National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms in the Southeast; Critical Fire Weather in the Northern Plains

Isolated severe storms with locally damaging wind gusts and hail are possible from the coastal Carolinas into the Florida Peninsula, and along the central Gulf Coast. Heavy rain may cause localized areas of flash flooding in the Gulf Coast. Gusty winds and dry conditions may produce elevated to critical fire weather across the northern/central Plains. Record heat is expected in the West. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Mon, May 11, 2026 at 12:04:15 pm MDT

Temperatures will rise to 10 to 15 degrees above seasonal normals Tuesday and Wednesday this week. This will increase the risk of heat related illnesses for sensitive individuals along the Rio Grande Valley south of I-40 and in the Southeast Plains.
Isolated evaporating showers and a few dry storms will develop over northwest NM on Wednesday afternoon. Lightning may start new fires in receptive fuels. Localized gusty outflow winds will accompany showers and storms.
The 8 to 14 Day Precipitation Outlook shows that wetter than normal weather is favored throughout New Mexico between May 18 and May 24. Normal precipitation for this period ranges from around 0.1" in the Four Corners to 0.5" in the Eastern Plains.

 

 
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