Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0724 MDT Friday July 11 2025
This forecast is for Friday, July 11, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 85.7 F/29.8 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1541 ft/min (7.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21597 ft MSL (15258 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 93.0 F/34.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13403 ft MSL (7064 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 07/12..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:59:24 / 20:19:51 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 20 min 27 sec (860 min 27 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:37 MDT... 76.84 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/11/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16689 ft MSL (10350 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17214 ft MSL (10875 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18462 ft MSL (12124 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.4
K index......................... +8.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.5 -87.7 300 17 9 2.1 1.1 75.6 168.1 24.7 M M
45000 -60.9 -77.6 305 31 16 6.3 3.5 60.6 141.2 17.0 M M
40000 -51.2 -60.2 315 35 18 7.2 3.9 53.6 128.4 13.4 M M
38000 -47.0 -52.6 320 34 18 7.2 3.9 51.2 124.1 12.1 M M
36000 -42.7 -44.9 320 33 17 7.4 4.0 49.4 120.9 11.1 M M
34000 -37.9 -36.2 320 33 17 8.0 4.4 47.6 117.7 10.1 M M
32000 -33.1 -27.6 315 32 17 8.1 4.4 46.4 115.6 9.4 M M
30000 -28.2 -18.8 310 34 18 7.1 3.9 44.1 111.3 7.9 M M
29000 -26.1 -15.0 310 35 18 7.1 3.9 43.1 109.6 7.2 M M
28000 -24.0 -11.2 305 35 18 7.1 3.9 42.2 108.0 6.6 M M
27000 -21.9 -7.4 305 33 17 7.1 3.9 41.1 106.0 5.8 M M
26000 -19.8 -3.6 305 32 16 7.1 3.9 40.1 104.2 5.1 M M
25000 -17.6 0.3 300 30 15 6.4 3.5 39.3 102.7 4.4 M M
24000 -16.0 3.2 295 29 15 5.3 2.9 37.6 99.6 3.1 M M
23000 -14.5 5.9 295 29 15 5.4 3.0 36.0 96.8 1.7 M M
22000 -12.9 8.8 290 28 15 6.0 3.3 34.6 94.3 0.5 M M
21000 -10.9 12.4 290 25 13 6.7 3.7 33.4 92.1 -0.6 1494 7.6
20000 -9.0 15.8 290 21 11 6.9 3.8 32.4 90.3 -1.6 1407 7.1
19500 -8.1 17.4 290 19 10 6.8 3.8 31.9 89.5 -2.0 1363 6.9
19000 -6.9 19.6 290 17 9 9.1 5.0 31.7 89.0 -2.3 1314 6.7
18500 -5.6 21.9 295 16 8 8.9 4.9 31.5 88.7 -2.5 1261 6.4
18000 -4.3 24.3 300 14 7 9.3 5.1 31.4 88.5 -2.7 1207 6.1
17500 -2.1 28.2 300 14 7 9.7 5.3 31.3 88.4 -2.7 1118 5.7
17000 -0.6 30.9 305 14 7 9.5 5.2 31.4 88.5 -2.6 1059 5.4
16500 0.8 33.4 305 15 8 9.4 5.1 31.3 88.3 -2.7 1001 5.1
16000 2.3 36.1 310 16 8 9.4 5.1 31.2 88.2 -2.7 943 4.8
15500 3.7 38.7 315 17 9 9.5 5.2 31.2 88.1 -2.8 886 4.5
15000 5.1 41.2 315 18 9 9.5 5.2 31.1 88.0 -2.8 828 4.2
14500 6.5 43.7 320 18 10 9.5 5.2 31.1 88.0 -2.9 771 3.9
14000 7.9 46.2 320 18 9 9.5 5.2 31.0 87.9 -2.9 714 3.6
13500 9.3 48.7 320 18 9 9.7 5.3 31.0 87.8 -3.0 658 3.3
13000 10.8 51.4 315 17 9 9.8 5.4 31.0 87.8 -3.0 599 3.0
12500 12.2 54.0 315 16 8 9.8 5.4 31.1 87.9 -3.0 541 2.7
12000 13.7 56.7 310 15 8 9.7 5.3 31.0 87.9 -3.1 484 2.5
11500 15.1 59.2 310 14 7 9.3 5.1 31.1 87.9 -3.1 426 2.2
11000 16.3 61.3 300 12 6 8.4 4.6 30.9 87.6 -3.4 375 1.9
10500 17.4 63.3 295 9 5 8.2 4.5 30.7 87.2 -3.7 326 1.7
10250 17.9 64.2 295 9 4 6.2 3.4 30.5 86.9 -4.0 304 1.5
10000 18.3 64.9 295 8 4 5.1 2.8 30.2 86.3 -4.4 286 1.5
9750 18.6 65.5 295 7 3 5.6 3.1 29.8 85.7 -4.8 269 1.4
9500 18.9 66.0 300 6 3 4.8 2.7 29.5 85.1 -5.2 252 1.3
9250 19.1 66.4 305 5 3 2.1 1.2 29.0 84.2 -5.8 239 1.2
9000 19.1 66.4 320 4 2 1.7 1.0 28.4 83.1 -6.5 231 1.2
8750 19.2 66.6 335 4 2 2.7 1.5 27.8 82.1 -7.1 220 1.1
8500 19.4 66.9 350 4 2 2.4 1.3 27.3 81.1 -7.7 209 1.1
8250 19.5 67.1 010 5 2 2.6 1.4 26.7 80.1 -8.3 197 1.0
8000 19.7 67.5 025 6 3 1.6 0.9 26.1 79.1 -8.9 185 0.9
7750 19.7 67.5 040 8 4 0.7 0.4 25.5 77.8 -9.6 177 0.9
7500 19.7 67.5 045 10 5 -2.3 -1.2 24.7 76.5 -10.4 170 0.9
7250 19.3 66.7 045 12 6 -5.7 -3.1 23.6 74.6 -11.6 174 0.9
7000 18.8 65.8 045 13 6 -5.8 -3.2 22.5 72.4 -12.8 181 0.9
6750 18.4 65.1 045 13 7 -5.8 -3.2 21.3 70.3 -14.0 188 1.0
6500 17.9 64.2 040 12 6 -5.6 -3.1 20.1 68.2 -15.2 195 1.0
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/11/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/11/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +157.9 LI... -2.1 | CAPE... +18.3 LI... -0.2
CINH... -171.6 K Index... +5.0 | CINH... -3.9 K Index... +18.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.1 -88.8 305 11 6 2.6 1.5 | -66.1 -87.0 310 14 7 1.6 0.9
45000 -60.7 -77.3 310 24 12 6.7 3.7 | -61.0 -77.8 315 28 15 6.3 3.5
40000 -50.7 -59.3 315 34 18 6.9 3.8 | -51.4 -60.5 315 36 19 6.9 3.8
38000 -46.5 -51.7 315 34 17 6.9 3.8 | -47.3 -53.1 310 34 17 6.9 3.8
36000 -42.4 -44.3 315 33 17 7.1 3.9 | -43.1 -45.6 310 31 16 7.1 3.9
34000 -37.9 -36.2 315 32 17 7.6 4.2 | -38.4 -37.1 305 30 15 7.9 4.3
32000 -33.4 -28.1 310 31 16 7.6 4.2 | -33.1 -27.6 300 29 15 7.6 4.2
30000 -28.6 -19.5 315 32 17 7.0 3.9 | -28.8 -19.8 305 28 14 7.2 3.9
29000 -26.5 -15.7 315 33 17 7.0 3.9 | -26.7 -16.1 310 27 14 7.2 3.9
28000 -24.3 -11.7 315 33 17 7.5 4.1 | -24.5 -12.1 310 27 14 7.3 4.0
27000 -22.1 -7.8 315 32 16 7.4 4.1 | -22.3 -8.1 310 26 13 7.3 4.0
26000 -19.9 -3.8 310 30 15 7.4 4.1 | -20.1 -4.2 310 24 13 7.3 4.0
25000 -17.7 0.1 310 29 15 6.3 3.5 | -18.0 -0.4 310 23 12 6.6 3.6
24000 -16.2 2.8 305 26 13 5.0 2.7 | -16.2 2.8 305 22 11 5.8 3.2
23000 -14.7 5.5 305 24 12 5.0 2.7 | -14.5 5.9 295 20 10 5.8 3.2
22000 -13.2 8.2 300 21 11 5.9 3.2 | -12.7 9.1 290 19 10 6.2 3.4
21000 -11.3 11.7 295 22 11 6.8 3.7 | -10.8 12.6 290 18 9 6.5 3.6
20000 -9.3 15.3 285 22 11 7.1 3.9 | -8.9 16.0 285 18 9 6.6 3.6
19500 -8.4 16.9 285 23 12 7.3 4.0 | -8.0 17.6 285 17 9 6.8 3.7
19000 -7.2 19.0 285 22 11 9.4 5.2 | -6.9 19.6 285 17 9 8.4 4.6
18500 -5.8 21.6 285 21 11 9.3 5.1 | -5.7 21.7 285 17 9 8.4 4.6
18000 -4.4 24.1 290 20 10 9.5 5.2 | -3.8 25.2 285 17 9 9.3 5.1
17500 -2.2 28.0 295 19 10 9.8 5.4 | -2.5 27.5 285 16 8 9.2 5.1
17000 -0.8 30.6 295 19 10 9.7 5.3 | -1.2 29.8 285 16 8 9.4 5.2
16500 0.7 33.3 300 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 0.2 32.4 290 16 8 9.5 5.2
16000 2.1 35.8 305 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 1.6 34.9 290 16 8 9.5 5.2
15500 3.6 38.5 305 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 3.0 37.4 295 16 8 9.4 5.1
15000 5.0 41.0 310 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 4.4 39.9 295 16 8 9.4 5.1
14500 6.4 43.5 310 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 5.8 42.4 295 15 8 9.4 5.2
14000 7.9 46.2 310 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 7.2 45.0 300 15 8 9.4 5.2
13500 9.3 48.7 315 19 10 9.4 5.1 | 8.6 47.5 300 15 8 9.4 5.2
13000 10.8 51.4 315 18 9 9.3 5.1 | 10.0 50.0 300 15 7 9.4 5.2
12500 12.2 54.0 315 16 8 8.9 4.9 | 11.4 52.5 300 14 7 9.5 5.2
12000 13.5 56.3 315 15 8 8.5 4.7 | 12.8 55.0 300 14 7 9.6 5.3
11500 14.8 58.6 315 13 7 8.3 4.6 | 14.2 57.6 305 13 7 9.8 5.4
11000 16.4 61.5 315 12 6 8.0 4.4 | 15.7 60.3 305 12 6 9.6 5.3
10500 17.1 62.8 320 12 6 8.0 4.4 | 17.1 62.8 305 12 6 9.7 5.3
10250 17.7 63.9 320 11 6 6.4 3.5 | 17.8 64.0 305 11 6 9.7 5.3
10000 18.0 64.4 320 10 5 5.3 2.9 | 18.6 65.5 305 11 5 9.7 5.3
9750 18.3 64.9 320 9 5 5.9 3.3 | 19.3 66.7 305 10 5 9.6 5.2
9500 18.7 65.7 320 8 4 5.6 3.1 | 20.0 68.0 305 10 5 10.2 5.6
9250 19.0 66.2 325 7 4 5.0 2.7 | 20.8 69.4 305 9 5 10.8 5.9
9000 19.1 66.4 330 5 3 3.4 1.8 | 21.5 70.7 305 9 4 9.6 5.3
8750 19.3 66.7 340 4 2 2.7 1.5 | 22.2 72.0 305 8 4 8.6 4.7
8500 19.4 66.9 360 4 2 2.0 1.1 | 22.9 73.2 300 8 4 9.6 5.3
8250 19.4 66.9 015 3 2 0.1 0.0 | 23.6 74.5 300 7 4 10.8 5.9
8000 19.3 66.7 040 3 1 0.9 0.5 | 24.4 75.9 300 7 4 10.4 5.7
7750 19.3 66.7 060 3 1 1.0 0.6 | 25.2 77.4 300 6 3 9.7 5.3
7500 19.4 66.9 075 3 2 5.8 3.2 | 25.9 78.6 300 6 3 10.0 5.5
7250 20.1 68.2 080 3 2 10.9 6.0 | 26.7 80.1 300 6 3 10.6 5.8
7000 20.8 69.4 085 3 2 10.0 5.5 | 27.5 81.5 300 5 3 10.3 5.6
6750 21.6 70.9 085 3 2 10.1 5.5 | 28.2 82.8 295 5 2 10.6 5.8
6500 22.4 72.3 090 3 2 12.6 6.9 | 29.2 84.6 295 4 2 17.5 9.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/11/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/11/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +0.4 LI... -0.8 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.7
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +9.1 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +11.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.5 -87.7 310 18 9 2.9 1.6 | -66.5 -87.7 315 22 11 2.7 1.5
45000 -60.2 -76.4 315 32 17 6.1 3.4 | -60.3 -76.5 320 33 17 6.1 3.4
40000 -50.9 -59.6 320 39 20 6.4 3.5 | -50.9 -59.6 320 38 20 6.9 3.8
38000 -47.1 -52.8 315 36 19 6.4 3.5 | -46.8 -52.2 320 35 18 6.9 3.8
36000 -43.3 -45.9 310 34 17 6.6 3.6 | -42.7 -44.9 315 33 17 7.1 3.9
34000 -38.7 -37.7 305 33 17 7.8 4.3 | -38.1 -36.6 315 31 16 7.7 4.2
32000 -33.4 -28.1 305 32 16 7.7 4.2 | -32.9 -27.2 315 29 15 7.5 4.1
30000 -29.0 -20.2 305 29 15 7.3 4.0 | -28.5 -19.3 310 28 15 7.3 4.0
29000 -26.8 -16.2 305 28 14 7.3 4.0 | -26.3 -15.3 310 28 14 7.3 4.0
28000 -24.7 -12.5 305 27 14 6.5 3.6 | -24.2 -11.6 305 27 14 6.6 3.6
27000 -22.7 -8.9 305 25 13 6.6 3.6 | -22.2 -8.0 305 25 13 6.6 3.6
26000 -20.7 -5.3 300 24 12 6.6 3.6 | -20.2 -4.4 300 23 12 6.6 3.6
25000 -18.8 -1.8 300 22 11 6.1 3.3 | -18.2 -0.8 300 22 11 6.1 3.3
24000 -17.1 1.2 295 19 10 5.5 3.0 | -16.6 2.1 295 21 11 5.5 3.0
23000 -15.5 4.1 295 15 8 5.7 3.1 | -15.0 5.0 295 21 11 5.7 3.1
22000 -13.9 7.0 295 12 6 7.1 3.9 | -13.4 7.9 295 21 11 7.2 4.0
21000 -11.5 11.3 295 11 6 8.2 4.5 | -11.0 12.2 290 19 10 8.2 4.5
20000 -9.1 15.6 290 10 5 8.3 4.5 | -8.6 16.5 285 18 9 8.3 4.5
19500 -7.9 17.8 290 10 5 8.3 4.6 | -7.4 18.7 280 17 9 8.3 4.6
19000 -6.5 20.3 290 9 5 9.8 5.4 | -6.0 21.2 280 16 8 10.0 5.5
18500 -5.1 22.8 290 9 5 9.7 5.3 | -4.6 23.7 280 16 8 9.8 5.4
18000 -3.6 25.5 290 9 5 9.7 5.3 | -3.1 26.4 280 16 8 9.7 5.3
17500 -1.5 29.3 285 9 5 9.7 5.3 | -1.0 30.2 280 16 8 9.6 5.2
17000 -0.0 32.0 285 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 0.5 32.9 280 16 8 9.7 5.3
16500 1.4 34.5 285 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 1.9 35.4 280 15 8 9.8 5.4
16000 2.9 37.2 285 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 3.4 38.1 280 15 8 9.8 5.4
15500 4.3 39.7 285 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 4.8 40.6 280 15 8 9.5 5.2
15000 5.8 42.4 285 10 5 9.4 5.2 | 6.3 43.3 280 15 8 9.5 5.2
14500 7.2 45.0 285 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 7.7 45.9 280 15 8 9.9 5.5
14000 8.7 47.7 285 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 9.2 48.6 280 15 8 10.0 5.5
13500 10.1 50.2 285 11 5 9.6 5.3 | 10.7 51.3 280 14 7 9.8 5.4
13000 11.5 52.7 285 11 6 9.5 5.2 | 12.1 53.8 280 14 7 9.7 5.3
12500 13.0 55.4 285 11 6 9.6 5.3 | 13.6 56.5 280 14 7 9.7 5.3
12000 14.4 57.9 285 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 15.0 59.0 280 14 7 9.7 5.3
11500 15.9 60.6 285 12 6 9.9 5.4 | 16.5 61.7 280 14 7 9.5 5.2
11000 17.3 63.1 285 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 17.9 64.2 280 14 7 9.8 5.4
10500 18.8 65.8 285 14 7 8.8 4.9 | 19.4 66.9 280 14 7 9.8 5.4
10250 19.4 66.9 285 14 7 9.2 5.0 | 20.1 68.2 280 13 7 9.7 5.3
10000 20.2 68.4 285 14 7 10.6 5.8 | 20.8 69.4 280 13 7 9.6 5.3
9750 21.0 69.8 285 15 7 10.1 5.6 | 21.6 70.9 280 13 7 9.4 5.2
9500 21.7 71.1 285 15 8 10.6 5.8 | 22.3 72.1 280 13 7 10.2 5.6
9250 22.5 72.5 285 15 8 10.7 5.9 | 23.1 73.6 280 13 7 11.3 6.2
9000 23.3 73.9 285 15 8 9.8 5.4 | 23.9 75.0 280 13 7 9.9 5.4
8750 24.0 75.2 285 16 8 9.1 5.0 | 24.6 76.3 275 13 7 8.7 4.8
8500 24.7 76.5 290 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 25.2 77.4 275 13 7 9.2 5.1
8250 25.4 77.7 290 16 8 10.5 5.7 | 26.0 78.8 275 13 6 9.8 5.4
8000 26.2 79.2 290 16 8 10.4 5.7 | 26.7 80.1 275 12 6 10.1 5.6
7750 27.0 80.6 290 17 9 9.9 5.4 | 27.5 81.5 275 12 6 10.1 5.5
7500 27.7 81.9 290 17 9 10.3 5.7 | 28.2 82.8 275 12 6 10.0 5.5
7250 28.5 83.3 290 17 9 10.8 6.0 | 29.0 84.2 275 12 6 9.7 5.3
7000 29.3 84.7 290 17 9 11.2 6.1 | 29.7 85.5 275 12 6 9.9 5.4
6750 30.2 86.4 290 17 9 9.8 5.4 | 30.4 86.7 275 11 6 9.8 5.4
6500 31.0 87.8 290 16 8 16.3 9.0 | 31.2 88.2 275 11 6 13.2 7.3
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0726 MDT Friday July 11 2025
This forecast is for Friday, July 11, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 88.7 F/31.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1581 ft/min (8.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21557 ft MSL (15872 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 97.0 F/36.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1145 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15083 ft MSL (9398 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 07/12..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:01:44 / 20:22:29 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 20 min 46 sec (860 min 46 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:12:06 MDT... 76.68 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/11/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16699 ft MSL (11014 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 20334 ft MSL (14649 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 21040 ft MSL (15355 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.2
K index......................... +1.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.6 -86.1 305 16 8 2.2 1.2 79.1 174.4 25.3 M M
45000 -60.5 -76.9 305 28 14 6.0 3.3 64.3 147.8 17.8 M M
40000 -50.8 -59.4 320 40 20 6.8 3.8 56.0 132.8 13.5 M M
38000 -46.7 -52.1 320 39 20 6.8 3.8 53.3 127.9 11.9 M M
36000 -42.6 -44.7 320 38 19 7.3 4.0 51.3 124.3 10.8 M M
34000 -37.9 -36.2 315 35 18 7.8 4.3 49.3 120.8 9.7 M M
32000 -33.2 -27.8 315 33 17 7.8 4.3 48.0 118.4 8.9 M M
30000 -28.8 -19.8 310 34 18 7.2 4.0 45.9 114.6 7.5 M M
29000 -26.6 -15.9 305 35 18 7.2 4.0 45.0 113.0 6.9 M M
28000 -24.5 -12.1 300 35 18 7.3 4.0 44.2 111.5 6.3 M M
27000 -22.3 -8.1 300 33 17 7.4 4.0 43.1 109.6 5.6 M M
26000 -20.0 -4.0 300 31 16 7.4 4.0 42.2 108.0 4.9 M M
25000 -17.3 0.9 295 29 15 6.1 3.3 41.2 106.2 4.1 M M
24000 -15.7 3.7 295 28 14 5.6 3.0 39.6 103.2 2.8 M M
23000 -14.0 6.8 295 27 14 5.6 3.1 38.1 100.5 1.6 M M
22000 -12.3 9.9 295 26 14 6.3 3.5 36.7 98.0 0.4 M M
21000 -10.4 13.3 285 25 13 6.7 3.7 35.5 95.8 -0.7 1527 7.8
20000 -8.5 16.7 280 24 12 6.9 3.8 34.4 94.0 -1.7 1440 7.3
19500 -7.6 18.3 280 23 12 7.5 4.1 34.0 93.2 -2.2 1397 7.1
19000 -6.3 20.7 280 21 11 8.8 4.8 33.8 92.8 -2.4 1346 6.8
18500 -5.1 22.8 280 19 10 8.7 4.8 33.6 92.5 -2.6 1292 6.6
18000 -3.7 25.3 280 17 9 9.3 5.1 33.5 92.2 -2.8 1238 6.3
17500 -2.3 27.9 285 16 8 9.4 5.2 33.4 92.1 -2.8 1181 6.0
17000 -0.9 30.4 290 15 8 9.4 5.2 33.4 92.0 -2.9 1124 5.7
16500 0.5 32.9 295 14 7 9.5 5.2 33.3 92.0 -2.9 1065 5.4
16000 2.0 35.6 300 14 7 9.6 5.3 33.3 91.9 -2.9 1006 5.1
15500 3.5 38.3 305 15 8 9.2 5.1 33.2 91.8 -2.9 948 4.8
15000 4.9 40.8 305 16 8 9.3 5.1 33.2 91.7 -3.0 891 4.5
14500 6.3 43.3 310 16 8 9.2 5.0 33.1 91.6 -3.1 834 4.2
14000 7.7 45.9 310 17 9 9.2 5.0 33.0 91.4 -3.2 778 4.0
13500 9.0 48.2 315 17 9 9.1 5.0 32.9 91.2 -3.3 722 3.7
13000 10.4 50.7 315 17 9 9.0 4.9 32.8 91.0 -3.4 666 3.4
12500 11.7 53.1 315 17 9 9.0 4.9 32.6 90.8 -3.5 611 3.1
12000 13.1 55.6 320 18 9 8.8 4.8 32.5 90.5 -3.7 557 2.8
11500 14.4 57.9 320 18 9 8.8 4.8 32.4 90.2 -3.8 503 2.6
11000 15.7 60.3 320 18 10 8.8 4.8 32.2 90.0 -4.0 448 2.3
10500 17.0 62.6 320 19 10 9.0 5.0 32.1 89.7 -4.2 394 2.0
10250 17.7 63.9 320 19 10 9.1 5.0 32.0 89.6 -4.2 366 1.9
10000 18.4 65.1 320 19 10 9.1 5.0 32.0 89.5 -4.3 339 1.7
9750 19.0 66.2 320 19 10 9.4 5.1 31.9 89.5 -4.4 311 1.6
9500 20.2 68.4 320 17 9 7.1 3.9 31.7 89.0 -4.7 261 1.3
9250 20.7 69.3 325 16 8 7.5 4.1 31.5 88.7 -4.9 238 1.2
9000 21.2 70.2 325 15 7 7.5 4.1 31.3 88.4 -5.1 215 1.1
8750 21.8 71.2 330 13 7 7.2 4.0 31.1 88.1 -5.4 192 1.0
8500 22.2 72.0 335 12 6 5.7 3.1 30.9 87.6 -5.6 171 0.9
8250 22.6 72.7 340 10 5 5.0 2.7 30.5 87.0 -6.1 154 0.8
8000 22.9 73.2 350 8 4 5.3 2.9 30.2 86.3 -6.5 137 0.7
7750 23.2 73.8 005 6 3 5.4 3.0 29.9 85.7 -6.9 120 0.6
7500 23.5 74.3 020 5 2 4.4 2.4 29.5 85.1 -7.4 104 0.5
7250 23.7 74.7 045 4 2 2.5 1.4 29.0 84.2 -7.9 90 0.5
7000 23.8 74.8 060 5 2 2.2 1.2 28.4 83.2 -8.6 81 0.4
6750 23.8 74.8 075 5 3 1.8 1.0 27.9 82.2 -9.3 71 0.4
6500 23.9 75.0 080 6 3 0.5 0.3 27.2 81.0 -10.0 62 0.3
6250 23.9 75.0 085 6 3 1.1 0.6 26.5 79.8 -10.7 55 0.3
6000 23.8 74.8 085 6 3 -4.6 -2.5 25.8 78.4 -11.6 50 0.3
5750 22.2 72.0 085 5 3 -47.8 -26.2 23.4 74.2 -13.9 91 0.5
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/11/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/11/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +111.9 LI... -1.5 | CAPE... +4.2 LI... +0.6
CINH... -126.4 K Index... +8.6 | CINH... -3.5 K Index... +14.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.7 -88.1 320 14 7 2.6 1.4 | -66.2 -87.2 310 16 8 1.9 1.0
45000 -61.1 -78.0 310 29 15 6.2 3.4 | -61.3 -78.3 315 31 16 6.1 3.3
40000 -51.0 -59.8 315 38 19 7.2 3.9 | -51.5 -60.7 315 38 19 7.1 3.9
38000 -46.7 -52.1 315 35 18 7.2 3.9 | -47.2 -53.0 315 33 17 7.1 3.9
36000 -42.4 -44.3 320 32 16 7.5 4.1 | -43.0 -45.4 310 29 15 7.5 4.1
34000 -37.7 -35.9 315 30 15 7.9 4.3 | -38.1 -36.6 310 28 14 8.1 4.4
32000 -33.0 -27.4 315 27 14 7.9 4.3 | -33.3 -27.9 305 27 14 8.1 4.4
30000 -28.6 -19.5 315 30 16 7.3 4.0 | -28.9 -20.0 310 28 14 7.2 4.0
29000 -26.4 -15.5 315 32 17 7.3 4.0 | -26.7 -16.1 310 29 15 7.2 4.0
28000 -24.2 -11.6 310 34 17 7.2 4.0 | -24.5 -12.1 315 29 15 7.4 4.1
27000 -22.0 -7.6 310 33 17 7.2 4.0 | -21.7 -7.1 310 29 15 7.4 4.1
26000 -19.3 -2.7 310 31 16 7.2 4.0 | -19.5 -3.1 310 29 15 7.5 4.1
25000 -17.2 1.0 305 30 15 5.5 3.0 | -17.3 0.9 305 28 14 6.1 3.4
24000 -15.8 3.6 300 27 14 4.8 2.6 | -15.6 3.9 300 26 13 5.7 3.1
23000 -14.3 6.3 295 24 12 4.8 2.6 | -13.9 7.0 290 24 12 5.7 3.1
22000 -12.8 9.0 290 21 11 6.1 3.4 | -12.2 10.0 285 22 11 6.0 3.3
21000 -10.9 12.4 285 20 10 6.6 3.6 | -10.4 13.3 280 19 10 6.1 3.3
20000 -9.1 15.6 280 20 10 6.8 3.8 | -8.6 16.5 280 17 9 6.3 3.4
19500 -8.1 17.4 275 20 10 7.6 4.2 | -7.7 18.1 275 16 8 7.1 3.9
19000 -6.8 19.8 275 19 10 9.3 5.1 | -6.5 20.3 280 15 8 8.7 4.8
18500 -5.5 22.1 275 19 10 9.4 5.1 | -5.2 22.6 285 15 8 8.7 4.8
18000 -4.1 24.6 275 19 10 9.5 5.2 | -3.9 25.0 285 15 8 8.5 4.7
17500 -2.7 27.1 275 19 10 9.5 5.2 | -2.7 27.1 290 16 8 8.5 4.7
17000 -1.3 29.7 280 18 9 9.5 5.2 | -1.5 29.3 295 16 8 8.8 4.8
16500 0.1 32.2 285 18 9 9.4 5.2 | -0.2 31.6 295 16 8 9.2 5.0
16000 1.5 34.7 285 18 9 9.4 5.2 | 1.1 34.0 300 16 8 9.2 5.0
15500 2.9 37.2 290 18 9 9.5 5.2 | 2.5 36.5 300 16 8 9.6 5.3
15000 4.4 39.9 295 18 9 9.5 5.2 | 3.9 39.0 300 16 8 9.6 5.2
14500 5.8 42.4 300 18 9 9.5 5.2 | 5.3 41.5 305 16 8 9.5 5.2
14000 7.2 45.0 305 19 10 9.5 5.2 | 6.8 44.2 305 15 8 9.5 5.2
13500 8.7 47.7 310 19 10 9.5 5.2 | 8.2 46.8 305 15 8 9.5 5.2
13000 10.1 50.2 310 19 10 9.4 5.2 | 9.6 49.3 310 15 8 9.5 5.2
12500 11.5 52.7 315 19 10 9.4 5.2 | 11.0 51.8 310 15 8 9.4 5.2
12000 13.0 55.4 315 19 10 9.1 5.0 | 12.5 54.5 315 14 7 9.3 5.1
11500 14.4 57.9 320 19 10 9.1 5.0 | 13.9 57.0 315 14 7 9.0 5.0
11000 15.6 60.1 325 18 9 7.2 4.0 | 15.0 59.0 320 13 7 7.1 3.9
10500 16.7 62.1 325 16 8 8.2 4.5 | 16.2 61.2 320 12 6 9.1 5.0
10250 17.3 63.1 325 16 8 6.3 3.5 | 16.8 62.2 320 12 6 8.6 4.7
10000 17.7 63.9 325 15 8 4.8 2.6 | 17.4 63.3 320 11 6 8.2 4.5
9750 18.0 64.4 330 14 7 5.1 2.8 | 18.0 64.4 320 10 5 8.1 4.4
9500 18.4 65.1 330 13 7 5.5 3.0 | 18.6 65.5 320 10 5 9.0 4.9
9250 19.2 66.6 330 11 6 5.7 3.1 | 20.0 68.0 315 9 5 9.0 4.9
9000 19.6 67.3 330 10 5 6.0 3.3 | 20.7 69.3 315 9 5 9.2 5.1
8750 19.9 67.8 335 8 4 5.7 3.1 | 21.3 70.3 315 9 5 8.7 4.8
8500 20.3 68.5 335 7 4 6.0 3.3 | 22.0 71.6 315 9 4 9.4 5.1
8250 20.7 69.3 335 6 3 6.5 3.6 | 22.7 72.9 315 8 4 10.3 5.6
8000 21.1 70.0 335 5 3 7.0 3.8 | 23.5 74.3 310 8 4 10.2 5.6
7750 21.5 70.7 340 4 2 5.5 3.0 | 24.2 75.6 310 8 4 9.6 5.3
7500 21.7 71.1 340 4 2 3.9 2.1 | 24.9 76.8 310 8 4 9.3 5.1
7250 22.0 71.6 345 3 2 6.7 3.7 | 25.7 78.3 310 8 4 10.5 5.7
7000 22.6 72.7 345 3 1 8.0 4.4 | 26.5 79.7 310 8 4 11.0 6.0
6750 23.1 73.6 350 3 1 8.6 4.7 | 27.3 81.1 305 8 4 10.6 5.8
6500 23.8 74.8 350 3 1 10.1 5.5 | 28.1 82.6 305 7 4 10.7 5.9
6250 24.5 76.1 350 3 1 9.1 5.0 | 28.8 83.8 305 7 4 9.7 5.3
6000 25.2 77.4 350 3 1 11.7 6.4 | 29.7 85.5 305 7 4 14.7 8.1
5750 26.7 80.1 345 3 1 33.2 18.2 | 32.0 89.6 305 7 3 58.1 31.9
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/11/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/11/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +0.4 LI... -0.5 | CAPE... +0.1 LI... -0.8
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +11.7 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +5.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.3 -87.3 310 20 10 2.6 1.4 | -66.9 -88.4 315 22 11 3.1 1.7
45000 -60.2 -76.4 315 35 18 6.2 3.4 | -60.6 -77.1 325 34 17 6.4 3.5
40000 -50.8 -59.4 315 39 20 6.4 3.5 | -50.4 -58.7 320 37 19 6.8 3.8
38000 -47.0 -52.6 315 36 18 6.4 3.5 | -46.3 -51.3 315 36 18 6.8 3.7
36000 -43.1 -45.6 310 32 17 6.8 3.7 | -42.2 -44.0 315 35 18 7.1 3.9
34000 -38.5 -37.3 310 31 16 7.7 4.2 | -37.7 -35.9 310 31 16 7.5 4.1
32000 -33.9 -29.0 305 30 16 7.7 4.2 | -33.2 -27.8 305 26 14 7.6 4.1
30000 -29.4 -20.9 305 29 15 7.5 4.1 | -28.7 -19.7 305 27 14 7.4 4.1
29000 -27.1 -16.8 305 29 15 7.5 4.1 | -26.5 -15.7 305 28 14 7.4 4.1
28000 -24.9 -12.8 305 28 15 7.3 4.0 | -24.3 -11.7 305 28 15 6.9 3.8
27000 -22.2 -8.0 305 27 14 7.3 4.0 | -22.2 -8.0 305 28 14 6.8 3.7
26000 -20.0 -4.0 305 26 13 7.3 4.0 | -19.7 -3.5 300 27 14 6.8 3.7
25000 -17.8 -0.0 300 25 13 5.9 3.2 | -17.7 0.1 295 26 13 4.9 2.7
24000 -16.3 2.7 300 24 12 5.3 2.9 | -16.5 2.3 290 22 11 4.3 2.3
23000 -14.7 5.5 295 22 12 5.5 3.0 | -15.3 4.5 285 19 10 4.5 2.5
22000 -13.1 8.4 290 21 11 6.7 3.7 | -13.8 7.2 275 16 8 8.9 4.9
21000 -11.1 12.0 285 19 10 7.0 3.9 | -11.0 12.2 275 15 8 9.5 5.2
20000 -9.0 15.8 285 17 9 7.2 3.9 | -8.1 17.4 275 15 8 9.5 5.2
19500 -8.0 17.6 285 16 8 7.9 4.3 | -6.7 19.9 275 15 8 9.6 5.3
19000 -6.7 19.9 285 16 8 9.5 5.2 | -5.2 22.6 275 14 7 9.7 5.3
18500 -5.3 22.5 285 15 8 9.5 5.2 | -3.8 25.2 280 14 7 9.7 5.3
18000 -3.8 25.2 285 15 8 9.7 5.3 | -2.3 27.9 280 14 7 9.7 5.3
17500 -2.4 27.7 285 14 7 9.7 5.3 | -0.8 30.6 280 14 7 9.7 5.3
17000 -0.9 30.4 285 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 0.6 33.1 280 14 7 9.7 5.3
16500 0.5 32.9 285 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 2.1 35.8 280 14 7 9.8 5.4
16000 2.0 35.6 285 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 3.5 38.3 280 13 7 9.8 5.4
15500 3.4 38.1 285 13 7 9.8 5.4 | 5.0 41.0 280 13 7 9.8 5.4
15000 4.9 40.8 285 13 6 9.8 5.4 | 6.5 43.7 280 13 7 9.8 5.4
14500 6.4 43.5 285 12 6 9.6 5.2 | 8.0 46.4 280 13 7 9.7 5.3
14000 7.8 46.0 285 12 6 9.5 5.2 | 9.4 48.9 285 13 7 9.7 5.3
13500 9.2 48.6 290 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 10.9 51.6 285 13 6 9.7 5.3
13000 10.7 51.3 290 11 6 9.8 5.4 | 12.3 54.1 285 12 6 9.7 5.3
12500 12.1 53.8 290 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 13.8 56.8 285 12 6 9.7 5.3
12000 13.6 56.5 290 11 5 9.5 5.2 | 15.2 59.4 285 12 6 9.7 5.3
11500 15.0 59.0 290 10 5 9.6 5.2 | 16.7 62.1 285 12 6 9.7 5.3
11000 16.5 61.7 290 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 18.1 64.6 290 12 6 9.5 5.2
10500 17.9 64.2 295 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 19.6 67.3 290 12 6 10.2 5.6
10250 18.7 65.7 295 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 20.3 68.5 290 12 6 9.9 5.4
10000 19.4 66.9 295 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 21.1 70.0 290 12 6 9.7 5.3
9750 20.1 68.2 295 9 4 9.6 5.3 | 21.8 71.2 290 12 6 9.7 5.3
9500 21.6 70.9 295 8 4 10.3 5.6 | 22.5 72.5 290 12 6 9.7 5.3
9250 22.4 72.3 295 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 23.3 73.9 290 11 6 9.6 5.3
9000 23.1 73.6 300 8 4 10.2 5.6 | 24.0 75.2 290 11 6 9.5 5.2
8750 23.8 74.8 300 7 4 8.7 4.8 | 25.4 77.7 290 11 6 10.0 5.5
8500 24.4 75.9 300 7 4 9.1 5.0 | 26.2 79.2 295 11 6 10.3 5.7
8250 25.2 77.4 300 7 4 10.8 5.9 | 26.9 80.4 295 11 6 9.8 5.4
8000 26.0 78.8 305 7 3 10.5 5.7 | 27.7 81.9 295 11 6 10.0 5.5
7750 26.8 80.2 305 6 3 9.9 5.5 | 28.4 83.1 295 11 5 9.7 5.3
7500 27.5 81.5 305 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 29.1 84.4 295 11 5 9.4 5.1
7250 28.2 82.8 305 6 3 10.3 5.6 | 29.8 85.6 295 11 5 9.9 5.4
7000 29.0 84.2 310 6 3 10.8 5.9 | 30.6 87.1 295 10 5 10.3 5.6
6750 29.8 85.6 310 5 3 10.6 5.8 | 31.4 88.5 295 10 5 10.1 5.5
6500 30.6 87.1 310 5 3 11.2 6.1 | 32.1 89.8 295 10 5 10.1 5.6
6250 31.4 88.5 310 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 32.9 91.2 295 10 5 13.0 7.1
6000 32.2 90.0 315 5 2 13.6 7.5 | 34.1 93.4 295 9 5 17.4 9.6
5750 34.5 94.1 315 4 2 60.1 33.0 | 35.2 95.4 295 8 4 9.6 5.3
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0724 MDT Friday July 11 2025
This forecast is for Friday, July 11, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 82.7 F/28.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1598 ft/min (8.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 23035 ft MSL (16570 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 97.0 F/36.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 20587 ft MSL (14122 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 07/12..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:58:08 / 20:21:53 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 23 min 45 sec (863 min 45 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:00 MDT... 76.20 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/11/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16643 ft MSL (10178 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18765 ft MSL (12300 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 21035 ft MSL (14570 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.6
K index......................... +8.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.3 -85.5 310 15 8 1.7 0.9 77.1 170.8 24.4 M M
45000 -60.8 -77.4 305 31 16 5.8 3.2 61.6 142.8 16.2 M M
40000 -51.3 -60.3 310 42 22 7.0 3.9 53.0 127.3 11.5 M M
38000 -47.1 -52.8 310 40 21 7.0 3.9 50.4 122.7 10.0 M M
36000 -42.9 -45.2 310 39 20 7.3 4.0 48.5 119.3 8.9 M M
34000 -38.1 -36.6 310 37 19 8.0 4.4 46.8 116.2 7.8 M M
32000 -33.3 -27.9 310 36 19 8.1 4.5 45.6 114.0 7.1 M M
30000 -29.0 -20.2 310 34 18 7.0 3.9 43.4 110.1 5.6 M M
29000 -26.9 -16.4 310 33 17 7.0 3.9 42.4 108.3 4.9 M M
28000 -24.8 -12.6 310 32 17 7.1 3.9 41.5 106.7 4.3 M M
27000 -22.1 -7.8 305 28 15 7.2 3.9 40.2 104.3 3.3 M M
26000 -20.0 -4.0 300 25 13 7.2 3.9 39.2 102.6 2.5 M M
25000 -17.8 -0.0 295 23 12 6.9 3.8 38.4 101.2 1.9 M M
24000 -15.8 3.6 295 20 10 6.6 3.6 37.2 98.9 0.9 M M
23000 -13.9 7.0 300 17 9 6.6 3.6 36.0 96.9 -0.1 1591 8.1
22000 -11.9 10.6 300 14 7 5.8 3.2 35.0 95.0 -1.0 1503 7.6
21000 -10.4 13.3 300 17 9 5.5 3.0 33.4 92.1 -2.4 1426 7.2
20000 -8.8 16.2 300 19 10 5.7 3.2 31.9 89.5 -3.8 1350 6.9
19500 -8.0 17.6 300 21 11 6.3 3.4 31.3 88.4 -4.5 1311 6.7
19000 -6.8 19.8 295 22 11 9.2 5.1 31.0 87.8 -4.8 1262 6.4
18500 -5.5 22.1 295 23 12 9.1 5.0 30.9 87.6 -5.0 1207 6.1
18000 -4.2 24.4 295 24 12 9.6 5.3 30.8 87.5 -5.1 1152 5.9
17500 -2.7 27.1 295 23 12 9.8 5.4 30.8 87.5 -5.1 1093 5.6
17000 -1.2 29.8 295 23 12 9.8 5.4 30.8 87.5 -5.1 1033 5.2
16500 0.3 32.5 295 22 11 9.5 5.2 30.8 87.5 -5.1 975 5.0
16000 1.7 35.1 295 21 11 9.6 5.3 30.8 87.4 -5.2 916 4.7
15500 3.1 37.6 300 19 10 9.1 5.0 30.7 87.3 -5.2 859 4.4
15000 4.5 40.1 300 18 9 9.0 5.0 30.6 87.1 -5.4 803 4.1
14500 5.9 42.6 305 17 9 9.1 5.0 30.5 86.9 -5.5 748 3.8
14000 7.2 45.0 310 16 8 9.2 5.1 30.4 86.7 -5.6 692 3.5
13500 8.6 47.5 310 15 8 9.1 5.0 30.3 86.6 -5.7 637 3.2
13000 9.9 49.8 310 14 7 8.6 4.7 30.2 86.3 -5.9 583 3.0
12500 11.1 52.0 310 13 7 8.7 4.7 30.0 86.0 -6.2 530 2.7
12000 13.0 55.4 300 12 6 8.8 4.8 29.7 85.5 -6.5 452 2.3
11500 14.2 57.6 295 11 6 7.4 4.1 29.5 85.0 -6.8 402 2.0
11000 15.3 59.5 290 10 5 7.8 4.3 29.1 84.4 -7.3 355 1.8
10500 16.3 61.3 275 9 5 8.2 4.5 28.9 84.0 -7.7 308 1.6
10250 16.9 62.4 275 8 4 7.5 4.1 28.7 83.7 -7.8 283 1.4
10000 17.4 63.3 275 7 4 6.7 3.7 28.5 83.3 -8.1 261 1.3
9750 17.9 64.2 270 6 3 7.3 4.0 28.3 82.9 -8.4 240 1.2
9500 18.4 65.1 270 5 3 5.7 3.1 28.1 82.5 -8.7 218 1.1
9250 18.7 65.7 275 3 1 4.6 2.5 27.7 81.8 -9.1 201 1.0
9000 19.1 66.4 300 2 1 5.3 2.9 27.3 81.2 -9.5 182 0.9
8750 19.5 67.1 335 2 1 5.6 3.1 27.0 80.6 -9.8 163 0.8
8500 19.8 67.6 355 3 2 3.6 2.0 26.6 79.9 -10.2 144 0.7
8250 20.0 68.0 010 4 2 1.5 0.8 26.0 78.9 -10.8 133 0.7
8000 20.1 68.2 025 5 2 1.9 1.0 25.4 77.8 -11.5 121 0.6
7750 20.2 68.4 035 5 3 1.6 0.9 24.8 76.7 -12.1 110 0.6
7500 20.3 68.5 045 5 3 1.8 1.0 24.2 75.6 -12.7 99 0.5
7250 20.4 68.7 050 5 3 1.4 0.7 23.6 74.5 -13.4 90 0.5
7000 20.5 68.9 055 5 2 2.6 1.4 23.0 73.4 -14.1 80 0.4
6750 20.6 69.1 065 5 2 -4.7 -2.6 22.3 72.2 -14.8 70 0.4
6500 18.5 65.3 075 4 2 -64.0 -35.1 19.5 67.1 -17.6 126 0.6
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/11/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/11/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +0.2 | CAPE... +8.5 LI... +0.3
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +7.7 | CINH... -5.1 K Index... +10.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.6 -86.1 310 14 7 2.8 1.6 | -65.1 -85.2 300 15 8 1.4 0.8
45000 -60.0 -76.0 310 27 14 5.6 3.1 | -60.8 -77.4 300 29 15 6.1 3.4
40000 -51.0 -59.8 315 41 21 6.6 3.6 | -51.0 -59.8 310 39 20 6.6 3.6
38000 -47.0 -52.6 315 40 20 6.6 3.6 | -47.1 -52.8 310 39 20 6.6 3.6
36000 -43.1 -45.6 315 38 20 6.9 3.8 | -43.1 -45.6 310 38 20 7.0 3.8
34000 -38.4 -37.1 310 36 19 7.8 4.3 | -38.4 -37.1 305 35 18 7.8 4.3
32000 -33.8 -28.8 305 34 18 7.8 4.3 | -33.8 -28.8 300 33 17 7.8 4.3
30000 -29.5 -21.1 305 31 16 7.1 3.9 | -29.3 -20.7 305 30 15 7.3 4.0
29000 -27.3 -17.1 310 29 15 7.1 3.9 | -27.1 -16.8 305 28 14 7.3 4.0
28000 -25.2 -13.4 310 28 14 7.3 4.0 | -24.5 -12.1 305 25 13 6.5 3.6
27000 -22.4 -8.3 310 26 13 7.4 4.0 | -22.5 -8.5 305 23 12 6.6 3.6
26000 -20.2 -4.4 305 24 12 7.4 4.0 | -20.5 -4.9 305 20 10 6.6 3.6
25000 -18.0 -0.4 305 22 12 6.6 3.6 | -18.6 -1.5 300 17 9 6.6 3.6
24000 -16.2 2.8 300 19 10 6.2 3.4 | -16.6 2.1 295 16 8 6.5 3.6
23000 -14.3 6.3 295 16 8 6.2 3.4 | -14.6 5.7 295 15 8 6.6 3.6
22000 -12.5 9.5 290 13 7 6.2 3.4 | -12.7 9.1 290 15 7 6.7 3.7
21000 -10.7 12.7 290 14 7 6.3 3.4 | -10.7 12.7 290 14 7 6.8 3.7
20000 -8.8 16.2 290 15 8 6.4 3.5 | -8.7 16.3 290 14 7 6.9 3.8
19500 -7.9 17.8 290 16 8 6.7 3.7 | -7.7 18.1 290 14 7 7.3 4.0
19000 -6.9 19.6 290 16 8 7.9 4.3 | -6.5 20.3 290 14 7 8.4 4.6
18500 -5.8 21.6 290 17 9 7.9 4.3 | -5.3 22.5 295 14 7 8.4 4.6
18000 -4.6 23.7 290 18 9 9.3 5.1 | -4.0 24.8 300 14 7 8.8 4.8
17500 -3.1 26.4 290 18 9 9.7 5.3 | -2.7 27.1 300 14 7 8.9 4.9
17000 -1.7 28.9 290 18 9 9.7 5.3 | -1.4 29.5 305 15 7 8.9 4.9
16500 -0.2 31.6 295 18 9 9.8 5.4 | -0.1 31.8 310 14 7 9.0 5.0
16000 1.3 34.3 295 18 9 9.9 5.4 | 1.2 34.2 310 14 7 9.0 4.9
15500 2.7 36.9 295 18 9 9.6 5.3 | 2.6 36.7 310 14 7 9.4 5.1
15000 4.2 39.6 295 18 9 9.6 5.3 | 4.0 39.2 310 13 7 9.4 5.1
14500 5.6 42.1 300 18 9 9.7 5.3 | 5.4 41.7 310 13 7 9.3 5.1
14000 7.1 44.8 300 17 9 9.7 5.3 | 6.7 44.1 310 12 6 9.3 5.1
13500 8.6 47.5 300 17 9 9.6 5.3 | 8.1 46.6 310 12 6 9.3 5.1
13000 10.0 50.0 300 16 8 9.3 5.1 | 9.5 49.1 305 11 6 9.3 5.1
12500 11.4 52.5 300 15 8 9.3 5.1 | 10.9 51.6 305 11 5 9.3 5.1
12000 12.7 54.9 300 13 7 8.6 4.7 | 12.3 54.1 305 10 5 9.3 5.1
11500 14.6 58.3 300 12 6 7.6 4.2 | 14.4 57.9 305 9 5 9.3 5.1
11000 15.7 60.3 300 10 5 7.6 4.2 | 15.6 60.1 300 8 4 8.8 4.8
10500 16.6 61.9 300 8 4 6.1 3.3 | 17.0 62.6 300 8 4 9.1 5.0
10250 17.0 62.6 305 7 4 6.3 3.5 | 17.6 63.7 300 7 4 9.0 4.9
10000 17.5 63.5 305 6 3 6.2 3.4 | 18.3 64.9 300 7 4 9.0 5.0
9750 17.9 64.2 305 6 3 6.6 3.6 | 18.9 66.0 300 7 3 9.0 5.0
9500 18.3 64.9 305 5 2 5.3 2.9 | 19.6 67.3 300 6 3 9.1 5.0
9250 18.6 65.5 315 4 2 4.5 2.5 | 20.2 68.4 295 5 3 9.4 5.2
9000 18.9 66.0 325 4 2 5.2 2.8 | 20.9 69.6 295 5 3 9.5 5.2
8750 19.2 66.6 330 4 2 5.3 2.9 | 21.6 70.9 295 5 3 9.5 5.2
8500 19.5 67.1 340 4 2 2.5 1.4 | 22.4 72.3 295 5 3 9.8 5.4
8250 19.6 67.3 350 4 2 1.5 0.8 | 23.1 73.6 295 5 2 10.1 5.5
8000 19.8 67.6 355 4 2 3.9 2.1 | 23.8 74.8 290 4 2 10.2 5.6
7750 20.0 68.0 355 4 2 4.7 2.6 | 24.6 76.3 290 4 2 10.3 5.6
7500 20.4 68.7 360 4 2 7.1 3.9 | 25.4 77.7 290 4 2 10.3 5.7
7250 21.0 69.8 360 4 2 8.6 4.7 | 26.2 79.2 290 4 2 10.7 5.9
7000 21.7 71.1 360 4 2 8.2 4.5 | 26.9 80.4 290 4 2 9.1 5.0
6750 22.4 72.3 360 4 2 12.6 6.9 | 27.7 81.9 285 4 2 14.0 7.7
6500 24.0 75.2 355 4 2 35.7 19.6 | 30.1 86.2 285 4 2 63.8 35.0
07/11/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/11/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +12.0 LI... -0.7 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.7
CINH... -0.4 K Index... +10.1 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +5.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.4 -85.7 300 17 9 2.6 1.4 | -66.1 -87.0 310 23 12 2.6 1.4
45000 -59.7 -75.5 310 33 17 5.6 3.0 | -60.6 -77.1 315 33 17 6.1 3.4
40000 -51.1 -60.0 310 42 22 6.5 3.6 | -50.8 -59.4 315 40 20 6.7 3.7
38000 -47.2 -53.0 310 40 21 6.5 3.6 | -46.8 -52.2 315 37 19 6.7 3.7
36000 -43.3 -45.9 310 38 20 6.8 3.7 | -42.7 -44.9 310 34 17 7.0 3.8
34000 -38.6 -37.5 305 36 19 7.9 4.4 | -38.1 -36.6 310 32 17 7.7 4.3
32000 -33.8 -28.8 300 35 18 8.0 4.4 | -33.5 -28.3 305 31 16 7.8 4.3
30000 -29.4 -20.9 300 31 16 7.2 3.9 | -29.0 -20.2 305 29 15 7.5 4.1
29000 -27.3 -17.1 300 29 15 7.2 3.9 | -26.7 -16.1 305 28 14 7.5 4.1
28000 -24.7 -12.5 300 27 14 5.6 3.1 | -24.0 -11.2 305 26 13 6.0 3.3
27000 -23.0 -9.4 300 24 12 5.8 3.2 | -22.2 -8.0 300 24 12 6.1 3.4
26000 -21.2 -6.2 300 21 11 5.8 3.2 | -20.4 -4.7 295 21 11 6.1 3.4
25000 -19.5 -3.1 300 18 9 5.9 3.2 | -18.6 -1.5 290 20 10 5.9 3.3
24000 -17.8 -0.0 300 15 8 6.0 3.3 | -16.8 1.8 295 16 8 5.9 3.2
23000 -16.0 3.2 305 13 7 6.2 3.4 | -15.1 4.8 295 12 6 6.1 3.3
22000 -14.2 6.4 305 11 6 8.3 4.6 | -13.3 8.1 305 9 4 8.0 4.4
21000 -11.5 11.3 300 11 6 9.1 5.0 | -10.8 12.6 300 10 5 8.6 4.7
20000 -8.8 16.2 295 11 5 9.1 5.0 | -8.2 17.2 295 10 5 8.6 4.7
19500 -7.4 18.7 295 11 5 9.2 5.1 | -6.9 19.6 295 11 6 8.8 4.8
19000 -6.0 21.2 290 10 5 9.6 5.3 | -5.5 22.1 290 11 6 9.5 5.2
18500 -4.5 23.9 290 10 5 9.6 5.2 | -4.1 24.6 290 12 6 9.4 5.2
18000 -3.1 26.4 285 10 5 9.7 5.3 | -2.7 27.1 285 13 7 9.6 5.3
17500 -1.7 28.9 285 10 5 9.7 5.3 | -1.3 29.7 285 13 7 9.6 5.3
17000 -0.2 31.6 285 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 0.2 32.4 285 14 7 9.6 5.3
16500 1.2 34.2 285 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 1.6 34.9 285 14 7 9.7 5.3
16000 2.7 36.9 280 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 3.1 37.6 285 14 7 9.7 5.3
15500 4.1 39.4 280 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 4.5 40.1 280 15 8 9.7 5.3
15000 5.6 42.1 280 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 6.0 42.8 280 15 8 9.7 5.3
14500 7.0 44.6 280 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 7.4 45.3 280 16 8 9.7 5.3
14000 8.5 47.3 275 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 8.9 48.0 280 16 8 9.8 5.4
13500 9.9 49.8 275 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 10.4 50.7 280 16 8 9.8 5.4
13000 11.3 52.3 275 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 11.8 53.2 280 17 9 9.7 5.3
12500 12.8 55.0 270 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 13.3 55.9 280 17 9 9.7 5.3
12000 14.2 57.6 270 11 6 9.8 5.4 | 14.7 58.5 275 17 9 9.6 5.3
11500 16.4 61.5 265 11 6 9.5 5.2 | 16.9 62.4 275 18 9 9.6 5.3
11000 17.8 64.0 265 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 18.3 64.9 275 18 9 9.7 5.3
10500 19.3 66.7 260 12 6 10.1 5.5 | 19.8 67.6 275 19 10 9.8 5.4
10250 20.1 68.2 260 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 20.5 68.9 275 19 10 9.6 5.3
10000 20.8 69.4 260 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 21.3 70.3 275 19 10 9.6 5.3
9750 21.5 70.7 260 13 6 9.6 5.3 | 22.0 71.6 275 20 10 9.5 5.2
9500 22.3 72.1 260 13 7 10.3 5.6 | 22.7 72.9 275 20 10 10.0 5.5
9250 23.0 73.4 255 13 7 10.4 5.7 | 23.5 74.3 275 20 10 9.9 5.4
9000 23.8 74.8 255 13 7 9.8 5.4 | 24.2 75.6 275 20 10 9.5 5.2
8750 24.5 76.1 255 14 7 9.9 5.4 | 24.9 76.8 275 20 10 9.5 5.2
8500 25.3 77.5 255 14 7 10.1 5.5 | 25.6 78.1 275 20 11 9.9 5.4
8250 26.0 78.8 255 14 7 10.4 5.7 | 26.4 79.5 275 20 11 10.3 5.6
8000 26.8 80.2 255 14 7 10.3 5.7 | 27.1 80.8 275 20 10 10.0 5.5
7750 27.6 81.7 255 14 7 10.4 5.7 | 27.9 82.2 275 20 10 10.0 5.5
7500 28.4 83.1 255 14 7 10.5 5.7 | 28.6 83.5 275 20 10 9.9 5.5
7250 29.2 84.6 250 14 7 11.1 6.1 | 29.4 84.9 275 20 10 10.1 5.6
7000 30.0 86.0 250 14 7 9.1 5.0 | 30.1 86.2 275 20 10 9.2 5.1
6750 30.7 87.3 250 14 7 14.9 8.2 | 30.9 87.6 275 19 10 12.1 6.7
6500 33.5 92.3 250 12 6 73.3 40.2 | 32.5 90.5 275 16 8 40.9 22.5
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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