National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Missouri Basin River Forecast Center
Water Supply Statement
Issued in cooperation with the Natural
Resources Conservation Service
Issued:  April 19, 2019

 

 

                   April 1, 2019 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts

 

 Upper Missouri Basin


The high elevation snow pack in the Upper Missouri Basin as of April 1
was near to above ave
rage. The snow pack above Fort Peck, Montana was
113 percent. The snow pack in the St. Mary Basin was 91 percent, and the
Milk River Basin was 150 percent.

March precipitation across the Upper Missouri Basin was below average.
Basin precipitation summaries for the Missouri Basin include: Milk St. Mary,
32 percent; Milk Canada, 37 percent; Lower Milk, 28 percent; above Toston,
66 percent; Toston to Ft. Peck, 52 percent. 

 

March 2019 Upper Missouri Mean Precip            Oct-Mar WY2019 Upper Missouri Mean Precip


Stream flow in the Upper Missouri Basin is forecast to be
near to below average during the upcoming Spring and Summer.
The St. Mary River is forecast to have 76 percent of average
April-September flows. Runoff is expected to range around
97 percent of average for the Missouri Basin above Fort Peck,
Montana.


 


  Upper Missouri April 1, 2019 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts

 

Of the four major irrigation reservoirs in Montana; Lima
Reservoir had 154 percent average storage, Clark Canyon was
holding 120 percent of average water, Gibson Reservoir had 36
percent of average stored water, and Fresno Reservoir had
105 percent of average stored water.

The major hydroelectric reservoirs in Montana (Canyon Ferry and
Fort Peck), had monthend storage in the average to above
average range; 99 and 122 percent of average water, respectively
.



Yellowstone Basin 

The high elevation snow pack in the Yellowstone Basin was near to above average
on April 1. The snow pack in the Upper Yellowstone Basin was 110 percent
of average. The snow packs in the Wind, Bighorn, and Shoshone Basins were 100,
89, and 101 percent of average, respectively. The snow packs in the Tongue
and Powder basins were 76 and 87 percent of average, respectively.

Precipitation during March was below average. The upper Yellowstone
River Basin received 55 percent of average precipitation while the
Lower Yellowstone River Basin reported 44 percent of average. The
Bighorn Basin received 66 percent of average precipitation while the
Wind River Basin received 102 percent of average. The Little Bighorn -
Upper Tongue Basin received 45 percent of average and the Powder River
had 84 percent of average precipitation.




 March 2019 Yellowstone Mean Precip                 Oct-Mar WY2019 Yellowstone Mean Precip
 

Forecast stream flow in the Yellowstone Basin is near average 
for the upcoming Spring and Summer.  Stream flow for the
Yellowstone River above Sidney, Montana is forecast to be about 
94 percent of average.  Flow in the Tongue Basin is expected to be
77 percent of average.  Flows in the Powder River are expected
to be about 96 percent of average.

Monthend storage at Boysen Reservoir was 109 percent of average. 
Stored water in Buffalo Bill Reservoir was 99 percent of average. 
Monthend storage was 124 percent of average at Bighorn Reservoir.

 


    Yellowstone April 1, 2019 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts

 

Platte Basin 

The high elevation snow pack in the Upper North Platte Basin was
115 percent of average on April 1.  The snow pack in the North Platte
Basin below Seminoe Reservoir was 129 percent of average.  The snow
pack in the South Platte Basin was 112 percent of average.

Precipitation during March in the Upper North Platte Basin was 157
percent of average.  In the Lower North Platte Basin, precipitation
was 143 percent of average.  The North Platte Plains below Guernsey
Reservoir had 204 percent.  The South Platte Mountains had 132
percent whereas the Plains had 264 percent of average March
precipitation.





 

 March 2019 Platte Mean Precip                          Oct-Mar WY2019 Platte Mean Precip

 

Stream flow in the Platte Basin is forecast to be near 
average during the upcoming Spring and Summer. Runoff
for streams above Seminoe Reservoir are expected to be
about 94 percent of average. Streams in the South Platte
Basin above South Platte, Colorado can expect 96 percent
of average flow. For the remainder of the South Platte
basin, flows are expected near 88 percent.

Stored water in the South Platte Basin was 101 percent of average
on April 1.



   North Platte Streamflow Fcst          South Platte Streamflow Fcst


PRECIPITATION MAPS
March 2019  WY 2019
March 2019 Precipitation Percent of 1981-2010 Average WY2019 Precipitation as Percent of 1981-2010 Average
March 2019 Basin Mean Precipitation          WY2019 Basin Mean Precipitation
March 2019 MBRFC Basin Mean Precipitation      WY2019 MBRFC Basin Mean Precipitation

 

 

WATER SUPPLY FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
PLEASANT HILL MISSOURI

1005 CDT TUESDAY APRIL 02 2019

DATA CURRENT AS OF: APRIL 01 2019

MISSOURI/YELLOWSTONE/PLATTE RIVER BASIN FORECASTS


                                        50%   %   10%   90%   AVG
                                PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF)
------------------------------------------------------------------
BOYSEN RESERVOIR INFLOW         APR-SEP 717  68%  1237  458   1046
SBDW4N
BIGHORN R AT KANE               APR-SEP 1113 68%  1783  719   1633
LVEW4N
GREYBULL R NR MEETEETSE         APR-SEP 130  55%  204   71    235
MEEW4N
BUFFALO BILL RESERVOIR INFLOW   APR-SEP 565  83%  724   435   679
CDYW4N
ST MARY R NR BABB               APR-SEP 316  75%  381   260   418
SMYM8N
ST MARY R AT INT BOUNDARY       APR-SEP 373  77%  465   308   485
SMBM8N
MILK R NR CUTBANK               APR-SEP 14   37%  46    6     39
PDBM8N
MILK R AT EASTERN CROSSING      APR-SEP 30   43%  103   13    70
ERNM8N
NORTH PLATTE R NR NORTHGATE     APR-SEP 376  122% 554   287   308
NGTC2
ENCAMPMENT R NR ENCAMPMENT      APR-SEP 132  90%  177   102   147
ERCW4
ENCAMPMENT R NR ENCAMPMENT      APR-SEP 141  90%  186   111   156
ECRW4N
ROCK CK NR ARLINGTON            APR-SEP 54   108% 64    43    50
KCRW4
ROCK CK NR ARLINGTON            APR-SEP 55   108% 65    43    50
KCRW4N
SEMINOE RESERVOIR INFLOW WY     APR-SEP 860  104% 1186  649   825
SETW4
SEMINOE RESERVOIR INFLOW WY     APR-SEP 1017 104% 1339  800   981
SETW4N
LARAMIE R NR WOODS              APR-SEP 61   84%  106   36    73
WODW4
LARAMIE R NR WOODS              APR-SEP 96   89%  141   69    108
WODW4N
LITTLE LARAMIE R NR FILMORE     APR-SEP 59   109% 75    47    54
SMTW4
LITTLE LARAMIE R NR FILMORE     APR-SEP 61   109% 77    49    56
SMTW4N
ANTERO RESERVOIR INFLOW         APR-SEP 15   95%  21    12    16
ANRC2N
SPINNEY MOUNTAIN RES INFLOW     APR-SEP 56   109% 77    36    51
SPYC2N
ELEVENMILE CANYON RES INFLOW    APR-SEP 64   113% 84    42    56
EVNC2N
CHEESMAN LAKE INFLOW            APR-SEP 114  109% 177   82    105
CHEC2N
SOUTH PLATTE R AT SOUTH PLATTE  APR-SEP 195  104% 299   155   188
SPTC2N
BEAR CK AT MORRISON             APR-SEP 14   78%  32    8     18
MRRC2N
CLEAR CK AT GOLDEN              APR-SEP 93   75%  141   75    124
GLDC2N
ST VRAIN CK AT LYONS            APR-SEP 78   86%  127   67    91
LNSC2N
BOULDER CK NR ORODELL           APR-SEP 45   91%  65    37    50
OROC2N
S BOULDER CK NR ELDORADO SPR    APR-SEP 26   69%  43    18    38
BELC2N
CACHE LA POUDRE AT CANYON MOUTH APR-SEP 219  109% 322   153   201
FTDC2N
LIMA RESERVOIR INFLOW           APR-SEP 36   61%  58    22    60
LRRM8N
CLARK CANYON RESERVOIR INFLOW   APR-SEP 106  78%  162   77    137
CLKM8N
BEAVERHEAD R AT BARRETTS        APR-SEP 131  77%  189   100   170
BARM8N
RUBY R RESERVOIR INFLOW         APR-SEP 75   87%  95    58    86
ALRM8N
BIG HOLE R NR MELROSE           APR-SEP 537  107% 787   436   504
MLRM8
BIG HOLE R NR MELROSE           APR-SEP 593  106% 844   493   561
MLRM8N
HEBGEN RESERVOIR INFLOW         APR-SEP 493  125% 551   418   393
HBDM8N
ENNIS RESERVOIR INFLOW          APR-SEP 813  116% 945   705   699
ELMM8N
GALLATIN R NR GATEWAY           APR-SEP 368  80%  481   300   460
GLGM8
GALLATIN R NR GATEWAY           APR-SEP 368  80%  481   300   460
GLGM8N
GALLATIN R AT LOGAN             APR-SEP 408  90%  598   336   454
LOGM8
GALLATIN R AT LOGAN             APR-SEP 543  95%  720   475   575
LOGM8N
MISSOURI R AT TOSTON            APR-SEP 2502 98%  3334  189   2556
TOSM8N
MISSOURI R AT FORT BENTON       APR-SEP 3706 96%  5126  293   3865
FBNM8N
MISSOURI R NR VIRGELLE          APR-SEP 4135 95%  5731  657   4346
VRGM8N
MISSOURI R NR LANDUSKY          APR-SEP 4541 100% 6366  931   4532
LDKM8N
MISSOURI R BLW FT PECK DAM      APR-SEP 5355 111% 7252  673   4815
FPKM8N
GIBSON RESERVOIR INFLOW         APR-SEP 274  78%  464   221   350
AGSM8N
MARIAS R NR SHELBY              APR-SEP 273  64%  438   199   428
SHLM8N
MUSSELSHELL R AT HARLOWTON      APR-SEP 79   72%  137   53    110
HLWM8N
YELLOWSTONE R AT YELLOWSTONE LK APR-SEP 696  106% 825   592   657
YLOW4APR
YELLOWSTONE R AT YELLOWSTONE LK APR-SEP 880  107% 1021  751   824
YLOW4N
YELLOWSTONE R AT CORWIN SPRINGS APR-SEP 1591 95%  1981  347   1673
CORM8
YELLOWSTONE R AT CORWIN SPRINGS APR-SEP 1867 98%  2268  606   1911
CORM8N
YELLOWSTONE R AT LIVINGSTON     APR-SEP 1848 97%  2308  567   1913
LIVM8
YELLOWSTONE R AT LIVINGSTON     APR-SEP 2185 99%  2663  880   2208
LIVM8N
YELLOWSTONE R AT BILLINGS       APR-SEP 3196 97%  4245  711   3302
BILM8
YELLOWSTONE R AT BILLINGS       APR-SEP 4064 94%  5097  542   4313
BILM8N
YELLOWSTONE R AT MILES CITY     APR-SEP 6474 91%  8280  355   7109
MILM8N
YELLOWSTONE R AT SIDNEY         APR-SEP 6769 92%  8785  683   7331
SIDM8N
BOULDER R AT BIG TIMBER         APR-SEP 210  77%  293   179   273
BTMM8
BOULDER R AT BIG TIMBER         APR-SEP 252  80%  334   221   314
BTMM8N
STILLWATER R NR ABSAROKEE       APR-SEP 412  83%  522   348   495
SRAM8
STILLWATER R NR ABSAROKEE       APR-SEP 469  85%  579   407   552
SRAM8N
CLARKS FK YELWSTONE R NR BELFRY APR-SEP 457  93%  601   369   490
BFYM4
CLARKS FK YELWSTONE R NR BELFRY APR-SEP 529  94%  671   442   563
BFYM4N
BIGHORN R NR ST XAVIER          APR-SEP 1961 82%  2857  475   2383
STXM8N
LITTLE BIGHORN R NR HARDIN      APR-SEP 131  126% 207   90    104
HRDM8N
TONGUE R NR DAYTON              APR-SEP 71   87%  100   50    81
DAYW4N
TONGUE R NR DECKER              APR-SEP 150  68%  233   102   220
DSLM8N
TONGUE R RESERVOIR INFLOW       APR-SEP 152  68%  236   102   222
DKRM8N
POWDER R NR LOCATE              APR-SEP 177  90%  392   112   197
MHDM8
POWDER R NR LOCATE              APR-SEP 235  107% 535   158   219
LOCM8N

LOCATIONS WITH AN "N" SUFFIX INDICATE NATURAL FLOWS EXCLUDING
STREAM AUGMENTATIONS

KAF: THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET

%AVG: CURRENT 50%/AVG

AVG: AVERAGE (50%) SEASONAL RUNOFF VOLUME AS SIMULATED BY THE
RIVER FORECAST MODEL CONSIDERING A CONTINUOUS SIMULATION OF THE
BASIN RESPONSE TO HISTORIC CLIMATE DATA (OBSERVED PRECIPITATION
AND TEMPERATURES) OVER THE PERIOD OF 1981-2010

THE 50%  10%  AND 90% COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY THAT THE
ACTUAL VOLUME WILL EXCEED THE FORECAST FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:  WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MBRFC/WATER