Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over the Wakefield, VA forecast area. This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE. Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours.

Maryland Beaches
Accomack-Northampton Beaches
Virginia Beach
Currituck Beaches

Maryland Beaches

Date               Fri 09/11      Sat 09/12                               Sun 09/13
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    29   19   25   41   31   21   36   62   56   33   31   45   42   22   22   35
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      6    8    8    9    9    9    9    5    5    5    5    9    9    9    9   10
Chance Precip       5    0    0    5    5   10   10   10    5   50   50   70   70   70   70   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None  Low  Low  Low  Mod  Mod  Mod  Low
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld
Temperature        76   75   74   74   74   75   77   78   78   77   77   76   75   75   77   78
Heat Index                                                                                    82
Wind (mph)       NE10   E9   E8   E9  E10  E13  E16 SE16 SE14 SE10 SE10  SE9   S9  SW8  SW9   W9
Wind Gust          15                  15   18   21   22        15        14                    


Date                         Mon 09/14           Tue 09/15           Wed 09/16
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability    34   16   28   11   30   12   26   14   34   25   50   38   62
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)     10    9    9    9    9    9    9    6    6    7    7    8    9
Chance Precip      30    5    0    5   10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential    Low None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        80   76   73   76   77   72   70   74   74   71   70   75   75
Heat Index         84   80                                                       
Wind (mph)        SW8   W5   W6  N15  N14  N13 NE13 NE13  E12   E8   E5   E7  SE9
Wind Gust                         21

Accomack-Northampton Beaches

Date               Fri 09/11      Sat 09/12                               Sun 09/13
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    22   17   28   50   33   16   37   68   58   29   35   60   53   19   22   44
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    9    9    9    9    9    9    4    4    6    6    9    9    9    9   10
Chance Precip      10    5    5   10   10   10   10   10    5   50   50   80   70   70   70   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None  Low None None None None  Low  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld
Temperature        77   75   75   75   74   76   78   79   79   77   77   76   75   76   79   80
Heat Index                                                                                    84
Wind (mph)       NE13  E10   E9  E10  E12  E15  E16 SE16 SE14 SE12 SE12  S10  S10  SW9  SW9   W9
Wind Gust               15                  20   22   22                                        


Date                         Mon 09/14           Tue 09/15           Wed 09/16
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability    44   18   38   12   31   10   27    7   27   17   42   23   56
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)     10    9    9    9    9    9    9    7    7    7    8    8    9
Chance Precip      30    5    0   10   10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential    Low None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        81   76   74   78   78   72   69   75   75   72   70   76   76
Heat Index         86   80                                                       
Wind (mph)        SW7   W5   W6  N15  N15  N15 NE15 NE13  E13   E9   E5   E7  SE8
Wind Gust                         21   21

Virginia Beach

Date               Fri 09/11      Sat 09/12                               Sun 09/13
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability     2    1    3    8    5    2    4   11    9    3    4    9    8    3    3    6
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    8    8    8    8    9    9    8    8    8    8    9    9    9    9    9
Chance Precip      20    5   10   10    5   10   10   20   20   60   60   60   40   50   50   70
TSTM Potential    Low None None None None None None  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None  Low  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld
Temperature        80   78   78   78   78   78   80   80   81   79   79   78   77   77   80   82
Heat Index         86                                 86   86                            84   89
Wind (mph)        E10  E10   E9  E10   E9  E12  E13 SE13 SE15 SE10   S9   S9 SW10 SW12 SW12 SW10
Wind Gust                                                                                       


Date                         Mon 09/14           Tue 09/15           Wed 09/16
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability     6    2    5    1   18   13   29   16   26   17   32   23   34
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    9    4    5    5    5    6    8    8    9
Chance Precip      70   10    5    0    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential    Mod None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        81   78   76   79   79   76   74   76   78   75   73   76   77
Heat Index         87   82   80                                                  
Wind (mph)         W7  SW5   W7  N14  N18 NE17 NE16 NE15 NE15  E10  NE7  NE9   E9
Wind Gust                              24                  20                  14

Currituck Beaches

Date               Fri 09/11      Sat 09/12                               Sun 09/13
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability     2    2    3    7    5    2    4    9    8    4    4    9    7    3    4    8
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    8    8    9    9    9    9    9    9    8    8    9    9    9    9    9
Chance Precip      20    5   10   10    5   10   10   20   20   40   40   50   40   30   30   70
TSTM Potential    Low None None None None None None None  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None  Low  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld
Temperature        81   79   79   79   78   79   80   81   81   80   79   79   78   78   80   82
Heat Index         87                  82   83   86   88   87   85   83                  86   89
Wind (mph)         E9  E10   E9   E9   E8  SE8  SE8 SE10 SE13  SE8   S8   S8  SW9 SW10 SW10  SW8
Wind Gust                                                                                       


Date                         Mon 09/14           Tue 09/15           Wed 09/16
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability     8    4    6    3   19   13   32   21   33   24   45   40   49
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    3    3    3    3    3    4    4    4
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    9    9    9    5    6    6    8    8    9
Chance Precip      70   10    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential    Mod None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        83   78   77   79   80   77   75   77   78   75   75   77   77
Heat Index         90   83   81                                                  
Wind (mph)        SW6  SW5   W6  N12  N16 NE15 NE16 NE15 NE14 NE10  NE8 NE10  NE8
Wind Gust                              21   22   23   21   21   15        16   14

Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

*** EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE ***

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *