
Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms will be possible Sunday afternoon and evening for far southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will be capable of localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >
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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
331 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
NCZ001-152000-
RAWS 310142
36.40N 81.46W Elev. 4608 ft
331 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
Date Sun 03/15/26 Mon 03/16/26 Tue 03/17/26
UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00
EDT 3hrly 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 45 52 13 23
TEMP 45 43 46 49 51 52 52 51 54 51 48 39 31 26 19 16 14 13 15 19 20 22
DEWPT 37 36 40 44 46 50 51 49 52 51 47 37 27 19 12 9 8 8 7 6 4 4
MAX/MIN RH 69 100 72 87 45
RH 73 76 79 83 83 93 96 93 93100 96 92 85 74 74 73 76 80 70 56 49 45
WIND DIR S S S S SE SE S S S SW SW W W W NW NW W W W W W NW
WIND SPD 13 14 17 19 19 19 23 28 31 19 16 17 26 36 34 32 28 25 25 21 20 17
WIND GUST 28 25 29 35 36 33 35 42 42 39 34 31 36 49 47 46 42 40 34 31
CLOUDS FW B1 B1 B2 B2 B2 OV OV B2 OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 SC FW FW
CLOUDS(%) 11 64 63 75 80 84 90 91 83 94100 96 88 81 84 76 72 74 61 34 12 8
VSBY 10 10 10 10 10 2 6 6 9 7 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR 40 60 100 30 5
FLURRIES SC
RAIN L L C C
RAIN SHWRS O O NM
SNOWSHWRS SC SC IS IS
TSTMS IS
Obvis PF PF PF
MIX HGT <1 <1 1 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 3 3 4 3 3 3 5 5 5 3
T WIND DIR SE SE S SE SE SE SE S S S S W NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W NW
T WIND SPD 4 5 13 16 12 10 11 20 14 20 19 16 39 47 46 44 34 25 28 24 20 12
DISPERSION FR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
ADI 4 6 22 33 30 9 13 28 20 43 29 23 87 63 62 60 46 61 84 77 62 17
MAX LVORI 3 4 3 3 4 6 5 4 5 4 4 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 2
STABILITY D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
CEILING 24100 400 200 100 500 600 700 100 None None
STA PRES 26.73 26.60 26.47 26.34 26.29 26.28 26.43 26.55 26.67 26.71
Date Wed 03/18/26Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26
UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
MIN/MAX TEMP 15 35 25 49 35 54 41 55
TEMP 18 19 32 31 28 29 46 43 38 37 52 49 46 43 51 47
DEWPT 5 4 9 16 16 21 30 33 33 33 37 39 38 37 37 32
RH 56 51 37 53 60 72 53 67 82 85 56 68 73 79 59 56
WIND SPD <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 15>
AVG CLOUDS SC B1 SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1
POP 12HR 0 0 5 5 5 10 10 20
RAIN SHWRS IS
$$
This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.
Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)
DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
TYPE...
RAIN...........Rain
RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
DRIZZLE........Drizzle
SNOW...........Snow
SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
SLEET..........Sleet
FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
COVERAGE...
IS.............Isolated
SC.............Scattered
NM.............Numerous
O..............Occasional
S..............Slight chance
C..............Chance
L..............Likely
WD.............Widespread
D..............Definite
AR.............Areas
PA.............Patchy
MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure
Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions