National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms will be possible Sunday afternoon and evening for far southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will be capable of localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
331 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

VAZ018-152000-
RAWS 444002
37.56N  80.18W Elev. 2702 ft
331 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Date             Sun 03/15/26            Mon 03/16/26            Tue 03/17/26
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20

MAX/MIN TEMP                 56          50          58          23          34
TEMP          42 41 48 53 54 53 52 54 56 55 57 51 43 36 30 26 24 23 28 33 33 30
DEWPT         30 31 36 41 44 47 50 51 54 54 55 49 37 26 18 13 11 11 12 10  7  6
MAX/MIN RH                   59          96          64          84          33
RH            62 67 63 64 69 80 93 90 93 96 93 93 79 67 60 57 57 59 50 38 33 35
WIND DIR      SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  S  S  S  S  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W
WIND SPD       9  8 10 12 12 11 11  8  9 10 11 11 17 23 20 19 18 16 17 16 14 10
WIND GUST              24 24 24 23       35 36 32 36 46 48 47 46 43 40 34 33 27
CLOUDS        FW B1 B1 B2 B2 OV B2 OV OV B2 OV OV OV B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 SC FW
CLOUDS(%)     15 53 54 81 82100 85100100 83 97100 97 82 85 62 67 66 59 57 41 10
VSBY          10 10 10 10 10  7  6  5  6  7 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR                     30          80         100          30          10
FLURRIES                                                   SC SC               
RAIN                       S  L  L  C  C                                       
RAIN SHWRS                               SC NM  O SC SC                        
SNOWSHWRS                                            SC IS                     
TSTMS                                       IS                                 
Obvis                           PF PF                                          
MIX HGT       <1 <1  2  2  3  1  1  1  2  2  3  3  3  4  4  4  3  4  5  6  6  4
T WIND DIR     E  E SE SE SE  E SE SE  S  S  S SW NW  W  W  W NW  W  W  W  W  W
T WIND SPD     4  3  8  8 10  3  4  6 11 14 19 14 35 41 44 40 33 27 27 25 23 19
DISPERSION    PR             FR FR PR PR             GD GD GD GD             FR
ADI            3  4 13 17 24  3  4  8 15 29 43 33 85 56 60 54 45 73 84 84 76 13
MAX LVORI      3  3  2  2  3  5  6  5  5  4  4  4  3  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  2
STABILITY      E  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  E
CEILING              2100   400   600   400   300  1000  2200  2200 21800  None
STA PRES            27.89 27.76 27.58 27.42 27.35 27.36 27.53 27.67 27.80 27.85


Date          Wed 03/18/26Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MIN/MAX TEMP       19      43      28      58      38      64      45      63
TEMP          23 22 40 37 32 30 55 50 42 39 62 56 50 47 59 53
DEWPT          7  9 12 17 19 22 33 36 35 35 40 40 40 39 38 31
RH            50 57 31 44 58 72 43 58 76 85 44 55 68 74 45 43
WIND SPD          <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15
AVG CLOUDS    FW SC SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC
POP 12HR            0       0       5      10       5      20      20      20
RAIN SHWRS                                     IS IS IS IS IS

$$


This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.

Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
   TYPE...
       RAIN...........Rain
       RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
       TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
       DRIZZLE........Drizzle
       SNOW...........Snow
       SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
       SLEET..........Sleet
       FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
       FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
   COVERAGE...
       IS.............Isolated
       SC.............Scattered
       NM.............Numerous
       O..............Occasional
       S..............Slight chance
       C..............Chance
       L..............Likely
       WD.............Widespread
       D..............Definite
       AR.............Areas
       PA.............Patchy

MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
     Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
     Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure

Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
     Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions