Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over the Wakefield, VA forecast area. This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE. Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours.

Maryland Beaches
Accomack-Northampton Beaches
Virginia Beach
Currituck Beaches

Maryland Beaches

Date               Thu 08/13      Fri 08/14                               Sat 08/15
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability     8    3    4   10    8    4    5   14   16    8    9   19   25   15   15   26
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      8   14   14   13   13   13   13   10   10   10   10   10   10   10   10    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    5   10   20   10   20   30   30   30   30   20   30   30   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None  Low None None  Low None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        81   79   77   76   75   76   78   79   79   77   76   76   74   75   77   78
Heat Index         85   83        80   79   80   82                                             
Wind (mph)        SW9   S6  SW5  SW6   W5  NE5   E8   E8   E7   E7   E6  NE8  NE9 NE10 NE12 NE13
Wind Gust                                                                                       


Date                         Sun 08/16           Mon 08/17           Tue 08/18
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability    32   14   42   21   48   33   46   10   17    7   12    7   23
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      4    4    5    5    5    4    5    6    5    5    9    9    9
Chance Precip      10    5   20   20   40   50   20   10   40   20   10    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None  Low  Mod  Low None  Mod  Low None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   75   74   77   79   77   76   80   83   77   75   77   79
Heat Index                                                 89                    
Wind (mph)        E13 SE10  SE9  S12  S17  S18 SW14   W9   W8   W6   N7  NE9   E9
Wind Gust                         17   25   23

Accomack-Northampton Beaches

Date               Thu 08/13      Fri 08/14                               Sat 08/15
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    10    3    5   18   13    4    8   23   23    8   10   28   33   13   11   24
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8   14   14   14   14   13   13   12   12   10   10   10   10   10   10    9
Chance Precip       0    0    0    5    5   20   10   20   30   30   30   30   20   30   30   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None  Low  Low None None  Low None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        82   79   77   77   77   78   80   81   81   78   77   77   76   77   79   79
Heat Index         88        81        81   82   84   85   85                                   
Wind (mph)        W10  SW6   S6  SW7   S6   E7   E8   E8   E8  NE8   E7  NE9  NE9 NE10 NE12 NE13
Wind Gust                                                                                       


Date                         Sun 08/16           Mon 08/17           Tue 08/18
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability    31    9   46   14   64   45   72   16   34   10   26   10   30
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    4    4    4    5    4    5    5    5    8    9    9    9
Chance Precip      10    5   20   20   30   40   10   10   40   20   10    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None  Low  Mod None None  Low  Low None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr
Temperature        79   76   75   79   81   78   78   82   84   77   76   78   80
Heat Index                                            88   91   81               
Wind (mph)        E13  E12 SE10  S12  S17  S21 SW15   W9  SW8   W5   N7  NE8   E8
Wind Gust                              23

Virginia Beach

Date               Thu 08/13      Fri 08/14                               Sat 08/15
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability     2    1    1    4    3    1    1    4    4    2    2    5    6    3    5   16
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    8    8   14   14   13   13   12   12   12   12   11   11   11   11    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    5   10    5   20   40   40   40   30   30   30   30   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None  Low  Mod  Mod None None  Low None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        81   81   79   79   79   79   82   83   83   81   79   79   78   78   79   81
Heat Index         86   86   83   83        84   88   90   90   88   84                       85
Wind (mph)         E8  SE9  SE9   S9   S7  SW7   S8  SE9   E9  SE8  NE9   N9   N9  N12 NE14 NE14
Wind Gust                                                                                       


Date                         Sun 08/16           Mon 08/17           Tue 08/18
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability    22    8   19    6   14    5    8    2    3    1    2    1    6
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      4    4    4    5    5    5    5    5    5    8    8    8    8
Chance Precip      20   10   10    5   20   30    5    5   60   40   10   10   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None  Low  Mod None None  Mod  Low None None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        81   78   77   80   83   79   79   83   87   80   79   80   82
Heat Index         85             84   90             92   98   86        85   88
Wind (mph)       NE14  E12 SE10 SE10  S16  S16 SW14  W10  SE8  SW6  NW7  N10  E10
Wind Gust                         15   22   21        15                       15

Currituck Beaches

Date               Thu 08/13      Fri 08/14                               Sat 08/15
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability     2    1    2    5    4    2    2    6    5    2    2    6    8    5    7   15
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8   12   12   14   14   13   13   13   13   12   12   12   12   11   11   10
Chance Precip       0    0    0    5    5   10   10   30   50   40   40   40   30   30   30   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None  Low  Mod  Mod  Mod None None  Low None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        80   80   79   79   79   79   81   83   83   81   79   79   78   79   80   81
Heat Index                        83   83   84   87   91   90   87                       84   87
Wind (mph)         E9  SE8   S9   S9   S8   S7  SW9  S10 SE10  SE8   N9  N10  N10  N12 NE13 NE14
Wind Gust                                                                                       


Date                         Sun 08/16           Mon 08/17           Tue 08/18
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability    19   10   24    9   15    5    9    3    4    2    3    1    6
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)     10   10    7    5    5    5    5    6    8    8    8    9    9
Chance Precip      20   10   10    5   20   30    5    5   50   40   10   10   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None  Low  Mod None None  Mod  Mod None None  Low
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        81   78   78   80   82   80   79   83   88   80   79   80   83
Heat Index         86             84   90        83   92   99   86   83   86   89
Wind (mph)       NE13  E12 SE10  SE9  S13  S14 SW12  W10   S8  SW6  NW6  NE9  NE8
Wind Gust                         15   21   21   18   17   15             15   15

Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

*** EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE ***

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *