National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Weather and Excessive Rainfall Across Portions of the Central U.S.; Heat Continues to Impact the West

Severe thunderstorms are expected Wednesday, particularly across parts of the Ozarks and Ohio Valley, and portions of the northern and central Plains. Excessive rainfall is forecast Wednesday in the Midwest which may bring areas of flash flooding. Excessive heat with potential records will continue to impact much of California away from the immediate coast into the weekend. Read More >

What is the WFO FWD Fire Weather Threat Index?

 

The National Weather Service (identifier FWD) in Fort Worth has developed an index to assess the fire weather threat across north Texas. The FWD Fire Weather Threat Index that you see on the WFO Fort Worth fire weather pages is a locally-developed scaled value derived from relative humidity, wind speed, and fuel factor.

The values of the index range from 1 (minimal threat) to 100 (highest threat). Theoretically, values should be near  1 when winds are light, relative humidities are over 90%, and fine fuels (typically grasses) are either green or moist from recent rains. 

On the other extreme, values should be near 100 (highest threat) during dry periods in the fall and winter when sustained winds are at least 20 mph and relative humidity values are less than 35%. Recent rainfall and/or substantial green vegetation could make the FWD Fire Threat Index much lower, even with low humidities and strong winds.

Fire Weather Threat Values of FWD Fire Weather Threat Index

LOW
 0-20

MODERATE
 21-40

HIGH 
41-60

VERY HIGH
 61-80

EXTREME
 81-100

Graphic showing Fire Index as a function of wind speed and humidity.