National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Thunderstorms and Flash Flooding Possible in the Southeast; Critical Fire Weather Conditions in the Plains on Monday

Scattered showers and isolated strong/severe thunderstorms are expected across the Southeast through Monday with scattered instances of flash flooding possible across portions of southern Georgia and northern Florida. Dry and windy conditions may produce fire weather conditions across much of the Great Plains, especially in the Northern Plains where critical fire weather conditions are expected. Read More >

FELT EARTHQUAKES IN MANU'A ISLANDS, AMERICAN SAMOA

 

Earthquakes have been felt by residents of the Manuʻa group of islands, American Samoa, since late July 2022, and are ongoing.  Current seismicity is 20 earthquakes/hour.

Volcanoes in the Manuʻa islands have not previously been monitored and were classified as unassigned in the US Geological Survey’s Volcano Alert System. Current  seismic monitoring shows that earthquake activity is above NORMAL (Green) and  that the appropriate level is ADVISORY (Yellow).

Most too small to be felt.  Level is unchanged since 16 August. 

Seismic data indicate that earthquakes are related to magma moving beneath the Manu’a Islands, likely closer to Taʻu island rather than Ofu-Olosega, and are not related to Vailulu'u seamount. Satellite data from the past 24 hours showed fairly clear views and no signs of volcanic activity.

 

 AS volcanoes map          RAA63 18aug22 0000HST helicorder
Seismicity recorded at Olosega Village (18 Aug 2022)
 

Not all earthquake swarms on volcanoes result in eruptions. Current low-level seismicity may continue and vary in intensity for days to months or longer without an eruption. It is also possible that the swarm is a precursor to an eruption. At this time, it is not known which is more likely.

A large explosive eruption similar to the Tonga eruption on 15 January 2022 is extremely unlikely due to the different volcano formation process.

The  National Weather Service in Pago Pago, USGS Volcano Hazards Program, NOAA Pacific Tsunami Warning Center, NOAA International Tsunami Information Center, and USGS National Earthquake Information Center are working together with the American Samoa DHS Emergency Operations Center (EOC) to understand the source of these earthquakes better.  
The Samoa Meteorological Service is also reporting increased seismicity south or east of Tutuila Island.

VOLCANOES IN AMERICAN SAMOA ( USGS Taū, American Samoa web site )

The U.S. Geological Survery’s Volcano Hazards Program is responsible for monitoring volcanoes in American Samoa. 

    1. Volcanoes in the Manuʻa islands have not previously been monitored and were classified as unassigned in the US Geological Survey’s Volcano Alert System. Current seismic monitoring shows that earthquake activity is above NORMAL Green) and that the appropriate level is ADVISORY (Yellow)

      From Friday, August 19, the USGS will change Taʻū and Ofu-Olosega volcanoes to ADVISORY (Yellow) status.The Alert Level is communicated in a Volcano Activity Notice (VAN) that acknowledges the level of activity. Beginning Saturday, August 20, Daily Volcano Updates will be issued for Taʻū and Ofu-Olosega instead of Information Statements. To receive, subscribe to the Volcano Updates, and/or Volcano Notification Service (VNS).

INFORMATION STATEMENTS (USGS, NOAA)
Details on the felt earthquakes, analysis, and response, and volcano science
10 August 2022
12 August 2022
13 August 2022
14 August 2022
15 August 2022
16 August 2022
17 August 2022
18 August 2022
19 August forward, Volcano Updates ,  Subscribe to Volcano Notification Service  

TSUNAMI WARNINGS IN AMERICAN SAMOA  ( tsunami.gov web site )
NOAA’s
Pacific Tsunami Warning Center  (PTWC), along with the National Weather Service in Pago Pago, are responsible for issuing tsunami alerts for American Samoa. PTWC monitors large earthquakes and will issue a warning if a dangerous tsunami is imminent. However, volcanic eruptions usually do not generate large earthquakes. Therefore, nearby coastal residents should self-evacuate upon recognizing the natural tsunami warning signs - do not wait for an official tsunami warning sensing tsunami amsamoa small 20220812

 

If you are at the coast in American Samoa, it’s important to heed the tsunami natural warning signs. If you feel a strong or long duration earthquake, see a sudden rise or fall of the ocean, or hear a loud roar from the ocean, or see a large aerial plume from a volcanic eruption, a tsunami may follow and you should immediately move to higher ground.
For more tsunami safety and awareness information, see below.
 

SUMMARY  (as of 22 August 2022)

  • Earthquakes have been felt by residents of the Manu ʻ a group of islands, American Samoa, and are ongoing.  Reports from National Park of American Samoa staff and Ta ʻ ū residents suggest that the activity began on July 26th. Since August 10th, earthquakes have also been reported by residents of Ofu and Olosega islands.
     

  • Felt Reports indicate that the earthquakes vary in intensity, but are generally short, sharp jolts. The earthquakes are more likely to be felt by people indoors at rest and along the coast, where buildings sit on sediment that amplifies shaking. These factors are probably responsible for the variability in reporting.
     

  • One temporary seismometer (vertical motion) was installed in  Fitiʻuta village on Taʻū on 13 August 2022. Another temporary seismometer was installed on Olosega village on Ofu-Olosega Island on 14 August 2022.   Both stations are currently operating intermittently, which is not unexpected for these inexpensive devices.   Better equipment is being delivered that will allow accurate locations to be determined.  
     

  • A significant number of small earthquakes (currently 20 events/hour) have been recorded; most events are too small to be felt. Estimated magnitudes of the largest earthquakes are between magnitude 2 and 3.

 

  • Shown are seismic data the seismometers on Ta'u and Ofu-Olosega islands - each vertical signal is a small local earthquake, and may be so small that they are not felt.

    RS3112 NETau 14Aug 0900HST helicorder Fitiʻuta village,  Ta'u (14 August)
    RAA63 15aug22 0300HST helicorder

Olosega village,  Ofu-Olosega (15 August)

 

Seismic data for 18 August 2022

R3112 18aug22 1200HST helicorder   Fitiʻuta village,  Ta'u (18 August)

RAA63 18aug22 1200HST helicorder

Olosega village,  Ofu-Olosega (18 August)

 

  • Seismic data showed that Olosega village is about twice as far from the earthquake source as Fiti ʻ uta village on Ta ʻ ū.  The source appears to somewhere in a 10-12 km radius from the Fiti ʻ uta seismometer and 20-25 km from the Olosega seismomete (note distances also include the depth in the Earth).  The overlap of these two distances suggest that the source is much closer to and probably somewhere beneath Ta ʻ ū island or it ʻ s submerged flanks.
     

  • Taʻū, Ofu-Olosega, and Vailuluʻu volcanoes are located on the crest of the Samoan Ridge, a predominantly submarine feature formed from volcanic activity associated with the Samoa hotspot.  The volcanoes typically erupt as slow-moving lava flows and low-level eruptions.  A vent that erupted between Ta‘ ū and Ofu-Olosega in 1866 could have been related to either volcano.  Vailuluʻu iss a submarine seamount whose summit is about 1970 feet (600 m) below sea level. The last eruption of Vailuluʻu was in 2003, during which a cone formed within the summit caldera
     

  • A large explosive eruption, like the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai volcanic eruption in Tonga earlier this year, is extremely unlikely due to the different volcano formation process (hotspot vs. subduction as the Pacific Plate subducts beneath the Indo-Australian Plate).


LINKS

American Samoa Dept of Homeland Security, Facebook 
Earthquake, Tsunami Safety information: 
Protecting yourself and your family from earthquake (USGS)
American Samoa Tsunami Awareness Information (ITIC)
Protecting yourself and your family from tsunami (NOAA)

 

Volcano information: 

Subscribe to USGS Volcano Notification Service.   For emails about American Samoa unrest, select Ofu-Olosega, Ta’u Island, and Tutuila Island from the list of available volcanoes. 
National Park of American Samoa
Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program webpage on Taʻū Island
Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program webpage on Vailuluʻu

Tsunami information:  

• Subscribe to U.S. Tsunami Warning Centers (NTWC, PTWC)
National Weather Service Pago Pago Office, Facebook
Pacific Tsunami Warning Center