National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms will be possible Sunday afternoon and evening for far southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will be capable of localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

Print This Forecast (Printer-Friendly)

EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
331 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

NCZ001-152000-
RAWS 310142
36.40N  81.46W Elev. 4608 ft
331 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Date             Sun 03/15/26            Mon 03/16/26            Tue 03/17/26
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20

MAX/MIN TEMP                 54          45          52          13          23
TEMP          45 43 46 49 51 52 52 51 54 51 48 39 31 26 19 16 14 13 15 19 20 22
DEWPT         37 36 40 44 46 50 51 49 52 51 47 37 27 19 12  9  8  8  7  6  4  4
MAX/MIN RH                   69         100          72          87          45
RH            73 76 79 83 83 93 96 93 93100 96 92 85 74 74 73 76 80 70 56 49 45
WIND DIR       S  S  S  S SE SE  S  S  S SW SW  W  W  W NW NW  W  W  W  W  W NW
WIND SPD      13 14 17 19 19 19 23 28 31 19 16 17 26 36 34 32 28 25 25 21 20 17
WIND GUST     28 25 29 35 36 33 35 42 42 39 34 31 36    49 47 46 42 40 34 31   
CLOUDS        FW B1 B1 B2 B2 B2 OV OV B2 OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 SC FW FW
CLOUDS(%)     11 64 63 75 80 84 90 91 83 94100 96 88 81 84 76 72 74 61 34 12  8
VSBY          10 10 10 10 10  2  6  6  9  7 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR                     40          60         100          30           5
FLURRIES                                                      SC               
RAIN                          L  L  C  C                                       
RAIN SHWRS                                O  O NM                              
SNOWSHWRS                                         SC SC IS IS                  
TSTMS                                    IS                                    
Obvis                        PF PF PF                                          
MIX HGT       <1 <1  1  2  3  1  2  2  2  2  1  1  3  3  4  3  3  3  5  5  5  3
T WIND DIR    SE SE  S SE SE SE SE  S  S  S  S  W NW NW NW NW NW NW  W  W  W NW
T WIND SPD     4  5 13 16 12 10 11 20 14 20 19 16 39 47 46 44 34 25 28 24 20 12
DISPERSION    FR             GD GD GD GD             GD GD GD GD             GD
ADI            4  6 22 33 30  9 13 28 20 43 29 23 87 63 62 60 46 61 84 77 62 17
MAX LVORI      3  4  3  3  4  6  5  4  5  4  4  5  4  3  3  3  3  3  3  1  1  2
STABILITY      D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D
CEILING             24100   400   200   100   500   600   700   100  None  None
STA PRES            26.73 26.60 26.47 26.34 26.29 26.28 26.43 26.55 26.67 26.71


Date          Wed 03/18/26Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MIN/MAX TEMP       15      35      25      49      35      54      41      55
TEMP          18 19 32 31 28 29 46 43 38 37 52 49 46 43 51 47
DEWPT          5  4  9 16 16 21 30 33 33 33 37 39 38 37 37 32
RH            56 51 37 53 60 72 53 67 82 85 56 68 73 79 59 56
WIND SPD          <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     15>
AVG CLOUDS    SC B1 SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1
POP 12HR            0       0       5       5       5      10      10      20
RAIN SHWRS                                                 IS

$$


This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.

Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
   TYPE...
       RAIN...........Rain
       RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
       TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
       DRIZZLE........Drizzle
       SNOW...........Snow
       SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
       SLEET..........Sleet
       FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
       FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
   COVERAGE...
       IS.............Isolated
       SC.............Scattered
       NM.............Numerous
       O..............Occasional
       S..............Slight chance
       C..............Chance
       L..............Likely
       WD.............Widespread
       D..............Definite
       AR.............Areas
       PA.............Patchy

MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
     Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
     Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure

Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
     Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions