Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over the Wakefield, VA forecast area. This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE. Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours.

Maryland Beaches
Accomack-Northampton Beaches
Virginia Beach
Currituck Beaches

Maryland Beaches

Date               Thu 06/11                          Fri 06/12
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability    33   34   35   18   10   13   22   13    7    9   15   10    6    7
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      6    6    6    6    6    6    6    5    5    5    5    6    6    5
Chance Precip       5    5   10   10   20   30   30    5    5    5    5   10   20   60
TSTM Potential   None None None None  Low  Mod  Low None None None None None  Low  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mcld
Temperature        70   73   80   84   84   80   76   74   72   75   81   84   84   80
Heat Index                        88   89                                 88   88     
Wind (mph)       SW10  SW9   W8  SW8 SW12 SW12 SW10  SW7   W7   W6  SW7 SW10 SW12  SW9
Wind Gust                                                                             


Date               Sat 06/13           Sun 06/14           Mon 06/15           Tue 06/16
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    10    5   12    3    7    3   17    9   37    9   17    4   13   MM   MM
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      5    5    6    6    6    6    4    5    5    6    6    6    6   MM   MM
Chance Precip       5    5    0    0    0    0   20   70   30   20   20   30   40   50   40
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None  Low  Mod  Low None None None  Low  Low  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld
Temperature        73   73   80   77   70   71   80   74   72   72   75   73   69   69   73
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        NW8 NW10  NE6   S6  SW6  SW6  S15  S17 SW12 NW10  NE8   S5   S3  NE3   E8
Wind Gust               15                       22   23

Accomack-Northampton Beaches

Date               Thu 06/11                          Fri 06/12
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability    48   55   59   26   12   22   41   23   12   20   35   19    9   13
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      6    6    6    6    6    6    6    5    5    5    5    6    6    6
Chance Precip       5    5   10   10   10   30   30    5    5    5    5    5   20   60
TSTM Potential   None None None None  Low  Mod  Low None None None None None None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mcld
Temperature        71   73   79   82   83   79   76   74   73   74   80   83   83   79
Heat Index                        86   87                                 87   87     
Wind (mph)       SW12 SW10   W8  SW9 SW12 SW13 SW10  SW8   W8   W7  SW7 SW10  S10  S10
Wind Gust                                                                             


Date               Sat 06/13           Sun 06/14           Mon 06/15           Tue 06/16
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    22   10   21    4   13    4   24   14   62   15   30    5   26   MM   MM
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      5    5    6    7    6    8    4    5    5    6    6    6    6   MM   MM
Chance Precip       5    5    0    0    0    0   30   70   40   30   20   30   40   50   50
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None  Low  Mod  Low None  Low None  Low  Low  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld
Temperature        73   73   81   77   71   72   79   73   72   72   77   72   69   70   75
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)         W8 NW10   E5   S5  SW7  SW6  S15  S20 SW14 NW10  NE8  SE5   S5  NE5  SE8
Wind Gust                                        21   25                                 13

Virginia Beach

Date               Thu 06/11                          Fri 06/12
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     5    5    6    2    1    1    4    2    1    1    2    1    0    0
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      5    7    7    7    7    7    7    5    5    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip      10    0    0   10   10   20   30   10   10    5    0   10   10   60
TSTM Potential   None None None None None  Low None None None None None None None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Pcld Mclr Mcld
Temperature        75   78   84   87   87   84   79   78   76   78   85   88   89   84
Heat Index                   89   94   94   90                       90   95   96   90
Wind (mph)       SW16 SW14  SW9  SE6 SE10  S12 SW12 SW12 SW12 SW12  SW9   S8  S10 SW10
Wind Gust          22                                                                 


Date               Sat 06/13           Sun 06/14           Mon 06/15           Tue 06/16
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     1    1    7    1    2    0    3    2    6    1    5    1    3   MM   MM
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      5    6    6    6    9    9    9    4    5    6    6    6    6   MM   MM
Chance Precip      10    5    0    0    5    5   30   60   30   30   50   50   60   60   60
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None  Mod  Mod None  Low  Mod  Low  Low  Low  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld
Temperature        77   76   82   79   73   74   84   81   78   76   81   76   74   74   78
Heat Index                                       88                                        
Wind (mph)         W9  N15   N8  SE6   S7   S7 SE16  S18 SW16  W13  NE9  SE9   S7  S10  E10
Wind Gust               20                       22   23   21        14                  16

Currituck Beaches

Date               Thu 06/11                          Fri 06/12
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     5    6    6    2    1    2    4    3    1    1    2    1    0    1
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    8    8    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip      10    5    0   10   10   20   20   10   10    5    0   10   10   60
TSTM Potential   None None None None None  Low  Low None None None None None None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld
Temperature        75   77   82   85   85   82   79   77   76   77   83   86   86   82
Heat Index                   87   91   91   88                       87   92   92   87
Wind (mph)       SW16 SW14 SW10  SW9  S12  S14 SW13 SW12 SW12 SW12 SW10  S10  S12  S10
Wind Gust          21                                                                 


Date               Sat 06/13           Sun 06/14           Mon 06/15           Tue 06/16
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     1    1    5    2    3    1    3    2    5    1    3    1    3   MM   MM
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    8    9    9    9    9    9    4    8    7    8    8    8   MM   MM
Chance Precip      10    5    5    0    5    0   20   50   30   30   60   60   60   60   70
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None  Low  Mod None  Low  Mod  Mod  Low  Low  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld
Temperature        76   75   81   78   73   74   83   79   78   76   80   75   74   73   78
Heat Index                                       87                                        
Wind (mph)         W9  N12   N8  SE5   S5   S5 SE13  S16 SW14  W10  NE9  SE7   S6  SW9   N9
Wind Gust                                        21   23   21   16   16             14   15

Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

*** EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE ***

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *