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Tonight
Weekly Outlook
May Climatology
May 2026 Outlook
Increasing clouds tonight with isolated strong to severe storms possible across the Rio Grande Plains overnight through Thursday morning. Main severe weather hazards are large hail and damaging wind gusts.
Cooler Thursday and Friday but warming for the weekend into the middle of next week. Best rain chance days are Thursday through Saturday with decreasing rain chances Sunday into the middle of next week.
May is an active month across South-Central Texas characterized by muggy conditions and frequent late-afternoon thunderstorms. While highs are typically in the 80s and 90s, triple digits often emerge along the Rio Grande. For May 2026, the local forecast leans toward a wetter-than-normal month with no strong signal for temperatures to deviate from seasonal averages.
The Climate Prediction Center outlook for May 2026 outlines expected conditions across the U.S. The Precipitation Outlook indicates a 33–50% chance for above-normal rainfall across most of Texas. Meanwhile, the Temperature Outlook places South-Central Texas in an Equal Chances zone, meaning there is no specific lean toward a cooler or warmer month compared to the norm.
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