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Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall in the Central U.S.

Thunderstorms, some severe, may produce heavy to excessive rainfall over portions of the Central/Southern Plains, Mississippi Valley and Southeast. Dry and windy conditions will pose an elevated fire weather risk over parts of western Florida. Read More >

Northern California Recent Burn Scar Forecast Information

Latest Thresholds and Forecast Information

Thresholds below are valid as of October 16, 2024. For further questions, please email nws.sacramento@noaa.gov

*Note: the forecast links represent a valid mid point of the burn scar area and may not be entirely represented of the entire burn scar area. To view a forecast for a different point, please visit Point Forecast page.

Fire or Complex

Flash Flood/Debris Flood

Threshold Precipitation Rates

Point Forecast Link*
2021
Caldor Fire West

15 min: 0.40"

30 min: 0.65"

60 min: 1.00"

 

2021
Dixie Fire West

within a 15-mi buffer of CA-70

15 min: 0.40"

30 min: 0.65"

60 min: 1.00"

 

Forecast Link
2022
Mosquito Fire

15 min: 0.40"

30 min: 0.65"

60 min: 1.20"

 

Forecast Link

2024
Park Fire
Butte Division

15 min: 0.35"

30 min: 0.50"

60 min: 0.70"

 

Forecast Link

 

2024
Park Fire
Tehama Division

15 min: 0.30"

30 min: 0.40"

60 min: 0.60"

 

Forecast Link

 

Precipitation Forecasts from California-Nevada River Forecast Center

Click on thumbnail to expand images. 6-hour forecasts are available on CNRFC's website here

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5 Day 6 Days 1-6

 

Forecast Information Loops

Note: These are experimental forecast model loops and may not be available or updated at times. 

 

Precipitation Timing Forecast (HRRR model)

 

Precipitation Timing Forecast (NAM model)

 

Probability of 1 Hour Rainfall Rate greater than 0.5 inch

 

Probability of 1 Hour Rainfall Rate greater than 1.0 inch