Some thunderstorms may turn severe on the eastern plains this afternoon with a risk of large hail and damaging winds. Along the central mountain chain from Taos to Ruidoso, some virga showers and dry thunderstorms will be capable of producing localized, brief, and erratic wind gusts up to 45 mph.
On Saturday, the risk of severe thunderstorms will expand westward into the central valley, including Albuquerque and Santa Fe. Large hail, damaging winds, and heavy downpours will be the primary threats.
We have lower confidence that severe thunderstorms will develop on Sunday, but a few stray cells will be capable of producing large hail and damaging winds along with heavy downpours.
Slightly cooler temperatures arrive this weekend into early next week as rich monsoon arrives with daily rounds of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some of which will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding.
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