
Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms will be possible Sunday afternoon and evening for far southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will be capable of localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >
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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
402 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026
NCZ003-150800-
RAWS 310301
36.48N 80.86W Elev. 1300 ft
402 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026
Date 03/14/26 Sun 03/15/26 Mon 03/16/26 Tue
UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 63 58 61 22
TEMP 68 61 52 48 44 43 51 57 61 60 60 60 60 60 60 56 50 40 32 28 25 23
DEWPT 35 38 37 36 37 37 44 47 49 52 53 55 56 56 57 50 40 28 19 14 12 10
MIN/MAX RH 84 61 88 58 71
RH 29 42 56 63 76 79 77 69 65 75 78 84 87 87 90 80 68 62 58 55 57 57
WIND DIR SE SE E NE E NE E SE SE SE SE S S S S SW W W NW NW W W
WIND SPD 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 5 4 4 6 9 10 10 10 11 11 10 8 6 6
WIND GUST 17 16 18 21 28 29 26 23 28 32 32 27 24 20
CLOUDS SC FW CL FW SC B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B1 SC SC SC FW
CLOUDS(%) 27 12 4 6 26 71 81 91 98100 96 99 99100100 92 85 62 40 43 30 22
VSBY 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 7 1 4 7 8 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR 0 40 90 100 20
RAIN SHWRS IS SC O O O O O O O O
SNOWSHWRS IS IS
TSTMS IS IS IS IS
MIX HGT 5 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 2 3 4 1 2 2 3 3 4 2 2 3
T WIND DIR S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E SE S S S S NW NW W
T WIND SPD 8 4 6 6 6 8 8 11 10 8 8 13 16 14 14 13 21 27
DISPERSION VP VP VP VP VP VP PR PR FR FR PR PR
ADI 45 2 3 3 3 6 20 29 29 9 5 9 22 34 39 26 46 37
MAX LVORI 1 2 3 3 4 4 3 3 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 1 1
STABILITY B G G G G C C D D D E E D D D D D D
CEILING None None 1800 500 400 200 100 2600 None
STA PRES 28.25 28.23 28.21 28.07 27.92 27.77 27.70 27.73
Date 03/17Wed 03/18/26Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26
UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 19 44 27 61 36 69 44 71
TEMP 37 32 24 22 42 40 32 30 58 53 42 39 67 61 50 46 68 62
DEWPT 9 9 11 12 12 20 22 23 34 37 36 36 43 43 41 42 45 40
RH 31 37 57 65 29 44 66 75 40 54 79 89 42 51 71 86 43 44
WIND SPD <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15
AVG CLOUDS SC FW SC SC SC SC SC B1 SC SC SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC
POP 12HR 5 0 0 5 0 5 10 5 5
$$
This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.
Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)
DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
TYPE...
RAIN...........Rain
RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
DRIZZLE........Drizzle
SNOW...........Snow
SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
SLEET..........Sleet
FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
COVERAGE...
IS.............Isolated
SC.............Scattered
NM.............Numerous
O..............Occasional
S..............Slight chance
C..............Chance
L..............Likely
WD.............Widespread
D..............Definite
AR.............Areas
PA.............Patchy
MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure
Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions