National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

 

Wondering when it's safe to plant frost sensitive vegetation across our area? Here are some statistics for select climate sites in southeast Wyoming and western Nebraska with long records. These statistics are all based on records from 1951-2022. 

For several temperature thresholds important to growers, we have included the earliest last date colder than the threshold, the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentile dates, and the latest date colder than the threshold. The percentiles can be interpreted as the probability of having seen the last instance colder than a threshold by a certain date.

For example, the 10th percentile last freeze (<32F) date for Cheyenne is May 1st. That means that there is a 10% chance that the last freeze date has already occurred by May 1st, and conversely a 90% chance an additional freeze occurs after that date. The 50th percentile date is May 13th, which means there is a 50% chance that the last freeze has already occurred by that date. Lastly, the 90th percentile date is May 25th, which means that there is a 90% chance that the last freeze has already occurred by May 25th. 

 

 Cheyenne, WY

  24°F 28°F 32°F 36°F
Earliest March 26 April 8 April 21 May 1
10th Percentile April 6 April 19 April 30 May 15
50th Percentile April 25 May 1 May 13 May 26
90th Percentile May 8 May 14 May 25 June 11
Latest May 21 June 3 June 8 June 25

 

 Laramie, WY

  24°F 28°F 32°F 36°F
Earliest April 8 April 22 May 9 May 28
10th Percentile April 27 May 6 May 19 June 10
50th Percentile May 11 May 21 June 7 June 20
90th Percentile May 22 June 4 June 22 July 4
Latest June 8 June 22 July 7 July 30

 

 Rawlins, WY

  24°F 28°F 32°F 36°F
Earliest April 3 April 21 May 4 May 9
10th Percentile April 18 April 29 May 14 May 31
50th Percentile May 1 May 14 June 1 June 14
90th Percentile May 14 June 2 June 17 June 28
Latest June 4 June 23 July 7 July 20

 

Alliance, NE

  24°F 28°F 32°F 36°F
Earliest March 16 April 6 April 21 April 23
10th Percentile April 5 April 14 April 30 May 9
50th Percentile April 27 May 3 May 14 May 27
90th Percentile May 13 May 20 May 28 June 14
Latest May 25 June 2 June 14 July 4

 

Scottsbluff, NE

  24°F 28°F 32°F 36°F
Earliest March 13 April 1 April 5 April 21
10th Percentile April 3 April 9 April 24 May 6
50th Percentile April 18 April 28 May 8 May 17
90th Percentile May 1 May 9 May 20 June 3
Latest May 12 May 21 June 14 June 14

 

Chadron, NE

  24°F 28°F 32°F 36°F
Earliest March 13 April 7 April 15 May 2
10th Percentile April 4 April 16 May 2 May 11
50th Percentile April 22 May 3 May 14 May 24
90th Percentile May 6 May 19 May 25 June 8
Latest May 22 June 2 June 14 June 25

 

Sidney, NE

  24°F 28°F 32°F 36°F
Earliest April 2 April 8 April 25 May 2
10th Percentile April 8 April 20 April 30 May 13
50th Percentile April 23 May 2 May 15 May 23
90th Percentile May 8 May 16 June 2 June 12
Latest May 22 June 14 June 14 June 22