National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms is for this evening over portions of southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will may be capable of producing localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
932 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

NCZ003-160800-
RAWS 310302
36.35N  80.48W Elev. 1076 ft
932 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Date           03/15/26      Mon 03/16/26            Tue 03/17/26            Wed
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08

MIN/MAX TEMP                 60          63          26          41          23
TEMP                62 62 62 62 63 61 52 42 36 31 28 26 33 39 41 36 30 26 24 25
DEWPT               58 59 59 59 60 55 47 32 22 16 14 13 13 11  9  8  9 10 10 10
MIN/MAX RH                   97          64          85          26          56
RH                  87 90 90 90 90 81 83 67 56 53 55 57 43 31 26 30 41 50 54 52
WIND DIR            SE  S  S  S  S SW  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W NW NW  N  N  E
WIND SPD            12 14 16 16 16 14 16 20 18 14 12 10 11 12 12  9  6  5  3  2
WIND GUST                 26 28 33 32 33                23 25 23               
CLOUDS              OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW SC B1 B1 SC
CLOUDS(%)          100100 98 97 94 95 96 62 30 32 29 16 12 14 20 21 35 57 52 47
VSBY                 6  6  7  6  6  3  3  7 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR                     80         100          20           0           0
RAIN SHWRS          SC SC IS SC  O  O  O IS                                    
TSTMS                        IS SC  O  O                                       
MIX HGT             <1 <1  2  2  3  3  3  2  4  4  4  3  5  7  7  2            
T WIND DIR          SE  S  S  S  S  S NW  W NW NW NW NW  W  W  W NW            
T WIND SPD           9 12 12 23 23 27 26 16 31 28 21 16 17 14 18 10            
DISPERSION          FR GD GD             GD GD GD FR             PR PR PR VP   
ADI                  8 11 14 47 52 67 59 22 42 39 29 53 73 71 89  7            
MAX LVORI            5  5  5  4  4  4  3  3  1  1  2  1  1  1  1  2            
STABILITY            D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  C  C  C  C  E            
CEILING                     200   100   700  None  None  None  None  None      
STA PRES                  28.64 28.52 28.46 28.76 28.93 29.05 29.07            


Date           03/18Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26Sun 03/22/26
UTC 6hrly     18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MAX/MIN TEMP       43      27      57      38      66      45      71      46      72
TEMP          40 41 32 29 55 52 44 39 63 60 49 47 68 64 51 46 65 62
DEWPT         12 17 21 22 30 34 35 34 38 40 40 40 43 41 38 36 37 38
RH            31 37 63 75 38 50 70 82 39 47 71 76 40 43 61 68 35 41
WIND SPD          <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15
AVG CLOUDS    SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 SC SC SC B1 B2 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC
POP 12HR            0       5       5       5       5       5       5       5      10

$$


This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.

Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
   TYPE...
       RAIN...........Rain
       RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
       TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
       DRIZZLE........Drizzle
       SNOW...........Snow
       SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
       SLEET..........Sleet
       FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
       FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
   COVERAGE...
       IS.............Isolated
       SC.............Scattered
       NM.............Numerous
       O..............Occasional
       S..............Slight chance
       C..............Chance
       L..............Likely
       WD.............Widespread
       D..............Definite
       AR.............Areas
       PA.............Patchy

MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
     Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
     Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure

Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
     Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions