
Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms is for this evening over portions of southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will may be capable of producing localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >
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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
402 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
NCZ005-162000-
RAWS 310540
36.38N 79.70W Elev. 858 ft
402 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
Date Mon 03/16/26 Tue 03/17/26 Wed 03/18/26
UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00
EDT 3hrly 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
MAX/MIN TEMP 69 28 44 25 45
TEMP 63 64 66 67 62 49 39 33 31 29 36 43 44 38 31 28 27 28 36 42 45 41
DEWPT 62 61 62 59 53 38 23 18 16 15 16 14 11 10 11 11 11 12 11 13 14 18
MAX/MIN RH 61 74 26 51 28
RH 97 90 87 75 72 66 52 53 53 55 43 30 26 31 43 48 50 50 35 30 28 39
WIND DIR S S S S W W W W W W W W W NW NW N N E SE S S S
WIND SPD 13 13 16 17 16 13 13 10 10 8 10 12 12 6 5 3 2 2 2 4 4 2
WIND GUST 27 29 35 35 34 29 24
CLOUDS OV OV OV OV OV OV SC FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW B1 SC SC SC B1 B1 SC
CLOUDS(%) 100 95 89 97 95 97 46 13 14 18 4 16 22 7 24 51 50 31 39 54 53 42
VSBY 9 9 6 8 5 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR 100 40 0 0 0
RAIN SHWRS SC SC SC NM O SC
TSTMS IS IS SC SC SC
MIX HGT 1 2 3 3 4 2 <1 <1 4 3 5 7 7 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 3 3 4 <1
T WIND DIR S S S S W W W NW NW NW W W W W NW N NE E S S S S
T WIND SPD 20 19 37 41 20 21 32 27 23 19 14 16 19 16 2 8 5 6 5 11 16 5
DISPERSION FR FR FR FR FR PR PR VP VP VP
ADI 19 34 91103 57 29 29 19 15 74 60 78 94 7 1 4 3 9 21 30 42 3
MAX LVORI 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2
STABILITY D D D D D D D E E B C C C F F F F B B D D F
CEILING 1200 600 None None None None None None None None
STA PRES 28.85 28.76 29.06 29.25 29.37 29.39 29.52 29.58 29.62 29.52
Date Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26Sun 03/22/26
UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 59 40 69 47 73 50 75
TEMP 33 32 57 54 45 41 66 61 51 49 70 67 57 52 73 69
DEWPT 21 23 31 35 36 38 41 41 42 43 46 46 45 45 45 45
RH 61 69 37 48 70 89 40 48 71 80 42 47 64 77 37 42
WIND SPD <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15
AVG CLOUDS SC B1 SC SC SC FW FW SC SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC
POP 12HR 0 0 10 5 5 5 5 5
$$
This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.
Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)
DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
TYPE...
RAIN...........Rain
RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
DRIZZLE........Drizzle
SNOW...........Snow
SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
SLEET..........Sleet
FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
COVERAGE...
IS.............Isolated
SC.............Scattered
NM.............Numerous
O..............Occasional
S..............Slight chance
C..............Chance
L..............Likely
WD.............Widespread
D..............Definite
AR.............Areas
PA.............Patchy
MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure
Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions