Thunderstorms will move erratically southwest and west across the region near 5 to 15 mph today. A few of the stronger storms will be capable of producing rainfall amounts over 1" in less than an hour. This may result in localized flooding.
With rich monsoon moisture in place, some showers and thunderstorms will be capable of producing rain at rates over 1.5" per hour today and Sunday. The greatest risk of flash flooding will be over western and southern areas, where a few locations may accumulate over 2 inches of rainfall.
A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the recent burn scars of the south-central mountains. Saturated ground in the Ruidoso area from heavy rain and flash flooding that occurred on Friday will result in rapid runoff as additional storms develop today. Stronger cells today will again be capable of producing rain at rates over 1 inch per hour.
There is a high risk of flash flooding below Ruidoso-area burn scars this afternoon. Storms may produce heavy rain in places where the ground is already saturated from heavy rain and flash flooding that occurred on Friday.
The higher storm chances will favor the central mountain chain westward over the next seven days. There will be less storm coverage with hotter temperatures Wednesday and Thursday.
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