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Latest PA Weather Summary:


682
AWUS81 KCTP 152252
RWSCTP
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-056>059-063>066-161300-

Regional Weather Summary
National Weather Service State College PA
552 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

Showers and a few thunderstorms will move across the region
tonight as a potent cold front approaches from the Ohio Valley.
Isolated strong to damaging wind gusts are possible in the
strongest storms, primarily west of US-219.

In the wake of the cold front, gusty west to northwest winds
between 35 and 45 mph will develop late tonight through Sunday.
Some gusts Sunday afternoon and evening could be around 50 mph.
Peak wind gusts will decrease by about 10 mph on Monday, but it
will still be quite windy.

Noticeably colder air will push into the region with lake effect
snow showers setting up oriented northwest to southeast Sunday
through Monday evening. Significant snowfall is possible in
northwest PA from persistent lake effect bands that could stay
over a given area for 6+ hours. Accumulating snow is most likely
along and north of I-80, but light snowfall is possible as far
southeast as the I-81 corridor.

$$


Latest Forecaster's Discussion:


290
FXUS61 KCTP 152256
AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
556 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
* Showers and a few thunderstorms this afternoon and evening; a
strong/severe storm possible along/west of US-219
* Windy and colder with lake effect snow bands Sunday into
Monday; snowy road conditions/hazardous travel possible
* Light rain/snow possible Tuesday followed by a slightly milder
trend through the middle of next week

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
Elevated convection associated with a warm front has produced a
few lightning strikes across northeastern zones, but has cleared
the CWA as of 545 PM. For the next couple hours we`ll likely see
a bit of a lull in the action, before the next round of
showers/thundershowers moves in from the northwest by 9pm-12am,
just ahead of the cold front. Winds a few thousand feet above
the ground will increase to the 45-50 knot range by the time the
cold front enters northwest PA, so there will be at least some
potential for the convection to mix a few strong to marginally
severe wind gusts down to the surface. By that time, the sfc
stable layer which has prevented stronger winds from mixing down
with earlier convection will have eroded across our western
zones. SPC has maintained the marginal risk for severe weather
over far western portions of the CWA to highlight this
potential. The threat for severe weather will decrease with
eastward extent as the line of storms encounters more of the
residual stable layer east of US-219.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/...
Much colder air will move into Central PA on Sunday behind the
departing cold front and will allow for lingering showers over
northwest PA to mix with and eventually change over to snow
during the morning. Lake effect snow becomes more likely
downwind of Lake Erie during the afternoon as colder air aloft
moves over the lakes and a Lake Huron connection develops
(perhaps even a connection back to Lake Superior). There is
still uncertainty regarding the placement of the heaviest snow
bands, but the low- level flow favors Warren and McKean counties
for the heaviest snowfall. Those areas may see as much as 3 to
6 inches of snow or more through Monday, with lesser amounts
expected as you move south and east. Much of the high res
guidance suggests the potential for lake effect bands/squalls to
reach as far south and east as I-80 and I-99 and even into the
Lower Susq Valley, which may lead to rapidly changing travel
conditions along those roadways.

A tight pressure gradient behind the departing system will also
support strong wind gusts over much of the area in the 30 to 45
mph range on Sunday. Confidence continues to increase in wind
gusts exceeding 45 mph over the Laurel Highlands and we have
issued a Wind Advisory for Cambria, Somerset, Bedford, and Blair
counties. The Wind Advisory may need to be expanded to include
more of central PA, given NW winds of 40-50 kts at the top of
the mixed layer during the diurnal max on Sunday. Winds remain
gusty Sunday night and Monday, but should stay below advisory
strength.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Snow showers and gusty winds gradually taper off Monday night as
high pressure briefly builds into the region. Models show the
next system for early next week ejecting out of the central
Plains (NE/IA/KN/MO vicinity) as a flat/compact southern stream
shortwave and weak sfc low tracking eastward through the Ohio
Valley toward the DelmarVA. Ensembles continue to show two
possible solutions for this system with around half of the
members keeping the bulk of the precip to our south, while the
other half shows a more northward track for this system. This
second solution would bring the potential for mixed precip to
the region.

High pressure edging southeast from the Great Lakes appears
deliver a dry period around midweek/Wednesday before precip odds
trend higher into the end of next week. Most guidance shows this
system tracking to our west, which would result in an all rain
scenario.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Main concern this afternoon is LLWS, as sfc winds are still
very light.

Other concern for the far west is thunder, starting to see
storms over Lake Erie as of 1 PM. The airmass not very moist
to the east over our area, so left storms out of the TAFS.
Will adjust as needed.

CIGS do lower later, as some showers move into the area.

Main concern for later tonight into Monday will be gusty
winds. Also (mainly for BFD and JST), bands of lake effect
snow showers set up Sunday afternoon and continue into Monday.
Wind gust in the 35 to 50 mph range possible.

Outlook...

Mon...SHSN NW. Windy. VFR conditions SE.

Tue...SHRA/SN possible early, otherwise dry.

Wed-Thu...Chance of a shower, but overall mainly dry.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 6 AM to 6 PM EST Sunday for PAZ024-025-033-
034.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Dangelo/Bauco
NEAR TERM...Colbert/Bauco
SHORT TERM...Colbert/Bauco
LONG TERM...Steinbugl/Bauco
AVIATION...Martin


Latest Public Information Statement:


139
NOUS41 KCTP 121716
PNSCTP
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066-130516-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
1216 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

...TOTAL SNOWFALL REPORTS IN THE PAST 48 HOURS...

Location Amount Time/Date Provider

...Pennsylvania...

...Bedford County...
Rainsburg 5.0 NNW T in 0600 AM 11/12 COCORAHS

...Cambria County...
Geistown T in 0700 AM 11/12 COCORAHS

...Centre County...
Philipsburg 1.8 in 0700 AM 11/12 COOP
Bellefonte 7.1 ENE 1.2 in 0730 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
Bellefonte 4.3 E 1.0 in 0800 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
Boalsburg 0.4 E 1.0 in 0700 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
State College 2.4 ENE 0.6 in 0900 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
State College 0.5 in 0800 AM 11/12 COOP
Boalsburg 1.2 ENE 0.3 in 0700 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
State College 1.3 SW 0.3 in 0700 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
Spring Mills 1.4 S 0.2 in 0700 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
Bellefonte 7.1 ENE T in 0900 AM 11/12 COCORAHS

...Clearfield County...
Grampian 5.5 in 0700 AM 11/12 COOP
DuBois 2.7 S 4.0 in 0700 AM 11/12 COCORAHS

...Clinton County...
Mill Hall 1.6 N 0.2 in 0722 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
Renovo T in 0700 AM 11/12 COOP

...Elk County...
St. Marys 3.7 NE 2.0 in 0600 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
Ridgway 1.0 in 0700 AM 11/12 COOP

...Huntingdon County...
Huntingdon 1.3 N T in 0700 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
Tyrone 4.7 ENE T in 0700 AM 11/12 COCORAHS

...Lycoming County...
Jersey Shore 0.7 WSW T in 0700 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
Williamsport 2.0 NE T in 0700 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
Williamsport 2.3 WNW T in 0700 AM 11/12 COCORAHS

...McKean County...
Bradford 5SW 6.0 in 0800 AM 11/12 COOP

...Potter County...
Roulette 1.8 NNE 3.5 in 0700 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
0.6 E Galeton 3.0 in 0800 AM 11/12 COOP
Coudersport 2.0 N 2.5 in 0845 AM 11/12 COCORAHS

...Schuylkill County...
Tremont 0.3 NNW T in 0800 AM 11/12 COCORAHS

...Somerset County...
Hidden Valley 0.3 ENE 1.0 in 0500 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
Somerset 0.8 in 0800 AM 11/12 COOP
Rockwood 4.3 W T in 0609 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
Hidden Valley T in 0500 AM 11/12 COOP
Laurel Summit T in 0600 AM 11/12 COOP

...Sullivan County...
Laporte 3.2 in 0627 AM 11/12 COOP

...Tioga County...
Covington 2 WSW 1.0 in 0400 AM 11/12 COOP
Cowanesque Dam T in 0700 AM 11/12 COOP

...Union County...
Lewisburg T in 0700 AM 11/12 COOP

...Warren County...
Russell 4.7 W 7.8 in 0800 AM 11/12 COCORAHS
Russell 0.7 S 3.6 in 0800 AM 11/12 COCORAHS

&&

**METADATA**
:11/12/2025,0600 AM, PA, Bedford, Rainsburg 5.0 NNW, , , 39.9575, -78.5638, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Cambria, Geistown, , , 40.2899, -78.8698, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0900 AM, PA, Centre, Bellefonte 7.1 ENE, , , 40.9453, -77.639, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Centre, Spring Mills 1.4 S, , , 40.8348, -77.5626, SNOW, 0.2, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Centre, Boalsburg 1.2 ENE, , , 40.7814, -77.7707, SNOW, 0.3, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Centre, State College 1.3 SW, , , 40.7801, -77.8783, SNOW, 0.3, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0800 AM, PA, Centre, State College, , , 40.7935, -77.8672, SNOW, 0.5, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0900 AM, PA, Centre, State College 2.4 ENE, , , 40.8067, -77.8167, SNOW, 0.6, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0800 AM, PA, Centre, Bellefonte 4.3 E, , , 40.9249, -77.6869, SNOW, 1, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Centre, Boalsburg 0.4 E, , , 40.7736, -77.7847, SNOW, 1, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0730 AM, PA, Centre, Bellefonte 7.1 ENE, , , 40.9557, -77.6447, SNOW, 1.2, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Centre, Philipsburg, , , 40.8722, -78.2153, SNOW, 1.8, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Clearfield, DuBois 2.7 S, , , 41.0842, -78.7467, SNOW, 4, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Clearfield, Grampian, , , 40.9666, -78.5871, SNOW, 5.5, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Clinton, Renovo, , , 41.3333, -77.7333, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0722 AM, PA, Clinton, Mill Hall 1.6 N, , , 41.1276, -77.4854, SNOW, 0.2, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Elk, Ridgway, , , 41.4167, -78.75, SNOW, 1, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0600 AM, PA, Elk, St. Marys 3.7 NE, , , 41.4693, -78.5101, SNOW, 2, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Huntingdon, Huntingdon 1.3 N, , , 40.5152, -78.0151, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Huntingdon, Tyrone 4.7 ENE, , , 40.6946, -78.1592, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lycoming, Jersey Shore 0.7 WSW, , , 41.1954, -77.2792, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lycoming, Williamsport 2.0 NE, , , 41.2571, -77.0085, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lycoming, Williamsport 2.3 WNW, , , 41.2538, -77.078, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0800 AM, PA, McKean, Bradford 5SW, , , 41.898, -78.7143, SNOW, 6, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0845 AM, PA, Potter, Coudersport 2.0 N, , , 41.8033, -78.0169, SNOW, 2.5, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0800 AM, PA, Potter, 0.6 E Galeton, , , 41.7333, -77.6333, SNOW, 3, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Potter, Roulette 1.8 NNE, , , 41.8076, -78.1414, SNOW, 3.5, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0800 AM, PA, Schuylkill, Tremont 0.3 NNW, , , 40.6338, -76.3937, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0609 AM, PA, Somerset, Rockwood 4.3 W, , , 39.9215, -79.2377, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0500 AM, PA, Somerset, Hidden Valley, , , 40.042, -79.2566, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0600 AM, PA, Somerset, Laurel Summit, , , 40.1694, -79.1393, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0800 AM, PA, Somerset, Somerset, , , 40, -79.0833, SNOW, 0.8, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0500 AM, PA, Somerset, Hidden Valley 0.3 ENE, , , 40.0584, -79.2616, SNOW, 1, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0627 AM, PA, Sullivan, Laporte, , , 41.4247, -76.4925, SNOW, 3.2, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Tioga, Cowanesque Dam, , , 41.9906, -77.1566, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0400 AM, PA, Tioga, Covington 2 WSW, , , 41.7333, -77.1167, SNOW, 1, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0700 AM, PA, Union, Lewisburg, , , 40.9486, -76.8783, SNOW, 0.001, Inch, COOP, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0800 AM, PA, Warren, Russell 0.7 S, , , 41.9313, -79.138, SNOW, 3.6, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,
:11/12/2025,0800 AM, PA, Warren, Russell 4.7 W, , , 41.942, -79.0494, SNOW, 7.8, Inch, COCORAHS, Storm total snowfall,

Observations are collected from a variety of sources with varying
equipment and exposures. We thank all volunteer weather observers
for their dedication. Not all data listed are considered official.

$$
MRS