April 1, 2019 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts
Upper Missouri Basin
The high elevation snow pack in the Upper Missouri Basin as of April 1
was near to above average. The snow pack above Fort Peck, Montana was
113 percent. The snow pack in the St. Mary Basin was 91 percent, and the
Milk River Basin was 150 percent.
March precipitation across the Upper Missouri Basin was below average.
Basin precipitation summaries for the Missouri Basin include: Milk St. Mary,
32 percent; Milk Canada, 37 percent; Lower Milk, 28 percent; above Toston,
66 percent; Toston to Ft. Peck, 52 percent.
March 2019 Upper Missouri Mean Precip Oct-Mar WY2019 Upper Missouri Mean Precip
Stream flow in the Upper Missouri Basin is forecast to be
near to below average during the upcoming Spring and Summer.
The St. Mary River is forecast to have 76 percent of average
April-September flows. Runoff is expected to range around
97 percent of average for the Missouri Basin above Fort Peck,
Montana.
Upper Missouri April 1, 2019 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts
Of the four major irrigation reservoirs in Montana; Lima
Reservoir had 154 percent average storage, Clark Canyon was
holding 120 percent of average water, Gibson Reservoir had 36
percent of average stored water, and Fresno Reservoir had
105 percent of average stored water.
The major hydroelectric reservoirs in Montana (Canyon Ferry and
Fort Peck), had monthend storage in the average to above
average range; 99 and 122 percent of average water, respectively.
Yellowstone Basin
The high elevation snow pack in the Yellowstone Basin was near to above average
on April 1. The snow pack in the Upper Yellowstone Basin was 110 percent
of average. The snow packs in the Wind, Bighorn, and Shoshone Basins were 100,
89, and 101 percent of average, respectively. The snow packs in the Tongue
and Powder basins were 76 and 87 percent of average, respectively.
Precipitation during March was below average. The upper Yellowstone
River Basin received 55 percent of average precipitation while the
Lower Yellowstone River Basin reported 44 percent of average. The
Bighorn Basin received 66 percent of average precipitation while the
Wind River Basin received 102 percent of average. The Little Bighorn -
Upper Tongue Basin received 45 percent of average and the Powder River
had 84 percent of average precipitation.
March 2019 Yellowstone Mean Precip Oct-Mar WY2019 Yellowstone Mean Precip
Forecast stream flow in the Yellowstone Basin is near average
for the upcoming Spring and Summer. Stream flow for the
Yellowstone River above Sidney, Montana is forecast to be about
94 percent of average. Flow in the Tongue Basin is expected to be
77 percent of average. Flows in the Powder River are expected
to be about 96 percent of average.
Monthend storage at Boysen Reservoir was 109 percent of average.
Stored water in Buffalo Bill Reservoir was 99 percent of average.
Monthend storage was 124 percent of average at Bighorn Reservoir.
Yellowstone April 1, 2019 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts
Platte Basin
The high elevation snow pack in the Upper North Platte Basin was
115 percent of average on April 1. The snow pack in the North Platte
Basin below Seminoe Reservoir was 129 percent of average. The snow
pack in the South Platte Basin was 112 percent of average.
Precipitation during March in the Upper North Platte Basin was 157
percent of average. In the Lower North Platte Basin, precipitation
was 143 percent of average. The North Platte Plains below Guernsey
Reservoir had 204 percent. The South Platte Mountains had 132
percent whereas the Plains had 264 percent of average March
precipitation.
March 2019 Platte Mean Precip Oct-Mar WY2019 Platte Mean Precip
Stream flow in the Platte Basin is forecast to be near
average during the upcoming Spring and Summer. Runoff
for streams above Seminoe Reservoir are expected to be
about 94 percent of average. Streams in the South Platte
Basin above South Platte, Colorado can expect 96 percent
of average flow. For the remainder of the South Platte
basin, flows are expected near 88 percent.
Stored water in the South Platte Basin was 101 percent of average
on April 1.
North Platte Streamflow Fcst South Platte Streamflow Fcst
WATER SUPPLY FORECAST NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MISSOURI 1005 CDT TUESDAY APRIL 02 2019 DATA CURRENT AS OF: APRIL 01 2019 MISSOURI/YELLOWSTONE/PLATTE RIVER BASIN FORECASTS 50% % 10% 90% AVG PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) ------------------------------------------------------------------ BOYSEN RESERVOIR INFLOW APR-SEP 717 68% 1237 458 1046 SBDW4N BIGHORN R AT KANE APR-SEP 1113 68% 1783 719 1633 LVEW4N GREYBULL R NR MEETEETSE APR-SEP 130 55% 204 71 235 MEEW4N BUFFALO BILL RESERVOIR INFLOW APR-SEP 565 83% 724 435 679 CDYW4N ST MARY R NR BABB APR-SEP 316 75% 381 260 418 SMYM8N ST MARY R AT INT BOUNDARY APR-SEP 373 77% 465 308 485 SMBM8N MILK R NR CUTBANK APR-SEP 14 37% 46 6 39 PDBM8N MILK R AT EASTERN CROSSING APR-SEP 30 43% 103 13 70 ERNM8N NORTH PLATTE R NR NORTHGATE APR-SEP 376 122% 554 287 308 NGTC2 ENCAMPMENT R NR ENCAMPMENT APR-SEP 132 90% 177 102 147 ERCW4 ENCAMPMENT R NR ENCAMPMENT APR-SEP 141 90% 186 111 156 ECRW4N ROCK CK NR ARLINGTON APR-SEP 54 108% 64 43 50 KCRW4 ROCK CK NR ARLINGTON APR-SEP 55 108% 65 43 50 KCRW4N SEMINOE RESERVOIR INFLOW WY APR-SEP 860 104% 1186 649 825 SETW4 SEMINOE RESERVOIR INFLOW WY APR-SEP 1017 104% 1339 800 981 SETW4N LARAMIE R NR WOODS APR-SEP 61 84% 106 36 73 WODW4 LARAMIE R NR WOODS APR-SEP 96 89% 141 69 108 WODW4N LITTLE LARAMIE R NR FILMORE APR-SEP 59 109% 75 47 54 SMTW4 LITTLE LARAMIE R NR FILMORE APR-SEP 61 109% 77 49 56 SMTW4N ANTERO RESERVOIR INFLOW APR-SEP 15 95% 21 12 16 ANRC2N SPINNEY MOUNTAIN RES INFLOW APR-SEP 56 109% 77 36 51 SPYC2N ELEVENMILE CANYON RES INFLOW APR-SEP 64 113% 84 42 56 EVNC2N CHEESMAN LAKE INFLOW APR-SEP 114 109% 177 82 105 CHEC2N SOUTH PLATTE R AT SOUTH PLATTE APR-SEP 195 104% 299 155 188 SPTC2N BEAR CK AT MORRISON APR-SEP 14 78% 32 8 18 MRRC2N CLEAR CK AT GOLDEN APR-SEP 93 75% 141 75 124 GLDC2N ST VRAIN CK AT LYONS APR-SEP 78 86% 127 67 91 LNSC2N BOULDER CK NR ORODELL APR-SEP 45 91% 65 37 50 OROC2N S BOULDER CK NR ELDORADO SPR APR-SEP 26 69% 43 18 38 BELC2N CACHE LA POUDRE AT CANYON MOUTH APR-SEP 219 109% 322 153 201 FTDC2N LIMA RESERVOIR INFLOW APR-SEP 36 61% 58 22 60 LRRM8N CLARK CANYON RESERVOIR INFLOW APR-SEP 106 78% 162 77 137 CLKM8N BEAVERHEAD R AT BARRETTS APR-SEP 131 77% 189 100 170 BARM8N RUBY R RESERVOIR INFLOW APR-SEP 75 87% 95 58 86 ALRM8N BIG HOLE R NR MELROSE APR-SEP 537 107% 787 436 504 MLRM8 BIG HOLE R NR MELROSE APR-SEP 593 106% 844 493 561 MLRM8N HEBGEN RESERVOIR INFLOW APR-SEP 493 125% 551 418 393 HBDM8N ENNIS RESERVOIR INFLOW APR-SEP 813 116% 945 705 699 ELMM8N GALLATIN R NR GATEWAY APR-SEP 368 80% 481 300 460 GLGM8 GALLATIN R NR GATEWAY APR-SEP 368 80% 481 300 460 GLGM8N GALLATIN R AT LOGAN APR-SEP 408 90% 598 336 454 LOGM8 GALLATIN R AT LOGAN APR-SEP 543 95% 720 475 575 LOGM8N MISSOURI R AT TOSTON APR-SEP 2502 98% 3334 189 2556 TOSM8N MISSOURI R AT FORT BENTON APR-SEP 3706 96% 5126 293 3865 FBNM8N MISSOURI R NR VIRGELLE APR-SEP 4135 95% 5731 657 4346 VRGM8N MISSOURI R NR LANDUSKY APR-SEP 4541 100% 6366 931 4532 LDKM8N MISSOURI R BLW FT PECK DAM APR-SEP 5355 111% 7252 673 4815 FPKM8N GIBSON RESERVOIR INFLOW APR-SEP 274 78% 464 221 350 AGSM8N MARIAS R NR SHELBY APR-SEP 273 64% 438 199 428 SHLM8N MUSSELSHELL R AT HARLOWTON APR-SEP 79 72% 137 53 110 HLWM8N YELLOWSTONE R AT YELLOWSTONE LK APR-SEP 696 106% 825 592 657 YLOW4APR YELLOWSTONE R AT YELLOWSTONE LK APR-SEP 880 107% 1021 751 824 YLOW4N YELLOWSTONE R AT CORWIN SPRINGS APR-SEP 1591 95% 1981 347 1673 CORM8 YELLOWSTONE R AT CORWIN SPRINGS APR-SEP 1867 98% 2268 606 1911 CORM8N YELLOWSTONE R AT LIVINGSTON APR-SEP 1848 97% 2308 567 1913 LIVM8 YELLOWSTONE R AT LIVINGSTON APR-SEP 2185 99% 2663 880 2208 LIVM8N YELLOWSTONE R AT BILLINGS APR-SEP 3196 97% 4245 711 3302 BILM8 YELLOWSTONE R AT BILLINGS APR-SEP 4064 94% 5097 542 4313 BILM8N YELLOWSTONE R AT MILES CITY APR-SEP 6474 91% 8280 355 7109 MILM8N YELLOWSTONE R AT SIDNEY APR-SEP 6769 92% 8785 683 7331 SIDM8N BOULDER R AT BIG TIMBER APR-SEP 210 77% 293 179 273 BTMM8 BOULDER R AT BIG TIMBER APR-SEP 252 80% 334 221 314 BTMM8N STILLWATER R NR ABSAROKEE APR-SEP 412 83% 522 348 495 SRAM8 STILLWATER R NR ABSAROKEE APR-SEP 469 85% 579 407 552 SRAM8N CLARKS FK YELWSTONE R NR BELFRY APR-SEP 457 93% 601 369 490 BFYM4 CLARKS FK YELWSTONE R NR BELFRY APR-SEP 529 94% 671 442 563 BFYM4N BIGHORN R NR ST XAVIER APR-SEP 1961 82% 2857 475 2383 STXM8N LITTLE BIGHORN R NR HARDIN APR-SEP 131 126% 207 90 104 HRDM8N TONGUE R NR DAYTON APR-SEP 71 87% 100 50 81 DAYW4N TONGUE R NR DECKER APR-SEP 150 68% 233 102 220 DSLM8N TONGUE R RESERVOIR INFLOW APR-SEP 152 68% 236 102 222 DKRM8N POWDER R NR LOCATE APR-SEP 177 90% 392 112 197 MHDM8 POWDER R NR LOCATE APR-SEP 235 107% 535 158 219 LOCM8N LOCATIONS WITH AN "N" SUFFIX INDICATE NATURAL FLOWS EXCLUDING STREAM AUGMENTATIONS KAF: THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET %AVG: CURRENT 50%/AVG AVG: AVERAGE (50%) SEASONAL RUNOFF VOLUME AS SIMULATED BY THE RIVER FORECAST MODEL CONSIDERING A CONTINUOUS SIMULATION OF THE BASIN RESPONSE TO HISTORIC CLIMATE DATA (OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES) OVER THE PERIOD OF 1981-2010 THE 50% 10% AND 90% COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY THAT THE ACTUAL VOLUME WILL EXCEED THE FORECAST FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MBRFC/WATER