National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms will be possible Sunday afternoon and evening for far southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will be capable of localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
331 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026

NCZ003-150800-
RAWS 310302
36.35N  80.48W Elev. 1076 ft
331 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026

Date           03/14/26      Sun 03/15/26            Mon 03/16/26            Tue
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08

MIN/MAX TEMP                 43          64          59          63          26
TEMP          66 61 55 50 46 44 52 61 63 62 61 61 61 61 62 59 53 43 36 31 28 26
DEWPT         31 35 36 35 37 37 43 46 47 51 54 56 57 58 59 53 44 30 21 15 13 12
MIN/MAX RH                   79          55          91          57          72
RH            27 38 49 56 71 76 71 58 56 67 78 84 87 90 90 80 71 60 54 51 53 55
WIND DIR       S SE SE SE  E  E  E  E  E  E SE  S  S  S  S SW  W  W  W  W  W  W
WIND SPD       3  4  5  5  4  5  5  6  9 10 10 13 17 18 14 13 16 19 18 14 13 11
WIND GUST                                         27 31 32 27 28               
CLOUDS        SC FW FW FW FW B1 B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B1 SC SC SC FW
CLOUDS(%)     27 11  6  7 21 65 82 83 82 98 95100100100100 94 88 61 38 41 37 15
VSBY          10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  7  3  4  7  9 10 10 10 10            
POP 12HR                      0          40          90         100          20
RAIN SHWRS                         IS IS  O  O  O  O  O  O  O  O IS            
SNOWSHWRS                                                        IS IS         
TSTMS                                    IS IS IS IS IS IS IS                  
MIX HGT        5 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1  1  4  5  1  1  2  2  2  3  3  2  3            
T WIND DIR     S  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  S  S  S  S SW NW  W            
T WIND SPD     5  3  4  4  4  5  6  8 10  6  5 11 13 21 23 14 18 23            
DISPERSION       VP PR PR VP             FR FR FR GD             GD GD GD FR   
ADI           32  2  2  2  2  6 11 21 31  6  6 13 15 47 58 35 37 31            
MAX LVORI      1  2  2  3  3  4  3  2  1  3  4  4  4  4  4  3  3  1            
STABILITY      B  F  F  F  F  B  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D            
CEILING              None  None 14300   500   300   200   100   500  None      
STA PRES            29.10 29.09 29.08 28.93 28.77 28.63 28.53 28.58            


Date           03/17Wed 03/18/26Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26
UTC 6hrly     18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MAX/MIN TEMP       40      22      43      29      59      37      68      44      71
TEMP          38 35 27 23 40 41 33 31 56 53 42 39 65 61 50 46 68 62
DEWPT          8  8 11 12 10 20 22 23 31 36 35 34 41 41 41 41 44 40
RH            28 32 50 62 28 42 63 72 38 52 76 82 41 48 71 83 42 44
WIND SPD          <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15
AVG CLOUDS    SC FW SC B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC
POP 12HR            0       0       0       0       0       5       5       5       5

$$


This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.

Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
   TYPE...
       RAIN...........Rain
       RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
       TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
       DRIZZLE........Drizzle
       SNOW...........Snow
       SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
       SLEET..........Sleet
       FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
       FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
   COVERAGE...
       IS.............Isolated
       SC.............Scattered
       NM.............Numerous
       O..............Occasional
       S..............Slight chance
       C..............Chance
       L..............Likely
       WD.............Widespread
       D..............Definite
       AR.............Areas
       PA.............Patchy

MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
     Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
     Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure

Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
     Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions