National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Weather Across the Ohio Valley and into the Mid Atlantic; Prolonged Heat in the Southern Plains

Scattered damaging winds and a couple tornadoes are possible on Saturday from parts of Ohio into northern West Virginia/Maryland, central and western Pennsylvania, and western New York. The thunderstorm threat will move into the Northeast on Sunday. Prolonged heat will continue across the Southern Plains this weekend and into next week. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Sat, Jun 29, 2024 at 6:28:38 am AST

Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95): A low pressure system located about 1400 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands is becoming better defined and the associated showers and thunderstorms are increasing in organization. If these trends continue, a tropical depression will likely form later today. This system is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph and approach the Windward Islands by the end of the weekend, and Hurricane or Tropical Storm Watches could be required for portions of that region tonight or early Saturday. For more information, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.
Tropical Storm Beryl: At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 9.8 North, longitude 45.5 West. Beryl is moving toward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h). A relatively quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to move across the Windward Islands late Sunday night and Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional steady to rapid strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and Beryl is expected to become a hurricane tonight or Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
Moderate risk of rip currents for north-central PR and eastern St. Croix. Elsewhere, is low.