Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over the Wakefield, VA forecast area. This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE. Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours.

Maryland Beaches
Accomack-Northampton Beaches
Virginia Beach
Currituck Beaches

Maryland Beaches

Date               Mon 06/30      Tue 07/01                               Wed 07/02
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    44   41   34   39   51   48   36   34   45   49   41   34   39   39   25   15
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    1
Dom Period (s)      8    8    8    5    5    6    6    6    6    6    6    7    7    7    7    6
Chance Precip      10    5   10    5    5    5    5   20   40   90   90   90   90   50   50   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None  Low  Mod High  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod  Low
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld  Cld  Cld  Cld  Cld  Cld Mcld Mcld
Temperature        81   77   78   78   78   79   82   83   83   81   78   76   75   75   76   76
Heat Index         87                            88   90   90   85                              
Wind (mph)        S14  S14  S14 SW14 SW15 SW16  S17  S18  S18  S17 SW14 SW13  SW9  SW7   W7  SW7
Wind Gust                    20   20   21   22   23   24   25   23   20                         


Date                         Thu 07/03           Fri 07/04           Sat 07/05
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability    17   14   13   14   11   16   13   18   15   21   15   20   10
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      6    6    6    9    8    8    8    7    8    7    8    9   16
Chance Precip      20   10    5    0    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential    Low None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld
Temperature        76   74   72   79   80   77   74   78   78   75   73   79   78
Heat Index                        83                                             
Wind (mph)        SW7  SW5   W5   W6   S7  SW6  NW7   N8   E7   S5   W5  SE6   S9
Wind Gust

Accomack-Northampton Beaches

Date               Mon 06/30      Tue 07/01                               Wed 07/02
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    64   61   55   59   72   69   51   48   65   73   58   47   60   61   38   23
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    3    3    3    2    2    3    3    3    3    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    8    8    5    5    6    6    6    6    5    5    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip      10    5   10    5    5    5    5   10   20   80   80   90   90   60   60   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None  Low High  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld  Cld  Cld  Cld  Cld Mcld Mcld Mcld
Temperature        81   78   79   78   78   79   83   84   84   81   78   77   76   76   77   77
Heat Index         86                            90   91   91   86                              
Wind (mph)        S14  S16  S16 SW17 SW16 SW17 SW17  S18  S18  S17 SW17 SW15 SW10   W9   W7  SW7
Wind Gust          20   21   22   23   23   23   23   25   25   24   23   21                    


Date                         Thu 07/03           Fri 07/04           Sat 07/05
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability    28   20   21   19   17   24   17   22   16   26   17   27   11
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    9    9    8    8    7    7    7    7   16   17   17
Chance Precip      30   10    5    0    5   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential    Mod  Low None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld
Temperature        77   75   73   81   81   78   75   80   79   76   74   81   80
Heat Index                        86   86                                        
Wind (mph)        SW8  SW6   W5   W6  SW8  SW6  NW7   N8   E8   S5  SW3  SE6   S9
Wind Gust

Virginia Beach

Date               Mon 06/30      Tue 07/01                               Wed 07/02
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    11   10    6    6    9    7    3    3    5    8    5    4    4    4    2    1
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    3    3    2    2    2    2    2    3    3    3    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    5    5    5    5    8    8    8
Chance Precip      10    5    5    0    0    0    0    5   20   50   50   70   70   80   80   60
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None  Low  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod High
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld  Cld  Cld Mcld
Temperature        87   85   83   81   80   81   85   89   89   86   83   82   80   79   81   81
Heat Index         99   97   91   87   85   87   95   99  100   95   92   89   84        87   87
Wind (mph)        S15  S16 SW18 SW20 SW20 SW20 SW18  S17  S18 SW20 SW20 SW21 SW18 SW16 SW12  SW9
Wind Gust          20   22   23   25   25   25   24   23   24   25   26   26   23   21          


Date                         Thu 07/03           Fri 07/04           Sat 07/05
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability     1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    4    5    2    4    2
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    8    9    9    8    8    8    8    8    9    9    8   12
Chance Precip      60   30   20    5   10   10   10    0    5    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   High  Low None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld
Temperature        80   77   75   81   83   81   79   82   82   80   78   82   83
Heat Index         86   81   79   88   92   87   83   87   86             87   88
Wind (mph)        SW8  SW7   W7  NW6  SE6   S5  NW6  N10   E9  SE6   S6   E7 SE12
Wind Gust

Currituck Beaches

Date               Mon 06/30      Tue 07/01                               Wed 07/02
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    16   14    8    7   10    8    5    4    7   10    6    4    4    3    2    1
Surf Height (ft)    2    3    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    3    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    9    9    9    9    9    9    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8
Chance Precip       5    5    0    0    0    0    0    5   10   40   40   60   60   90   90   80
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod High
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld  Cld  Cld Mcld
Temperature        88   85   83   82   82   82   85   89   88   86   84   82   81   80   82   82
Heat Index        101   97   92   89   89   91   95  100   99   95   95   89   87   86   90   90
Wind (mph)        S17  S18 SW18 SW20 SW18 SW18 SW18  S18  S20 SW22 SW22 SW21 SW18 SW16 SW13 SW10
Wind Gust          22   23   24        24   24   24   24   26   29   29   28   23   21          


Date                         Thu 07/03           Fri 07/04           Sat 07/05
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability     1    1    1    2    1    2    1    3    3    6    4    5    3
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    9    9    9    9    9    9    9    8    9    9    9   17
Chance Precip      80   40   20   10   20   10   10    5    5    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   High  Mod  Low None  Low None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld
Temperature        80   78   76   81   84   81   80   82   83   81   79   82   83
Heat Index         86   82   80   87   93   87   86   89   88   85        87   89
Wind (mph)        SW9  SW7   W6  NW5  SE6   S3  NW6   N8  NE9  SE6  SE6   E7  SE9
Wind Gust

Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

*** EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE ***

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *