National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms will be possible Sunday afternoon and evening for far southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will be capable of localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
331 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026

VAZ046-150800-
RAWS 441101
37.39N  78.80W Elev. 804 ft
331 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026

Date           03/14/26      Sun 03/15/26            Mon 03/16/26            Tue
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08

MIN/MAX TEMP                 40          64          57          68          28
TEMP          63 58 50 47 42 42 50 60 64 60 59 59 60 63 67 66 59 50 40 34 30 28
DEWPT         18 23 24 27 29 28 33 41 46 50 53 57 58 59 61 58 51 40 27 18 15 12
MIN/MAX RH                   65          50          93          67          75
RH            17 26 36 45 60 57 52 49 52 69 80 93 93 87 81 75 75 68 59 51 53 50
WIND DIR       W  E  E  E  E NE  E  E  E  E SE  S  S  S  S  S SW  W  W  W  W  W
WIND SPD       3  2  4  5  4  4  5  8  9  8  8  9 12 13 17 17 17 14 13 12 11 10
WIND GUST                                19 19 19 25 29 33 33 31 29 29 26 24 23
CLOUDS        B1 SC FW FW SC B1 OV OV B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B1 FW SC SC
CLOUDS(%)     58 32  9 11 38 68 88 92 86100 99 98 97 96 96100100 84 56 23 32 28
VSBY          10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  8  3  3  6  9 10 10 10 10            
POP 12HR                      0          30          90         100          30
RAIN SHWRS                            SC  O  O  O  O  O  O  O  O SC            
SNOWSHWRS                                                           SC         
TSTMS                                          IS       IS SC                  
MIX HGT        4 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1  2  3  3 <1 <1 <1  1  2  3  4  2  2            
T WIND DIR     W  E  E  E  E  E SE  E  E  E SE  S  S  S  S  S  W  W            
T WIND SPD     3  3  5  8  5  4 13  9  8  5  6 10 17 20 34 35 33 20            
DISPERSION       VP VP PR VP             PR PR PR FR             GD FR FR FR   
ADI           17  2  3  4  3  5 24 22 20  5  6  9 19 40 85 97 67 28            
MAX LVORI      2  2  2  2  3  3  2  2  2  3  4  6  5  4  4  3  3  3            
STABILITY      B  G  F  F  F  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D            
CEILING              None  None  2300   700   300   500  1200  1600  None      
STA PRES            29.52 29.52 29.50 29.36 29.17 29.00 28.89 28.89            


Date           03/17Wed 03/18/26Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26
UTC 6hrly     18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MAX/MIN TEMP       41      22      44      29      59      36      67      44      70
TEMP          40 35 27 24 41 40 34 31 56 52 42 38 64 60 50 46 67 61
DEWPT         10  7 10 13 11 18 21 23 30 34 33 33 40 41 39 40 42 38
RH            28 30 48 62 29 41 58 72 37 50 70 82 41 49 66 79 40 42
WIND SPD          <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15
AVG CLOUDS    FW FW FW SC SC SC B1 B1 SC SC SC SC FW SC SC SC B1 SC
POP 12HR            0       0       0       0       0       5      10       5       5

$$


This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.

Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
   TYPE...
       RAIN...........Rain
       RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
       TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
       DRIZZLE........Drizzle
       SNOW...........Snow
       SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
       SLEET..........Sleet
       FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
       FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
   COVERAGE...
       IS.............Isolated
       SC.............Scattered
       NM.............Numerous
       O..............Occasional
       S..............Slight chance
       C..............Chance
       L..............Likely
       WD.............Widespread
       D..............Definite
       AR.............Areas
       PA.............Patchy

MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
     Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
     Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure

Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
     Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions