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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0727 MDT Tuesday April 15 2025
This forecast is for Tuesday, April 15, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 61.7 F/16.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 888 ft/min (4.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 16425 ft MSL (10082 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 71.0 F/22.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1230 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11115 ft MSL (4772 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 04/16.... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:31:12 / 19:36:36 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 5 min 24 sec (785 min 24 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:03:54 MDT... 65.07 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 04/15/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12717 ft MSL (6374 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15901 ft MSL (9558 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16289 ft MSL (9945 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.3
K index......................... +20.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.7 -80.9 270 48 25 0.9 0.5 88.1 190.6 38.7 M M
45000 -60.8 -77.4 270 57 29 3.3 1.8 67.2 152.9 28.4 M M
40000 -55.9 -68.6 265 69 35 3.2 1.8 52.4 126.4 20.5 M M
38000 -53.6 -64.5 260 69 35 3.9 2.2 46.8 116.3 17.3 M M
36000 -51.3 -60.3 260 67 35 3.9 2.2 41.9 107.5 14.3 M M
34000 -47.4 -53.3 260 66 34 7.6 4.2 38.2 100.8 12.0 M M
32000 -42.8 -45.0 265 65 33 7.6 4.2 36.5 97.7 11.1 M M
30000 -39.1 -38.4 265 57 30 5.0 2.8 33.7 92.7 9.2 M M
29000 -37.6 -35.7 260 51 26 5.0 2.8 31.9 89.3 7.9 M M
28000 -36.1 -33.0 260 44 23 5.1 2.8 30.2 86.3 6.6 M M
27000 -34.2 -29.6 255 39 20 7.3 4.0 28.8 83.9 5.6 M M
26000 -32.0 -25.6 255 37 19 7.4 4.0 27.9 82.2 4.9 M M
25000 -29.8 -21.6 250 34 17 7.4 4.1 27.0 80.7 4.3 M M
24000 -27.5 -17.5 245 33 17 8.5 4.7 26.4 79.5 3.8 M M
23000 -25.0 -13.0 245 36 18 8.5 4.7 25.9 78.5 3.4 M M
22000 -22.4 -8.3 245 38 20 8.5 4.7 25.5 77.8 3.1 M M
21000 -19.9 -3.8 245 41 21 8.7 4.7 25.0 77.1 2.7 M M
20000 -17.3 0.9 245 43 22 8.7 4.8 24.6 76.4 2.4 M M
19500 -16.0 3.2 250 44 23 8.7 4.8 24.5 76.1 2.2 M M
19000 -14.2 6.4 250 46 24 7.7 4.2 24.2 75.6 2.0 M M
18500 -13.1 8.4 245 45 23 7.6 4.2 23.8 74.9 1.6 M M
18000 -12.0 10.4 245 45 23 7.5 4.1 23.5 74.2 1.2 M M
17500 -10.9 12.4 240 43 22 7.2 4.0 23.0 73.5 0.8 M M
17000 -9.9 14.2 235 41 21 7.3 4.0 22.6 72.7 0.4 M M
16500 -8.9 16.0 235 39 20 6.8 3.7 22.2 71.9 -0.0 888 4.5
16000 -7.8 18.0 230 35 18 6.8 3.7 21.7 71.0 -0.5 843 4.3
15500 -6.8 19.8 230 32 16 7.2 3.9 21.2 70.2 -0.9 798 4.1
15000 -5.7 21.7 230 28 14 7.4 4.1 20.8 69.5 -1.2 750 3.8
14500 -4.6 23.7 230 24 12 7.7 4.3 20.4 68.8 -1.6 701 3.6
14000 -3.3 26.1 230 21 11 8.4 4.6 20.2 68.3 -1.8 649 3.3
13500 -2.1 28.2 235 18 9 8.5 4.7 20.0 67.9 -2.0 597 3.0
13000 -0.7 30.7 235 16 8 9.2 5.0 19.8 67.7 -2.1 542 2.8
12500 0.6 33.1 240 15 8 9.1 5.0 19.7 67.5 -2.2 486 2.5
12000 2.0 35.6 240 15 8 8.6 4.7 19.6 67.3 -2.4 431 2.2
11500 3.3 37.9 245 14 7 8.8 4.8 19.4 67.0 -2.5 377 1.9
11000 4.1 39.4 240 14 7 2.0 1.1 18.8 65.8 -3.2 338 1.7
10500 4.3 39.7 225 13 7 1.8 1.0 17.5 63.6 -4.4 316 1.6
10250 4.3 39.7 215 13 7 -1.2 -0.7 16.8 62.3 -5.2 308 1.6
10000 4.1 39.4 195 15 8 -2.6 -1.4 15.9 60.6 -6.2 308 1.6
9750 3.9 39.0 185 17 9 -1.5 -0.8 15.0 59.0 -7.1 306 1.6
9500 3.7 38.7 180 19 10 -2.4 -1.3 14.1 57.3 -8.0 304 1.5
9250 3.4 38.1 170 20 10 -4.7 -2.6 13.1 55.5 -9.0 305 1.6
9000 3.0 37.4 165 21 11 -5.0 -2.7 11.9 53.4 -10.2 310 1.6
8750 2.7 36.9 160 22 11 -4.0 -2.2 10.8 51.5 -11.3 313 1.6
8500 2.4 36.3 155 22 11 -1.9 -1.0 9.8 49.7 -12.3 314 1.6
8250 2.4 36.3 145 21 11 0.1 0.1 9.0 48.3 -13.1 307 1.6
8000 2.4 36.3 135 21 11 -0.0 -0.0 8.3 46.9 -13.9 299 1.5
7750 2.4 36.3 125 21 11 -0.3 -0.2 7.5 45.6 -14.6 291 1.5
7500 2.5 36.5 115 21 11 3.7 2.0 6.9 44.4 -15.3 281 1.4
7250 3.0 37.4 110 20 10 7.0 3.8 6.6 43.9 -15.6 260 1.3
7000 3.5 38.3 100 20 10 5.6 3.1 6.3 43.4 -15.9 238 1.2
6750 3.9 39.0 095 19 10 7.6 4.1 6.1 42.9 -16.2 217 1.1
6500 4.7 40.5 095 17 9 11.9 6.5 6.1 42.9 -16.2 187 1.0
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
04/15/2025 at 0900 MDT | 04/15/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.3 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.2
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +20.5 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +15.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.4 -80.3 270 49 25 1.9 1.1 | -63.0 -81.4 270 51 26 2.2 1.2
45000 -59.5 -75.1 265 58 30 2.1 1.2 | -59.7 -75.5 270 65 33 2.3 1.3
40000 -56.3 -69.3 265 67 35 2.0 1.1 | -56.2 -69.2 260 64 33 2.1 1.2
38000 -54.1 -65.4 265 71 37 4.1 2.2 | -53.7 -64.7 260 68 35 4.4 2.4
36000 -51.6 -60.9 265 76 39 4.1 2.3 | -50.8 -59.4 265 73 37 4.4 2.4
34000 -47.7 -53.9 265 72 37 7.4 4.1 | -47.2 -53.0 265 69 35 7.1 3.9
32000 -43.3 -45.9 265 62 32 7.4 4.1 | -43.0 -45.4 265 59 30 7.1 3.9
30000 -38.9 -38.0 265 56 29 7.2 3.9 | -38.5 -37.3 260 53 27 7.9 4.3
29000 -36.7 -34.1 265 55 28 7.2 3.9 | -36.1 -33.0 260 52 27 7.9 4.3
28000 -34.6 -30.3 260 53 27 7.2 3.9 | -33.7 -28.7 255 51 26 7.9 4.3
27000 -32.6 -26.7 260 51 26 6.2 3.4 | -31.5 -24.7 255 51 26 7.3 4.0
26000 -30.7 -23.3 260 48 25 6.2 3.4 | -29.3 -20.7 255 51 26 7.3 4.0
25000 -28.8 -19.8 255 44 23 6.2 3.4 | -27.0 -16.6 255 52 27 7.3 4.0
24000 -26.9 -16.4 255 43 22 6.9 3.8 | -25.1 -13.2 250 52 27 5.5 3.0
23000 -24.9 -12.8 250 44 23 7.0 3.8 | -23.4 -10.1 250 53 27 5.6 3.1
22000 -22.8 -9.0 245 46 23 7.1 3.9 | -21.7 -7.1 245 54 28 5.7 3.1
21000 -20.5 -4.9 240 46 24 8.6 4.7 | -19.9 -3.8 245 52 27 6.9 3.8
20000 -17.9 -0.2 240 45 23 8.7 4.8 | -17.3 0.9 245 46 24 7.1 3.9
19500 -16.0 3.2 240 44 22 8.8 4.8 | -16.3 2.7 240 44 23 7.2 3.9
19000 -14.7 5.5 240 43 22 7.8 4.3 | -15.2 4.6 240 42 22 7.9 4.4
18500 -13.6 7.5 240 41 21 7.7 4.2 | -14.0 6.8 240 41 21 8.0 4.4
18000 -12.4 9.7 235 39 20 7.9 4.3 | -12.8 9.0 240 40 21 8.1 4.4
17500 -11.3 11.7 235 39 20 8.2 4.5 | -11.6 11.1 235 39 20 8.2 4.5
17000 -10.1 13.8 235 38 20 8.3 4.6 | -10.3 13.5 235 39 20 8.3 4.5
16500 -8.9 16.0 230 37 19 7.4 4.1 | -9.1 15.6 235 38 20 7.9 4.3
16000 -7.8 18.0 225 36 19 7.5 4.1 | -8.0 17.6 230 38 19 7.9 4.3
15500 -6.7 19.9 220 35 18 7.7 4.2 | -6.8 19.8 230 37 19 8.8 4.8
15000 -5.6 21.9 220 32 16 7.8 4.3 | -5.5 22.1 225 36 19 9.1 5.0
14500 -4.4 24.1 215 29 15 7.5 4.1 | -4.2 24.4 220 35 18 9.0 5.0
14000 -3.3 26.1 215 26 13 7.1 3.9 | -2.9 26.8 220 34 18 8.8 4.8
13500 -2.3 27.9 210 23 12 7.2 4.0 | -1.6 29.1 220 33 17 8.7 4.8
13000 -1.1 30.0 210 21 11 7.5 4.1 | -0.3 31.5 220 31 16 8.4 4.6
12500 -0.0 32.0 215 19 10 7.5 4.1 | 0.9 33.6 220 30 15 8.3 4.5
12000 1.1 34.0 215 18 9 7.7 4.2 | 2.1 35.8 220 28 14 7.0 3.8
11500 2.2 36.0 210 17 9 8.0 4.4 | 3.1 37.6 220 26 13 7.7 4.2
11000 3.2 37.8 205 16 8 4.9 2.7 | 3.8 38.8 215 22 11 1.6 0.9
10500 3.9 39.0 195 15 8 3.4 1.9 | 4.1 39.4 205 19 10 1.0 0.6
10250 3.9 39.0 190 15 8 -0.9 -0.5 | 3.9 39.0 195 17 9 -5.5 -3.0
10000 3.7 38.7 180 15 8 -4.1 -2.2 | 3.4 38.1 180 15 8 -3.2 -1.7
9750 3.3 37.9 175 15 8 -4.3 -2.4 | 3.5 38.3 170 14 7 1.4 0.8
9500 3.0 37.4 170 16 8 -5.6 -3.1 | 3.5 38.3 160 14 7 2.4 1.3
9250 2.4 36.3 160 16 8 -8.7 -4.8 | 3.9 39.0 155 14 7 8.0 4.4
9000 1.8 35.2 155 15 8 -7.9 -4.4 | 4.6 40.3 155 14 7 9.0 5.0
8750 1.2 34.2 145 15 8 -7.1 -3.9 | 5.2 41.4 150 15 8 7.8 4.3
8500 0.9 33.6 140 15 8 1.5 0.8 | 5.8 42.4 150 15 8 8.6 4.7
8250 1.4 34.5 135 15 8 8.8 4.8 | 6.5 43.7 150 15 8 9.5 5.2
8000 2.0 35.6 130 15 8 6.9 3.8 | 7.2 45.0 145 15 8 9.4 5.1
7750 2.6 36.7 130 15 8 8.6 4.7 | 7.9 46.2 145 15 8 9.6 5.3
7500 3.3 37.9 125 15 8 9.8 5.4 | 8.6 47.5 145 15 8 10.3 5.7
7250 4.0 39.2 125 15 7 10.4 5.7 | 9.4 48.9 145 15 8 11.2 6.1
7000 4.8 40.6 125 14 7 8.5 4.7 | 10.2 50.4 145 15 7 9.5 5.2
6750 5.5 41.9 120 14 7 11.9 6.5 | 11.0 51.8 145 14 7 14.5 7.9
6500 6.8 44.2 120 13 7 22.9 12.6 | 12.6 54.7 145 14 7 28.2 15.5
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
04/15/2025 at 1500 MDT | 04/15/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +88.1 LI... -1.8 | CAPE... +21.0 LI... +0.2
CINH... -1.0 K Index... +25.6 | CINH... -25.8 K Index... +26.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.3 -81.9 260 52 27 3.5 1.9 | -62.8 -81.0 265 59 31 1.7 0.9
45000 -58.6 -73.5 265 59 31 0.9 0.5 | -60.2 -76.4 260 63 32 2.0 1.1
40000 -57.2 -71.0 260 67 34 0.5 0.3 | -57.3 -71.1 255 63 32 1.5 0.8
38000 -54.4 -65.9 265 70 36 5.4 3.0 | -54.1 -65.4 260 67 34 5.8 3.2
36000 -50.7 -59.3 265 73 38 5.4 3.0 | -50.7 -59.3 260 72 37 5.8 3.2
34000 -47.0 -52.6 265 70 36 6.8 3.7 | -46.3 -51.3 260 69 36 7.0 3.9
32000 -43.0 -45.4 260 63 33 6.8 3.7 | -42.1 -43.8 260 61 31 7.0 3.9
30000 -38.5 -37.3 255 58 30 8.0 4.4 | -37.5 -35.5 260 57 30 8.0 4.4
29000 -36.1 -33.0 255 56 29 8.0 4.4 | -35.1 -31.2 260 57 29 8.0 4.4
28000 -33.7 -28.7 250 54 28 8.0 4.4 | -32.8 -27.0 260 57 29 8.0 4.4
27000 -31.3 -24.3 250 52 27 8.2 4.5 | -30.6 -23.1 260 56 29 6.9 3.8
26000 -28.8 -19.8 255 51 26 8.2 4.5 | -28.5 -19.3 260 55 28 6.9 3.8
25000 -26.3 -15.3 255 49 25 8.2 4.5 | -26.4 -15.5 260 54 28 6.9 3.8
24000 -24.0 -11.2 255 49 25 7.6 4.1 | -24.5 -12.1 260 52 27 6.3 3.5
23000 -21.7 -7.1 255 49 25 7.6 4.2 | -22.6 -8.7 260 49 25 6.4 3.5
22000 -19.4 -2.9 255 50 26 7.4 4.1 | -20.7 -5.3 255 47 24 6.6 3.6
21000 -17.8 -0.0 255 50 26 3.8 2.1 | -18.5 -1.3 250 44 23 8.5 4.7
20000 -16.5 2.3 250 47 24 3.9 2.1 | -16.0 3.2 245 41 21 8.6 4.7
19500 -16.0 3.2 245 46 24 3.9 2.1 | -14.2 6.4 240 39 20 8.7 4.8
19000 -15.3 4.5 245 45 23 7.6 4.2 | -13.0 8.6 240 37 19 7.4 4.1
18500 -14.0 6.8 240 43 22 8.4 4.6 | -11.9 10.6 235 35 18 7.2 3.9
18000 -12.8 9.0 240 41 21 8.3 4.6 | -10.9 12.4 235 33 17 7.1 3.9
17500 -11.6 11.1 235 39 20 7.8 4.3 | -9.9 14.2 235 31 16 6.6 3.6
17000 -10.5 13.1 235 37 19 7.9 4.3 | -8.9 16.0 230 29 15 6.7 3.7
16500 -9.4 15.1 230 35 18 7.6 4.1 | -8.0 17.6 230 27 14 6.3 3.4
16000 -8.3 17.1 230 33 17 7.6 4.2 | -7.1 19.2 235 24 12 6.3 3.4
15500 -7.1 19.2 225 31 16 7.8 4.3 | -6.1 21.0 235 22 11 6.3 3.5
15000 -6.0 21.2 225 29 15 8.0 4.4 | -5.2 22.6 230 20 10 6.4 3.5
14500 -4.8 23.4 220 27 14 8.3 4.6 | -4.3 24.3 230 19 10 6.7 3.7
14000 -3.5 25.7 220 25 13 9.2 5.0 | -3.2 26.2 230 18 9 7.7 4.2
13500 -2.1 28.2 215 24 12 9.2 5.0 | -2.1 28.2 230 17 9 7.8 4.3
13000 -0.7 30.7 215 22 11 9.4 5.2 | -0.7 30.7 225 17 9 9.7 5.3
12500 0.7 33.3 215 21 11 9.4 5.1 | 0.7 33.3 225 17 9 9.6 5.3
12000 2.1 35.8 210 20 10 9.6 5.3 | 2.2 36.0 225 17 9 9.9 5.4
11500 3.5 38.3 210 19 10 9.2 5.1 | 3.6 38.5 225 17 9 9.7 5.3
11000 4.9 40.8 210 17 9 9.9 5.4 | 5.0 41.0 225 17 9 9.4 5.1
10500 6.4 43.5 205 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 6.4 43.5 225 17 9 9.3 5.1
10250 7.1 44.8 205 16 8 9.1 5.0 | 7.1 44.8 220 18 9 9.6 5.3
10000 7.8 46.0 205 15 8 9.4 5.1 | 7.9 46.2 220 18 9 10.0 5.5
9750 8.5 47.3 205 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 8.6 47.5 220 18 9 10.0 5.5
9500 9.2 48.6 200 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 9.4 48.9 220 18 9 10.0 5.5
9250 10.0 50.0 200 13 7 11.0 6.0 | 10.1 50.2 220 18 9 10.4 5.7
9000 10.8 51.4 195 12 6 10.1 5.5 | 10.9 51.6 220 18 9 9.9 5.4
8750 11.5 52.7 195 12 6 8.3 4.6 | 11.6 52.9 220 18 9 9.2 5.0
8500 12.1 53.8 190 11 6 9.1 5.0 | 12.3 54.1 220 18 9 9.5 5.2
8250 12.8 55.0 190 10 5 9.9 5.4 | 13.0 55.4 220 18 10 9.8 5.4
8000 13.6 56.5 185 10 5 10.0 5.5 | 13.8 56.8 220 18 10 10.0 5.5
7750 14.3 57.7 185 9 5 9.4 5.1 | 14.5 58.1 220 19 10 9.7 5.3
7500 15.0 59.0 180 9 5 10.0 5.5 | 15.2 59.4 220 19 10 9.9 5.5
7250 15.8 60.4 175 8 4 11.0 6.0 | 16.0 60.8 220 18 9 10.4 5.7
7000 16.6 61.9 170 8 4 10.5 5.7 | 16.8 62.2 220 18 9 10.4 5.7
6750 17.4 63.3 165 8 4 11.4 6.2 | 17.5 63.5 215 18 9 10.1 5.5
6500 18.4 65.1 160 7 4 17.3 9.5 | 18.3 64.9 215 17 9 11.8 6.5
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0728 MDT Tuesday April 15 2025
This forecast is for Tuesday, April 15, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 67.5 F/19.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 807 ft/min (4.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 14709 ft MSL (9410 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 75.0 F/24.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1230 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9953 ft MSL (4654 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 04/16.... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:33:37 / 19:39:09 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 5 min 32 sec (785 min 32 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:06:23 MDT... 64.98 degrees
Upper air data from rawinsonde observation taken on 04/15/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 13126 ft MSL (7827 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17067 ft MSL (11768 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16970 ft MSL (11671 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.5
K index......................... +17.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.3 -81.9 270 56 29 5.5 3.0 92.8 199.0 39.5 M M
45000 -61.2 -78.2 270 74 38 4.1 2.3 70.4 158.7 28.7 M M
40000 -55.3 -67.5 265 68 35 -5.7 -3.1 56.7 134.1 21.7 M M
38000 -55.9 -68.6 255 73 37 -2.2 -1.2 47.1 116.9 15.8 M M
36000 -52.6 -62.7 250 59 30 6.1 3.4 43.3 110.0 13.5 M M
34000 -48.3 -54.9 265 62 32 8.1 4.4 41.0 105.9 12.3 M M
32000 -43.6 -46.5 265 62 32 8.3 4.5 39.6 103.2 11.5 M M
30000 -39.0 -38.2 260 64 33 4.8 2.6 36.9 98.5 9.8 M M
29000 -37.3 -35.1 255 59 30 6.7 3.7 35.3 95.5 8.7 M M
28000 -35.3 -31.5 255 55 28 6.2 3.4 34.2 93.5 7.9 M M
27000 -34.0 -29.2 245 50 26 0.4 0.2 32.1 89.7 6.4 M M
26000 -32.6 -26.7 240 47 24 7.7 4.2 30.2 86.3 4.9 M M
25000 -30.0 -22.0 240 37 19 8.9 4.9 29.7 85.5 4.6 M M
24000 -27.4 -17.3 240 34 18 8.6 4.7 29.3 84.7 4.3 M M
23000 -24.9 -12.8 240 38 20 7.8 4.3 28.9 84.0 4.0 M M
22000 -22.7 -8.9 245 42 21 8.8 4.8 28.0 82.4 3.3 M M
21000 -20.2 -4.4 240 36 19 4.8 2.6 27.5 81.5 2.9 M M
20000 -17.6 0.3 240 35 18 10.2 5.6 27.2 81.0 2.6 M M
19500 -16.3 2.7 240 35 18 7.4 4.1 27.0 80.6 2.4 M M
19000 -15.3 4.5 245 35 18 5.8 3.2 26.5 79.8 2.0 M M
18500 -14.5 5.9 250 31 16 6.0 3.3 25.8 78.5 1.4 M M
18000 -13.6 7.5 245 27 14 6.3 3.4 25.2 77.3 0.8 M M
17500 -12.3 9.9 235 29 15 9.8 5.4 24.9 76.9 0.6 M M
17000 -11.0 12.2 235 29 15 8.9 4.9 24.8 76.7 0.5 M M
16500 -9.7 14.5 235 26 14 8.9 4.9 24.7 76.5 0.3 M M
16000 -7.7 18.1 220 28 14 9.1 5.0 24.5 76.2 0.2 M M
15500 -6.3 20.7 225 25 13 9.1 5.0 24.4 76.0 0.1 M M
15000 -4.9 23.2 230 22 12 9.1 5.0 24.4 75.9 0.0 M M
14500 -3.6 25.5 230 20 10 9.1 5.0 24.3 75.7 -0.0 772 3.9
14000 -2.2 28.0 235 21 11 9.1 5.0 24.2 75.5 -0.1 716 3.6
13500 -0.8 30.6 225 22 11 9.1 5.0 24.1 75.4 -0.2 660 3.4
13000 0.6 33.1 240 19 10 9.1 5.0 24.0 75.2 -0.3 604 3.1
12500 1.9 35.4 245 18 9 9.2 5.0 23.9 74.9 -0.4 548 2.8
12000 3.3 37.9 230 12 6 9.4 5.2 23.7 74.7 -0.5 492 2.5
11500 4.5 40.1 265 6 3 5.6 3.1 23.4 74.1 -0.9 442 2.2
11000 5.2 41.4 325 7 4 5.4 3.0 22.7 72.9 -1.5 404 2.1
10500 6.0 42.8 325 4 2 5.3 2.9 22.0 71.7 -2.2 366 1.9
10250 6.4 43.5 305 2 1 4.7 2.6 21.7 71.0 -2.6 347 1.8
10000 6.8 44.2 295 2 1 4.5 2.5 21.3 70.3 -3.0 329 1.7
9750 7.1 44.8 235 3 2 4.5 2.4 20.8 69.5 -3.4 311 1.6
9500 7.5 45.5 220 6 3 4.9 2.7 20.4 68.8 -3.7 294 1.5
9250 7.9 46.2 215 9 5 5.9 3.3 20.1 68.2 -4.1 274 1.4
9000 8.3 46.9 205 11 6 6.1 3.3 19.8 67.7 -4.4 253 1.3
8750 8.8 47.8 205 10 5 6.5 3.5 19.5 67.2 -4.7 232 1.2
8500 9.3 48.7 205 9 5 7.9 4.4 19.3 66.8 -4.9 209 1.1
8250 9.9 49.8 210 8 4 8.6 4.7 19.2 66.6 -5.0 183 0.9
8000 10.5 50.9 215 7 4 8.3 4.6 19.2 66.5 -5.1 157 0.8
7750 11.1 52.0 210 6 3 8.8 4.8 19.0 66.3 -5.2 131 0.7
7500 11.8 53.2 200 5 3 7.0 3.9 18.9 66.1 -5.4 105 0.5
7250 12.1 53.8 155 8 4 4.5 2.5 18.6 65.5 -5.7 86 0.4
7000 12.5 54.5 135 14 7 6.8 3.7 18.3 64.9 -6.1 68 0.3
6750 12.9 55.2 125 17 9 -0.1 -0.1 17.9 64.3 -6.5 50 0.3
6500 12.3 54.1 110 23 12 -11.6 -6.4 16.7 62.0 -7.8 59 0.3
6250 11.4 52.5 100 31 16 -12.5 -6.9 14.9 58.9 -9.5 81 0.4
6000 10.4 50.7 095 39 20 -14.5 -7.9 13.3 55.9 -11.2 103 0.5
5750 9.4 48.9 100 35 18 -5.7 -3.1 11.6 52.8 -13.0 124 0.6
5500 9.9 49.8 100 28 14 19.9 10.9 11.4 52.4 -13.2 102 0.5
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
04/15/2025 at 0900 MDT | 04/15/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.3 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +0.4
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +18.7 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +13.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.9 -81.2 265 50 26 3.1 1.7 | -63.0 -81.4 265 49 25 2.6 1.4
45000 -58.6 -73.5 265 60 31 1.6 0.9 | -59.2 -74.6 265 62 32 2.1 1.2
40000 -56.1 -69.0 265 68 35 1.5 0.8 | -56.1 -69.0 260 64 33 1.9 1.1
38000 -54.1 -65.4 265 72 37 3.9 2.1 | -53.3 -63.9 260 69 35 4.5 2.5
36000 -51.5 -60.7 265 76 39 3.9 2.1 | -50.6 -59.1 265 74 38 4.5 2.5
34000 -48.0 -54.4 265 72 37 7.5 4.1 | -47.2 -53.0 265 71 37 6.8 3.7
32000 -43.5 -46.3 265 62 32 7.5 4.1 | -43.1 -45.6 260 61 32 6.8 3.7
30000 -38.9 -38.0 260 56 29 7.7 4.2 | -38.8 -37.8 260 55 29 7.6 4.2
29000 -36.6 -33.9 260 55 28 7.7 4.2 | -36.6 -33.9 255 54 28 7.6 4.2
28000 -34.3 -29.7 260 54 28 7.7 4.2 | -34.3 -29.7 255 53 28 7.6 4.2
27000 -32.3 -26.1 260 52 27 5.7 3.2 | -32.0 -25.6 255 53 27 7.6 4.2
26000 -30.6 -23.1 255 50 26 5.7 3.1 | -29.7 -21.5 255 53 27 7.6 4.2
25000 -28.9 -20.0 250 48 25 5.7 3.1 | -27.5 -17.5 250 52 27 7.6 4.2
24000 -27.1 -16.8 250 47 24 6.5 3.6 | -24.9 -12.8 250 52 27 5.9 3.2
23000 -24.7 -12.5 240 47 24 6.5 3.6 | -23.2 -9.8 245 52 27 5.9 3.2
22000 -22.8 -9.0 235 47 24 6.4 3.5 | -21.4 -6.5 240 53 27 5.8 3.2
21000 -20.4 -4.7 235 46 24 9.0 4.9 | -19.5 -3.1 240 51 26 6.9 3.8
20000 -17.7 0.1 235 44 23 9.0 5.0 | -17.5 0.5 235 47 24 7.0 3.8
19500 -16.4 2.5 235 43 22 9.1 5.0 | -16.5 2.3 235 46 24 7.1 3.9
19000 -15.1 4.8 235 42 22 7.9 4.3 | -15.4 4.3 235 44 23 7.9 4.3
18500 -14.0 6.8 235 40 21 7.5 4.1 | -14.2 6.4 235 42 22 8.2 4.5
18000 -12.9 8.8 230 38 20 7.5 4.1 | -13.0 8.6 235 40 20 8.2 4.5
17500 -11.7 10.9 230 37 19 8.3 4.6 | -11.8 10.8 235 38 20 8.1 4.4
17000 -10.5 13.1 225 37 19 8.3 4.5 | -10.6 12.9 230 37 19 8.1 4.4
16500 -9.3 15.3 225 36 18 8.4 4.6 | -9.3 15.3 230 36 18 8.3 4.5
16000 -8.0 17.6 220 35 18 8.4 4.6 | -8.1 17.4 230 35 18 8.3 4.6
15500 -6.8 19.8 220 34 18 8.4 4.6 | -6.8 19.8 230 34 18 8.2 4.5
15000 -5.6 21.9 215 33 17 8.3 4.6 | -5.6 21.9 225 33 17 8.2 4.5
14500 -4.4 24.1 210 31 16 8.2 4.5 | -4.4 24.1 225 32 17 8.3 4.5
14000 -3.2 26.2 205 30 15 7.8 4.3 | -3.2 26.2 225 31 16 8.5 4.7
13500 -2.0 28.4 205 28 14 7.8 4.3 | -2.0 28.4 220 30 16 8.6 4.7
13000 -1.0 30.2 200 24 13 5.9 3.2 | -0.7 30.7 220 29 15 9.1 5.0
12500 -0.1 31.8 195 20 11 6.0 3.3 | 0.6 33.1 220 28 15 9.3 5.1
12000 0.9 33.6 190 17 9 6.5 3.6 | 1.8 35.2 215 27 14 6.8 3.8
11500 1.8 35.2 185 15 8 6.5 3.6 | 2.8 37.0 210 26 13 7.8 4.3
11000 2.7 36.9 180 13 7 5.9 3.2 | 3.5 38.3 205 23 12 1.2 0.6
10500 3.6 38.5 180 11 6 7.2 3.9 | 3.7 38.7 200 20 10 5.0 2.7
10250 4.1 39.4 175 11 5 6.4 3.5 | 4.2 39.6 195 18 9 4.6 2.5
10000 4.5 40.1 170 9 5 4.1 2.3 | 4.2 39.6 190 16 8 0.1 0.1
9750 4.8 40.6 170 8 4 4.8 2.7 | 4.3 39.7 180 13 7 0.9 0.5
9500 5.1 41.2 160 6 3 4.3 2.4 | 4.3 39.7 170 11 6 2.4 1.3
9250 5.6 42.1 130 4 2 2.8 1.5 | 5.3 41.5 165 10 5 7.9 4.3
9000 5.8 42.4 110 3 2 3.1 1.7 | 5.8 42.4 155 9 5 6.9 3.8
8750 6.0 42.8 090 4 2 3.7 2.0 | 6.3 43.3 150 9 5 7.7 4.2
8500 6.3 43.3 080 4 2 4.2 2.3 | 7.0 44.6 150 9 4 9.0 5.0
8250 6.5 43.7 075 5 3 -0.6 -0.3 | 7.7 45.9 145 8 4 9.4 5.2
8000 6.2 43.2 075 7 3 -3.8 -2.1 | 8.3 46.9 145 8 4 9.1 5.0
7750 6.0 42.8 080 8 4 -2.0 -1.1 | 9.0 48.2 145 8 4 9.6 5.3
7500 5.9 42.6 080 10 5 -1.7 -0.9 | 9.8 49.6 140 8 4 10.0 5.5
7250 5.8 42.4 085 11 6 1.5 0.8 | 10.5 50.9 140 8 4 10.2 5.6
7000 6.1 43.0 080 11 6 5.7 3.1 | 11.3 52.3 140 8 4 10.5 5.7
6750 6.6 43.9 080 12 6 8.1 4.4 | 12.1 53.8 140 7 4 10.4 5.7
6500 7.3 45.1 080 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 12.9 55.2 140 7 4 10.8 5.9
6250 8.0 46.4 080 12 6 8.8 4.9 | 13.6 56.5 140 7 4 9.4 5.1
6000 8.7 47.7 080 12 6 13.2 7.3 | 14.4 57.9 140 7 3 13.4 7.3
5750 10.4 50.7 080 11 5 37.5 20.6 | 16.6 61.9 140 6 3 56.4 30.9
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
04/15/2025 at 1500 MDT | 04/15/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +12.4 LI... +0.1 | CAPE... +52.5 LI... -0.3
CINH... -5.8 K Index... +20.8 | CINH... -25.8 K Index... +24.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.2 -81.8 260 53 27 2.8 1.5 | -64.0 -83.2 255 59 30 4.2 2.3
45000 -59.3 -74.7 260 63 32 1.3 0.7 | -58.3 -72.9 260 62 32 1.1 0.6
40000 -57.4 -71.3 255 63 33 0.9 0.5 | -56.7 -70.1 260 66 34 0.8 0.4
38000 -54.0 -65.2 260 67 34 5.6 3.1 | -54.1 -65.4 260 71 36 5.0 2.8
36000 -50.7 -59.3 260 71 36 5.6 3.1 | -50.7 -59.3 260 76 39 5.0 2.8
34000 -46.9 -52.4 260 68 35 6.7 3.7 | -47.1 -52.8 260 74 38 6.9 3.8
32000 -42.9 -45.2 255 61 32 6.7 3.7 | -42.9 -45.2 260 65 34 6.9 3.8
30000 -38.5 -37.3 255 56 29 7.9 4.4 | -38.5 -37.3 260 60 31 7.6 4.2
29000 -36.1 -33.0 255 54 28 7.9 4.4 | -36.3 -33.3 260 58 30 7.6 4.2
28000 -33.7 -28.7 250 52 27 7.9 4.4 | -34.0 -29.2 260 56 29 7.6 4.2
27000 -31.3 -24.3 250 51 26 8.1 4.4 | -31.8 -25.2 255 54 28 6.9 3.8
26000 -28.9 -20.0 255 49 25 8.1 4.4 | -29.8 -21.6 255 52 27 6.9 3.8
25000 -26.5 -15.7 255 48 25 8.1 4.4 | -27.7 -17.9 250 51 26 6.9 3.8
24000 -24.2 -11.6 255 47 24 6.9 3.8 | -25.6 -14.1 250 48 25 7.6 4.2
23000 -21.5 -6.7 250 49 25 7.0 3.9 | -22.8 -9.0 245 45 23 7.6 4.2
22000 -19.4 -2.9 250 50 26 7.2 4.0 | -20.6 -5.1 240 43 22 7.7 4.2
21000 -17.7 0.1 250 50 26 5.5 3.0 | -18.3 -0.9 240 42 21 7.9 4.3
20000 -16.1 3.0 245 49 25 5.7 3.1 | -16.0 3.2 240 41 21 7.9 4.3
19500 -15.3 4.5 245 49 25 5.8 3.2 | -14.8 5.4 240 41 21 7.9 4.3
19000 -14.5 5.9 245 49 25 6.5 3.6 | -13.7 7.3 240 40 21 7.8 4.3
18500 -13.5 7.7 245 47 24 6.8 3.7 | -12.5 9.5 240 40 21 7.7 4.2
18000 -12.5 9.5 240 46 24 6.9 3.8 | -11.4 11.5 240 40 20 7.7 4.2
17500 -11.5 11.3 240 44 23 7.5 4.1 | -10.2 13.6 240 39 20 8.1 4.5
17000 -10.4 13.3 240 41 21 7.4 4.1 | -9.0 15.8 240 38 20 8.1 4.4
16500 -9.2 15.4 240 38 20 8.4 4.6 | -7.9 17.8 240 37 19 7.9 4.4
16000 -8.0 17.6 235 36 19 8.5 4.7 | -6.7 19.9 235 36 18 7.9 4.3
15500 -6.7 19.9 235 34 17 8.5 4.7 | -5.5 22.1 235 34 18 8.1 4.5
15000 -5.4 22.3 235 31 16 8.4 4.6 | -4.3 24.3 230 33 17 8.5 4.7
14500 -4.2 24.4 230 29 15 8.4 4.6 | -3.0 26.6 225 31 16 8.5 4.7
14000 -3.0 26.6 230 26 13 8.3 4.5 | -1.8 28.8 225 30 15 8.8 4.8
13500 -1.7 28.9 225 24 12 8.3 4.6 | -0.5 31.1 220 28 14 8.7 4.8
13000 -0.5 31.1 220 21 11 8.1 4.4 | 0.9 33.6 215 27 14 9.4 5.2
12500 0.7 33.3 215 19 10 8.1 4.4 | 2.2 36.0 215 25 13 9.3 5.1
12000 1.9 35.4 210 18 9 8.7 4.8 | 3.6 38.5 210 24 12 9.3 5.1
11500 3.2 37.8 205 16 8 8.6 4.7 | 5.0 41.0 210 22 11 9.3 5.1
11000 4.5 40.1 200 15 8 8.5 4.7 | 6.4 43.5 205 21 11 9.1 5.0
10500 5.7 42.3 195 14 7 8.1 4.4 | 7.7 45.9 200 19 10 9.4 5.2
10250 6.3 43.3 190 13 7 8.1 4.4 | 8.4 47.1 200 18 9 9.5 5.2
10000 6.9 44.4 190 13 7 8.9 4.9 | 9.1 48.4 195 18 9 9.2 5.0
9750 7.6 45.7 190 12 6 8.6 4.7 | 9.8 49.6 195 17 9 9.1 5.0
9500 8.2 46.8 190 12 6 9.4 5.2 | 10.5 50.9 195 16 8 9.4 5.1
9250 9.0 48.2 190 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 11.2 52.2 190 16 8 9.7 5.3
9000 10.3 50.5 190 10 5 9.3 5.1 | 12.6 54.7 190 14 7 9.4 5.2
8750 11.0 51.8 190 10 5 8.8 4.8 | 13.3 55.9 185 14 7 9.8 5.4
8500 11.7 53.1 190 9 5 8.9 4.9 | 14.0 57.2 185 13 7 8.4 4.6
8250 12.4 54.3 190 9 4 9.8 5.4 | 14.6 58.3 185 13 7 8.8 4.8
8000 13.1 55.6 190 8 4 10.2 5.6 | 15.4 59.7 180 12 6 10.4 5.7
7750 13.8 56.8 190 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 16.1 61.0 180 12 6 9.9 5.4
7500 14.6 58.3 190 7 4 9.4 5.2 | 16.9 62.4 180 11 6 9.4 5.1
7250 15.3 59.5 195 7 4 10.1 5.5 | 17.5 63.5 175 11 6 9.6 5.3
7000 16.1 61.0 195 6 3 10.7 5.9 | 18.3 64.9 175 11 5 10.1 5.5
6750 16.8 62.2 195 6 3 10.2 5.6 | 19.0 66.2 170 10 5 10.1 5.5
6500 17.6 63.7 200 6 3 10.1 5.6 | 19.8 67.6 170 10 5 10.6 5.8
6250 18.3 64.9 200 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 20.6 69.1 170 9 5 9.5 5.2
6000 19.1 66.4 205 5 2 14.2 7.8 | 21.3 70.3 165 9 4 10.8 5.9
5750 21.2 70.2 215 4 2 51.3 28.2 | 22.7 72.9 160 7 4 33.7 18.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued twice per day, at approximately 730 AM and 730 PM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0730 MDT Tuesday April 15 2025
This forecast is for Tuesday, April 15, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 58.3 F/14.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 974 ft/min (4.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17544 ft MSL (11081 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 70.0 F/21.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12405 ft MSL (5941 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 04/16.... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:30:52 / 19:37:41 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 6 min 49 sec (786 min 49 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:04:17 MDT... 64.43 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 04/15/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12382 ft MSL (5919 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15473 ft MSL (9010 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16326 ft MSL (9863 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.7
K index......................... +19.4
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.2 -80.0 270 49 25 1.2 0.7 88.4 191.2 39.3 M M
45000 -59.9 -75.8 270 58 30 2.7 1.5 68.1 154.6 29.4 M M
40000 -55.8 -68.4 265 68 35 2.6 1.4 52.0 125.6 20.7 M M
38000 -53.8 -64.8 265 69 35 3.6 2.0 46.1 115.1 17.2 M M
36000 -51.6 -60.9 260 69 35 3.7 2.0 41.0 105.8 14.0 M M
34000 -48.5 -55.3 260 68 35 7.0 3.8 37.2 99.0 11.7 M M
32000 -44.3 -47.7 260 66 34 7.0 3.8 34.9 94.9 10.3 M M
30000 -40.4 -40.7 260 57 30 5.7 3.1 32.3 90.2 8.6 M M
29000 -38.3 -36.9 260 46 24 5.7 3.1 30.3 86.5 7.1 M M
28000 -36.6 -33.9 260 37 19 5.7 3.1 28.9 83.9 6.0 M M
27000 -34.4 -29.9 255 34 18 8.4 4.6 27.9 82.3 5.3 M M
26000 -31.9 -25.4 250 35 18 8.4 4.6 27.4 81.2 4.9 M M
25000 -29.4 -20.9 245 36 19 8.4 4.6 26.9 80.5 4.6 M M
24000 -26.9 -16.4 245 38 19 8.2 4.5 26.4 79.6 4.2 M M
23000 -24.5 -12.1 245 40 21 8.2 4.5 25.8 78.5 3.8 M M
22000 -22.1 -7.8 240 43 22 8.3 4.6 25.3 77.6 3.4 M M
21000 -19.7 -3.5 240 44 23 7.6 4.2 24.7 76.4 2.8 M M
20000 -17.5 0.5 235 44 23 7.6 4.2 23.9 75.0 2.1 M M
19500 -16.4 2.5 235 44 23 7.6 4.2 23.6 74.4 1.8 M M
19000 -15.3 4.5 235 45 23 7.2 3.9 23.2 73.8 1.5 M M
18500 -14.3 6.3 235 42 22 6.7 3.7 22.7 72.9 1.0 M M
18000 -13.3 8.1 235 39 20 6.7 3.7 22.2 71.9 0.5 M M
17500 -12.4 9.7 235 35 18 5.8 3.2 21.6 70.8 0.0 M M
17000 -11.5 11.3 235 31 16 5.9 3.2 20.9 69.7 -0.6 934 4.7
16500 -10.6 12.9 230 27 14 7.3 4.0 20.3 68.6 -1.1 891 4.5
16000 -9.4 15.1 235 25 13 8.0 4.4 20.0 68.1 -1.4 840 4.3
15500 -8.1 17.4 235 22 11 8.5 4.7 19.8 67.6 -1.6 789 4.0
15000 -6.7 19.9 235 21 11 9.6 5.3 19.7 67.4 -1.7 732 3.7
14500 -5.3 22.5 240 20 10 9.6 5.2 19.7 67.4 -1.7 674 3.4
14000 -3.9 25.0 245 19 10 8.7 4.7 19.5 67.2 -1.8 618 3.1
13500 -2.6 27.3 250 18 9 9.0 4.9 19.4 66.9 -2.0 564 2.9
13000 -1.5 29.3 255 18 9 6.5 3.6 19.1 66.3 -2.3 515 2.6
12500 -0.5 31.1 260 16 8 6.8 3.7 18.6 65.4 -2.8 470 2.4
12000 0.8 33.4 255 14 7 4.9 2.7 17.6 63.7 -3.8 410 2.1
11500 1.5 34.7 250 13 7 4.5 2.4 16.8 62.3 -4.5 374 1.9
11000 2.1 35.8 230 12 6 4.0 2.2 15.9 60.7 -5.4 342 1.7
10500 2.6 36.7 210 13 6 1.9 1.0 15.1 59.1 -6.4 310 1.6
10250 2.6 36.7 195 14 7 0.5 0.3 14.3 57.8 -7.1 303 1.5
10000 2.7 36.9 190 14 7 2.3 1.2 13.7 56.7 -7.8 292 1.5
9750 2.9 37.2 180 15 8 2.1 1.1 13.1 55.6 -8.4 281 1.4
9500 3.0 37.4 170 16 8 1.1 0.6 12.5 54.5 -9.0 270 1.4
9250 3.0 37.4 160 18 9 2.0 1.1 11.8 53.3 -9.7 261 1.3
9000 3.3 37.9 155 18 9 5.9 3.2 11.4 52.5 -10.2 245 1.2
8750 3.8 38.8 150 18 9 6.5 3.6 11.1 52.1 -10.4 223 1.1
8500 4.2 39.6 145 18 9 3.9 2.2 10.8 51.4 -10.8 203 1.0
8250 4.4 39.9 140 18 9 2.8 1.5 10.3 50.5 -11.3 189 1.0
8000 4.7 40.5 135 18 9 3.8 2.1 9.8 49.6 -11.8 174 0.9
7750 5.0 41.0 130 17 9 5.1 2.8 9.4 48.9 -12.3 157 0.8
7500 5.4 41.7 130 15 8 5.9 3.3 9.1 48.3 -12.6 137 0.7
7250 5.9 42.6 130 14 7 6.2 3.4 8.8 47.8 -12.9 116 0.6
7000 6.3 43.3 130 12 6 4.6 2.5 8.5 47.3 -13.2 95 0.5
6750 6.6 43.9 130 11 6 2.8 1.5 8.0 46.4 -13.8 81 0.4
6500 7.2 45.0 135 8 4 16.6 9.1 7.8 46.1 -14.0 56 0.3
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
04/15/2025 at 0900 MDT | 04/15/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.3 | CAPE... +0.4 LI... -0.1
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +21.2 | CINH... -6.6 K Index... +16.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.2 -80.0 265 48 25 2.4 1.3 | -63.3 -81.9 265 50 26 2.5 1.4
45000 -58.5 -73.3 260 58 30 1.9 1.0 | -59.4 -74.9 265 62 32 2.4 1.3
40000 -55.6 -68.1 265 69 36 1.8 1.0 | -55.7 -68.3 260 68 35 2.3 1.3
38000 -53.9 -65.0 265 70 36 3.0 1.6 | -53.6 -64.5 260 71 37 3.7 2.0
36000 -52.2 -62.0 265 71 36 3.0 1.6 | -51.4 -60.5 265 74 38 3.7 2.0
34000 -49.1 -56.4 265 69 36 8.0 4.4 | -48.2 -54.8 265 71 37 7.3 4.0
32000 -44.3 -47.7 265 65 33 8.0 4.4 | -43.9 -47.0 265 62 32 7.3 4.0
30000 -39.6 -39.3 265 58 30 6.0 3.3 | -38.8 -37.8 260 55 29 7.8 4.3
29000 -37.8 -36.0 265 54 28 6.0 3.3 | -36.5 -33.7 260 54 28 7.8 4.3
28000 -36.0 -32.8 265 49 25 6.0 3.3 | -34.1 -29.4 255 53 27 7.8 4.3
27000 -33.9 -29.0 260 46 24 7.5 4.1 | -31.9 -25.4 255 53 27 6.8 3.8
26000 -31.6 -24.9 255 42 22 7.6 4.2 | -29.9 -21.8 255 53 27 6.8 3.8
25000 -29.4 -20.9 255 39 20 7.6 4.2 | -27.8 -18.0 250 54 28 6.8 3.7
24000 -27.1 -16.8 250 39 20 7.8 4.3 | -26.0 -14.8 250 54 28 5.2 2.9
23000 -24.8 -12.6 245 42 22 7.8 4.3 | -24.4 -11.9 245 53 27 5.3 2.9
22000 -22.4 -8.3 245 46 24 7.8 4.3 | -22.8 -9.0 240 53 27 5.3 2.9
21000 -20.1 -4.2 240 47 24 8.1 4.4 | -20.8 -5.4 240 50 26 8.0 4.4
20000 -17.7 0.1 240 48 25 8.1 4.4 | -18.4 -1.1 240 44 23 8.2 4.5
19500 -16.5 2.3 240 48 25 8.0 4.4 | -17.3 0.9 240 42 22 8.2 4.5
19000 -15.3 4.5 235 48 25 7.7 4.2 | -16.1 3.0 240 39 20 7.8 4.3
18500 -14.2 6.4 235 47 24 7.1 3.9 | -15.0 5.0 240 37 19 7.2 4.0
18000 -13.2 8.2 230 45 23 7.2 3.9 | -13.9 7.0 240 36 18 7.0 3.8
17500 -12.2 10.0 230 43 22 7.0 3.8 | -12.7 9.1 240 35 18 9.2 5.1
17000 -11.2 11.8 225 41 21 7.0 3.9 | -11.3 11.7 240 34 18 9.0 4.9
16500 -10.1 13.8 220 39 20 7.0 3.8 | -10.0 14.0 235 34 17 8.8 4.8
16000 -9.1 15.6 220 36 19 7.0 3.8 | -8.7 16.3 235 34 17 8.8 4.8
15500 -8.1 17.4 215 33 17 7.1 3.9 | -7.4 18.7 235 34 17 8.8 4.8
15000 -7.0 19.4 215 29 15 7.4 4.1 | -6.2 20.8 230 33 17 8.9 4.9
14500 -5.9 21.4 210 25 13 7.4 4.1 | -4.9 23.2 230 33 17 8.9 4.9
14000 -4.8 23.4 210 21 11 6.9 3.8 | -3.5 25.7 230 32 16 9.0 4.9
13500 -3.8 25.2 215 17 9 6.9 3.8 | -2.2 28.0 225 31 16 9.2 5.1
13000 -2.1 28.2 215 12 6 7.3 4.0 | -1.0 30.2 225 29 15 6.5 3.5
12500 -1.0 30.2 220 10 5 6.9 3.8 | 0.5 32.9 215 24 13 6.2 3.4
12000 -0.1 31.8 225 8 4 6.1 3.4 | 1.3 34.3 215 20 10 5.3 2.9
11500 0.8 33.4 230 7 4 4.8 2.7 | 2.1 35.8 210 16 8 5.3 2.9
11000 1.5 34.7 220 7 4 5.4 3.0 | 2.7 36.9 200 14 7 3.6 2.0
10500 2.2 36.0 205 7 4 3.2 1.7 | 3.3 37.9 185 11 6 1.0 0.6
10250 2.3 36.1 195 8 4 0.2 0.1 | 3.2 37.8 175 12 6 1.3 0.7
10000 2.3 36.1 185 9 5 0.6 0.3 | 3.5 38.3 170 12 6 5.4 3.0
9750 2.3 36.1 175 10 5 1.0 0.6 | 3.8 38.8 165 13 7 3.7 2.0
9500 2.3 36.1 170 10 5 -2.0 -1.1 | 4.2 39.6 160 13 7 6.9 3.8
9250 2.0 35.6 160 12 6 -2.4 -1.3 | 4.8 40.6 160 14 7 9.4 5.2
9000 2.1 35.8 155 12 6 2.6 1.4 | 5.5 41.9 160 14 7 8.4 4.6
8750 2.3 36.1 150 12 6 4.4 2.4 | 6.1 43.0 160 14 7 8.7 4.8
8500 2.7 36.9 145 12 6 5.7 3.1 | 6.8 44.2 160 14 7 9.1 5.0
8250 3.2 37.8 145 12 6 6.6 3.6 | 7.5 45.5 160 14 7 9.5 5.2
8000 3.7 38.7 140 12 6 7.0 3.9 | 8.2 46.8 160 14 7 10.1 5.5
7750 4.3 39.7 140 11 6 8.8 4.8 | 9.0 48.2 160 14 7 10.6 5.8
7500 5.0 41.0 140 11 6 9.9 5.5 | 9.8 49.6 160 14 7 10.9 6.0
7250 5.7 42.3 140 10 5 9.6 5.2 | 10.6 51.1 160 14 7 10.5 5.8
7000 6.5 43.7 140 10 5 10.2 5.6 | 11.4 52.5 160 14 7 12.2 6.7
6750 7.3 45.1 140 9 5 13.7 7.5 | 12.6 54.7 160 13 7 22.2 12.2
6500 8.6 47.5 145 8 4 20.3 11.2 | 15.0 59.0 160 12 6 43.7 24.0
04/15/2025 at 1500 MDT | 04/15/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +30.4 LI... -0.7 | CAPE... +17.3 LI... -0.0
CINH... -12.8 K Index... +20.0 | CINH... -17.1 K Index... +22.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.8 -81.0 260 53 27 2.5 1.3 | -62.6 -80.7 260 58 30 1.6 0.9
45000 -59.2 -74.6 260 62 32 1.8 1.0 | -60.0 -76.0 260 65 34 2.0 1.1
40000 -56.5 -69.7 260 62 32 1.5 0.8 | -57.0 -70.6 265 65 33 1.7 0.9
38000 -53.8 -64.8 260 66 34 4.8 2.6 | -54.1 -65.4 265 69 35 5.1 2.8
36000 -50.9 -59.6 265 72 37 4.8 2.6 | -51.0 -59.8 265 74 38 5.1 2.8
34000 -47.5 -53.5 265 73 37 6.6 3.6 | -47.5 -53.5 265 73 37 6.7 3.7
32000 -43.6 -46.5 260 66 34 6.6 3.6 | -43.4 -46.1 265 65 34 6.7 3.7
30000 -38.8 -37.8 260 60 31 7.7 4.2 | -38.6 -37.5 260 60 31 7.6 4.2
29000 -36.4 -33.5 255 58 30 7.7 4.2 | -36.3 -33.3 260 58 30 7.6 4.2
28000 -34.1 -29.4 255 56 29 7.7 4.2 | -34.0 -29.2 260 57 29 7.6 4.2
27000 -31.7 -25.1 255 54 28 8.2 4.5 | -31.7 -25.1 260 55 28 7.8 4.3
26000 -29.2 -20.6 255 53 27 8.2 4.5 | -29.3 -20.7 260 53 27 7.8 4.3
25000 -26.8 -16.2 255 51 26 8.2 4.5 | -27.0 -16.6 260 51 26 7.8 4.3
24000 -24.4 -11.9 255 50 26 7.4 4.0 | -24.8 -12.6 255 50 26 6.4 3.5
23000 -22.2 -8.0 255 51 26 7.4 4.0 | -22.9 -9.2 255 49 25 6.5 3.6
22000 -20.0 -4.0 255 51 26 7.4 4.1 | -21.0 -5.8 250 48 25 6.6 3.6
21000 -18.3 -0.9 255 52 27 4.6 2.5 | -18.9 -2.0 245 48 25 7.8 4.3
20000 -17.0 1.4 250 52 27 4.7 2.6 | -16.6 2.1 245 48 25 7.9 4.3
19500 -16.3 2.7 250 53 27 4.9 2.7 | -15.4 4.3 245 48 25 7.9 4.3
19000 -15.6 3.9 250 53 27 6.0 3.3 | -14.2 6.4 245 48 25 7.6 4.2
18500 -14.6 5.7 250 51 26 7.6 4.2 | -13.2 8.2 245 47 24 7.1 3.9
18000 -13.4 7.9 250 49 25 7.6 4.2 | -12.2 10.0 245 47 24 7.0 3.9
17500 -12.3 9.9 250 47 24 8.1 4.4 | -11.1 12.0 245 45 23 7.7 4.2
17000 -11.1 12.0 250 44 23 8.1 4.4 | -10.0 14.0 245 43 22 7.7 4.2
16500 -9.9 14.2 250 42 22 8.1 4.5 | -8.8 16.2 240 41 21 8.3 4.5
16000 -8.6 16.5 250 39 20 8.2 4.5 | -7.5 18.5 240 39 20 8.7 4.8
15500 -7.4 18.7 250 37 19 8.2 4.5 | -6.2 20.8 240 37 19 8.7 4.8
15000 -6.2 20.8 250 34 17 8.3 4.5 | -5.0 23.0 240 35 18 8.7 4.7
14500 -5.0 23.0 245 31 16 8.4 4.6 | -3.7 25.3 235 33 17 8.7 4.8
14000 -3.9 25.0 245 27 14 6.2 3.4 | -2.4 27.7 235 30 16 8.4 4.6
13500 -3.0 26.6 235 23 12 6.3 3.5 | -1.2 29.8 230 28 14 8.4 4.6
13000 -1.4 29.5 225 19 10 8.3 4.6 | 0.1 32.2 230 25 13 8.8 4.8
12500 -0.1 31.8 220 18 9 8.6 4.7 | 2.1 35.8 225 23 12 9.0 4.9
12000 1.2 34.2 215 17 9 9.5 5.2 | 3.5 38.3 225 21 11 9.6 5.2
11500 2.6 36.7 215 17 9 9.0 4.9 | 4.9 40.8 225 20 10 9.3 5.1
11000 4.0 39.2 210 16 8 9.3 5.1 | 6.3 43.3 225 20 10 9.6 5.2
10500 5.4 41.7 205 16 8 9.9 5.4 | 7.7 45.9 225 19 10 9.2 5.0
10250 6.1 43.0 205 16 8 9.9 5.4 | 8.4 47.1 225 19 10 9.2 5.1
10000 6.8 44.2 205 16 8 9.2 5.0 | 9.1 48.4 225 19 10 9.7 5.3
9750 7.5 45.5 200 16 8 9.1 5.0 | 9.9 49.8 225 18 9 9.5 5.2
9500 8.2 46.8 200 16 8 10.0 5.5 | 10.6 51.1 225 18 9 9.9 5.4
9250 9.0 48.2 200 16 8 10.3 5.7 | 11.3 52.3 225 18 9 9.9 5.4
9000 9.7 49.5 195 15 8 9.6 5.2 | 12.0 53.6 225 18 9 9.5 5.2
8750 10.4 50.7 195 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 12.8 55.0 225 17 9 9.5 5.2
8500 11.2 52.2 195 15 8 10.1 5.6 | 13.5 56.3 225 17 9 9.7 5.3
8250 12.0 53.6 190 15 8 10.6 5.8 | 14.2 57.6 225 17 9 9.9 5.5
8000 12.7 54.9 190 15 8 10.1 5.6 | 14.9 58.8 225 16 8 9.9 5.4
7750 13.5 56.3 190 15 8 10.2 5.6 | 15.7 60.3 225 16 8 9.9 5.4
7500 14.3 57.7 185 15 7 10.5 5.8 | 16.4 61.5 225 16 8 9.8 5.4
7250 15.1 59.2 185 14 7 11.2 6.1 | 17.2 63.0 225 15 8 10.0 5.5
7000 15.9 60.6 185 14 7 9.3 5.1 | 17.9 64.2 225 15 8 9.0 4.9
6750 16.6 61.9 185 13 7 14.8 8.1 | 18.6 65.5 225 14 7 10.5 5.8
6500 19.3 66.7 180 12 6 71.1 39.0 | 20.0 68.0 230 12 6 33.8 18.5
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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