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Severe Weather and Heavy Rainfall Potential for the Plains; Coastal Low Across the mid-Atlantic

An upper trough and frontal boundary will focus showers and thunderstorms across portions of the Plains through early Monday; A few severe thunderstorms along with heavy rainfall are expected. Meanwhile, low pressure off the Southeast Coast will bring inclement weather across the mid-Atlantic coast through Monday. This system is forecast to meander off the coast then track inland early this week. Read More >

Automatically generated image showing areas of the significant tornado parameter.

 

Thumbnail of an automatically generated image showing areas of the significant tornado parameter. Thumbnail of an automatically generated image showing areas of the significant tornado parameter. Thumbnail of an automatically generated image showing areas of the significant tornado parameter.
Hour - 1 Hour - 2 Hour -3

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Significant Tornado (SigTor) 

A composite index that includes 0-6 km bulk wind shear, 0-1 km storm-relative helicity, surface based CAPE, surface parcel CIN, and surface parcel LCL height. Values greater than 1 are indicative of increased potential of significant tornadoes.

The contours are the Lifted Condensation Level or LCL.  A lower LCL typically increases tornadic risk because it is indicative of air parcel acceleration occurring closer to the surface. 

 

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