Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage through the afternoon and evening. The stronger cells will be capable of brief heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and frequent lightning. Storms will focus more into eastern NM as the evening progresses.
Strong easterly winds will develop below canyons in the Rio Grande Valley tonight. Peak winds are expected between 2am and 8am with gusts of 35 to 45 mph. A couple spots below canyons may briefly reach 50 mph.
There is a Marginal Risk of severe storms Sunday mainly over southeast and south-central New Mexico. The main hazards will be large hail and damaging wind gusts. The Marginal Risk area may expand northward into the Rio Grande Valley Sunday.
Rain chances will favor areas along and east of the central mountain chain through Monday, especially eastern NM. Outdoor events this weekend, especially on Sunday, may be impacted including the Rio Grande Valley.
Northwest wind gusts to 40 mph, very low humidity, and very dry fuels will increase the risk of rapid fire spread from the Four Corners southeastward to the Central Highlands on Wednesday afternoon and early evening.
Cooler temperatures will return Sunday and Monday then scorching heat returns for the rest of next week. Storm chances peak Sunday and Monday with only spotty storms thereafter.
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