There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall and flash flooding in far southeastern New Mexico Thursday. Friday, there is a Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall over much of NM, with a Slight Risk in western Catron County.
Moisture from the remnants of Tropical Storm Vance will produce showers and thunderstorms southeast areas later Thursday through Friday. There will be a risk of flash flooding mainly in urban areas, and below the recent burn scars of the south-central mountains. The heaviest rainfall will likely focus over far southeast New Mexico.
An upper-level disturbance with a good tap of Pacific moisture is forecast to impact New Mexico from late Saturday night through Monday. Higher elevations and west-facing slopes could see 1-2 inches of liquid-equivalent precipitation. Snow level around 10,000 ft.
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