Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms will be possible Sunday afternoon and evening for far southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will be capable of localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

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Experimental...Fire Weather Planning Forecast for VA Natl Forests
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
131 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026

.DISCUSSION...

...Drying is expected to continue today...

Daytime mixing today should allow dew points to fall into the
teens and 20s and with temperatures warming into the 50s and 
lower 60s, min RH values fall into the lower 20 percent range. 
Fine fuels are now plenty dry given a full day of drying 
yesterday, but with lighter winds expected today, rapid fire 
spread potential should be on the lower side. Use caution if 
burning today as grass and leaf litter will be easy to ignite
given the dry airmass in place.

Moisture returns late Sunday into Monday as a strong storm
system crosses the region.

&&

VAZ007-010>014-018-022-023-WVZ044-142000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST Eastern Divide Zone-
INCLUDING Blacksburg and New Castle
131 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sun          

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        
Precip Type           None         None         None         
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            
Max/Min Temp          61           38           59           
Min/Max RH %          16           75           51           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W  5 G25     Lgt/Var      SE  6 G24    
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      SE  5 G19    SE  9 G25    
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration                                              
Precip Begin                                                 
Precip End                                                   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3930                      3970         
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6                     SE 14        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    23580                     55580        
Dispersion                         Poor                      
Max ADI Early         44 Gen Good  19 Gen Poor  39 Fair      
Max ADI Late          52 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  42 Gen Good  
Max LVORI Early       3            2            3            
Max LVORI Late        2            3            2            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Breezy. Rain showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 20 to
25 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Much
colder. Lows around 19. Highs in the lower 30s. Minimum RH
33 percent. West winds 20 to 30 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows around 16. Highs in
the lower 40s. Minimum RH 30 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. 

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$

Radar