
Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms is for this evening over portions of southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will may be capable of producing localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >
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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
302 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
NCZ005-160800-
RAWS 310540
36.38N 79.70W Elev. 858 ft
302 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
Date 03/15/26 Mon 03/16/26 Tue 03/17/26 Wed
UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
MIN/MAX TEMP 61 70 28 44 24
TEMP 69 64 62 63 63 63 66 69 62 49 39 33 30 28 36 42 44 38 32 27 25 26
DEWPT 51 57 59 61 61 61 63 60 54 39 27 19 16 16 15 13 10 9 10 10 11 11
MIN/MAX RH 99 69 74 25 55
RH 53 78 90 93 93 93 90 73 75 68 62 56 55 60 42 30 24 29 39 48 55 52
WIND DIR SE SE S S S S S S SW W W W W W W W W NW NW N N E
WIND SPD 11 8 10 11 13 13 18 19 18 14 13 11 10 8 11 13 13 5 5 3 2 2
WIND GUST 24 25 35 36 35 27 25 21
CLOUDS B2 OV OV OV OV OV B2 OV OV OV SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW B1 SC SC
CLOUDS(%) 83100 97 99 97 90 81 95 94 93 48 32 24 18 12 19 13 16 24 51 50 31
VSBY 10 6 4 5 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR 70 100 20 0 0
RAIN SHWRS IS NM SC IS IS SC SC O NM IS
TSTMS IS IS IS IS IS SC IS
MIX HGT 4 <1 <1 <1 1 2 3 4 4 2 3 4 3 3 5 7 8 <1
T WIND DIR SE E S S S S S S S W W NW NW NW W W W W
T WIND SPD 14 6 13 19 16 20 28 46 24 23 34 29 23 17 16 14 18 11
DISPERSION PR FR FR FR GD FR FR FR PR PR VP VP
ADI 43 6 12 18 18 45 72123 69 31 46 20 15 65 68 72 92 5
MAX LVORI 1 4 4 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2
STABILITY D D D D D D D D D D D E E B C C C F
CEILING 300 800 700 1100 None None None None None
STA PRES 29.13 28.98 28.87 28.72 29.08 29.26 29.39 29.40
Date 03/18Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26Sun 03/22/26
UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 28 60 39 67 47 73 47 72
TEMP 42 42 34 31 57 53 45 41 64 61 51 48 69 66 53 48 68 64
DEWPT 11 17 20 22 29 34 35 35 37 39 40 41 43 40 38 37 37 37
RH 28 36 56 69 34 48 68 79 37 44 66 77 39 38 57 65 32 37
WIND SPD <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15
AVG CLOUDS SC B1 SC B1 SC SC B1 SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC
POP 12HR 0 0 5 5 5 10 5 5 10
$$
This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.
Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)
DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
TYPE...
RAIN...........Rain
RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
DRIZZLE........Drizzle
SNOW...........Snow
SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
SLEET..........Sleet
FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
COVERAGE...
IS.............Isolated
SC.............Scattered
NM.............Numerous
O..............Occasional
S..............Slight chance
C..............Chance
L..............Likely
WD.............Widespread
D..............Definite
AR.............Areas
PA.............Patchy
MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure
Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions