National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms is for this evening over portions of southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will may be capable of producing localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
802 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

VAZ012-152000-
RAWS 447502
37.01N  81.18W Elev. 2540 ft
802 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Date             Sun 03/15/26            Mon 03/16/26            Tue 03/17/26
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20

MAX/MIN TEMP                 61          49          58          20          32
TEMP                55 58 58 56 55 54 56 57 55 47 40 34 26 23 21 21 26 31 31 28
DEWPT               40 44 45 49 51 52 53 52 50 40 32 22 16 13 11  8  9  8  3  4
MAX/MIN RH                   53          92          60          74          30
RH                  57 59 62 77 86 93 90 83 83 76 73 61 65 65 65 56 48 37 30 35
WIND DIR             S  S  S  S  S  S  S SW SW  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W
WIND SPD             9 10  9  6  9  9 10 13 11 13 16 21 20 18 16 13 16 14 13  9
WIND GUST                          19 21                                       
CLOUDS              B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV B1 OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 B1 FW FW
CLOUDS(%)           70 78 84100100 89 65100100 97 92 82 82 74 69 66 57 56 13  7
VSBY                10 10 10  9  8 10 10  5  3 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR                     20          50         100          40          10
RAIN                          C  C  S  S                                       
RAIN SHWRS                                O  O NM SC                           
SNOWSHWRS                                         SC SC SC IS IS               
MIX HGT              2  3  4  1  2  2  2  3  2  2  4  4  5  4  3  4  5  7  5  3
T WIND DIR           S SE SE SE SE  S  S  S  S  W  W  W  W  W NW  W  W  W  W NW
T WIND SPD          25 19 19 10 11 19 23 25 19 21 32 37 39 36 29 21 25 23 20  8
DISPERSION                   PR PR PR FR             GD GD GD GD             PR
ADI                 53 50 53  9 15 26 31 56 37 45 88 51 53 49 40 59 77 80 64  5
MAX LVORI            1  1  1  4  4  4  4  4  3  3  3  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  2
STABILITY            D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  E
CEILING             10400   500   600   900   400   800  1900  2000  1900  None
STA PRES            27.28 27.15 27.01 26.86 26.84 26.85 27.02 27.14 27.25 27.29


Date          Wed 03/18/26Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MIN/MAX TEMP       14      44      25      57      36      63      42      61
TEMP          17 18 41 36 29 29 55 48 38 38 60 54 46 44 59 51
DEWPT          6  7 11 18 19 20 31 34 34 34 38 41 40 38 38 32
RH            61 61 29 47 66 69 40 58 85 85 44 61 79 79 45 48
WIND SPD          <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15
AVG CLOUDS    SC B1 SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1
POP 12HR            5       5      10      10      10      10      20      20
RAIN SHWRS                                        IS IS IS IS

$$


This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.

Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
   TYPE...
       RAIN...........Rain
       RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
       TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
       DRIZZLE........Drizzle
       SNOW...........Snow
       SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
       SLEET..........Sleet
       FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
       FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
   COVERAGE...
       IS.............Isolated
       SC.............Scattered
       NM.............Numerous
       O..............Occasional
       S..............Slight chance
       C..............Chance
       L..............Likely
       WD.............Widespread
       D..............Definite
       AR.............Areas
       PA.............Patchy

MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
     Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
     Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure

Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
     Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions