Deep moisture originating from Tropical Storm Priscilla in the Eastern Pacific is expected to lead to numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. Repeated rounds of storms could lead to areas of flash flooding, particularly by Friday night and Saturday. Heaviest rainfall totals will focus near the Four Corners and along the Colorado border.
Precipitation chances will shift into northwest New Mexico today, as tropical moisture streams in from AZ. Coverage of showers and storms spreads eastward Saturday and Saturday night over much of NM. The focus then shifts to mainly southern NM Sunday before spreading northward again Monday into Tuesday, as a cold front enters the picture from the northeast.
The chance for showers and storms increases over northwest NM today. Storm motion will be from southwest to northeast with localized heavy rainfall possible around the Four Corners and along the Colorado border. High temperatures near normal for most, except 5-10 degrees above normal over the eastern Plains.
The chance for showers and storms will spread eastward into central NM Friday night. Storm motion will still be from southwest to northeast with locally heavy rainfall possible west of the Continental Divide. Low temperatures will be around 10 to 15 degrees above normal.
The potential for heavy rainfall is greatest across far northwestern NM today, then expands to a larger area of western NM on Saturday. There is also a 10-20% chance of urban flooding in ABQ Saturday late afternoon/evening.
The potential for heavy rainfall shifts toward southern NM on Sunday, then back into more of central NM Monday, as a back-door cold front meets renewed tropical moisture.
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