Subtropical Storm Josephine Impacts the Eastern Seaboard; Pacific Storm Impacting the Southwest U.S.

Subtropical Storm Josephine will continue to bring significant coastal flooding impacts, dangerous marine conditions, and beach erosion along portions of the Eastern Seaboard. A Pacific storm will interact with tropical moisture and bring excessive rainfall, severe thunderstorms, and high elevation snow to California, the Southwest, and Four Corners region. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Wed, Oct 21, 2026 at 5:54:04 pm MDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

National Weather Service Grand Junction, CO

National Weather Service NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Flash Flood Warning

Severe Weather Statement

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Flood Advisory

Flood Watch

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Regional Radar

Flood Watch

Flash Flood Risk Now-Friday

Severe Weather Outlooks

Thursday Rainfall

Friday Rainfall

Saturday Rainfall

Showers and thunderstorms will spread northeast across western New Mexico this afternoon and evening. Storms will be capable of becoming severe. Main hazards will be damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail greater than an inch in diameter. A tornado or two cannot be ruled out.

A Flood Watch is in effect for all areas west of the Rio Grande Valley across northern and central New Mexico from now to 6 AM Friday. A few storms may produce rainfall rates up to 1 inch per hour resulting in hazardous flows in arroyos, ditches, and over low water crossings will be a concern.

Very moist conditions and a slow-moving weather system will support periods of heavy rain across western New Mexico Wednesday and Thursday, shifting to central New Mexico Thursday evening into Friday morning, and central and eastern New Mexico Friday. Torrential rainfall at rates 1-2” per hour in some of the stronger cells.

There is a Marginal Risk of severe weather across far western New Mexico Wednesday, along and west of the Rio Grande Valley Thursday, and central New Mexico Friday. A slight risk for severe weather clips the San Francisco River Valley in southwest Catron County on Thursday. The main hazards are damaging wind gusts and large hail, although a brief tornado cannot be ruled out in western New Mexico the rest of today and Thursday.

Heaviest rainfall will favor western New Mexico much of Thursday expanding to central New Mexico in the evening. 0.75 to 2 inches of rainfall expected across western NM. High-end totals of 2-3 inches in isolated spots across the southwest mountains, west central New Mexico and the southwest slopes of the San Juan Mountains. Greatest uncertainty in rainfall amounts between the Continental Divide and Rio Grande Valley.

Heaviest rainfall will favor central New Mexico Friday. 0.25 to 1 inch focused across central New Mexico. Locally heavier amounts of 1 to 2 inches across the north central mountains. High end totals of 0.75 to 2.5 inches across central New Mexico and western portions of the eastern plains.

Heaviest rainfall will favor central and eastern New Mexico Saturday. 0.5 to 1 inch across central NM. 1 to 2.5 inches across eastern New Mexico. High-end totals of 1 to 2.5 across central NM and 2 to 3.5 inches across eastern New Mexico.