National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Office of Science and Technology Integration

National Program

43rd NOAA Annual Climate Diagnostic and Prediction Workshop

Weather.gov > Office of Science and Technology Integration > 43rd NOAA Annual Climate Diagnostic and Prediction Workshop

Poster Session Presentations

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

(Click the image to enlarge the poster.)

 

I. Improved understanding of the coupled atmosphere-ocean climate system through dynamical and statistical models and methods, forecaster practices and protocols, reanalysis data and model improvement, and scientific concepts.

2017 Northern Plains Drought: Variability and Predictability

2017 Northern Plains Drought: Variability and Predictability

by Zeng-Zhen Hu, Climate Prediction Center, NOAA

 Anomalous Circulation Characteristics of Intra-seasonal Variation of East Asian Subtropical Westerly Jet in Summer and Precursory Signals

Anomalous Circulation Characteristics of Intra-seasonal Variation of East Asian Subtropical Westerly Jet in Summer and Precursory Signals

 Responses of Global Atmospheric Circulation to Climate Indices Based on APCC MME Hindcast Data

Responses of Global Atmospheric Circulation to Climate Indices Based on APCC MME Hindcast Data

 Seamless Coupled Prediction System (SCoPS): Assessment of the APCC In-House Model Real-Time Seasonal Forecast

Seamless Coupled Prediction System (SCoPS): Assessment of the APCC In-House Model Real-Time Seasonal Forecast

 ENSO Simulation and Prediction Using a Hybrid Coupled Model (HCM)

ENSO Simulation and Prediction Using a Hybrid Coupled Model (HCM)
Recent Slow Melt of Arctic Summer Sea Ice Caused by Tropical SST changes

Recent Slow Melt of Arctic Summer Sea Ice Caused by Tropical SST changes

 Impacts of the Onset of the Rainy Season on Softs crops

Impacts of the Onset of the Rainy Season on Softs crops

by Thomas Walsh, Thomson Reuters

 Overview of the Climate Prediction Center Weekly Experimental Sea Ice Prediction System

Overview of the Climate Prediction Center Weekly Experimental Sea Ice Prediction System

 Influence of positive IOD events on northwestward extension of Tibetan High in boreal summer to early autumn

Influence of positive IOD events on northwestward extension of Tibetan High in boreal summer to early autumn

 Developing an Experimental Week 3-4 Severe Weather Outlook for the United States

Developing an Experimental Week 3-4 Severe Weather Outlook for the United States
An Analysis on Possible Connection of Seasonal Spread and ENSO SSTs in North American Multi-Model Ensemble Hindcasts

An Analysis on Possible Connection of Seasonal Spread and ENSO SSTs in North American Multi-Model Ensemble Hindcasts
 
 
 
 

II.   Prospects for improved understanding, prediction, and simulation of intra-seasonal, seasonal, and inter-annual climate variability, including the extratropical annular modes, stratosphere/troposphere coupling, tropical-extratropical interactions, land-surface forcing, atmospheric river events and drought/precipitation events etc.

Uncertainties in the El Niño Response of Precipitation over the US West CoastUncertainties in the El Niño Response of Precipitation over the US West Coast
Processes Associated with Air-Sea ice Coupling Biases in Climate ModelsProcesses Associated with Air-Sea ice Coupling Biases in Climate Models
A New Intraseasonal Oscillation Index Based on Cloud-Sat Observed Cloud RegimesA New Intraseasonal Oscillation Index Based on Cloud-Sat Observed Cloud Regimes
 Atmospheric Rivers Impact on High Asia Mountain Precipitation

Atmospheric Rivers Impact on High Asia Mountain Precipitation

by Deanna Nash, University of California Santa Barbara

 Sub-Seasonal Variations and Predictions of Precipitation With BCC_DERF2.0 in Spring-Summer Transition Season

Sub-Seasonal Variations and Predictions of Precipitation With BCC_DERF2.0 in Spring-Summer Transition Season
Investigations on Moisture Transports, Budgets and Sources Responsible for the Decadal Variability of Precipitation in Southern China

Investigations on Moisture Transports, Budgets and Sources Responsible for the Decadal Variability of Precipitation in Southern China

 Characteristics and Abnormal Atmospheric Circulation of Regional High Temperature Process in 2017 Over China

Characteristics and Abnormal Atmospheric Circulation of Regional High Temperature Process in 2017 Over China

 Objective Drought Tendency Forecast Li Xu, NOAA/NCEP/CPC/INNOVIM

Objective Drought Tendency Forecast

by Li Xu, NOAA/NCEP/CPC/INNOVIM

 Seamless Coupled Prediction System (SCoPS): Assessment of the APCC In-House Model Real-Time Seasonal Forecast

The Great Plains Drought Onset from a Moisture Budget Perspective

 Evaluation of the National Water Model for Potential Application in the NLDAS Drought Monitor

Evaluation of the National Water Model for Potential Application in the NLDAS Drought Monitor
GEFS Reforecasts and their Application in Calibration of Sub-seasonal Forecasts

GEFS Reforecasts and their Application in Calibration of Sub-seasonal Forecasts
 
 
 
 

III.  Observation, prediction and attribution of recent high impact weather and climate events, and implications for extreme precipitation and temperatures, heat/cold waves, droughts and wildfires.

Improved real-time ENSO wind stress knowledge from joint consideration of moored-buoy and scatterometer windsImproved real-time ENSO wind stress knowledge from joint consideration of moored-buoy and scatterometer winds
Flash Drought Characteristics and PredictionFlash Drought Characteristics and Prediction
Quantifying the Agreement Between Observed and Simulated Extratropical Modes of Interannual VariabilityQuantifying the Agreement Between Observed and Simulated Extratropical Modes of Interannual Variability
Multi-Week Prediction Skill Assessment of Arctic Sea Ice Variability in the CFSv2Large-Scale Conditions Leading to the Santa Ana Event During the Thomas Fire in December 2017: How Unique was this Event?
Characterizing Concurrent Hot and Dry Spell Events Across the Crucial Breadbasket RegionsCharacterizing Concurrent Hot and Dry Spell Events Across the Crucial Breadbasket Regions
Extratropical Cyclones over the Contiguous United States: Current Variability and Future ChangeExtratropical Cyclones over the Contiguous United States: Current Variability and Future Change
Discussion of the 2018 Heat Season through the Lens of the CPC’s Subseasonal Heat Event Forecast SuiteDiscussion of the 2018 Heat Season through the Lens of the CPC’s Subseasonal Heat Event Forecast Suite
The July 2018 Japan flood – a Compound EventThe July 2018 Japan flood – a Compound Event
 
 

IV. Improving climate information delivery for impact-based decision support services through the application of new technologies, including GIS, statistical tools, and software development practices.

Diminished ENSO Influence on North India Summer Monsoon RainfallDiminished ENSO Influence on North India Summer Monsoon Rainfall
Development of An Hourly Analysis of Surface Air Temperature over the Global LandDevelopment of An Hourly Analysis of Surface Air Temperature over the Global Land
Calibration and Evaluation Week3/4 Forecast for Canadian GEPSCalibration and Evaluation Week3/4 Forecast for Canadian GEPS
Spatiotemporal Analysis of Wind Extremes and Trends in Santa Barbara County, California by Katelyn Zigner, University of California, Santa BarbaraSpatiotemporal Analysis of Wind Extremes and Trends in Santa Barbara County, California
 Subseasonal Tropical Cyclone Prediction at CPC by Lindsey N. Long, Climate Prediction Center, Innovim, LLC

Subseasonal Tropical Cyclone Prediction at CPC

V.   Improving models, forecasts and observational data sets

Water in the Arabian Peninsula by Muge Komurcu, Adam Schlosser, Center for Global Change Science Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyWater in the Arabian Peninsula

 

 Improving Seasonal Forecasting of Alaska Wildfires by Peter Bieniek, University of Alaska FairbanksImproving Seasonal Forecasting of Alaska Wildfires

 
CWB CFS 1Tier Hindcast Analysis and Forecast VerificationCWB CFS 1Tier Hindcast Analysis and Forecast Verification
 Toward an ENSO Index for a Changing Climate

NOAA’s MAPP-CTB Projects Update: Community R2O Contributions to the Improvement of Operational S2S Climate Prediction

 Predictive capacity for Week3-4 Severe Weather Outlook for the United States by Alima Diawara, Innovim LLC

Predictive capacity for Week3-4 Severe Weather Outlook for the United States

 
CPC's New Consolidated Hybrid Statistical/Dynamical Model for Seasonal Prediction of Temperature and Precipitation by Daniel Barandiaran, NOAA/NCEP/CPC/Innovim, LLC

CPC's New Consolidated Hybrid Statistical/Dynamical Model for Seasonal Prediction of Temperature and Precipitation

 Developing Capabilities for Analysis in the Arctic within the NOAA NWS Local Climate Analysis Tool by Marina Timofeyeva, Michael Churma, Michael Coulman, Fiona Horsfall1, Jenna Meyers, NOAA NWS OCWWS Climate Services Branch

Developing Capabilities for Analysis in the Arctic within the NOAA NWS Local Climate Analysis Tool
 
 
 

 

Note:  The images were taken from the 43rd NOAA Annual CDPW poster session.  Contact presenters for details.