May 18th, 1995 Convective Outlook issued at 8:46 PM.

ZCZC MKCSWODY1 000
ACUS1 KMKC 190146
MKC AC 190146

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH94O.

VALID 190200Z - 191200Z

REF WW NUMBER 0447...VALID TIL 0400Z
REF WW NUMBER 0448...VALID TIL 0500Z
REF WW NUMBER 0449...VALID TIL 0800Z

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVR ERN PTNS OF KY...SRN WV...WRN
VA...WRN NC...NWRN GA...NRN AL...AND NERN MS.  THE MDT RISK IS TO
THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM TUP 15 E BNA LEX HTS EKN CHO LYH HKY AVL
RMG CBM TUP.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 SW LCH ESF UOX BNA DAY 25 NW PIT EWR ...CONT... 20 ESE SAV MGR
AQQ.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM GLS MLU MKL OWB MTC
...CONT... BUF BOS ...CONT... 30 SE DAB PIE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N GFK ABR IML RTN
LVS ABQ GUP GCN DRA NFL WMC PIH COD 45 N GGW.


TORNADIC SUPERCELLS CONT TO DVLP AND MOVE NEWD AHD OF COLD FNT ACRS
THE LWR OH/TN VLYS THIS EVENING...WHILE ISOLD SVR TSTMS ARE DVLPG
FARTHER EAST OVR PTNS OF THE MID ATLC RGN.  00Z WIND PROFILE CONTS
TO BE SUPPORTIVE OF SVR TSTMS WITH STG SPD SHEAR OBSERVED ALONG
WITH MDT (LI/S TO -6) INSTBY FM WRN PTNS OF GULF CST TO VA.  SFC LO
SHUD TRACK EWD ALG EXISTING BNDRY ACRS SRN OH VLY WHILE TRAILING
COLD FNT WILL MOVE INTO CNTRL PTNS OF GULF CST RGN.  AS THE SYS
MOVES EWD...LLVL JET IS PROGD TO LIFT NEWD INTO WRN PTNS OF VA
WHILE STG MID/UPR LVL WINDS EXTD FM CNTRL PTNS OF GULF CST INTO SRN
NEW ENGLAND...PROVIDING STG SPD SHEAR OVR RGN.  THE EXISTING FNTL
BNDRY WILL CONT TO FOCUS SVR TSTM ACTIVITY AS THE UPR LVL SHRTWV
TROF MOVES EWD ACRS OH VLY.  ISOLD SUPERCELLS AND THREAT OF
TORNADOES WILL CONT WELL INTO THE MRNG HRS...ESP FM NRN PTNS OF AL
INTO WRN VA.

SFC COLD FNT WILL DROP SEWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS OVERNIGHT PROVIDING
THE FOCUS FOR ISOLD TSTMS FM ND INTO THE CNTRL RCKYS.  MRGL INSTBY
AND THE LACK OF SUF LLVL MSTR WILL PRECLUDE SVR TSTM THREAT.
 
 
..DARROW.. 05/19/95