National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat Wave and Severe Thunderstorms this Independence Day

A prolonged, dangerous heat wave will persist through the Independence Day weekend across the Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic. Numerous temperature records are expected. Clusters of severe thunderstorms will move across parts of the Allegheny Plateau into Mid Atlantic this Independence Day, with potential for widespread damaging winds. Additional severe thunderstorms in the Great Plains. Read More >

Click a location below for detailed forecast.

Last Map Update: Sat, Jul 4, 2026 at 11:44:35 am CDT

A typical hot July 4th is in store with highs ranging from the mid 90s to around 100. There is a slight chance of storms across the eastern zones, but most locations will remain dry. Remember to stay hydrated if you have outdoor plans!
An upper level disturbance will bring a chance of showers and storms Sunday and Monday. Severe weather is unlikely, but a few strong storms with gusty winds and frequent lightning may occur. Typical hot summer weather is otherwise expected with highs in the mid 90s to 100°.
Next week will bring typical July weather, with daytime highs ranging from the mid-90s to around 100 and overnight lows between 75 and 80. Heat index values are expected to approach 105 each afternoon, so please remember to stay hydrated and take precautions to protect yourself from the heat!
With near 100° high temperatures expected this Independence Day across North and Central Texas, here is a look at the last 40 years to see how this year compares to what's "normal". Should the forecast hold, we'll be looking at a hotter than normal Fourth of July! Fortunately, rain chances remain very low across the region, with only 10-20% chances for rain east of I-35 and north of US-84.
Stay weather-aware if you are spending time on the lake this weekend. Know the forecast in advance, have a way to receive weather information while boating, and if the weather looks threatening, come ashore!
Protect yourself, your family, and your friends from the heat and sun. Stay hydrated. If outside, make sure to take frequent breaks in the shade as often as possible. Never leave kids or pets unattended! Look before you Lock!

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