Powerful Winter Storm from the Upper Midwest into the Northeast; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest and Ohio Valley

A rapidly-intensifying storm is expected to bring heavy snow, blizzard conditions, and icing from the Upper Midwest through the Great Lakes and Northeast. Scattered severe thunderstorms may produce severe/damaging wind gusts and a couple of tornadoes across parts of the Midwest and lower Ohio Valley through the evening. Arctic air will expand across the central and southern U.S.. Read More >

Automatically generated image showing areas of the convective interest parameter.


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Convective Interest

This is a highly experimental index which attempts to show areas where surface based convection is favorable or may initiate within the next hour. The index uses a combination of several fields, (CAPE, CIN, low level lapse rates, moisture convergence, satellite, and most unstable LI) to develop a number between -100 and 100. Negative values are indicative of an environment not supportive of surface based convection. The higher the value, the more favorable the environment is for surface based convection. Values greater than 70 are suggestive that convective initiation will likely occur within the next hour in that region. This index works best in regimes of airmass (or pulse) convection or on days where the cap is the primary inhibiting factor for convection.

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Powerful Winter Storm from the Upper Midwest into the Northeast; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest and Ohio Valley

Convective Parameters - Convective Interest