Showers and storms will enter and expand across New Mexico today, reaching central and eastern NM this evening and overnight. Precipitation intensity peaks Tuesday before clearing conditions by Wednesday through Thursday.
A Flood Watch is in effect through 6am Wednesday for all of New Mexico. Though rainfall rates will be less than 0.5 inches per hour for most periods, thunderstorms may bring rainfall rates up to 2 inches per hour. Areas most susceptible to flash flooding include areas in and downstream of burn scars, urban areas and any area that was hit hard last week. All areas will experience high flows in arroyos, streams and rivers. There is also a slight increased risk for landslides in steep terrain.
A moderate risk of excessive rainfall and flash flooding is in place across most of New Mexico Tuesday. A moderate risk of excessive rainfall exists again Wednesday across far northeast NM.
Additional rainfall totals through Wednesday afternoon will likely range 1 to 3 inches most areas, with locally higher amounts of 3 to 6 inches in isolated spots that see repeated downpours.
A marginal risk for severe thunderstorms exist across southeast NM or a along and southeast of a line from west of Ruidoso to Tucumcari. These storms will be capable of damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes. Saturated soils will make it easier for strong winds to topple trees.
Widespread rain will last through Wednesday for most areas. Drier conditions return from west to east Wednesday night into Thursday. High temperatures will remain below normal for the next week.
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