Drought Information
Click Here To View The Most Recent North and Central Texas Drought Information Statement
3/27/26 Update
Drought conditions across North and Central Texas have changed little over the past several weeks, despite the heavy rainfall event early this month that produced a record daily rainfall total at DFW on March 4th. While that event provided at least a temporary boost to soil moisture in a few locations, it was not enough to produce meaningful, widespread improvement in the broader drought picture. Severe to Extreme Drought (D2-D3) continues across much of Central Texas and parts of East Texas where the past 30 days have only yielded 25 to 50 percent of normal rainfall. Elsewhere, a continued lack of precipitation over the last two weeks, combined with a return to well above normal temperatures, has maintained Abnormally Dry to Moderate Drought (D0-D1) conditions across much of the remainder of the forecast area.
Looking ahead, there are still few clear signs of widespread drought removal through the heart of spring. Although La Niña is expected to fade with ENSO-neutral conditions favored in the coming months, The seasonal outlook continues to favor above normal temperatures across North and Central Texas with no strong precipitation signal leaning wet or dry. Given that this is climatologically the wettest part of the year, periodic rainfall may be enough to limit more rapid degradation in some areas, but it will likely take repeated and widespread soaking events to substantially improve ongoing drought. For now, the most likely scenario is for drought conditions to persist through the remainder of spring, with only localized or gradual improvement where rainfall is more consistent.
Current Drought Conditions
Fire Danger
With winter dormancy ongoing, any extended period without precipitation could reignite wildfire concerns. The days with the greatest potential for fire initiation and spread are those that are sunny and warm with low humidity and breezy winds. This potential will diminish with the onset of the spring growing season.
Even if a formal burn ban is not in effect for your area, it is still important to be vigilant about fire usage. Avoid open flames near dry vegetation, and assure all coals and embers are fully extinguished.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index is a drought statistic specifically designed to assess fire danger.
Drought Links
National Integrated Drought Information System
National Drought Mitigation Center
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