National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall in the Southwest; Scattered Severe Thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic

Heavy rainfall and the potential for flooding will continue through this evening in the Southwest, with particular concern for flooding over recent burn scars and higher terrain. Scattered severe thunderstorms containing the potential for damaging wind gusts and excessive rainfall are possible from the Mid-Atlantic to southern New England through tonight. Read More >

El Niño/La Niña Information
 


 

ENSO-Neutral conditions persist over most of the Pacific Ocean (82% chance through August). ENSO-neutral is still favored to continue into winter 2025-26, though the probability is lower (48% chance of Neutral and 41% chance of La Niña in November-January).

 

 

Weekly Update

The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) creates a weekly ENSO summary (with graphics), available in pdf or ppt formats.

 

Monthly Update - ENSO Diagnostic Discussion

This monthly summary from CPC is also available in pdf and Word formats.

 

ENSO Blog

This collaborative blog discusses the latest about El Niño and La Niña.

 


 

All About ENSO

 

  An Introduction to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation

The above link provides a basic overview of ENSO (El Niño/Southern Oscillation).  Various links to other summaries and tutorials are also provided.

 An Explanation of ENSO Indices

Descriptions of various ENSO indices are accompanied by an explanation of how the indices are used to detect/declare an El Niño or La Niña event.

Niño Regions

 Teleconnections

El Niño and La Niña primarily affect the weather during the cold season.  What effects does the ENSO phase have on North Texas?  Click the Teleconnections link to find out!

 


 

Current Data

 

Sea Surface Temperatures

 Current Conditions (from CPC)

Various observations, including sea surface temperature animations.

 Images of Current Data (from PSL)

 


 

Forecasts

 

IRI/CPC Model ENSO Predictions

 

 

CPC/IRI Probabilistic ENSO Forecast

 

 

 ENSO Forecasts (from PSL)

 ENSO Forecast (from IRI)

 


 

Quick Links

 

 Climate Prediction Center (CPC) - El Niño/La Niña Home

      Weekly ENSO Update (available in pdf or ppt)

      Monthly ENSO Diagnostic Discussion (available in pdf or Word)

 Climate.gov - ENSO Information

  Physical Sciences Laboratory (PSL) - ENSO Information

 Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (PMEL) - El Niño Theme Page

  International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) - ENSO Resources