Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0905 MST Saturday November 29 2025
This forecast is for Saturday, November 29, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 55.2 F/12.9 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Fair
Maximum rate of lift........................ 302 ft/min (1.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 10228 ft MSL (3902 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 55.0 F/13.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1245 MST
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 7874 ft MSL (1547 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 11/30....... Fair
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:52:19 / 16:52:40 MST
Total possible sunshine........... 10 hr 0 min 21 sec (600 min 21 sec)
Altitude of sun at 11:52:29 MST... 33.38 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 11/29/2025 at 0500 MST
Freezing level.................. 10873 ft MSL (4547 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 20091 ft MSL (13765 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15138 ft MSL (8812 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +8.4
K index......................... -27.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.3 -85.5 285 74 38 1.2 0.6 84.7 184.5 41.8 M M
45000 -63.6 -82.5 280 85 44 1.2 0.7 65.1 149.2 32.4 M M
40000 -61.7 -79.1 280 68 35 1.2 0.7 44.7 112.5 21.2 M M
38000 -58.6 -73.5 280 62 32 6.7 3.6 39.5 103.1 18.3 M M
36000 -54.6 -66.3 280 56 29 6.6 3.6 36.8 98.3 17.0 M M
34000 -50.4 -58.7 280 51 26 7.6 4.2 34.6 94.3 15.8 M M
32000 -45.9 -50.6 295 46 24 7.6 4.2 32.8 91.0 14.9 M M
30000 -41.3 -42.3 305 44 23 7.9 4.3 31.2 88.2 14.1 M M
29000 -38.9 -38.0 305 43 22 7.9 4.3 30.4 86.8 13.6 M M
28000 -36.5 -33.7 310 42 21 7.9 4.3 29.8 85.6 13.3 M M
27000 -34.0 -29.2 310 40 21 9.2 5.0 29.3 84.7 13.0 M M
26000 -31.3 -24.3 305 39 20 9.2 5.0 29.0 84.1 12.9 M M
25000 -28.5 -19.3 300 38 20 9.2 5.0 28.7 83.7 12.9 M M
24000 -25.8 -14.4 300 37 19 9.0 4.9 28.6 83.5 13.0 M M
23000 -23.1 -9.6 295 38 20 8.9 4.9 28.2 82.8 12.8 M M
22000 -20.4 -4.7 295 39 20 8.9 4.9 28.0 82.3 12.7 M M
21000 -17.3 0.9 295 40 20 6.6 3.6 27.3 81.1 12.4 M M
20000 -15.4 4.3 300 41 21 6.6 3.6 26.2 79.1 11.5 M M
19500 -14.4 6.1 300 41 21 6.6 3.6 25.6 78.1 11.1 M M
19000 -13.4 7.9 305 42 22 6.7 3.7 25.1 77.3 10.8 M M
18500 -12.4 9.7 305 42 22 6.1 3.4 24.6 76.2 10.3 M M
18000 -11.5 11.3 305 43 22 6.2 3.4 24.0 75.1 9.8 M M
17500 -10.6 12.9 305 43 22 6.0 3.3 23.4 74.0 9.4 M M
17000 -9.7 14.5 300 44 23 5.8 3.2 22.7 72.8 8.8 M M
16500 -8.8 16.2 300 44 23 5.7 3.1 22.0 71.6 8.3 M M
16000 -8.1 17.4 300 45 23 4.6 2.5 21.2 70.2 7.6 M M
15500 -7.4 18.7 295 46 24 4.7 2.6 20.4 68.7 6.9 M M
15000 -6.7 19.9 295 47 24 4.5 2.5 19.6 67.2 6.1 M M
14500 -6.0 21.2 290 48 25 4.6 2.5 18.7 65.7 5.4 M M
14000 -5.3 22.5 290 49 25 5.0 2.7 17.9 64.2 4.6 M M
13500 -4.6 23.7 290 49 25 5.1 2.8 17.1 62.8 3.9 M M
13000 -3.9 25.0 290 49 25 5.5 3.0 16.4 61.5 3.2 M M
12500 -3.0 26.6 290 48 25 5.9 3.2 15.7 60.3 2.6 M M
12000 -2.1 28.2 290 48 25 6.2 3.4 15.1 59.2 2.0 M M
11500 -1.2 29.8 290 46 24 6.6 3.6 14.6 58.3 1.5 M M
11000 -0.2 31.6 295 45 23 5.7 3.1 14.1 57.3 1.0 M M
10500 0.6 33.1 295 44 23 5.5 3.0 13.4 56.1 0.4 M M
10250 1.0 33.8 295 43 22 6.2 3.4 13.1 55.5 0.0 M M
10000 1.5 34.7 300 42 22 5.8 3.2 12.8 55.1 -0.2 284 1.4
9750 1.9 35.4 300 41 21 5.0 2.7 12.5 54.4 -0.6 266 1.3
9500 2.2 36.0 300 41 21 5.1 2.8 12.1 53.8 -1.0 247 1.3
9250 2.6 36.7 305 40 21 5.6 3.1 11.7 53.1 -1.3 229 1.2
9000 3.0 37.4 305 39 20 6.8 3.7 11.5 52.7 -1.6 208 1.1
8750 3.5 38.3 305 38 19 6.4 3.5 11.3 52.3 -1.9 187 0.9
8500 3.9 39.0 305 37 19 5.5 3.0 10.9 51.7 -2.2 168 0.9
8250 4.3 39.7 305 36 18 6.3 3.4 10.6 51.2 -2.6 148 0.8
8000 4.8 40.6 305 34 18 7.2 3.9 10.4 50.7 -2.8 127 0.6
7750 5.3 41.5 305 33 17 6.7 3.7 10.2 50.4 -3.1 104 0.5
7500 5.7 42.3 300 31 16 6.9 3.8 10.0 49.9 -3.3 82 0.4
7250 6.2 43.2 300 30 15 3.9 2.1 9.7 49.5 -3.6 61 0.3
7000 6.3 43.3 300 26 13 0.8 0.5 9.1 48.3 -4.2 51 0.3
6750 6.4 43.5 295 22 11 1.6 0.9 8.5 47.2 -4.9 40 0.2
6500 6.3 43.3 290 18 9 -6.4 -3.5 7.6 45.8 -5.7 35 0.2
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
11/29/2025 at 0800 MST | 11/29/2025 at 1100 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +8.9 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +7.8
CINH... -0.4 K Index... -35.9 | CINH... -0.1 K Index... -39.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.6 -86.1 280 75 39 0.7 0.4 | -64.8 -84.6 275 74 38 1.0 0.6
45000 -64.5 -84.1 275 88 45 1.1 0.6 | -63.3 -81.9 275 87 45 1.0 0.5
40000 -62.4 -80.3 270 71 36 1.3 0.7 | -61.8 -79.2 270 78 40 1.0 0.6
38000 -59.2 -74.6 270 62 32 6.7 3.7 | -59.2 -74.6 265 70 36 6.1 3.3
36000 -55.2 -67.4 270 55 28 6.7 3.7 | -55.5 -67.9 265 60 31 6.1 3.3
34000 -50.9 -59.6 275 48 25 8.0 4.4 | -51.5 -60.7 270 51 26 8.4 4.6
32000 -46.1 -51.0 285 43 22 8.0 4.4 | -46.4 -51.5 275 46 24 8.4 4.6
30000 -41.2 -42.2 295 40 21 8.2 4.5 | -40.9 -41.6 280 40 21 8.1 4.4
29000 -38.7 -37.7 295 38 19 8.2 4.5 | -38.4 -37.1 275 38 19 8.1 4.4
28000 -36.3 -33.3 295 35 18 8.2 4.5 | -36.0 -32.8 275 35 18 8.1 4.5
27000 -33.8 -28.8 295 33 17 8.7 4.8 | -33.6 -28.5 275 33 17 8.4 4.6
26000 -31.2 -24.2 290 31 16 8.7 4.8 | -31.1 -24.0 275 33 17 8.4 4.6
25000 -28.6 -19.5 290 30 15 8.7 4.8 | -28.6 -19.5 275 32 17 8.4 4.6
24000 -26.0 -14.8 285 28 15 8.9 4.9 | -26.0 -14.8 275 32 16 8.8 4.8
23000 -23.2 -9.8 285 28 15 9.0 5.0 | -23.4 -10.1 280 31 16 8.8 4.8
22000 -20.5 -4.9 290 28 15 9.0 5.0 | -20.7 -5.3 280 30 16 8.8 4.9
21000 -17.3 0.9 295 29 15 7.6 4.2 | -18.3 -0.9 285 30 15 6.4 3.5
20000 -15.0 5.0 295 29 15 7.6 4.2 | -16.3 2.7 285 29 15 6.6 3.6
19500 -13.9 7.0 300 30 15 7.6 4.2 | -15.3 4.5 285 29 15 6.6 3.6
19000 -12.7 9.1 300 30 16 7.5 4.1 | -14.3 6.3 290 29 15 6.7 3.7
18500 -11.7 10.9 305 31 16 6.3 3.5 | -13.3 8.1 290 28 15 6.0 3.3
18000 -10.8 12.6 305 32 16 6.4 3.5 | -12.4 9.7 290 28 15 5.9 3.2
17500 -9.8 14.4 305 32 17 5.9 3.2 | -11.1 12.0 290 28 15 6.3 3.5
17000 -9.0 15.8 305 33 17 5.7 3.1 | -10.2 13.6 290 29 15 6.3 3.5
16500 -8.1 17.4 305 34 17 5.5 3.0 | -9.2 15.4 295 29 15 6.2 3.4
16000 -7.3 18.9 305 35 18 4.9 2.7 | -8.3 17.1 295 30 15 5.9 3.2
15500 -6.6 20.1 300 36 19 5.1 2.8 | -7.4 18.7 295 30 16 5.9 3.2
15000 -5.9 21.4 300 38 19 4.1 2.3 | -6.6 20.1 295 31 16 5.3 2.9
14500 -5.3 22.5 295 40 20 4.2 2.3 | -5.8 21.6 295 31 16 5.4 3.0
14000 -4.6 23.7 295 41 21 3.9 2.1 | -5.0 23.0 295 30 16 4.6 2.5
13500 -4.1 24.6 295 41 21 3.8 2.1 | -4.4 24.1 295 30 15 4.6 2.5
13000 -3.5 25.7 295 42 21 3.9 2.1 | -3.7 25.3 300 29 15 4.3 2.4
12500 -2.9 26.8 300 41 21 4.0 2.2 | -3.1 26.4 300 28 14 4.3 2.4
12000 -2.3 27.9 300 40 21 3.8 2.1 | -2.4 27.7 300 27 14 4.0 2.2
11500 -1.8 28.8 300 39 20 3.7 2.0 | -1.9 28.6 305 26 13 3.7 2.1
11000 -1.2 29.8 305 37 19 4.2 2.3 | -1.3 29.7 305 25 13 3.4 1.9
10500 -0.7 30.7 310 36 19 3.9 2.2 | -1.0 30.2 305 23 12 2.4 1.3
10250 -0.4 31.3 310 36 18 4.1 2.3 | -0.8 30.6 310 22 11 3.5 1.9
10000 -0.1 31.8 315 35 18 5.2 2.9 | -0.5 31.1 310 21 11 5.4 3.0
9750 0.3 32.5 315 34 18 5.8 3.2 | -0.1 31.8 310 19 10 5.9 3.2
9500 0.7 33.3 315 34 17 5.5 3.0 | 0.3 32.5 310 18 9 5.3 2.9
9250 1.1 34.0 320 33 17 6.2 3.4 | 0.7 33.3 315 17 9 7.4 4.1
9000 1.6 34.9 320 32 17 7.4 4.0 | 1.4 34.5 315 16 8 9.6 5.3
8750 2.2 36.0 320 31 16 7.4 4.1 | 2.1 35.8 315 16 8 8.7 4.7
8500 2.7 36.9 320 30 16 7.1 3.9 | 2.7 36.9 315 16 8 8.2 4.5
8250 3.2 37.8 320 29 15 7.2 4.0 | 3.3 37.9 315 16 8 9.2 5.0
8000 3.7 38.7 320 28 14 7.2 3.9 | 4.0 39.2 315 15 8 10.0 5.5
7750 4.2 39.6 315 26 13 6.7 3.7 | 4.8 40.6 315 15 8 9.7 5.3
7500 4.6 40.3 315 24 13 6.1 3.4 | 5.5 41.9 320 15 8 9.8 5.4
7250 5.0 41.0 310 22 12 4.7 2.6 | 6.2 43.2 320 15 8 10.1 5.5
7000 5.3 41.5 310 20 10 3.7 2.0 | 7.0 44.6 320 14 7 10.4 5.7
6750 5.6 42.1 305 18 9 3.8 2.1 | 7.8 46.0 320 14 7 9.6 5.2
6500 5.7 42.3 300 15 8 0.1 0.1 | 8.5 47.3 320 14 7 12.4 6.8
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
11/29/2025 at 1400 MST | 11/29/2025 at 1700 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +7.0 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +6.6
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -27.8 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -21.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.3 -85.5 270 77 39 0.3 0.2 | -64.5 -84.1 275 76 39 0.2 0.1
45000 -64.8 -84.6 270 92 47 1.7 0.9 | -63.9 -83.0 270 100 51 2.6 1.4
40000 -59.2 -74.6 275 92 47 3.6 2.0 | -60.2 -76.4 270 98 50 2.5 1.4
38000 -57.0 -70.6 275 82 42 3.6 2.0 | -57.3 -71.1 270 94 48 6.1 3.4
36000 -54.8 -66.6 270 67 35 3.6 2.0 | -53.6 -64.5 270 89 46 6.1 3.4
34000 -51.8 -61.2 270 55 28 8.4 4.6 | -49.8 -57.6 270 81 42 7.1 3.9
32000 -46.7 -52.1 265 49 25 8.5 4.7 | -45.0 -49.0 270 66 34 7.2 3.9
30000 -41.0 -41.8 260 44 23 8.2 4.5 | -40.5 -40.9 265 56 29 8.1 4.4
29000 -38.6 -37.5 260 42 22 8.3 4.5 | -38.0 -36.4 265 53 27 8.1 4.4
28000 -36.1 -33.0 265 40 21 8.3 4.5 | -35.6 -32.1 260 51 26 8.1 4.4
27000 -33.6 -28.5 265 39 20 8.4 4.6 | -33.3 -27.9 255 48 25 7.3 4.0
26000 -31.1 -24.0 265 37 19 8.4 4.6 | -31.1 -24.0 255 44 23 7.3 4.0
25000 -28.6 -19.5 265 35 18 8.4 4.6 | -28.9 -20.0 255 41 21 7.3 4.0
24000 -26.1 -15.0 265 34 17 7.5 4.1 | -26.7 -16.1 255 38 19 6.3 3.5
23000 -23.9 -11.0 265 33 17 7.3 4.0 | -25.0 -13.0 260 36 19 5.8 3.2
22000 -21.8 -7.2 265 32 16 7.3 4.0 | -23.2 -9.8 265 35 18 5.8 3.2
21000 -19.7 -3.5 270 31 16 6.1 3.3 | -21.4 -6.5 270 34 18 7.0 3.8
20000 -17.8 -0.0 270 31 16 6.2 3.4 | -19.3 -2.7 275 33 17 7.0 3.8
19500 -16.9 1.6 270 32 16 6.2 3.4 | -18.3 -0.9 275 33 17 7.0 3.8
19000 -15.9 3.4 275 32 16 6.2 3.4 | -17.2 1.0 280 32 17 7.0 3.8
18500 -15.0 5.0 275 32 16 6.6 3.6 | -16.2 2.8 280 32 16 7.0 3.9
18000 -14.0 6.8 275 32 17 6.8 3.7 | -14.6 5.7 280 31 16 7.1 3.9
17500 -12.5 9.5 280 32 17 6.7 3.7 | -13.5 7.7 285 30 16 6.7 3.7
17000 -11.5 11.3 285 32 16 6.6 3.6 | -12.6 9.3 285 29 15 6.5 3.6
16500 -10.5 13.1 285 32 16 6.4 3.5 | -11.6 11.1 285 28 15 6.5 3.6
16000 -9.6 14.7 285 31 16 6.0 3.3 | -10.6 12.9 285 27 14 6.4 3.5
15500 -8.7 16.3 290 31 16 6.0 3.3 | -9.7 14.5 290 26 13 6.4 3.5
15000 -7.8 18.0 290 30 15 5.5 3.0 | -8.8 16.2 290 25 13 5.7 3.1
14500 -7.0 19.4 290 28 15 5.6 3.1 | -7.9 17.8 290 23 12 5.8 3.2
14000 -6.2 20.8 295 27 14 5.4 2.9 | -7.0 19.4 290 22 11 5.9 3.2
13500 -5.4 22.3 295 26 13 5.4 3.0 | -6.2 20.8 290 21 11 6.0 3.3
13000 -4.6 23.7 295 25 13 4.8 2.6 | -5.3 22.5 285 20 10 5.4 3.0
12500 -3.9 25.0 295 23 12 4.7 2.6 | -4.6 23.7 285 18 9 5.3 2.9
12000 -3.3 26.1 295 21 11 3.8 2.1 | -3.8 25.2 280 17 9 5.6 3.1
11500 -2.8 27.0 295 18 9 3.6 2.0 | -3.0 26.6 275 15 8 5.7 3.2
11000 -2.3 27.9 295 15 8 5.4 3.0 | -2.2 28.0 275 13 7 6.4 3.5
10500 -1.4 29.5 295 13 7 6.2 3.4 | -1.2 29.8 270 11 6 6.7 3.7
10250 -0.9 30.4 295 12 6 6.9 3.8 | -0.7 30.7 270 10 5 6.6 3.6
10000 -0.4 31.3 295 11 6 8.6 4.7 | -0.2 31.6 270 9 5 7.4 4.0
9750 0.3 32.5 295 11 6 9.5 5.2 | 0.4 32.7 265 9 4 8.2 4.5
9500 1.0 33.8 295 11 6 8.9 4.9 | 1.0 33.8 265 8 4 7.7 4.2
9250 1.7 35.1 295 10 5 10.3 5.7 | 1.6 34.9 265 8 4 9.0 4.9
9000 2.5 36.5 295 10 5 10.7 5.9 | 2.3 36.1 265 7 4 9.9 5.4
8750 3.2 37.8 295 10 5 9.0 4.9 | 3.0 37.4 265 7 4 9.0 4.9
8500 3.9 39.0 295 10 5 8.3 4.6 | 3.7 38.7 265 7 4 8.7 4.7
8250 4.5 40.1 295 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 4.3 39.7 265 8 4 9.4 5.1
8000 5.3 41.5 295 10 5 10.7 5.8 | 5.1 41.2 265 8 4 9.9 5.4
7750 6.1 43.0 295 10 5 9.6 5.2 | 5.8 42.4 265 8 4 9.4 5.2
7500 6.8 44.2 295 10 5 9.4 5.1 | 6.5 43.7 260 8 4 9.0 5.0
7250 7.5 45.5 295 10 5 10.1 5.5 | 7.1 44.8 260 8 4 8.7 4.8
7000 8.3 46.9 295 10 5 10.6 5.8 | 7.8 46.0 260 8 4 8.1 4.5
6750 9.0 48.2 295 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 8.4 47.1 260 8 4 9.3 5.1
6500 9.8 49.6 295 10 5 11.6 6.3 | 8.9 48.0 255 7 4 1.0 0.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0906 MST Saturday November 29 2025
This forecast is for Saturday, November 29, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 56.6 F/13.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Fair
Maximum rate of lift........................ 342 ft/min (1.7 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 10299 ft MSL (4619 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 58.0 F/14.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1245 MST
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 7216 ft MSL (1536 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 11/30....... Fair
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:54:57 / 16:55:00 MST
Total possible sunshine........... 10 hr 0 min 4 sec (600 min 4 sec)
Altitude of sun at 11:54:59 MST... 33.34 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 11/29/2025 at 0500 MST
Freezing level.................. 10661 ft MSL (4981 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18606 ft MSL (12926 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14424 ft MSL (8744 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +8.2
K index......................... -17.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.7 -84.5 280 70 36 1.1 0.6 88.5 191.3 42.7 M M
45000 -63.1 -81.6 280 84 43 1.0 0.6 68.6 155.4 33.3 M M
40000 -61.6 -78.9 280 68 35 1.0 0.5 46.4 115.6 21.2 M M
38000 -58.8 -73.8 280 62 32 6.6 3.6 41.8 107.3 18.6 M M
36000 -54.8 -66.6 280 56 29 6.5 3.6 39.0 102.2 17.2 M M
34000 -50.7 -59.3 285 51 26 7.7 4.2 36.8 98.2 16.0 M M
32000 -46.0 -50.8 295 47 24 7.7 4.2 35.0 95.0 15.2 M M
30000 -41.4 -42.5 305 45 23 7.8 4.3 33.5 92.3 14.4 M M
29000 -39.1 -38.4 305 43 22 7.8 4.3 32.7 90.8 13.9 M M
28000 -36.7 -34.1 305 41 21 7.8 4.3 32.8 89.5 13.6 M M
27000 -34.3 -29.7 305 39 20 9.0 4.9 31.4 88.5 13.3 M M
26000 -30.9 -23.6 300 39 20 9.2 5.0 31.0 87.8 13.2 M M
25000 -28.1 -18.6 300 38 20 9.2 5.0 30.8 87.5 13.2 M M
24000 -25.4 -13.7 295 38 20 8.5 4.7 30.6 87.1 13.2 M M
23000 -22.8 -9.0 295 39 20 8.6 4.7 30.1 86.2 13.0 M M
22000 -20.2 -4.4 295 39 20 8.6 4.7 29.8 85.6 12.8 M M
21000 -17.9 -0.2 300 40 20 5.9 3.2 29.1 84.3 12.3 M M
20000 -16.1 3.0 300 40 21 6.1 3.3 27.7 81.9 11.3 M M
19500 -15.2 4.6 300 40 21 6.1 3.3 27.1 80.8 10.9 M M
19000 -14.3 6.3 300 40 21 6.1 3.3 26.5 79.7 10.4 M M
18500 -13.4 7.9 300 40 21 5.9 3.2 25.9 78.6 9.9 M M
18000 -12.5 9.5 300 40 21 5.9 3.2 25.2 77.3 9.4 M M
17500 -11.6 11.1 300 41 21 5.7 3.1 24.5 76.2 8.9 M M
17000 -10.8 12.6 295 41 21 5.4 2.9 23.8 74.8 8.2 M M
16500 -10.0 14.0 295 42 22 5.4 3.0 23.0 73.5 7.6 M M
16000 -9.2 15.4 295 43 22 4.7 2.6 22.2 72.0 6.9 M M
15500 -8.5 16.7 290 43 22 4.8 2.6 21.4 70.5 6.2 M M
15000 -7.9 17.8 290 43 22 4.8 2.6 20.6 69.1 5.5 M M
14500 -7.2 19.0 290 43 22 4.9 2.7 19.8 67.6 4.7 M M
14000 -6.4 20.5 290 43 22 5.7 3.1 19.0 66.2 4.0 M M
13500 -5.5 22.1 290 42 22 6.2 3.4 18.4 65.1 3.5 M M
13000 -4.6 23.7 290 42 21 6.4 3.5 17.8 64.1 3.0 M M
12500 -3.6 25.5 290 40 21 6.7 3.7 17.3 63.2 2.5 M M
12000 -2.6 27.3 290 39 20 6.6 3.6 16.9 62.3 2.0 M M
11500 -1.7 28.9 290 37 19 6.2 3.4 16.3 61.3 1.5 M M
11000 -0.8 30.6 295 36 18 6.1 3.3 15.7 60.3 1.0 M M
10500 0.1 32.2 295 34 18 5.8 3.2 15.1 59.2 0.4 M M
10250 0.5 32.9 300 33 17 5.5 3.0 14.8 58.7 0.1 M M
10000 0.9 33.6 300 33 17 5.9 3.2 14.5 58.0 -0.3 328 1.7
9750 1.4 34.5 305 32 16 6.5 3.5 14.2 57.6 -0.5 307 1.6
9500 1.8 35.2 305 31 16 6.8 3.7 13.9 57.1 -0.8 285 1.4
9250 2.7 36.9 310 30 15 5.9 3.3 13.3 56.0 -1.4 246 1.2
9000 3.2 37.8 310 29 15 7.5 4.1 13.1 55.6 -1.7 223 1.1
8750 3.7 38.7 310 29 15 6.9 3.8 12.9 55.3 -1.9 200 1.0
8500 4.2 39.6 310 28 15 7.8 4.3 12.7 54.9 -2.1 178 0.9
8250 4.8 40.6 310 27 14 7.9 4.4 12.6 54.7 -2.3 153 0.8
8000 5.3 41.5 310 26 13 7.5 4.1 12.4 54.4 -2.5 129 0.7
7750 5.9 42.6 310 25 13 7.5 4.1 12.3 54.1 -2.7 106 0.5
7500 6.4 43.5 305 23 12 7.9 4.3 12.1 53.8 -2.9 82 0.4
7250 6.9 44.4 305 22 11 6.0 3.3 11.9 53.5 -3.0 58 0.3
7000 7.3 45.1 305 19 10 4.4 2.4 11.5 52.8 -3.5 41 0.2
6750 7.6 45.7 300 16 8 3.9 2.1 11.1 52.0 -3.9 23 0.1
6500 7.8 46.0 300 14 7 2.7 1.5 10.6 51.1 -4.4 9 0.0
6250 7.8 46.0 295 12 6 -6.0 -3.3 9.9 49.8 -5.1 2 0.0
6000 6.7 44.1 290 8 4 -21.2 -11.6 8.1 46.5 -7.0 27 0.1
5750 5.7 42.3 275 4 2 6.1 3.3 6.3 43.3 -8.8 52 0.3
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
11/29/2025 at 0800 MST | 11/29/2025 at 1100 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +10.2 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +9.3
CINH... -0.4 K Index... -32.0 | CINH... -0.1 K Index... -32.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.2 -85.4 280 69 36 0.9 0.5 | -65.3 -85.5 275 71 36 1.2 0.7
45000 -63.9 -83.0 275 85 44 1.0 0.5 | -63.4 -82.1 275 84 43 1.7 0.9
40000 -62.1 -79.8 270 70 36 1.2 0.7 | -61.0 -77.8 270 79 41 1.7 0.9
38000 -59.2 -74.6 270 63 32 6.5 3.5 | -58.5 -73.3 270 70 36 5.4 2.9
36000 -55.3 -67.5 270 55 28 6.5 3.5 | -55.2 -67.4 270 60 31 5.4 2.9
34000 -51.1 -60.0 275 48 25 8.1 4.4 | -51.4 -60.5 270 50 26 8.4 4.6
32000 -46.3 -51.3 285 44 22 8.1 4.4 | -46.4 -51.5 275 44 23 8.4 4.6
30000 -41.4 -42.5 290 40 20 8.2 4.5 | -41.4 -42.5 280 38 20 8.1 4.5
29000 -38.9 -38.0 290 37 19 8.2 4.5 | -39.0 -38.2 275 36 18 8.1 4.5
28000 -36.5 -33.7 295 35 18 8.2 4.5 | -36.5 -33.7 275 33 17 8.1 4.5
27000 -34.0 -29.2 295 33 17 8.7 4.8 | -33.4 -28.1 275 31 16 8.5 4.7
26000 -30.8 -23.4 295 31 16 8.7 4.8 | -30.9 -23.6 275 30 15 8.5 4.7
25000 -28.1 -18.6 295 29 15 8.7 4.8 | -28.3 -18.9 275 29 15 8.5 4.7
24000 -25.5 -13.9 295 28 15 9.2 5.0 | -25.8 -14.4 275 28 15 9.0 4.9
23000 -22.8 -9.0 295 29 15 9.1 5.0 | -23.1 -9.6 275 28 14 8.9 4.9
22000 -20.0 -4.0 295 29 15 9.1 5.0 | -20.4 -4.7 280 28 14 8.9 4.9
21000 -17.5 0.5 295 29 15 7.3 4.0 | -18.0 -0.4 280 27 14 6.4 3.5
20000 -15.3 4.5 295 29 15 7.3 4.0 | -16.0 3.2 285 27 14 6.5 3.6
19500 -14.2 6.4 300 29 15 7.3 4.0 | -15.1 4.8 285 27 14 6.5 3.6
19000 -13.1 8.4 300 29 15 7.5 4.1 | -14.1 6.6 285 27 14 6.5 3.6
18500 -12.1 10.2 300 30 15 5.9 3.2 | -13.1 8.4 285 27 14 5.9 3.2
18000 -11.1 12.0 300 30 15 6.0 3.3 | -12.2 10.0 290 28 14 6.0 3.3
17500 -10.2 13.6 300 30 16 5.8 3.2 | -11.3 11.7 290 28 14 6.3 3.5
17000 -9.4 15.1 300 31 16 5.6 3.1 | -10.4 13.3 290 29 15 6.5 3.6
16500 -8.6 16.5 300 32 17 5.5 3.0 | -9.4 15.1 290 30 15 6.5 3.6
16000 -7.8 18.0 300 33 17 4.8 2.6 | -8.4 16.9 290 30 16 5.9 3.3
15500 -7.1 19.2 295 35 18 4.9 2.7 | -7.6 18.3 290 31 16 6.0 3.3
15000 -6.4 20.5 295 36 19 4.4 2.4 | -6.7 19.9 290 32 16 5.1 2.8
14500 -5.7 21.7 295 37 19 4.4 2.4 | -5.9 21.4 290 32 16 5.1 2.8
14000 -5.1 22.8 295 39 20 4.2 2.3 | -5.2 22.6 290 32 16 4.5 2.5
13500 -4.5 23.9 295 38 20 4.1 2.2 | -4.6 23.7 290 31 16 4.3 2.3
13000 -3.9 25.0 295 38 20 4.0 2.2 | -3.9 25.0 290 30 15 4.2 2.3
12500 -3.3 26.1 295 37 19 4.0 2.2 | -3.3 26.1 290 28 15 4.1 2.3
12000 -2.7 27.1 295 35 18 4.0 2.2 | -2.7 27.1 295 27 14 3.9 2.1
11500 -2.1 28.2 300 34 17 3.9 2.2 | -2.2 28.0 295 25 13 3.7 2.0
11000 -1.6 29.1 300 32 16 4.2 2.3 | -1.7 28.9 295 23 12 3.7 2.0
10500 -1.0 30.2 305 30 16 4.6 2.5 | -1.2 29.8 300 22 11 3.8 2.1
10250 -0.6 30.9 305 30 15 4.3 2.3 | -0.9 30.4 305 22 11 3.7 2.0
10000 -0.3 31.5 310 29 15 5.0 2.7 | -0.6 30.9 305 21 11 4.3 2.3
9750 0.1 32.2 310 29 15 5.8 3.2 | -0.3 31.5 310 21 11 4.7 2.6
9500 0.5 32.9 315 28 14 5.8 3.2 | 0.0 32.0 310 20 10 4.9 2.7
9250 0.9 33.6 315 28 14 5.4 3.0 | 0.3 32.5 315 19 10 3.9 2.1
9000 1.8 35.2 320 27 14 7.3 4.0 | 1.1 34.0 315 17 9 7.4 4.0
8750 2.3 36.1 320 26 13 7.1 3.9 | 1.6 34.9 320 16 8 6.7 3.7
8500 2.9 37.2 325 26 13 7.0 3.8 | 2.1 35.8 320 15 8 7.3 4.0
8250 3.4 38.1 325 26 13 7.1 3.9 | 2.7 36.9 320 15 8 8.9 4.9
8000 3.9 39.0 325 25 13 7.5 4.1 | 3.4 38.1 320 14 7 9.7 5.3
7750 4.4 39.9 325 24 12 7.5 4.1 | 4.1 39.4 325 14 7 9.5 5.2
7500 4.9 40.8 325 22 12 7.1 3.9 | 4.8 40.6 325 13 7 8.9 4.9
7250 5.4 41.7 320 22 11 6.0 3.3 | 5.5 41.9 325 13 7 9.5 5.2
7000 5.8 42.4 320 20 10 6.0 3.3 | 6.2 43.2 325 13 7 10.5 5.8
6750 6.2 43.2 320 17 9 5.5 3.0 | 7.0 44.6 325 12 6 10.1 5.6
6500 6.5 43.7 320 14 7 3.7 2.0 | 7.8 46.0 325 12 6 10.4 5.7
6250 6.8 44.2 315 11 6 4.3 2.4 | 8.5 47.3 330 12 6 9.4 5.2
6000 7.1 44.8 315 9 5 1.3 0.7 | 9.2 48.6 330 11 6 11.8 6.5
5750 6.2 43.2 300 4 2 -33.4 -18.3 | 10.9 51.6 330 10 5 39.1 21.4
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
11/29/2025 at 1400 MST | 11/29/2025 at 1700 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +8.1 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +6.8
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -24.3 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -14.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.8 -86.4 270 75 39 0.6 0.3 | -65.2 -85.4 270 78 40 0.6 0.3
45000 -64.8 -84.6 265 88 45 2.2 1.2 | -64.1 -83.4 265 96 50 2.7 1.5
40000 -59.2 -74.6 275 91 47 3.5 1.9 | -60.3 -76.5 265 94 49 2.6 1.4
38000 -57.0 -70.6 270 81 42 3.7 2.0 | -57.3 -71.1 270 90 47 6.3 3.5
36000 -54.8 -66.6 270 65 33 3.7 2.0 | -53.5 -64.3 270 85 44 6.3 3.5
34000 -51.6 -60.9 265 52 27 8.7 4.8 | -49.5 -57.1 270 78 40 7.5 4.1
32000 -46.3 -51.3 260 48 25 8.8 4.8 | -45.0 -49.0 270 65 33 7.5 4.1
30000 -41.2 -42.2 255 44 22 8.2 4.5 | -40.4 -40.7 270 54 28 7.9 4.3
29000 -38.7 -37.7 260 41 21 8.2 4.5 | -38.0 -36.4 265 50 26 7.9 4.4
28000 -36.2 -33.2 260 39 20 8.2 4.5 | -35.6 -32.1 260 47 24 7.9 4.4
27000 -33.8 -28.8 260 37 19 8.4 4.6 | -32.7 -26.9 255 43 22 7.6 4.1
26000 -30.6 -23.1 260 35 18 8.4 4.6 | -30.4 -22.7 255 40 21 7.6 4.2
25000 -28.1 -18.6 260 34 17 8.4 4.6 | -28.1 -18.6 250 37 19 7.6 4.2
24000 -25.7 -14.3 260 33 17 7.5 4.1 | -25.9 -14.6 250 34 17 6.3 3.5
23000 -23.4 -10.1 260 32 16 7.5 4.1 | -24.1 -11.4 255 33 17 6.3 3.4
22000 -21.1 -6.0 265 31 16 7.5 4.1 | -22.2 -8.0 260 33 17 6.3 3.4
21000 -19.0 -2.2 265 30 16 5.7 3.1 | -20.3 -4.5 265 33 17 6.5 3.6
20000 -17.3 0.9 270 32 16 5.8 3.2 | -18.3 -0.9 270 33 17 6.5 3.6
19500 -16.4 2.5 275 33 17 5.8 3.2 | -17.3 0.9 275 33 17 6.5 3.6
19000 -15.6 3.9 275 33 17 5.7 3.1 | -16.4 2.5 280 33 17 6.5 3.6
18500 -14.6 5.7 275 34 17 7.0 3.9 | -15.4 4.3 280 33 17 6.5 3.6
18000 -13.6 7.5 280 34 18 7.0 3.8 | -14.4 6.1 280 33 17 6.5 3.6
17500 -12.5 9.5 280 35 18 6.9 3.8 | -13.4 7.9 280 33 17 6.5 3.6
17000 -11.5 11.3 280 35 18 6.8 3.7 | -12.5 9.5 285 33 17 6.4 3.5
16500 -10.5 13.1 285 35 18 6.7 3.7 | -11.5 11.3 285 33 17 6.4 3.5
16000 -9.5 14.9 285 35 18 5.8 3.2 | -10.6 12.9 285 33 17 5.5 3.0
15500 -8.7 16.3 290 35 18 5.9 3.3 | -9.8 14.4 285 33 17 5.7 3.1
15000 -7.8 18.0 290 34 18 5.3 2.9 | -9.0 15.8 285 32 17 4.3 2.4
14500 -7.0 19.4 290 34 17 5.3 2.9 | -8.4 16.9 285 31 16 4.2 2.3
14000 -6.2 20.8 290 33 17 5.0 2.8 | -7.8 18.0 285 30 15 4.2 2.3
13500 -5.5 22.1 290 32 16 4.8 2.7 | -7.2 19.0 280 28 14 4.4 2.4
13000 -4.8 23.4 290 30 16 4.0 2.2 | -6.6 20.1 280 26 13 5.2 2.8
12500 -4.4 24.1 290 27 14 3.1 1.7 | -5.8 21.6 275 23 12 6.0 3.3
12000 -4.0 24.8 290 24 13 2.9 1.6 | -4.9 23.2 265 20 10 6.7 3.7
11500 -3.6 25.5 290 20 10 2.8 1.5 | -3.8 25.2 260 18 9 7.7 4.2
11000 -3.3 26.1 290 16 8 5.0 2.7 | -2.7 27.1 255 16 8 7.8 4.3
10500 -2.2 28.0 290 14 7 7.8 4.3 | -1.5 29.3 255 13 7 8.0 4.4
10250 -1.6 29.1 290 13 7 6.2 3.4 | -0.9 30.4 255 12 6 7.8 4.3
10000 -1.2 29.8 290 12 6 7.7 4.2 | -0.3 31.5 255 10 5 8.2 4.5
9750 -0.5 31.1 290 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 0.3 32.5 255 9 5 8.7 4.7
9500 0.2 32.4 295 11 6 9.5 5.2 | 1.0 33.8 255 8 4 8.5 4.7
9250 1.0 33.8 295 11 6 9.3 5.1 | 2.3 36.1 260 6 3 8.9 4.9
9000 2.3 36.1 295 10 5 9.6 5.2 | 2.9 37.2 260 5 3 8.7 4.8
8750 3.1 37.6 295 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 3.6 38.5 265 5 2 9.0 4.9
8500 3.8 38.8 295 10 5 8.7 4.8 | 4.3 39.7 270 4 2 8.0 4.4
8250 4.4 39.9 300 10 5 9.2 5.1 | 4.8 40.6 275 3 1 8.3 4.6
8000 5.2 41.4 300 10 5 10.6 5.8 | 5.5 41.9 285 2 1 9.6 5.2
7750 6.0 42.8 300 9 5 10.4 5.7 | 6.2 43.2 305 2 1 9.4 5.1
7500 6.7 44.1 300 9 5 9.1 5.0 | 6.9 44.4 330 1 1 8.4 4.6
7250 7.4 45.3 300 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 7.5 45.5 355 1 1 8.5 4.7
7000 8.1 46.6 300 9 4 10.9 6.0 | 8.2 46.8 015 2 1 9.6 5.3
6750 8.9 48.0 305 8 4 10.2 5.6 | 8.9 48.0 030 2 1 9.1 5.0
6500 9.7 49.5 305 8 4 10.1 5.5 | 9.6 49.3 045 2 1 8.7 4.8
6250 10.4 50.7 305 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 10.3 50.5 060 2 1 9.0 5.0
6000 11.1 52.0 305 7 4 11.5 6.3 | 10.8 51.4 075 3 1 2.3 1.3
5750 12.6 54.7 310 6 3 33.4 18.3 | 9.7 49.5 085 2 1 -40.5 -22.2
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0910 MST Saturday November 29 2025
This forecast is for Saturday, November 29, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 51.9 F/11.0 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Fair
Maximum rate of lift........................ 319 ft/min (1.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 10512 ft MSL (4059 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 52.0 F/11.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1400 MST
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 7654 ft MSL (1201 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 11/30....... Fair
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:54:13 / 16:51:31 MST
Total possible sunshine........... 9 hr 57 min 18 sec (597 min 18 sec)
Altitude of sun at 11:52:52 MST... 32.75 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 11/29/2025 at 0500 MST
Freezing level.................. 9921 ft MSL (3468 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 19429 ft MSL (12976 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14303 ft MSL (7850 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +8.4
K index......................... -28.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.3 -83.7 280 66 34 1.3 0.7 86.1 187.0 43.6 M M
45000 -62.3 -80.1 280 78 40 0.7 0.4 67.0 152.7 34.7 M M
40000 -62.6 -80.7 280 72 37 -0.2 -0.1 42.4 108.3 20.9 M M
38000 -59.8 -75.6 280 68 35 7.2 4.0 37.9 100.1 18.4 M M
36000 -55.4 -67.7 290 63 33 7.2 4.0 35.7 96.2 17.3 M M
34000 -51.1 -60.0 295 60 31 7.3 4.0 33.8 92.8 16.4 M M
32000 -46.7 -52.1 300 56 29 7.3 4.0 31.7 89.0 15.3 M M
30000 -42.2 -44.0 305 53 27 7.9 4.4 30.0 86.0 14.4 M M
29000 -39.8 -39.6 305 52 27 8.0 4.4 29.2 84.6 14.0 M M
28000 -37.5 -35.5 305 50 26 8.0 4.4 28.6 83.5 13.6 M M
27000 -35.1 -31.2 305 49 25 8.9 4.9 28.1 82.5 13.4 M M
26000 -32.3 -26.1 305 47 24 9.2 5.1 27.8 82.0 13.3 M M
25000 -28.8 -19.8 305 45 23 9.2 5.1 27.5 81.6 13.3 M M
24000 -26.1 -15.0 300 43 22 9.3 5.1 27.4 81.4 13.4 M M
23000 -23.3 -9.9 300 43 22 9.3 5.1 27.2 80.9 13.4 M M
22000 -20.5 -4.9 295 43 22 9.3 5.1 27.1 80.7 13.4 M M
21000 -17.9 -0.2 295 43 22 6.7 3.7 26.7 80.1 13.3 M M
20000 -15.8 3.6 300 44 23 6.9 3.8 25.7 78.2 12.5 M M
19500 -14.8 5.4 300 45 23 6.9 3.8 25.2 77.3 12.2 M M
19000 -13.8 7.2 300 45 23 7.0 3.8 24.7 76.5 11.8 M M
18500 -12.8 9.0 300 45 23 5.8 3.2 24.2 75.6 11.5 M M
18000 -11.9 10.6 305 45 23 5.6 3.1 23.5 74.3 10.9 M M
17500 -11.1 12.0 305 46 23 5.3 2.9 22.8 73.0 10.3 M M
17000 -10.4 13.3 305 46 23 4.6 2.5 21.9 71.5 9.6 M M
16500 -9.7 14.5 305 46 24 4.6 2.5 21.1 69.9 8.9 M M
16000 -9.0 15.8 300 46 24 4.2 2.3 20.2 68.4 8.2 M M
15500 -8.4 16.9 300 46 24 4.2 2.3 19.3 66.7 7.4 M M
15000 -7.8 18.0 300 47 24 4.4 2.4 18.4 65.1 6.6 M M
14500 -7.1 19.2 295 47 24 4.5 2.5 17.5 63.5 5.8 M M
14000 -6.4 20.5 295 47 24 4.8 2.6 16.7 62.0 5.1 M M
13500 -5.7 21.7 295 47 24 5.1 2.8 15.9 60.6 4.4 M M
13000 -5.0 23.0 295 46 24 5.1 2.8 15.2 59.3 3.7 M M
12500 -4.2 24.4 300 44 22 4.8 2.7 14.4 57.9 2.9 M M
12000 -3.5 25.7 300 41 21 4.9 2.7 13.6 56.5 2.2 M M
11500 -2.8 27.0 300 39 20 5.3 2.9 12.9 55.2 1.5 M M
11000 -1.7 28.9 305 33 17 6.0 3.3 11.8 53.3 0.4 M M
10500 -0.8 30.6 310 30 16 6.2 3.4 11.3 52.3 -0.1 308 1.6
10250 -0.4 31.3 310 28 15 5.7 3.2 11.0 51.8 -0.4 288 1.5
10000 0.0 32.0 310 27 14 6.2 3.4 10.7 51.2 -0.8 268 1.4
9750 0.5 32.9 315 25 13 6.8 3.7 10.4 50.8 -1.0 246 1.3
9500 1.0 33.8 315 24 12 6.6 3.6 10.2 50.4 -1.3 225 1.1
9250 1.5 34.7 315 22 12 6.8 3.8 10.0 49.9 -1.5 203 1.0
9000 2.0 35.6 315 21 11 7.2 3.9 9.8 49.6 -1.8 181 0.9
8750 2.5 36.5 320 21 11 7.3 4.0 9.6 49.2 -2.0 157 0.8
8500 3.0 37.4 320 20 10 7.3 4.0 9.4 48.9 -2.2 134 0.7
8250 3.6 38.5 320 19 10 7.4 4.1 9.2 48.6 -2.4 111 0.6
8000 4.1 39.4 320 18 9 6.1 3.3 9.0 48.2 -2.6 88 0.4
7750 4.5 40.1 315 16 8 5.2 2.9 8.6 47.6 -3.0 69 0.4
7500 4.9 40.8 315 15 8 4.8 2.6 8.3 47.0 -3.3 50 0.3
7250 5.1 41.2 310 13 7 2.6 1.4 7.9 46.1 -3.8 35 0.2
7000 5.3 41.5 305 11 5 3.0 1.7 7.3 45.1 -4.3 22 0.1
6750 5.3 41.5 305 9 5 -7.1 -3.9 6.6 43.8 -5.1 15 0.1
6500 2.7 36.9 310 5 2 -79.1 -43.4 3.2 37.8 -8.4 86 0.4
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
11/29/2025 at 0800 MST | 11/29/2025 at 1100 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +7.8 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +7.7
CINH... -0.4 K Index... -43.1 | CINH... -0.1 K Index... -36.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.6 -84.3 280 70 36 0.7 0.4 | -63.9 -83.0 275 71 37 0.4 0.2
45000 -63.6 -82.5 280 83 42 0.3 0.2 | -63.3 -81.9 275 86 44 0.2 0.1
40000 -63.6 -82.5 275 69 35 -0.0 -0.0 | -63.3 -81.9 270 75 38 0.0 0.0
38000 -60.4 -76.7 275 64 33 7.9 4.4 | -60.4 -76.7 270 70 36 7.3 4.0
36000 -55.6 -68.1 275 61 31 7.9 4.4 | -56.0 -68.8 270 65 34 7.3 4.0
34000 -50.9 -59.6 280 57 30 7.8 4.3 | -51.5 -60.7 270 60 31 8.0 4.4
32000 -46.3 -51.3 285 55 28 7.8 4.3 | -46.8 -52.2 280 54 28 8.0 4.4
30000 -41.6 -42.9 290 51 26 8.0 4.4 | -42.0 -43.6 285 49 25 8.1 4.5
29000 -39.2 -38.6 295 47 24 8.0 4.4 | -39.5 -39.1 280 46 23 8.1 4.5
28000 -36.8 -34.2 295 43 22 8.0 4.4 | -37.1 -34.8 280 42 22 8.1 4.5
27000 -34.4 -29.9 295 40 21 8.6 4.7 | -34.6 -30.3 280 39 20 8.6 4.7
26000 -31.8 -25.2 295 38 20 8.7 4.8 | -31.4 -24.5 280 38 19 8.7 4.7
25000 -28.5 -19.3 290 36 19 8.7 4.8 | -28.8 -19.8 275 36 19 8.7 4.7
24000 -25.9 -14.6 290 35 18 8.8 4.8 | -26.2 -15.2 275 35 18 8.9 4.9
23000 -23.3 -9.9 290 34 17 8.8 4.8 | -23.5 -10.3 280 35 18 8.9 4.9
22000 -20.6 -5.1 285 32 17 8.8 4.8 | -20.8 -5.4 280 34 18 8.9 4.9
21000 -18.1 -0.6 290 31 16 7.3 4.0 | -18.4 -1.1 280 33 17 6.6 3.6
20000 -15.9 3.4 295 32 16 7.4 4.0 | -16.4 2.5 285 32 17 6.7 3.7
19500 -14.8 5.4 295 32 16 7.4 4.1 | -15.4 4.3 285 32 16 6.7 3.7
19000 -13.7 7.3 295 32 17 7.5 4.1 | -14.4 6.1 285 32 16 6.9 3.8
18500 -12.7 9.1 300 33 17 6.2 3.4 | -13.4 7.9 290 31 16 5.5 3.0
18000 -11.7 10.9 300 33 17 6.3 3.4 | -12.6 9.3 290 31 16 5.6 3.0
17500 -10.8 12.6 300 34 17 6.2 3.4 | -11.8 10.8 290 30 16 5.8 3.2
17000 -9.9 14.2 305 34 17 6.2 3.4 | -10.8 12.6 295 30 15 6.0 3.3
16500 -8.9 16.0 305 34 17 6.2 3.4 | -9.9 14.2 295 29 15 6.0 3.3
16000 -8.0 17.6 305 34 17 5.8 3.2 | -9.0 15.8 295 29 15 6.1 3.3
15500 -7.2 19.0 305 34 17 5.9 3.2 | -8.1 17.4 295 28 14 6.1 3.4
15000 -6.3 20.7 305 34 17 5.1 2.8 | -7.2 19.0 295 27 14 6.0 3.3
14500 -5.6 21.9 305 34 17 4.9 2.7 | -6.3 20.7 300 27 14 5.9 3.3
14000 -4.8 23.4 305 34 17 4.6 2.5 | -5.4 22.3 300 26 13 5.3 2.9
13500 -4.2 24.4 305 34 17 4.2 2.3 | -4.7 23.5 300 25 13 4.8 2.6
13000 -3.6 25.5 305 34 17 3.8 2.1 | -4.0 24.8 300 24 13 3.9 2.1
12500 -3.1 26.4 305 34 17 3.0 1.6 | -3.6 25.5 305 23 12 2.5 1.4
12000 -2.7 27.1 310 33 17 2.9 1.6 | -3.2 26.2 305 22 11 1.9 1.0
11500 -2.3 27.9 310 33 17 2.8 1.5 | -3.1 26.4 305 19 10 0.5 0.3
11000 -2.0 28.4 315 31 16 1.6 0.9 | -3.0 26.6 305 15 8 2.5 1.4
10500 -1.4 29.5 315 27 14 3.1 1.7 | -2.3 27.9 300 10 5 3.2 1.8
10250 -1.2 29.8 320 26 13 2.4 1.3 | -2.1 28.2 295 8 4 4.4 2.4
10000 -1.0 30.2 320 25 13 4.3 2.4 | -1.7 28.9 300 7 4 6.7 3.7
9750 -0.7 30.7 320 23 12 6.2 3.4 | -1.2 29.8 300 6 3 7.0 3.8
9500 -0.3 31.5 325 21 11 5.2 2.8 | -0.7 30.7 300 5 3 6.7 3.7
9250 0.1 32.2 325 19 10 7.7 4.2 | -0.2 31.6 295 4 2 7.0 3.9
9000 0.8 33.4 325 18 9 8.3 4.6 | 0.3 32.5 290 3 2 8.6 4.7
8750 1.3 34.3 330 16 8 6.5 3.6 | 1.0 33.8 290 3 2 9.4 5.2
8500 1.8 35.2 335 15 8 6.9 3.8 | 1.7 35.1 290 3 1 9.1 5.0
8250 2.2 36.0 340 15 7 6.5 3.6 | 2.4 36.3 285 3 1 9.1 5.0
8000 2.7 36.9 340 14 7 7.1 3.9 | 3.1 37.6 280 2 1 9.7 5.3
7750 3.3 37.9 345 13 7 8.6 4.7 | 3.8 38.8 280 2 1 10.3 5.6
7500 3.9 39.0 345 12 6 5.5 3.0 | 4.6 40.3 280 2 1 9.9 5.4
7250 4.0 39.2 350 11 6 0.9 0.5 | 5.3 41.5 280 2 1 10.0 5.5
7000 4.1 39.4 350 10 5 3.0 1.6 | 6.0 42.8 280 3 1 9.0 4.9
6750 4.4 39.9 345 8 4 2.6 1.4 | 6.7 44.1 275 3 1 11.1 6.1
6500 3.7 38.7 345 5 3 -28.9 -15.8 | 8.3 46.9 275 3 1 39.7 21.8
11/29/2025 at 1400 MST | 11/29/2025 at 1700 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +7.7 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +7.1
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -28.7 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -29.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.9 -84.8 275 73 38 0.1 0.1 | -64.8 -84.6 270 77 40 0.4 0.2
45000 -64.8 -84.6 270 86 44 1.2 0.7 | -64.2 -83.6 265 96 50 1.3 0.7
40000 -60.6 -77.1 275 84 43 2.7 1.5 | -60.5 -76.9 270 97 50 2.4 1.3
38000 -58.3 -72.9 275 78 40 4.4 2.4 | -57.9 -72.2 270 91 47 5.4 3.0
36000 -55.7 -68.3 270 70 36 4.4 2.4 | -54.6 -66.3 270 81 42 5.4 3.0
34000 -52.2 -62.0 270 62 32 8.8 4.8 | -50.9 -59.6 270 73 37 7.6 4.2
32000 -46.9 -52.4 265 57 30 8.9 4.9 | -46.4 -51.5 270 65 33 7.6 4.2
30000 -41.7 -43.1 265 52 27 8.1 4.4 | -41.6 -42.9 265 58 30 8.4 4.6
29000 -39.3 -38.7 265 49 25 8.0 4.4 | -39.1 -38.4 265 55 28 8.4 4.6
28000 -36.9 -34.4 265 45 23 8.0 4.4 | -36.6 -33.9 260 53 27 8.4 4.6
27000 -34.5 -30.1 265 42 22 8.5 4.6 | -34.1 -29.4 255 51 26 8.1 4.5
26000 -31.9 -25.4 265 42 22 8.6 4.7 | -31.1 -24.0 255 48 25 7.9 4.4
25000 -28.7 -19.7 265 41 21 8.6 4.7 | -28.7 -19.7 255 45 23 7.9 4.4
24000 -26.1 -15.0 265 40 21 7.8 4.3 | -26.4 -15.5 255 43 22 6.5 3.6
23000 -23.8 -10.8 265 39 20 7.8 4.3 | -24.5 -12.1 260 41 21 6.2 3.4
22000 -21.5 -6.7 265 37 19 7.8 4.3 | -22.7 -8.9 265 40 20 6.2 3.4
21000 -19.3 -2.7 270 36 18 5.8 3.2 | -20.8 -5.4 270 38 20 6.7 3.7
20000 -17.5 0.5 275 35 18 6.0 3.3 | -18.8 -1.8 275 37 19 6.7 3.7
19500 -16.6 2.1 275 35 18 6.0 3.3 | -17.8 -0.0 275 36 18 6.7 3.7
19000 -15.7 3.7 280 34 18 5.9 3.2 | -16.8 1.8 275 35 18 6.7 3.7
18500 -14.8 5.4 280 34 17 6.6 3.6 | -15.8 3.6 280 34 18 6.4 3.5
18000 -13.8 7.2 280 34 17 6.6 3.6 | -14.8 5.4 280 33 17 6.4 3.5
17500 -12.8 9.0 285 33 17 6.5 3.6 | -13.9 7.0 280 32 16 6.2 3.4
17000 -11.8 10.8 285 32 17 6.4 3.5 | -13.0 8.6 285 30 16 5.8 3.2
16500 -10.9 12.4 290 32 16 6.4 3.5 | -12.1 10.2 285 29 15 5.8 3.2
16000 -10.0 14.0 290 31 16 5.6 3.1 | -11.3 11.7 285 27 14 5.2 2.8
15500 -9.1 15.6 290 29 15 5.7 3.1 | -10.5 13.1 285 26 13 5.2 2.9
15000 -8.3 17.1 295 28 14 5.0 2.8 | -9.7 14.5 285 24 12 5.2 2.8
14500 -7.6 18.3 295 26 13 4.8 2.7 | -9.0 15.8 285 22 12 5.2 2.8
14000 -6.8 19.8 295 24 13 4.5 2.5 | -8.2 17.2 285 21 11 5.4 3.0
13500 -6.2 20.8 295 22 11 4.3 2.3 | -7.4 18.7 285 19 10 5.6 3.1
13000 -5.6 21.9 295 20 10 4.1 2.2 | -6.5 20.3 285 18 9 6.0 3.3
12500 -5.1 22.8 295 17 9 3.6 2.0 | -5.6 21.9 285 16 8 6.7 3.7
12000 -4.6 23.7 290 15 7 4.1 2.3 | -4.6 23.7 280 14 7 7.0 3.8
11500 -3.9 25.0 285 13 6 5.4 3.0 | -3.5 25.7 280 12 6 7.6 4.2
11000 -2.7 27.1 275 10 5 7.5 4.1 | -1.9 28.6 270 10 5 7.6 4.2
10500 -1.5 29.3 265 10 5 7.2 4.0 | -0.8 30.6 270 10 5 7.2 4.0
10250 -1.0 30.2 260 10 5 7.5 4.1 | -0.3 31.5 265 10 5 6.9 3.8
10000 -0.4 31.3 255 9 5 9.2 5.0 | 0.3 32.5 265 10 5 7.7 4.2
9750 0.3 32.5 255 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 0.8 33.4 260 10 5 8.0 4.4
9500 1.0 33.8 255 9 5 9.4 5.2 | 1.4 34.5 260 10 5 7.8 4.3
9250 1.7 35.1 250 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 2.0 35.6 260 10 5 7.6 4.2
9000 2.4 36.3 250 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 2.6 36.7 255 10 5 8.0 4.4
8750 3.1 37.6 250 9 5 9.4 5.2 | 3.2 37.8 255 11 6 8.4 4.6
8500 3.8 38.8 250 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 3.8 38.8 250 11 6 8.4 4.6
8250 4.6 40.3 245 9 5 9.8 5.4 | 4.4 39.9 250 12 6 8.7 4.8
8000 5.3 41.5 245 9 5 10.0 5.5 | 5.1 41.2 250 12 6 8.0 4.4
7750 6.0 42.8 245 9 5 9.9 5.4 | 5.6 42.1 250 12 6 7.2 4.0
7500 6.8 44.2 245 9 5 10.0 5.5 | 6.2 43.2 245 12 6 7.9 4.3
7250 7.5 45.5 245 9 5 10.4 5.7 | 6.8 44.2 240 12 6 8.5 4.6
7000 8.3 46.9 240 9 5 9.0 4.9 | 7.4 45.3 235 12 6 7.4 4.1
6750 9.0 48.2 240 9 5 10.6 5.8 | 7.6 45.7 235 10 5 -3.0 -1.6
6500 10.5 50.9 235 8 4 40.0 21.9 | 6.1 43.0 210 7 4 -45.5 -24.9
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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