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Flash Flooding Risk Continues in Texas; Wildfire Smoke Impacts in the East

Widespread, life-threatening considerable flash flooding is expected in south-central Texas through at least Friday. Catastrophic river flooding and rapid rises on small streams, arroyos, and typically dry washes are expected in the Texas Hill Country. Wildfire smoke is impacting air quality across much of the Great Lakes region into the Northeast U.S. with Air Quality Alerts in effect. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Thu, Jul 16, 2026 at 5:12:34 am CDT

[5 AM 7/16/26] The combination of a weak pseudo surface boundary and a weak upper level disturbance moving northward from Texas will keep mostly low-end shower/storm chances (20-40%) this afternoon. Greatest chances will be across far SE OK, far NE OK, and far NW AR. Rainfall amounts and coverage will be much less than yesterday, but brief heavy downpours will still be possible with the shower activity through this afternoon.
Afternoon heat indices are expected to be below 100 degrees across much of the region today. Heat is expected to intensify by the weekend and persist into early next week. Heat precautions should still be taken for any extended time outdoors.
Daily storm chances are forecast through Thursday, with the highest chances on Wednesday. Dangerous heat returns this weekend.
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