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Red Flag Warning


URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
508 AM MDT Sun May 19 2024

...CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON MONDAY...

Persistent and deep southwest flow over the Desert Southwest will
bring above normal temperatures, very dry to exceptionally dry
air, and breezy conditions Sunday onward. Winds will be strongest
on Monday and perhaps into Tuesday. This will combine with very
dry fuels to create critical fire conditions over much of
southwest and south-central New Mexico.

NMZ110>113-200300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0011.240520T1800Z-240521T0300Z/
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
508 AM MDT Sun May 19 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
MONDAY FOR EXCEPTIONALLY DRY AIR, ABNORMAL WARMTH, DRY FUELS, AND
BREEZY WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 110, 111, 112, AND 113...

* AFFECTED AREA...Southwest and South-central New Mexico,
  including the Lincoln and Gila National Forest.

* WIND...West to Southwest Winds 15 to 25 MPH gusting to 40 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...5 to 8 Percent, 8 to 12 percent above 7500 feet.

* EXPERIMENTAL RFTI...4 to 6 Near Critical to Critical

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

ROGERS


Fire Weather Watch


URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
128 AM MST Sun May 19 2024

AZZ107>110-112>114-139-140-200000-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.A.0002.240520T1700Z-240521T0200Z/
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
128 AM MST Sun May 19 2024 /228 AM MDT Sun May 19 2024/ /128 AM
MST Sun May 19 2024/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA...

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Chinle, Dilkon, Eagar-
  Springerville, Holbrook, Kayenta, Kykotsmovi, Prescott,
  Prescott Valley, Saint Johns, Seligman, Shonto, Snowflake-
  Taylor, Tuba City, Valle and Winslow. This includes portions
  of the Coconino National Forest, Kaibab National Forest,
  Prescott National Forest and Tonto National Forest.

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts 45 to 55 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will have the potential to
  rapidly grow in size and intensity before first responders can
  contain them.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are possible. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag
Warnings.

Avoid outdoor activities that can cause a spark near dry
vegetation, such as yard work, target shooting, or campfires.
Follow local fire restrictions. Check weather.gov/flagstaff for
updates and livingwithfire.org for preparedness tips.

Please notify field crews of this Fire Weather Watch.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
106 AM MST Sun May 19 2024

AZZ151-152-192230-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.A.0002.240520T1800Z-240521T0300Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
106 AM MST Sun May 19 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 151 AND 152...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 151 And 152.

* TIMING...MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* WINDS...WEST/SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS FROM
  30-35 MPH

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the
  potential to spread rapidly.

* FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit
  weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Fire Weather Watch for portions of Southeast
Arizona.

&&

$$


Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
148 AM MDT Sun May 19 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR WESTERN NM AS WELL AS THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND THE SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS,
VERY LOW HUMIDITY AND AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE...

.Critical fire weather conditions are expected on Monday afternoon
across western and portions of central New Mexico. Strong west to
southwest winds will increase in advance of an approaching
disturbance and surface winds may gust near 45 mph during the
afternoon. Humidity recovery tonight will be poor to fair which
will allow humidity values to quickly bottom out close to or
within the single digits Monday afternoon. In addition, the
atmosphere is forecast to be unstable with excellent mixing.
Strong winds and low relative humidity values are also expected
across eastern New Mexico, however recent rainfall amounts will
mitigate the critical fire weather concerns.

NMZ101-105-106-109-192100-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0030.240520T1900Z-240521T0200Z/
Northwest Plateau-West Central Mountains-Middle Rio Grande Valley-
West Central Basin and Range-
148 AM MDT Sun May 19 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...Northwest Plateau (Zone 101), West Central
  Mountains (Zone 105), Middle Rio Grande Valley (Zone 106) and
  the West Central Basin and Range (Zone 109) from Monday
  afternoon through Monday evening.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...West to southwest 25 to 35 mph with occasional
  gusts to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...6 to 12 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is not recommended..

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Fire Weather Watch.

&&

$$

34


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
300 AM MDT Sun May 19 2024

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-201500-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-Upper Gunnison River Valley-
Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-Northwest San Juan Mountains-
Southwest San Juan Mountains-Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
300 AM MDT Sun May 19 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Colorado, southwest
Colorado, west central Colorado, east central Utah, northeast Utah
and southeast Utah.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected north of I-70 today
with gusty outflow winds and small hail likely over wetting rain.
Some showers will linger tonight. Dry, warm and breezy weather
continues down south with localized areas of elevated fire weather
conditions. However, fuels have not yet been declared critical.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Showers and storms increase in coverage up north on Monday as the
next system pushes through. Areas south of I-70 will stay dry with
breezy conditions as winds gust in the 25 to 35 mph range. Areas of
elevated fire weather conditions are possible over the Four Corners.
However, fuels have not yet been declared critical. Showers become
more widespread late Monday and Tuesday before drier and cooler air
arrives for Wednesday. Additional systems look to impact the area
late in the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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