
Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms is for this evening over portions of southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will may be capable of producing localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >
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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
932 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
NCZ003-160800-
RAWS 310302
36.35N 80.48W Elev. 1076 ft
932 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
Date 03/15/26 Mon 03/16/26 Tue 03/17/26 Wed
UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
MIN/MAX TEMP 60 63 26 41 23
TEMP 62 62 62 62 63 61 52 42 36 31 28 26 33 39 41 36 30 26 24 25
DEWPT 58 59 59 59 60 55 47 32 22 16 14 13 13 11 9 8 9 10 10 10
MIN/MAX RH 97 64 85 26 56
RH 87 90 90 90 90 81 83 67 56 53 55 57 43 31 26 30 41 50 54 52
WIND DIR SE S S S S SW W W W W W W W W W NW NW N N E
WIND SPD 12 14 16 16 16 14 16 20 18 14 12 10 11 12 12 9 6 5 3 2
WIND GUST 26 28 33 32 33 23 25 23
CLOUDS OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW SC B1 B1 SC
CLOUDS(%) 100100 98 97 94 95 96 62 30 32 29 16 12 14 20 21 35 57 52 47
VSBY 6 6 7 6 6 3 3 7 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR 80 100 20 0 0
RAIN SHWRS SC SC IS SC O O O IS
TSTMS IS SC O O
MIX HGT <1 <1 2 2 3 3 3 2 4 4 4 3 5 7 7 2
T WIND DIR SE S S S S S NW W NW NW NW NW W W W NW
T WIND SPD 9 12 12 23 23 27 26 16 31 28 21 16 17 14 18 10
DISPERSION FR GD GD GD GD GD FR PR PR PR VP
ADI 8 11 14 47 52 67 59 22 42 39 29 53 73 71 89 7
MAX LVORI 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2
STABILITY D D D D D D D D D D D C C C C E
CEILING 200 100 700 None None None None None
STA PRES 28.64 28.52 28.46 28.76 28.93 29.05 29.07
Date 03/18Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26Sun 03/22/26
UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 27 57 38 66 45 71 46 72
TEMP 40 41 32 29 55 52 44 39 63 60 49 47 68 64 51 46 65 62
DEWPT 12 17 21 22 30 34 35 34 38 40 40 40 43 41 38 36 37 38
RH 31 37 63 75 38 50 70 82 39 47 71 76 40 43 61 68 35 41
WIND SPD <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15
AVG CLOUDS SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 SC SC SC B1 B2 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC
POP 12HR 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10
$$
This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.
Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)
DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
TYPE...
RAIN...........Rain
RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
DRIZZLE........Drizzle
SNOW...........Snow
SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
SLEET..........Sleet
FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
COVERAGE...
IS.............Isolated
SC.............Scattered
NM.............Numerous
O..............Occasional
S..............Slight chance
C..............Chance
L..............Likely
WD.............Widespread
D..............Definite
AR.............Areas
PA.............Patchy
MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure
Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions