As morning storms weaken and depart the region to the northeast, additional scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to redevelop along and south of the I-20 corridor during the afternoon hours. Large hail, damaging winds, a couple tornadoes, and flash flooding will all be possible with these storms. While activity in Central Texas will continue into the evening and early overnight hours, another area to watch will be near the dryline west of US-281. Here, there is a very low chance (10-20%) of a stray storm or two developing later Sunday evening. Should this happen, these storms will also pose the risk for all modes of severe weather. However, confidence in storm development in this area is low. Storms will begin to weaken into the overnight hours with the greatest severe risk ending before midnight.
Afternoon thunderstorms are expected both Tuesday and Wednesday this week with the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms. After a lull in activity on Thursday, low storm chances return to North Texas Friday before another system moves through the region next weekend. Temperatures will remain above average with highs in the 80s and lows in the mid and upper 60s.
The afternoon will start with isolated showers and storms generally east of the I-35 corridor. These storms are expected to remain sub-severe, though a storm or two could contain small hail and/or gusty winds. Later in the afternoon and into the evening, isolated storms may develop along and just east of a dryline extending from the Hill Country into West Oklahoma. Should storms develop, they will have the potential to be strong/severe with all modes of severe weather possible. The risk area for these storms will be along and west of the US-281 corridor. Storms that develop Monday afternoon/evening should dissipate within a few hours of sunset.
Don’t wait until the day of the storm to begin protecting yourself. If the forecast calls for severe weather, begin preparing NOW. Stay #WeatherReady. weather.gov/safety/tornado
Today is the 10-year anniversary of the intense, long-lived supercell that tracked roughly from Wichita Falls to Tyler, TX. The storm caused significant damage across the region, most notably in Wylie, where 80% of homes were impacted, resulting in over $300 million in damage. At the time, the storm set a new record for the largest hailstone in the WFO Fort Worth area with a 5.25" report from Wylie. This stone still ranks 3rd all-time, following a 5.9" stone in Sanger (2023) and a 5.67" stone in Salado (2022).
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