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Overview

A warm and humid air mass out ahead of surface low pressure and an upper-level wave over the central South Dakota moved into Western Minnesota on July 31st, 2024. Surface temperatures reach the upper 80s/lower 90s over dew points in the low to mid 70s. This created an unstable environment, featuring instability exceeding 4000-5000 J/kg of MLCAPE and a stout elevated mixed layer with lapse rates between 8.0-9.0°C/km.

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms occurred during the course of the afternoon and evening across much of central and southern Minnesota. The first wave featured a cluster of storms that congealed into a line over eastern SD and western MN, producing a wind threat for west-central MN. This line of storms tracked northeastward, but development on the southern flank continued with a weakened severe wind threat for areas along the I-94 corridor. Eventually the line reached east-central Minnesota and produced marginally severe hail and wind across portions of the Twin Cities metro during evening rush hour.

The second wave featured isolated storms that developed over south-central MN, producing a severe wind and hail threat that moved into southeastern MN. This wave featured heavy rainfall which led to flash flooding over portions of Goodhue and Dakota counties due to a combined impact from the first and second wave (slowing moving storms as they shifted from an eastward movement to a southeastward movement).

Most notably was the third wave which produced extreme hail measuring up to 5 inches in diameter in Stevens County. This cluster of storms developed into a line and tracked southeastward across central and south-central MN, producing a hail and wind threat.

***This page will continue to be updated as more information comes in***

Image of storm reports across the region.
Preliminary storm reports as of 1100 PM on July 31, 2024. Additional reports will be gathered over the next few days. For the latest information, please visit the Storm Prediction Center Reports page
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