National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms will be possible Sunday afternoon and evening for far southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will be capable of localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
102 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026

NCZ006-142000-
RAWS 310801
36.37N  79.29W Elev. 580 ft
102 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026

Date             Sat 03/14/26            Sun 03/15/26            Mon 03/16/26
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20

MAX/MIN TEMP                 68          44          69          58          70
TEMP                   66 68 61 53 50 46 45 57 67 69 65 61 61 63 65 68 69 63 53
DEWPT                  31 31 33 31 32 36 36 43 49 51 55 58 59 61 61 63 60 52 45
MAX/MIN RH                   24          77          51          93          66
RH                     27 25 35 43 50 68 70 59 52 53 70 90 93 93 87 84 73 67 74
WIND DIR               NW SE  E  E SE  E  E SE SE SE SE SE  S  S  S  S  S SW  W
WIND SPD                2  2  2  2  3  2  2  5  8  9  5  5  6 10 10 14 14 14 11
WIND GUST                                               16 17 23 24 28 31 27   
CLOUDS                 FW FW SC CL CL SC SC B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2
CLOUDS(%)              22 22 28  3  4 32 48 71 80 79100 95 99100 99 99 99 99 87
VSBY                   10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  8  3  4  8 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR                      0           0          40          90         100
RAIN SHWRS                                     IS SC  O  O  O  O  O  O  O  O SC
TSTMS                                                      IS IS    IS SC      
MIX HGT                 4  5 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1  2  4  4 <1  1  1  2  2  4  5  4  2
T WIND DIR             NW  S  E  E  E  E  E  E SE  E  E SE  S  S  S  S  S  W NW
T WIND SPD              8  2  4  5  6  6  6  8 11 10  5 10 13 18 20 25 25 19 24
DISPERSION                   VP VP VP VP             PR PR PR FR             FR
ADI                    39 12  2  3  3  3  7 15 33 28  5  7  9 21 42 68 78 56 32
MAX LVORI               1  2  2  2  2  3  3  2  1  2  3  5  6  5  4  4  3  1  3
STABILITY               B  B  G  G  G  G  B  D  D  D  D  E  E  D  D  D  D  D  D
CEILING                    None  None  None  1700   900   500   800  1000  1200
STA PRES                  29.52 29.56 29.55 29.53 29.38 29.23 29.08 29.00 28.95


Date          Tue 03/17/26Wed 03/18/26Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MIN/MAX TEMP       28      45      22      47      29      61      37      68
TEMP          35 29 43 39 27 25 45 43 34 32 59 54 43 38 66 62
DEWPT         20 14 12 11 12 13 12 22 23 24 31 36 35 35 41 41
RH            54 53 28 31 53 60 26 43 64 72 34 50 73 89 40 46
WIND SPD          <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15
AVG CLOUDS    B1 SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC B1 SC SC SC SC FW SC
POP 12HR           30       0       0       0       0       0       5      10
RAIN SHWRS    SC                                             
SNOWSHWRS     SC                                             

$$


This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.

Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
   TYPE...
       RAIN...........Rain
       RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
       TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
       DRIZZLE........Drizzle
       SNOW...........Snow
       SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
       SLEET..........Sleet
       FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
       FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
   COVERAGE...
       IS.............Isolated
       SC.............Scattered
       NM.............Numerous
       O..............Occasional
       S..............Slight chance
       C..............Chance
       L..............Likely
       WD.............Widespread
       D..............Definite
       AR.............Areas
       PA.............Patchy

MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
     Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
     Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure

Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
     Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions