Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over the Wakefield, VA forecast area. This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE. Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours.

Maryland Beaches
Accomack-Northampton Beaches
Virginia Beach
Currituck Beaches

Maryland Beaches

Date                    Mon 10/12                               Tue 10/13
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                High High High High                                   
Rip Probability    88   92   88   75   69   78   78   64   56   63   55   30   22   28
Surf Height (ft)    3    3    3    3    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    1    1
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    8    8    8    8    7    7    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip      50    5   30   40   30    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential    Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr  Clr Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr
Temperature        71   70   68   67   66   66   68   67   65   64   62   62   67   69
Heat Index                                                                            
Wind (mph)        S14 SW12 SW13 NW14  N18  N18  N14  NW8  NW8  NW7  NW6  NW5  SW5  S10
Wind Gust          20             20   24   25                                        


Date                    Wed 10/14           Thu 10/15           Fri 10/16
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    19   51   32   29   23   26   21   17   20   27   39   57
Surf Height (ft)    1    2    2    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      6    7    7    7    7    7    8    8    5    6    6    6
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0   10    5   10    5    5   20   30   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        68   68   67   76   71   68   64   65   64   63   62   69
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)        S12 SW14 SW12 SW10  SW7  NW9  N14 NE14  NE9   E9 SE13  S18
Wind Gust               20        15                  20                  28

Accomack-Northampton Beaches

Date                    Mon 10/12                               Tue 10/13
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                High High High High                                   
Rip Probability    90   93   88   70   70   80   69   47   43   58   47   18   14   26
Surf Height (ft)    4    4    4    4    4    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    8    8    8    8    7    7    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip      30    5   20   40   20    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr  Clr Mclr Pcld Mclr  Clr
Temperature        71   70   68   67   67   67   68   66   65   64   63   62   68   69
Heat Index                                                                            
Wind (mph)        S18 SW15 SW15  W15 NW18  N18  N14 NW10  NW8  NW7  NW7  NW5  SW3   S9
Wind Gust          24   20   21   20   25   25   20                                   


Date                    Wed 10/14           Thu 10/15           Fri 10/16
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    13   62   34   33   27   31   18   14   15   20   26   57
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    6    7    7    7    7    7    8    8    8    7    6
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    5    5   10    5    5   20   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        67   68   68   76   71   68   65   66   65   63   63   70
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)        S13 SW16 SW12 SW10  SW7   W9  N14 NE15 NE12  E10 SE13 SW20
Wind Gust               21                                                25

Virginia Beach

Date                    Mon 10/12                               Tue 10/13
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                                   
Rip Probability    33   37   31   17   14   24   30   18   15   21   19   11   12   20
Surf Height (ft)    5    4    4    4    3    3    3    3    3    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip      10    0    5   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        73   70   68   67   69   70   70   69   69   68   66   66   70   72
Heat Index                                                                            
Wind (mph)       SW18 SW20 SW21  W20 NW21 NW24  N21  N15   N9  NW7  NW8  NW8  NW5  SE6
Wind Gust          24   25   26   25   28   31   26   20                              


Date                    Wed 10/14           Thu 10/15           Fri 10/16
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    12   16    9    8    7    8    6   13   17   16   17   16
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    3    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    7    8    8    7    7    7    8    8    6
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    0   10   10   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        70   69   68   78   75   71   70   71   69   67   67   75
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)        S12 SW13 SW13  SW8  SW8 SW10  N13 NE16 NE13  E10  S10 SW16
Wind Gust                                             21                  23

Currituck Beaches

Date                    Mon 10/12                               Tue 10/13
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                                   
Rip Probability    39   41   37   22   20   33   32   19   16   21   16    9   11   21
Surf Height (ft)    5    4    4    4    3    3    3    3    3    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    7    7    7
Chance Precip      10    0    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Mclr Mclr
Temperature        74   71   69   68   71   71   71   69   69   68   67   67   70   72
Heat Index                                                                            
Wind (mph)       SW20 SW21 SW22  W21  W21 NW22  N20  N16  N10   N7  NW8  NW8  NW5  SE6
Wind Gust          25   26   28   26   26   29   26   21                              


Date                    Wed 10/14           Thu 10/15           Fri 10/16
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    14   19   13   16   15   12    9   14   18   18   21   24
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    3    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    8    8    8    8    8    8    9    9    8
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    0    5   10   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        70   69   69   78   75   71   70   72   69   68   69   75
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         S9 SW12 SW13  SW9  SW7  SW9 NW10 NE15 NE12   E8   S8 SW14
Wind Gust                              12   14   17   22   17   13   14   23

Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

*** EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE ***

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *