National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Mon, Oct 12, 2026 at 8:08:47 pm CDT

There are no watches, warnings, or advisories at this time.

An unusually warm and humid airmass will be in place across North and Central Texas through Wednesday this week. Temperatures will climb into the 90s both Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons. In conjunction with an increase in dew points, feels like temperatures will range from the mid-90s to around or just above 100 degrees each day. Precip chances will also increase throughout the week. Tuesday afternoon very isolated showers and storms (10-20%) will be possible across Central and Eastern Texas. By Wednesday, isolated thunderstorms (20-30% chance) will be possible across most of the region with the approach of our next storm system.
A cold front Thursday Night/Friday will bring reprieve from the hot and humid conditions expected this week. Temperatures will drop near or below normal with highs in the 70s/low-80s, and lows in the 50s. Unfortunately, precipitation chances continue to decrease this weekend, with most remaining dry despite the strong cold front. Showers and storms associated with this next system should remain near or west of the US-281 corridor Thursday into Friday.

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