ZSE Aviation Forecast Discussions

665 FXUS66 KSEW 072111 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 211 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 .SYNOPSIS... Warm conditions will persist for the interior today ahead of cooler conditions through the remainder of the week. A weak frontal system will bring slight chances of rain to higher elevations on Wednesday, with dry conditions through the rest of the week. Drier and warmer conditions are forecast early next week as high pressure builds over the western US. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... Warm temperatures will remain in place across the interior today under southwest flow aloft as the next weather system approaches. Highs are on track to peak in the upper 70s to low 80s for areas surrounding and south of the Puget Sound. Areas along the water will see cooler temperatures today peaking in the 60s as onshore flow continues to bring in marine air. A weakening frontal system will cross the region tonight into Wednesday morning, bringing in cooler temperatures alongside chances for drizzle. Weak convergence may form some showers behind the frontal passage over the northern Puget Sound, but confidence is low over whether this convergence would produce any measurable rainfall. Increased onshore flow will cause low stratus to expand inland Wednesday and Thursday mornings, with sunshine returning each afternoon. Highs will peak near normal in the mid 70s across the lowlands and in the mid 60s along the coast. In addition, with flow shifting onshore, smoke from nearby wildfires will remain north and east of western Washington. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... A low pressure system stalled over Vancouver Island will swing a weak front across western Washington on Friday, bringing chances for light rain over the northern Olympic Peninsula and North Cascades. Elsewhere, onshore flow will continue to promote morning low clouds breaking up by the afternoon. This storm system will slowly meander eastward to the north, limiting chances for rain in western Washington over the weekend. Temperatures will continue to hover near normal on Saturday and Sunday, and instability from the nearby storm system will bring chances for isolated thunderstorms (5%-10%) along the Canada border. High pressure will continue to build over the central US early next week, with a deep low pressure system dropping southward in the Gulf of Alaska. This will promote warmer temperatures across western Washington with southwest flow aloft, but uncertainty remains over the degree of warming by early next week. Ensembles show a most likely scenario of highs in the upper 70s to low 80s next Monday and Tuesday. 15 && .AVIATION... A closed low over central British Columbia will maintain west/southwesterly flow over the area tonight. Stratus has largely cleared across the area, allowing for VFR conditions to prevail. That will continue to be the case through the late evening before stratus begins to reform along the coast and get pushed inland with the help of a weak frontal system that will move across the area overnight into early Wednesday. Stratus will first redevelop along the coast and push inland overnight, with probabilities for MVFR or lower cigs increasing around 10-13Z. Periods of IFR or lower conditions cannot be ruled out area-wide, though the highest likelihood is along the coast and into the Kitsap Peninsula. Expect cigs to scatter behind the frontal passage after around 18- 21Z Wed, with the exception of over the central Puget Sound area where post-frontal convergence will keep lower cigs and place and perhaps squeeze out some light showers or drizzle. Winds west to southwest, generally 5-10 kt in much of the interior is expected to turn more northerly through the Puget Sound this evening. Gusts up to 20-25 kt should ease this evening at BLI, but continue for CLM with the push down the Strait. Winds ease area-wide by tomorrow morning before the pattern starts again tomorrow with west to southwest winds turning more north in the late afternoon/early evening. KSEA...VFR conditions continue through late tonight. MVFR cigs expected to return after around 09-11Z Wed with periods of IFR possible, mostly likely between 13-17Z Wed. A slow lift is expected with low-end VFR conditions possible after around 21Z Wed. Convergence behind the front look to keep ceilings in the picture through much of the day. NW winds should ease tonight, becoming more southerly overnight, 5 kt or less. SW winds resume during the day and will likely turn to W to NW by Wednesday afternoon. 62 && .MARINE... Broad high pressure will continue over area waters through Thursday. A weak frontal system will move across the waters late tonight into early Wednesday. However, high pressure is expected to immediately rebuild behind the front. High pressure will weaken late in the week as a low pressure system prepares to swing south towards area waters. Onshore flow will continue the rest of the week through Strait of Juan de Fuca. A stronger push of westerlies is coming this afternoon through the Strait of Juan de Fuca and a Gale Warning is in effect through Thursday morning. Small craft winds are also spilling into Admiralty Inlet this afternoon, and a small craft advisory will continue through the early overnight hours. Another strong push is expected Wednesday afternoon. Guidance still supports a 55-65% chance of gales through the Strait of Juan de Fuca Wednesday afternoon, and the Gale Warning has been issued Wednesday afternoon. Additional headlines are possible throughout the rest of the week. Seas expected to remain below 10 ft through the weekend. Portions of the coastal waters may see steep seas on Wednesday/Thursday as seas build to 6-8 ft with a dominant period of 7-8 seconds. 29 && .FIRE WEATHER... Fire concerns will remain low through the week with continued onshore flow bringing moist air into the region. This will promote higher humidities across western Washington with good overnight recoveries. Warming and drying is forecast early next week, though conditions are not expected to reach critical fire weather thresholds. && .SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM PDT this afternoon for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca. Gale Warning until 8 AM PDT Wednesday for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca. Gale Watch from Wednesday afternoon through late Wednesday night for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca. Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Wednesday for Admiralty Inlet. && $$

782 FXUS66 KPQR 072055 AFDPQR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Portland OR 154 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 .SYNOPSIS...Persistent onshore flow and varying degrees of morning cloud cover will bring seasonable temperatures July 8-12 along with continued dry weather, aside from a 10-15% chance of light rain or drizzle in Pacific and Clatsop counties on Friday. Temperatures trend warmer July 13-14 as upper level flow becomes southwesterly upstream of an amplifying upper level ridge over the central U.S. && .DISCUSSION...Tuesday night through Monday night...The forecast is highlighted by persistent onshore flow, seasonable temperatures, and continued dry weather aside from a 10-15% chance of light rain or drizzle in Pacific and Clatsop counties on Friday. Model ensemble guidance is in good agreement for an extended period of near zonal flow aloft from Tuesday night through at least Thursday night. Upper level flow becomes more southwesterly late Friday into the weekend. At the surface, onshore flow is expected to persist each day. This typical summer-time weather pattern will bring temperatures that are close to average for this time of year, along with varying degrees of morning cloud cover and plenty of afternoon sun. Total model spread for temperatures Wednesday through Friday is very narrow, suggesting confidence is high in regards to the temperature forecast. Expect highs ranging between 77-83 degrees Thursday and Friday for inland valleys, coolest over the Cowlitz Valley and lower Columbia and warmest over the Willamette Valley, Portland metro, Columbia River Gorge, and Upper Hood River Valley. Expect highs in the 60s for the coast and high Cascades. Morning lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s are expected both inland and at the coast. As such, HeatRisk will stay in the Minor category. It is also worth mentioning a decaying cool front will bring a 10-15% chance of light rain or drizzle over Pacific and Clatsop counties on Friday, especially in the morning when forecast soundings depict saturated conditions in the lowest 0.75-1.0 km of the atmosphere. No impacts would occur with this precipitation if it does occur, with total rain amounts of only a trace to a few hundredths of an inch. Model spread for temperatures begins to increase slightly over the weekend for inland valleys, with highs ranging anywhere from the mid 70s to mid 80s. The outcome will be highly dependent on how widespread morning cloud cover is and how early in the day cloud cover is able to scatter out. The current forecast favors more widespread and persistent cloud cover on Saturday when compared to Sunday, and the deterministic NBM reflects this by keeping highs in the mid 70s to near 80 degrees on Saturday versus low to mid 80s on Sunday. Beyond the weekend, confidence is high temperatures will begin to warm early next week with less cloud cover. This warming trend is in response to increasing 500 mb heights and 850 mb temperatures upstream of an amplifying upper level ridge over the central United States. Since the ridge axis will be located east of the Rocky Mountains and far removed from the Pacific Northwest, extreme heat is not expected. Instead, a more modest warm-up is likely with high temperatures most likely peaking somewhere in the mid to upper 80s for inland valleys. Meanwhile, the coast will remain cooler with highs staying in the 60s. There is a 15-35% chance for highs of 90 degrees or warmer across the Willamette Valley, Portland/Vancouver metro, Columbia River Gorge, and Upper Hood River Valley on Monday. Chances for highs above 95 degrees are under 10%, which further backs up the expectation that extreme heat is not expected. Nevertheless, the slight warm-up may be just enough to result in an increase from a Minor HeatRisk to a Moderate HeatRisk; probabilistic HeatRisk guidance suggests there is a 20-40% chance for a Moderate HeatRisk in the aforementioned areas. -23 && .AVIATION...Southwest flow aloft with onshore flow in the lower levels as broad upper level troughing persists over the region today. As of 21z, marine stratus has retreated offshore. Coastal terminals may see VFR conditions continue through 00-01z, but this break will be brief as marine stratus is expected to build back in this evening with around a 30-50% chance of IFR CIGs after 03z Wed. Guidance shows higher chances for stratus developing along the lower Columbia and into the Portland metro area early Wed morning, with around a 40-60% chance of MVFR CIGs after 12z Wed. Lower chances (10-20%) for MVFR stratus exist for the southern Willamette Valley. Diurnally driven northwest winds increase this afternoon and evening with gusts up to 20 kt possible. KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR conditions expected through this evening under mostly clear skies. Stratus is likely to develop by 10-12z Wed morning with chances for MVFR CIGs increasing to around 50% after 12z Wed. Northwest winds increase to around 9-11 kt this afternoon. /DH && .MARINE...High pressure will maintain north to northwesterly winds across the coastal waters through the week. A weak cold front near Vancouver Island will dissipate later this evening as winds generally remain 15 kt or less through Wednesday morning. Pressure gradients tighten across the waters later Wed afternoon as northerlies increase with gusts to at least 20 kt south of Cape Falcon through Wed night. There is around a 40-50% chance for wind gusts up to 25 kt south of Cape Foulweather, so will continue to monitor forecast trends to determine if a Small Craft Advisory is needed for the coastal waters off the central Oregon coast. Latest guidance suggests similar conditions continue into Thursday with winds easing on Friday as another weak front approaches the waters. Seas are expected to remain around 4 to 6 ft through the remainder of the week and into the weekend. /DH && .PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...None. WA...None. PZ...None. && $$ www.weather.gov/portland Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSPortland x.com/NWSPortland

122 FXUS66 KMFR 080334 AFDMFR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 834 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 ...Updated the Marine Section... .AVIATION (00Z TAFs)... Weak instability over far northeast Klamath and far northwest Lake counties may produce a few thunderstorms early this evening. A marine layer will likely keep North Bend/KOTH under overcast IFR/MVFR ceilings through most of Wednesday morning, with some gradual improvement to a scattered layer expected again during the late morning into the early evening. Farther inland, all terminals are expected to be under VFR conditions through Wednesday afternoon with one caveats. The marine layer will likely be strong enough overnight to bring MVFR ceilings to Roseburg/KRBG for a few hours around sunrise again. Otherwise, expecting typical diurnal breezes this evening and Wednesday afternoon into the evening. && .MARINE...Updated 800 PM PDT Tuesday, July 7, 2026...Moderate north winds continue south of Cape Blanco, which will maintain steep seas through tonight. The thermal trough intensifies Wednesday, with gusty north winds and very steep seas expected south of Cape Blanco, and Small Craft Advisory winds and seas spreading north to Cape Arago. Winds increase further Thursday, with brief gales possible south of Gold Beach. The thermal trough weakens Friday, but then returns with gusty north winds and steep seas during the weekend. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1206 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026/ KEY POINTS... * Low chance (10-15 percent) of thunderstorms from Crater Lake north and northeast this afternoon. * Typical summer weather continues through the week. * Gusty winds and very low humidities possible east of the Cascades this weekend. * In the long term, a pattern change may bring monsoonal moisture and atmospheric instability. In this outcome, East Side thunderstorms are possible early next week. DISCUSSION...Satellite imagery shows an extensive area of marine layer stratus along the coast, which has burned back from filling all of the coastal valleys and much of the Umpqua Basin this morning. Also, cumulus fields have developed along the Cascade crest. Otherwise, conditions are mostly clear on yet another relatively typical summer day. Southern Oregon and far northern California remain under southwest flow aloft, between a trough extending south over the northeastern Pacific from the Gulf of Alaska, and broad strong ridging over the Four Corners and Central Plains. This will keep the weather in our area fairly stable, with dry conditions and high temperatures around 5 degrees above normal for this time of year, but there are a few caveats. The first is a very slight chance of showers and perhaps a thunderstorm this afternoon along the Cascades from Crater Lake north, and to some areas to the northeast. Some residual energy, moisture, and instability remain behind the departing shortwave from yesterday, and this has already brought some cumulus development to that area as early as 10 am this morning. Likely, nothing will develop, and if it does, it will be highly isolated with little impact, but it is, as we say, a non-zero chance. Second, we will see the passage of a dry cold front Wednesday. Little will mark the passage of the fronts, other than a strong marine push, as they will be dissipating or weakening quite a bit before even making it onshore, but we do expect some increased winds Tuesday and to a lesser extent Wednesday afternoon. Today looks like the breezier day, with slightly weaker winds but drier conditions Wednesday. Then, after a rather mundane Thursday, another dry front arrives this weekend, likely with stronger winds and continued dry conditions Friday and Saturday afternoons. There are some fire weather concerns that arise during these periods, as very dry air will flow in ahead of these fronts. Most concerns will be concentrated over the East Side, in particular southern Lake County and Modoc County, but other locations such as the Rogue and Shasta valleys will be breezy and dry as well. Looking beyond this weekend, model suites show the southwest flow strengthening aloft as the offshore trough digs slightly south and the ridge over the central US strengthens and builds north. This would essentially set up a classic monsoonal pattern that could bring showers and thunderstorms to the area, but it is far too soon to know the exact timing and location. We will keep an eye on this over the coming days and update as necessary. && .MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...CA...None. PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Hazardous Seas Warning from 11 AM Wednesday to 5 AM PDT Friday for PZZ356-376. Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Wednesday to 5 AM PDT Friday for PZZ350-370. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Friday for PZZ356-376. && $$

030 FXUS66 KEKA 072257 AFDEKA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Eureka CA 357 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Seasonable temperatures along the coast with persistent overnight and morning coastal stratus and through mid week. - A gradual warming trend is expected late this week and into the weekend. && .SYNOPSIS...Mostly diurnal, pervasive coastal stratus will continue the pattern of low clouds, fog, and seasonal temperatures along and near the coast through Wednesday. Better chances for clearing are expected Wednesday and Thursday along the coast. Inland areas will see warm afternoon temperatures early this week before a building high pressure system ushers in hotter conditions for interior valleys by late week. && .DISCUSSION...An upper level trough in the Pacific Northwest is continuing to bring onshore flow leading to coastal stratus and near normal summertime temperatures. Highs in the 90s are expected today in Trinity and Lake counties. Closer to the coast the marine layer may deepen slightly and bring some slightly cooler temperatures to near coastal areas such as Garberville and Gasquet. The immediate coast is not expected to see much if any clearing. Wednesday, the upper level trough starts to move over the area which may aid in some scattering of clouds at the coast with areas near the coast starting to see some warming. High pressure is forecast to begin building into the area on Thursday with the flow aloft in the Pacific Northwest becoming more zonal. This is expected to warm temperatures another few degrees and help keep the marine layer mixed out. Friday and into the weekend the ensembles are showing the upper level ridge retrograde slightly towards the west. The models are not in great agreement on how far west this will go and this will directly impact how quickly the heat will build in. Currently the forecast only has a slight warmup. This is still the potential for more warming, but is currently not looking all that hot and only slightly above seasonal normals. MKK && .AVIATION...Onshore flow is expected for coastal terminals of Northwest California today. This will reinforce a rather persistent coastal stratus layer along the coast and up nearshore river valleys. This afternoon/evening, coastal stratus is expected to cling a bit more over the coastal areas with only minimal scattering/lifting of low clouds. LIFR/IFR conditions are expected again along the coast throughout tonight with some potential for for early tomorrow morning. VFR conditions are anticipated for most inland terminals throughout the TAF period. /JLW && .MARINE...Northerly winds are building again this afternoon/evening. These will be strongest south of Cape Mendocino and especially in the lee of the Cape. In addition, steep wind driven waves will build through the end of the week. Also, there are a couple of small swells. Tonight and through the work week, the winds are forecast to remain in the 20 to 25 kt range in the outer waters. The inner waters are expected to increase as well, but may be less persistent and slower to increase. && .EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA... None. NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS... Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Friday for PZZ455-475. && $$ NOTE: The full forecast discussion is now regularly issued between 10 am/pm and 1 pm/am. Additional updates will be issued as needed. Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/eureka Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: https://www.facebook.com/NWSEureka https://www.twitter.com/NWSEureka For forecast zone information see the forecast zone map online: https://www.weather.gov/images/eka/zonemap.png

374 FXUS66 KMTR 080011 AFDMTR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 511 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1253 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 - Seasonably cool temperatures today before a warming trend begins Wednesday through the weekend - Long period southwest swell causes an increased risk of sneaker waves and strong rip currents today through Friday - Potential for thunderstorms and elevated fire weather concerns late this weekend into early next week && .SHORT TERM... Issued at 1253 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 (This evening through Wednesday night) Seasonal to seasonally cool temperatures continue today into tomorrow thanks to a deep marine layer and expansive layer of marine stratus. The marine layer is forecast to remain between 1500-2000 feet through tomorrow as troughing continues to our west over the Pacific Ocean. Marine stratus will return across much of the interior Bay Area and Central Coast tonight with pockets of fog possible across the North Bay Valleys and along the coast. If you are missing clear skies today, you will have a better chance at seeing them tomorrow. Confidence is higher tomorrow that stratus will recede by late morning/early afternoon across the interior as surface high pressure strengthens and the marine layer compresses to around 1000-1500 feet. The marine layer will help keep much of the area seasonally cool with high temperatures in the 50s to 60s along the coast and 70s to 80s across the interior Bay Area. The one exception will be the interior Central Coast where temperatures are seasonal to seasonally warm in the 80s to 90s. Marine layer influence on the interior Central Coast is minimal with building high pressure across the desert southwest having a stronger influence on that region. Breezy afternoon and evening winds continue across mountain gaps/passes (the Salinas Valley, San Bruno Gap, the Altamont Pass) and along the coast. && .LONG TERM... Issued at 1253 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 (Thursday through next Monday) The forecast begins to change Wednesday night into Thursday as high pressure across the Desert Southwest retrogrades, becoming centered more over Southern California. This allows temperatures to warm up by a few (~4-5) degrees outside of coastal areas and the bay shoreline. For the interior Bay Area this results in temperatures in the mid to upper 80s with pockets of 90s in the far North Bay and far interior East Bay. The warmest locations will be in the interior Central Coast where temperatures look to be in the low 100s Thursday and Friday. The NBM deterministic is running closer to the 90th percentile for the interior Central Coast but even the mean NBM forecast keeps temperatures around 100. All that to say, whatever way you look at it the interior Central Coast will be hot on Thursday. Temperatures will remain fairly similar to this through the rest of the extended forecast as upper level ridging builds over California. High temperatures will fluctuate by 1-2 degrees but will largely stay in the 80s to low 90s across the interior, 60s along the coast, 70s along the bay shoreline, and 90s to low 100s across the interior Central Coast. Long range models are showing early potential for strong upper level ridging to build across the Intermountain West early to mid next week. This is likely to bring above normal temperatures with initial guidance for Tuesday showing temperatures warming across the interior East Bay and interior Central Coast. This is certainly something to keep an eye on if not for the heat impacts but the fire weather risk. In addition to the hotter conditions expected in the long term, there is the potential for dry lightning Sunday into Monday. On the synoptic scale, upper level high pressure will more northeastward (towards the Intermountain West) Sunday into Monday while upper level troughing deepens over the Pacific Ocean. Our region is still primarily influenced by the upper level ridge, but, the deepening trough will result in stronger southeasterly flow across Southern California, Arizona, and the Gulf of California. This will bring a surge of monsoonal moisture from the Gulf of California northward into California. PWAT values look to be between 1-1.5" Sunday into Monday which is approximately 150-200% of normal for this time of year. The highest PWAT values are currently forecast across the Central Coast, South Bay, and East Bay. At the same time, the 700- 500 mb lapse rates are between 7-8 C/km which are favorable for convection to develop. If all these ingredients are able to come together, then it is likely we would see high-based thunderstorms across portions of our CWA. Given the elevated nature of any potential thunderstorms, any precipitation that falls would evaporate before reaching the surface. The two most likely hazards would then be dry lightning and gusty, erratic outflow winds. Hot and dry conditions this week will prime the environment for fire starts by further drying out fuels and making them more susceptible to fire starts if thunderstorms develop. Fire weather concerns are elevated Sunday into early next week as a result of the dry lightning threat. While the pattern appears conducive for thunderstorm development, there remains some uncertainty regarding specific details. The nature of these specific details may modulate the risk for a high-based convective event. This is a good time to stay tuned to the forecast as we move into the domain of higher resolution short term models and the forecast becomes clearer later this week. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 502 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 Marine layer stratus remains the main focus of the forecast. All terminals will develop a ceiling at some point tonight, with cloud bases in the MVFR-IFR category. Vicinity of SFO...The ceiling never cleared today, and the window is probably closed now as the stratus coverage is increasing. The ceiling will gradually lower from MVFR to IFR over the next 6 hours. While there is a good argument for a persistence forecast, I`m going to lean optimistic with a scattered window tomorrow afternoon. Winds will remain WNW, decreasing through the evening before strengthening back to at least 20 knots sustained tomorrow afternoon. SFO Bridge Approach...Clearer than the terminal for the next few hours or so before the clouds fill up the bay tonight. Monterey Bay Terminals...MRY never lost the ceiling, and it`s close to returning to SNS. There could be some brief clearing this evening, however as the Monterey Bay is mostly cloud free. The more likely outcome is the convergence along the coastline will be enough to at least keep MRY under MVFR conditions before lowering overnight. && .MARINE... (Today through Sunday) Issued at 916 AM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 Moderate to strong breezes are forecast across area waters, including the bays over the next 24 hours. Northwesterly swell between 6 and 8 feet will continue, with approximately 2 to 3 foot secondary long period southerly swell persisting through the week. While winds diminish to largely gentle breezes across bays, strong breezes and rough seas will persist through early Thursday across the Pacific coast waters. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 127 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 Warmer and drier conditions return Thursday and continue into this weekend. This will increase fire weather concerns slightly as fuels rapidly dry across the interior. Fire weather concerns further increase late this weekend into early next week as a surge of monsoonal moisture from the Gulf of California brings the potential for high based convection to the region. If thunderstorms are able to develop, dry lightning and gusty, erratic outflow winds would be the main hazards. The current pattern looks conducive for thunderstorms to develop but this may change as the event gets closer in time. Given the combination of potential for dry lightning and dry fuels, it is important to stay up to date on the forecast for the latest information. && .BEACHES... Issued at 1238 PM PDT Mon Jul 6 2026 A Beach Hazards Statement remains in effect for Pacific coast beaches from Tuesday morning through Friday afternoon. Long period southwesterly swell will create an increased risk of sneaker waves and strong rip currents, as well as breaking waves up to 10 feet. This will be especially true for south and southwest facing beaches with moderate to steep slopes along the North Bay, San Francisco Peninsula, and Santa Cruz coasts. Sneaker waves can sweep across the shoreline without warning, pulling people into the sea from rocks, jetties and beaches. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion can be expected. Stay off of jetties, piers, rocks, and other waterside infrastructure. Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous surf and NEVER turn your back on the ocean. Monitor local weather, surf and tide forecasts at www.weather.gov/mtr. && .MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...Beach Hazards Statement through Friday afternoon for CAZ006-505- 509-529-530. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Wednesday for SF Bay N of Bay Bridge. Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for Mry Bay. Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Friday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm. Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Thursday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm. && $$ SHORT TERM...Kennedy LONG TERM....Kennedy AVIATION...Flynn MARINE...Bain Visit us at www.weather.gov/sanfrancisco Follow us on Facebook, X, and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/nwsbayarea x.com/nwsbayarea www.youtube.com/nwsbayarea

843 FXUS66 KOTX 072339 AFDOTX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Spokane WA 439 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Critical Fire Weather: Red Flag Warnings in effect Tuesday and Wednesday due to a combination of gusty winds and low relative humidity. - Thunderstorm Potential: Slight (10 to 20 percent) chance for high- based showers and thunderstorms across Eastern WA and North ID Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. && .SYNOPSIS... Critical fire weather conditions will continue for Central Washington Tuesday evening and expand across Eastern WA Wednesday afternoon and evening as a dry cold front tracks through the region. The front will bring a low (10 to 20 percent) chance for high-based showers and thunderstorms over Eastern WA and North ID Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Wind speeds will decrease slightly but remain breezy Thursday and Friday, keeping fire weather conditions elevated through the end of the week. && .DISCUSSION... Tuesday evening through Wednesday: Relative humidity has fallen into the teens across much of the region as of Tuesday afternoon with poor recoveries expected Tuesday night. Gusty southwest winds will persist Tuesday afternoon and evening across the western Columbia Basin and Okanogan Valley, and west winds will increase Tuesday evening along the Cascade foothills Thursday evening as a dry cold front approaches. Consequently, Red Flag Warnings are in effect through 10 PM Tuesday for the Moses Lake and Wenatchee areas northward up the Okanogan Valley. The cold front will crawl inland overnight Tuesday into early Wednesday morning, bringing slight cooling and a shift into zonal flow. Winds will remain breezy across Central WA Tuesday night before strengthening and expanding across the rest of Eastern WA and North ID Wednesday. A second round of Red Flag warnings have been issued for Wednesday across these zones where fuels have been declared dry enough to support fire weather highlights. Widespread westerly gusts of 25-30 mph will spread over the Columbia Basin, Palouse, Spokane area, Northeast WA, and North ID. The windiest spots near Cascade gaps and over exposed areas of the Basin will see gusts up to 30-40 mph. While not exceptionally strong, these winds will meet critical thresholds for fire weather concerns. Ahead of the front, mid-level moisture moving up from Oregon will create enough instability to bring low (but nonzero) chances for elevated convection. A few hi-res models continue to depict isolated thunderstorms tracking from southwest to northeast across the Cascade Crest, over the eastern third of WA, and over North ID late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Any precip generated with these storms will have to fall through a large layer of dry air before reaching the surface. Thus, most if not all precip will likely evaporate before hitting the ground. Confidence is low in there being enough lift to trigger storms, but given the dry boundary layer and critical fire weather conditions expected for Wednesday, any lightning strikes would pose a fire hazard. The current forecast carries a 10 to 15 percent chance of sprinkles and a 5 to 10 percent chance of thunderstorms. Behind the front, precipitable water values fall back to 60 to 80 percent of normal, keeping humidity levels low despite slightly cooler temperatures. The Cascades and east slopes will be the exception, where a deep marine layer spilling over from the west side will keep humidities higher (25 to 35 percent). Thursday through Saturday: Elevated west-southwest winds persist Thursday under continued zonal flow. While winds speeds will be lighter than those on Wednesday, widespread breezy conditions with gusts of 20 to 25 mph will maintain elevated fire weather concerns. Friday will see similar wind speeds and gusts out of the west-southwest. By Saturday, there is growing confidence that the next trough will shift into the region, bringing another round of gusty winds. The latest NBM indicates a 40 to 70 percent chance of sustained wind speeds exceeding 20 mph across Central WA. Chances climb as high as 80 percent down the Okanogan Valley. /Fewkes && .AVIATION... 00Z TAFs: VFR weather will prevail across the region through the 00z TAF cycle. Light to modest breezes at most of the TAF sites will subside overnight, with the exception of KEAT and potentially KPUW. At KEAT, northwesterly shift and increase will likely occur between 00-02z, with occasional gusts to 30kts possible and through the Cascade gaps overnight. Lower confidence for breezy southwest winds (gusts 20-25kts) reaching KPUW overnight. A dry cold front will then move through the region Wednesday morning, which will cause breezy to windy westerly winds to emerge through the day. There is also a low chance of sprinkles (10-15%) and dry thunderstorms (5%) between 06z and 18z with this front, though confidence remains too low to mention in the TAFs. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: High confidence for VFR conditions regionwide. Low confidence for sprinkles affecting the TAF sites, very low confidence in thunderstorm chances. ----------------------- Confidence descriptors: Low - Less than a 30 percent chance Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance High - Greater than a 70 percent chance For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports, please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage: https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... Spokane 62 88 56 85 55 86 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Coeur d`Alene 62 87 57 84 56 85 / 10 10 0 0 0 0 Pullman 57 83 51 81 50 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lewiston 64 92 60 90 59 93 / 0 10 0 0 0 0 Colville 57 89 53 86 52 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Sandpoint 61 87 56 84 57 86 / 10 10 0 0 0 0 Kellogg 59 84 56 81 54 84 / 10 10 0 0 0 0 Moses Lake 60 91 54 90 55 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Wenatchee 66 87 60 88 61 88 / 0 10 0 0 0 0 Omak 62 92 55 91 56 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 && .OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 10 PM PDT Wednesday for Colville Reservation (Zone 702)-Eastern Columbia Basin - Palouse -Spokane Area (Zone 708)-Foothills of Central Washington Cascades (Zone 705)-Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701)-Lower Palouse -Snake River (Zone 709)-Methow Valley (Zone 704)-Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)- Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)-Western Columbia Basin (Zone 707). Red Flag Warning until 10 PM PDT this evening for Foothills of Central Washington Cascades (Zone 705)-Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)-Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)-Western Columbia Basin (Zone 707). ID...None. && $$

374 FXUS66 KPDT 072315 AFDPDT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 415 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Hot, dry, and breezy conditions persist, allowing elevated fire weather concerns to continue in the Columbia Basin and Kittitas Valley. - Temperatures peak today, with areas across the basin reaching triple digits. - Chances of isolated thunderstorms (10-25%) across Central Oregon and the Eastern Mountains. && .DISCUSSION... Radar shows dry conditions, with satellite showing cumulus clouds developing across Central Oregon and the Blue Mountains. Worth noting NBM advertises 10-25% chances of thunderstorms developing across there, with HRW NSSL and HRW FV3 advertising isolated cells developing later this afternoon. Precipitable water figures are less than 1.25 inches, suggesting these will be dry in nature. Not expecting these storms to produce an abundant lightning or be severe, with gusty winds and pea size hail being the biggest expected impacts. For the rest of the day, low relative humidities prevail through much of the region with parts of the Columbia Basin reaching the upper 90s to low triple digits. Red Flag Warnings prevail through the Basin and Yakima/Kittitas Valley region through 10 PM as critical fire weather conditions continue. Temperatures will cool off tomorrow and through the week with an oncoming shortwave allowing high temperatures to drop in the upper 80s to low 90s through much of the lower elevated regions (70-90% chance). Breezy winds will continue with tight pressure gradient formation via shortwaves and on-coming low pressure systems with sustained winds of 10 to 25 mph from the west and northwest. Otherwise, not anticipating precipitation with the lack of moisture and low precipitable water values. Temperatures remain steady in the upper 80s to low 90s through the rest of the week (70-90% chance). && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/... Based on HRRR model fields surface winds will increase over the evening, maintaining gusts as high as 30 mph at DLS and increasing with time at PDT/YKM through midnight. Ceilings and visibility are not restrictive although a brief window of HZ in the 4 to 6 mile range is possible at PDT around 12-15z due to smoke from a nearby fire. && .FIRE WEATHER... Red Flag Warnings are issued for WA690, WA691, and OR691 from now until 10 PM today (Tuesday) due to breezy conditions and low relative humidities. Dry air with breezy winds will persist through the Columbia Basin and Kittitas Valley through at least Friday/Saturday (70-90% chance) allowing elevated fire weather concerns to prevail. Isolated areas across WA690, WA691, and OR691 could reach red flag criteria through the week. Additionally, slight chances of isolated thunderstorms (10-25%) across Central Oregon and the Eastern Mountains could develop later this afternoon. Guidance advertises low precipitable water values less than 1.25 inches, allowing the assumption that most of the storms will be dry with no wetting rains expected. Worth noting that we`re not expecting these storms to produce abundant lightning and that they stay isolated in nature. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... PDT 59 88 55 87 / 0 0 0 0 ALW 65 89 59 88 / 0 0 0 0 PSC 64 93 57 91 / 0 0 0 0 YKM 60 91 57 91 / 0 0 0 0 HRI 63 91 58 90 / 0 0 0 0 ELN 57 82 54 83 / 0 0 0 0 RDM 52 86 48 86 / 0 0 0 0 LGD 59 87 53 87 / 0 0 0 0 GCD 55 89 51 89 / 10 0 0 0 DLS 61 85 58 87 / 0 0 0 0 && .PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...Red Flag Warning until 10 PM PDT this evening for WAZ690-691. OR...Red Flag Warning until 10 PM PDT this evening for ORZ691. && $$ DISCUSSION...95 AVIATION...71 FIRE WEATHER...95

558 FXUS65 KREV 071902 AFDREV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 1202 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... * Warm, dry, and breezy afternoons today through Thursday will result in elevated fire weather concerns. * Hotter days will produce Moderate to isolated Major HeatRisk Friday through Saturday. * Pattern shift early next week may bring a return for more widespread showers and thunderstorms. && .DISCUSSION... Primary weather concerns through the upcoming week into the weekend will be warm temperatures with dry conditions and breezes before hotter days for Friday and Saturday. Impacts due to the weather conditions include: enhance fire weather concerns, localized recreation impacts on area lakes, and heat health concerns. Let`s dig into the details. Today - Thursday: Dry, warm, and typically breezy with wind gusts in the 25-35 mph range in the late afternoons. Be fire safe and aware during these breezier days and avoid all activities that could spark a fire. Also, late recreation on area lakes could be locally choppy with the wind gusts at or above 30 mph. Winds will be the lightest on Thursday as high pressure begins building overhead for the end of the week. There is a 10% chance of showers near the Mono/Mineral county border. Friday - Saturday: As high pressure strengthens across the West, temperatures will rise with it across the Sierra and western Nevada. Plan on daytime highs near or above 100 degrees for western NV valleys, and upper 80s for Sierra communities. As of now, the Reno airport has a 55% chance for reaching 100F on Friday, and 75% chance on Saturday. Valley areas will see widespread Moderate HeatRisk and localized areas of Major HeatRisk. Have a plan if you will be outdoors, including hydration and shade breaks. Or avoid the midday heat altogether and get out earlier in the day! Preview for Next Week: High pressure meanders over the Four Corners Region between Friday and Sunday resulting in a classic summer setup. The Four Corners High typically results in stronger southerly winds that transport moisture from the subtropics into the Southwest. The addition of moisture to the already hot conditions will result in a higher probability of showers and thunderstorms across much of the Southwest. Fortunately, high pressure doesn`t seem to want to anchor for too long, which may limit the duration of the increased thunderstorm potential and threat. -Edan && .AVIATION... VFR conditions continue at all terminals through the week. Plan on afternoon SW-W breezes for all terminals mainly between 21-04Z for the next few days, with gusts mainly 20-25 kt. The western NV terminals and KMMH could see brief gusts near 30 kt today and Wednesday. MJD/EKL && .REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NV...None. CA...None. && $$

666 FXUS66 KSTO 071917 AFDSTO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Sacramento CA 1217 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Cooler than normal temperatures today with warming trend starting Wednesday. - Near to above-normal temperatures and areas of Moderate HeatRisk Thursday-Saturday, with continued onshore flow moderating overnight temperatures. - Potential for monsoonal moisture to bring showers and thunderstorms to the Sierra early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Clear skies prevail today across interior Northern California, with dry weather expected today and for the remainder of the week. Westerly flow aloft will keep temperatures near normal and maintain onshore flow at the surface, especially in the Delta and adjacent areas. The Valley will see temperatures in the 90s to low 100s, highest in the northern Sacramento Valley, but relatively cool overnight temperatures will provide some relief from the heat. Hottest temperatures on Thursday and Friday, with large areas of Moderate HeatRisk in the Valley on Thursday in particular. Be sure to practice heat safety! Early next week, high pressure to the southwest will help set us up for a push of monsoonal moisture. There have been increasing chances for thunderstorms and showers along the Sierra crest (15-25%), though there is still uncertainty in the forecast. Check back in for developments in the forecast for next week! && .AVIATION... VFR conditions across interior NorCal next 24 hours. Surface winds around 15 kts from the south-southwest with gusts up to 25 kts at Sacramento Valley sites beginning around 22z today. North surface winds around 15 kts, gusts up to 25 kts at northern San Joaquin TAF sites. && .STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$

684 FXUS65 KMSO 071914 AFDMSO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Missoula MT 114 PM MDT Tue Jul 7 2026 .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGES: - Breezy winds 15 to 25 mph on Wednesday will cause choppy conditions on area lakes. A few thunderstorms are possible. - Warmest temperatures of the summer this weekend through early next week. - Low relative humidity and increased west winds will result in elevated fire weather concerns on Saturday Satellite imagery this afternoon shows a circulation of low pressure spinning over the coast of British Columbia and a broad area of dry air and high pressure extending from the California coast into the Great Basin. In the near term, the Northern Rockies will sit between these two features. Tonight, that means westerly flow aloft and limited moisture will bring slight chances for thunderstorms to Lemhi County and southwest Montana later this afternoon and evening. Model soundings indicate a dry lower atmosphere conducive to gusty outflow winds of about 30 mph accompanying any storms that are able to develop. Similar conditions will hold on Wednesday, only with extent of storm chances extending northward along the Continental Divide. In addition to afternoon storms on Wednesday, expect sustained winds between 15 and 25 mph for northwest and west-central Montana, which will likely create choppy and hazardous conditions on area lakes, especially Flathead Lake. High pressure will build going into the weekend, lowering the chances for thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday. Daytime high temperatures will gradually rise going into Sunday. Expect 90s across the valleys of western Montana and triple digits for the lower Salmon and Clearwater river valleys. An upper level jet streak will bring increasing west winds to the Northern Rockies on Saturday as well. These winds, along with high temperatures and low daytime relative humidity, will result in elevated fire weather concerns for much of the Northern Rockies. Looking further ahead, forecast models indicate the potential for a significant surge of subtropical moisture to enter the region between July 13th and 15th. This weather pattern shift would increase the risk for widespread, rain-producing thunderstorms across western Montana and north central Idaho. && .AVIATION...Predominantly VFR conditions will prevail across the Northern Rockies airspace today under the influence of building high pressure. The primary aviation hazard will be isolated afternoon convection focused along the Continental Divide into southwest Montana, bringing localized threats of erratic outflow winds. A transitioning weather pattern on Wednesday and Thursday will introduce widespread breezy westerly surface winds, with sustained speeds around 15 to 20 knots and higher gusts. This will likely create periods of mechanical turbulence and crosswind impacts at regional terminals, alongside a renewed chance for afternoon thunderstorms and associated aviation impacts across southwest Montana on Wednesday. && .MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MT...None. ID...None. && $$

655 FXUS65 KBOI 080004 AFDBOI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 604 PM MDT Tue Jul 7 2026 .UPDATE...Updated aviation discussion. && .KEY MESSAGES... - Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms through this evening, mainly across the higher terrain of eastern Oregon and southwest Idaho south of the Snake Basin. - Isolated to scattered thunderstorms Wednesday across the higher terrain of central and southern Idaho. - Storms may produce strong gusty outflow winds, possibly moving through the Treasure and Magic Valleys today and Wednesday. - Hot temperatures through the week and into the weekend. - Breezy winds each afternoon, especially Wednesday and Thursday. && .SHORT TERM /Through Thursday Night/... Issued 245 PM MDT TUE JUL 7 2026 Southwest flow aloft will continue to bring monsoon moisture to the area today. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected along the NV border this afternoon and south of the Snake Basin in Idaho. Isolated thunderstorms possible near Baker County this afternoon and evening too. Dry low levels support shower and thunderstorm outflow wind gusts up to 40-60 mph. Storms will lift northeast off the higher terrain south of the Snake River and weaken as they enter the Snake River Valley. However, gusty outflow winds are possible as storms dissipate in both the Treasure and Magic valleys late this afternoon and evening, with around a 10-20% chance of storms holding together into the valleys. An upper level trough moving into British Columbia on Wednesday will begin to push moisture to the east. This will limit the chance for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms to the higher terrain of southern and central Idaho, although thunderstorms and outflow gusts may also drift north into the Magic Valley. A weak, dry cold front will move through Wednesday night and Thursday pushing the lingering moisture and thunderstorm threat to the east. Temperatures will remain steady on Wednesday, then cool a few degrees Thursday behind the front. The front will bring gusty winds to the area Wednesday night, continuing into Thursday across southern Idaho with gusts 20-35 mph. Low humidity with gusty winds will increase fire weather concerns. && .LONG TERM /Friday through Tuesday/... Issued 245 PM MDT TUE JUL 7 2026 High pressure aloft will begin to develop over the Great Basin come Friday, before expanding east over the Rocky Mountains and the High Plains. A trough over southeast Alaska will help keep our area under southwest flow aloft and the hottest temperatures to the east. However, lower elevation temperatures will still rise to the upper 90s/near triple digits throughout the long- term period. These temperatures will result in widespread moderate with localized major HeatRisk for this weekend into early next week. Each afternoon will feature breezy winds across higher terrain, with gusts to 20-30 mph. Come Monday, monsoonal moisture will begin to work around the ridge and across our area. The Grand Ensemble continues to show a strong signal for this moisture, with precipitable water values increasing to near the 95th percentile of climatology by Monday afternoon. With moisture values that high, the flash flood risk will have to be monitored (especially across recently burned areas), as the threat of showers and thunderstorms increases come Monday/Tuesday. && .AVIATION /00Z Wednesday through Thursday/... Issued 558 PM MDT TUE JUL 7 2026 Mainly VFR. High density altitude this week due to heat. Isolated showers/thunderstorms near NV border in OR/ID. Storms capable of 30-50 kt outflows, brief heavy rain, and potential for blowing dust. Localized terrain obscuration from wildfire smoke. Surface winds outside of storms: variable 10 kt or less. Occasional gusts around 15 kt through sunset. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: variable or SW 5-20 kt. KBOI...VFR. A 30% chance of storm outflow gusts to 20-30 kt this evening from dissipating storms. Measurable rain unlikely. Visibility reductions due to nearby wildfire smoke, with foothills obscured. High density altitude this week due to heat. Surface winds: NW 5-15 kt through this evening, transitioning to SE-E 5-12 kt after sunset. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: W to WNW 15-20 kt this evening. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for IDZ423-426. Red Flag Warning from 1 PM to 8 PM MDT Wednesday for IDZ423- 426. OR...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM PDT this evening for ORZ672. && $$ www.weather.gov/Boise Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSBoise www.x.com/NWSBoise AVIATION.....SH SHORT TERM...KA LONG TERM....NF

214 FXUS65 KLKN 080009 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 509 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... * Isolated mix of wet and dry thunderstorms are expected to slowly diminish in coverage from west to east across Northern and Central Nevada each afternoon and evening through Wednesday * Temperatures will remain above seasonal values this week * Moderate risk for heat-related illnesses each afternoon from Friday through Sunday as highs soar into the upper 90s to low 100s && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Monday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Isolated to scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms will continue this evening across northeastern Nevada with the highest probability over Elko county. From remote observation platforms, these storms have had been a mix of mostly wet with a few dry ones out there with storm speeds of 10 to 15 mph. Look for lows in the 50s and 60s tonight. By Wednesday, models are showing the drier mass continuing its eastward push into the region. Precipitable water values will drop to a half-inch or less with the highest values across portions of Elko and WHite Pine counties, east to the border with Utah (greater than a half inch). Consequently, the highest chances for isolated showers and wet/dry thunderstorms will again be in northeastern Elko county. Highs will be in the 90s with overnight lows in the 50s and 60s. Thursday through the weekend. All models are showing the upper ridge retrograding to the west on Thursday before moving back east and building during the early weekend period. Not much in the way of precipitation is expected during this time frame but temperatures will be warming in response to building heights. On Thursday, highs will be in the low to mid 90s, but warming to the mid 90s to low 100s on Friday, with a few degrees of additional warming on Saturday. This is leading to minor to moderate HeatRisk impacts across northern and central Nevada with the increasing probability of heat headlines needed of portions of the area through the weekend, including Sunday. Though Sunday could see a degree or two of cooling, the main heat impacts remain. Overnight lows will be in the 50s and 60s. Afternoon breezes to 20 mph will be possible over the area. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: The PoP, weather, sky and wind grids were adjusted for the short term forecast due to fire weather concerns. Low to moderate confidence exists for PoP coverage tomorrow. Moderate to high confidence on upper ridge build late in the week, with high confidence on HeatRisk for Friday and the weekend. && .AVIATION... ISOLD -TSRA are expected across northeastern Nevada through the evening. Best chances for VCTS is at the KEKO and KENV terminals. Winds will generally light below 20 knots, though outflow wind gusts could reach 35 knots. Rapid reductions to CIGS/VSBY to MVFR are possible with the strongest storms. Expect additional storms tomorrow across mainly northeast Nevada with KEKO and KENV terminals with VCTS. VFR conditions will persist at all other locations. Winds will be light with gusts to 22KT possible AMD NOT SKED continues for KEKO due to communications issue. && .FIRE WEATHER... A mix of wet and dry thunderstorms will continue across portions of northern and central Nevada through the evening. Coverage is expected to diminish tomorrow with wet/dry thunderstorms mainly over portions of Elko county. By Thursday and Friday, afternoon temperatures will begin to soar into the triple digits by the weekend bringing moderate HeatRisk to the area. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...86 AVIATION...86 FIRE WEATHER...86