Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are forecast to develop on Tuesday with a few storms in eastern New Mexico turning strong to severe with large hail and damaging winds. The Marginal Risk has been expanded further south.
Rich moisture will push into central and eastern New Mexico on Tuesday leading to numerous showers and thunderstorms. Areas along and east of the central mountain chain of New Mexico will have the greatest chances of receiving between a quarter and one inch of rainfall with more sparse amounts in western areas of the state. Chances are high for burn scar flash flooding within Lincoln County.
Moisture continues to push westward on Wednesday and another round of numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected. Again, eastern NM will have the greatest chances of seeing more than 0.5 inch of rainfall. Any areas that receive heavy rainfall on Tuesday will be more susceptible to flooding on Wednesday.
Shower and thunderstorm coverage will trend downward on Thursday, but locally heavy rainfall will remain possible, especially along and east of the Central Mountain Chain.
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