Jefferson National Forest Presuppresion Forecast

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Here are the latest drought conditions

Experimental...Fire Weather Planning Forecast for VA Natl Forests
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
430 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Key Messages:

1) Critical fire weather conditions continue through this
   evening.

2) A heightened risk of fire danger continues in Monday.


The combination of continued gusty winds in the 20-25 mph range,
low RH values dropping into the teens and 20 percent range, 
along with dry fuels on the ground will result in a critical 
fire weather day again on Monday. Fortunately, winds do look to 
diminish some on Monday; however, RH values will likely be much 
lower areawide, with more widespread upper teens RH values 
possible in the Piedmont. This continued fire weather concerns 
will likely lead to a fire weather SPS for much of the area on 
Monday. Burning will continue to be discouraged for much of the
area.

VAZ007-010>014-018-022-023-WVZ044-170900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST Eastern Divide Zone-
INCLUDING Blacksburg and New Castle
430 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue          

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear       Mcldy        
Precip Type           None         None         None         Showers      
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            50           
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0            
Min/Max Temp          28           51           29           57           
Max/Min RH %          57           24           58           31           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 11 G30    NW  9 G34    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 10 G30    NW  8 G26    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10         
Precip Duration                                              1            
Precip Begin                                                 11 AM        
Precip End                                                   Continuing   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3470                      1870         
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 23                     S  2         
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 79810                     3740         
Dispersion            Excellent                 Very Poor                 
Max ADI Early         20 Gen Poor  75 Good      7 Poor       9 Poor       
Max ADI Late          12 Poor      76 Good      3 Very Poor  6 Very Poor  
Max LVORI Early       2            2            2            3            
Max LVORI Late        2            2            2            2            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph. 

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

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