Gen Poor  37 Fair

ADI late              31 Fair      9 Poor       42 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       5            6            7

Max LVORI late        4            8            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain and snow

showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs around 40. West winds 10 to

15 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers. Lows in

the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. South winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Rain showers and a chance of snow showers. Lows in the

upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation

90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers and a slight

chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper

30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. West winds around

10 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of snow and rain

showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. North winds

around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-222100-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

500 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024



                      Today        Tonight      Sat



Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           Snow         Showers      Showers

Chance Precip (%)     100          30           40

Temp (24h trend)      38 (-3)      29 (-2)      43

RH % (24h trend)      82 (+18)     100 (0)      70

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  NW 9-13 G19               NW 8-12 G18

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  N 5-9        N 7-11       NW 11-15

Precip Amount         0.43         0.03         0.02

Precip Duration       9            1            2

Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing

Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1550                      2820

Transport Wnd (mph)   N 16                      NW 23

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     37680                     74210

DSI                   1            1            2

Sunshine Hours        1                         2

LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          3            3            3

ADI early             28 Fair      15 Gen Poor  47 Gen Good

ADI late              25 Fair      13 Gen Poor  49 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       5            5            5

Max LVORI late        5            6            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain showers.

Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds around

10 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the

upper 40s. South winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the upper

30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of showers 70 percent.

Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around

40. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain and

snow showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. East

winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-222100-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

500 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024



                      Today        Tonight      Sat



Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           Snow         Showers      Showers

Chance Precip (%)     100          30           20

Temp (24h trend)      37 (-4)      29 (-2)      44

RH % (24h trend)      79 (+15)     100 (0)      68

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  W 9-13 G19                NW 9-13 G21

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  W 5-9        N 5-9        NW 11-15 G21

Precip Amount         0.44         0.04         0.01

Precip Duration       10           1            1

Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing

Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   5 PM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1550                      3260

Transport Wnd (mph)   W 14                      NW 24

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     26730                     86460

DSI                   1            1            2

Sunshine Hours        1                         3

LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          3            3            3

ADI early             25 Fair      12 Poor      52 Gen Good

ADI late              22 Fair      13 Gen Poor  55 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       5            6            6

Max LVORI late        5            6            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid

40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the

upper 40s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in

the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to

10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs

in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain and snow

showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. East

winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-222100-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

500 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024



                      Today        Tonight      Sat



Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           Snow         Snow Showers Showers

Chance Precip (%)     90           30           20

Temp (24h trend)      36 (-5)      28 (-3)      41

RH % (24h trend)      85 (+6)      100 (0)      65

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  W 7-11 G19                NW 10-14 G22

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  Lgt/Var      NE 4-8       NW 12-16

Precip Amount         0.46         0.04         0.01

Precip Duration       10           2            1

Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing

Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1420                      2500

Transport Wnd (mph)   W 14                      NW 28

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     25880                     89190

DSI                   1            1            1

Sunshine Hours                                  3

LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          3            3            3

ADI early             23 Fair      9 Poor       57 Gen Good

ADI late              20 Gen Poor  12 Poor      55 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       5            6            5

Max LVORI late        6            7            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers. Lows in

the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds around 10 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the

upper 40s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in

the upper 30s. Highs around 50. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs

around 40. West winds around 10 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain and snow

showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. North

winds around 5 mph.



$$

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather

Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.