Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Map of estimated Water Temperatures
List of Water Temperature observations (at bottom of page/list)

Latest Marine Discussion:

.MARINE... As winds continue to quickly weaken, Small Craft Advisories will conclude this afternoon. Northwesterly winds today turn southerly tomorrow with gusts approaching SCA criteria over the Chesapeake Bay in the afternoon hours. This southerly channeling effects subside Wednesday as gusts will remain below 15kts and shift out of the southeast. North/northeast winds on Thursday shift to southerly on Friday morning before shifting to northwest Friday afternoon. Winds near SCA criteria on Thursday with advisories possible across the open waters. A strong pressure gradient between high pressure to the west and low pressure in the NE will bring gusty winds on Friday. SCA conditions are expected with near gale force winds possible Friday night. Update as of: 301 PM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026

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Click here for the Synopsis and text forecast.

[LWX marine zones]

NEW FORECAST TOOL: Experimental NWS Marine Forecast Portal

Click on any marine zone on this map to go to a detailed hour-by-hour weather forecast for the next 7 days

Please provide feedback to cody.ledbetter@noaa.gov

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Marine Forecasts for the Lower Chesapeake Bay and Eastern VA Rivers

(These forecasts are provided by the Weather Forecast Office in Wakefield, VA)

Lower Chesapeake Bay

Smith Point to Windmill Point

Windmill Point to New Point Comfort

New Point Comfort to Little Creek

Little Creek to Cape Henry Incl. CBBT

Eastern VA Rivers

Rappahannock River (Urbanna-Windmill Pt)

York River

James River (Jamestown-James River Bridge)

James River (James River Bridge-HRBT)

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