With rich monsoon moisture in place, some showers and thunderstorms will be capable of producing rain at rates over 1 inch per hour today and Monday. The greatest risk of flash flooding will be over western and southern areas, where a few locations may accumulate over 2 inches of rainfall.
A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the recent burn scars of the south-central mountains. Saturated ground in the Ruidoso area from heavy rain and flash flooding that occurred on Friday and Saturday will result in rapid runoff as additional storms develop today. Stronger cells today will again be capable of producing rain at rates over 1 inch per hour.
A strong high pressure system will center over eastern NM during the latter half of the week producing high temperatures from the upper 90s to near 105 F at lower elevations central and east.
The higher storm chances will favor the central mountain chain westward over the next seven days. There will be less storm coverage with hotter temperatures Wednesday and Thursday.
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