Overview
A volatile weather event unfolded across north central Kansas on the afternoon and evening of May 1, 2018. Multiple supercells spawned nearly a dozen tornadoes, including a longer-tracked EF-3, across the state of Kansas. Thankfully, no injuries or fatalities were reported. In addition, very large hail up to the size of softballs were reported. |
Five supercells progressing across north central Kansas |
Tornadoes:
Tornado #1 - Chester, NE
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Tornado #2 - 6 mi NE of Glasco, KS
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Tornado #3 - 8.5 mi SE of Concordia, KS
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Tornado #4 - 4.5 mi S of Tescott, KS
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Tornado #5 - 6.1 mi SW of Clifton, KS
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Tornado #6 - 1 mi E of Oak Hill, KS
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The Enhanced Fujita (EF) Scale classifies tornadoes into the following categories:
EF0 Weak 65-85 mph |
EF1 Moderate 86-110 mph |
EF2 Significant 111-135 mph |
EF3 Severe 136-165 mph |
EF4 Extreme 166-200 mph |
EF5 Catastrophic 200+ mph |
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Photos & Video:
Tornado #1: Chester, NE
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Moving towards Chester (5:48pm) (courtesy of Willard Sharp) |
Moving closer (5:50pm) (courtesy of Willard Sharp) |
Moving across the Highway (5:52pm) (courtesy of Willard Sharp) |
Tornado #2: 6 mi NE of Glasco
Tornado #3: 8.5 mi SE of Concordia
No photos or video known to exist
Tornado #4: 4.5 mi SE of Tescott
Ottawa County Tornado (courtesy of StormHour) |
Ottawa County Tornado (courtesy of Daniel Shaw) |
Ottawa County Tornado (courtesy of Brian Emfinger) |
Ottawa County Tornado (courtesy of ClimateChaos) |
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Ottawa County Tornado (Courtesy of Jim Tang) |
EF3 Tornado damage near Minneapolis | EF2 Tornado damage near Culver | EF2 Tornado damage near Culver |
Tornado #5: 6.1 mi SW of Clifton
No photos or video known to exist
Tornado #6: 1 mi E of Oak Hill
Radar Data:
Radar Loop
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Radar Loop of the Tornadic Supercells |
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Reflectivity/SRM image of Tornado #1 (center of the image) from the UEX radar at 5:50pm CDT. | Reflectivity/SRM image of Tornado #2 (center of the image) from the TWX radar at 7:04pm CDT. | Reflectivity/SRM image of Tornado #3 (center of the image) from the TWX radar at 7:32pm CDT. | Reflectivity/SRM image of Tornado #4 (center of the image) from the TWX radar at 7:50pm CDT. |
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Reflectivity/SRM image of Tornado #4 as it was occluding and producing EF3 damage (center of the image) from the TWX radar at 8:06pm CDT. | Reflectivity/SRM image of Tornado #5 (center of the image) from the TWX radar at 8:01pm CDT. | Reflectivity/SRM image of Tornado #6 (center of the image) from the TWX radar at 9:08pm CDT. |
Environment
The synoptic environment leading up to this event featured a large upper level trough of low pressure situated across the western United States with a 100 kt jet streak ejecting northeastward ahead of the trough. Closer to the surface, strong low to mid-level flow pumped Gulf moisture northward into the region. A quasi-stationary area of low pressure was centered over north central Kansas/south central Nebraska with an attendant dryline protruding southward across central Kansas. This dryline served as the focus for thunderstorm development during the mid to late afternoon hours.
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Figure 1: Upper level plot over the Central Plains, showing a trough in the west and a jet streak lifting NE and providing upper level diffluence. | Figure 2: An 850mb plot showing strong moisture advection northward into central and eastern Kansas. | Figure 3: Surface map at 7pm May 1, showing the low over north central KS and a dryline extending southward across the state. |
The thermodynamic environment ahead of the dryline featured ample instability with MLCAPE values of 2000-2500 J/kg in the warm sector. Deep shear values in the warm sector were in the neighborhood of 40-50 kts and oriented orthogonal to the orientation of the dryline. The effective storm-relative helicity was around 300 to 400 m2/s2, well within the favorable zone for significant tornadoes.
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Figure 4: MLCAPE values at 23Z May 1 show a narrow ribbon of instability ahead of the dryline | Figure 5: Effective shear over the region at 00Z May 2 | Figure 6: Effective storm-relative helicity at 00Z May 2. |
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Figure 7: The 00Z sounding at Topeka shows an uncapped atmosphere with ample curvature in the 0-3 km hodograph. | Figure 8: The Significant Tornado Parameter shows a narrow ribbon of elevated values along the region where the tornadoes were observed. |
Additional Information
The Forecast
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SPC Day 3 Categorical Outlook | SPC Day 3 Probabilistic Outlook | SPC Day 2 Categorical Outlook | SPC Day 2 Probabilistic Outlook |
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SPC Day 1 Categorical Outlook | SPC Day 1 Tornado Outlook | SPC Day 1 Hail Outlook | SPC Day 1 Wind Outlook |
Tornado Warning Lead Time
Counties & Valid Time | Lead Time |
Ottawa/Cloud Counties - 6:10pm to 7:00pm | 49+ Minutes |
Cloud County - 6:53pm to 7:30pm* | 6+ Minutes |
Washington, Republic, Clay & Cloud Counties - 7:24pm to 8:00pm* | Tornado Ongoing |
Ottawa County - 7:26pm to 8:00pm | 17+ Minutes |
Ottawa County - 7:54pm to 8:30pm* | Tornado Ongoing |
Clay, Dickinson & Ottawa - 8:26pm to 9:00pm* | 30+ Minutes |
* Replaces Earlier Warning
Summaries from other NWS Offices
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