Jefferson National Forest Presuppresion Forecast - Eastern

Experimental...Fire Weather Planning Forecast for VA Natl Forests
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
700 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

.DISCUSSION...

...Fire Danger Statement for our NC counties today...

...Increased Fire Danger again tomorrow for areas east of the 
Blue Ridge... 

Today, temperatures are expected to be on the warm side again
under mostly sunny skies, generally in the low to mid 50s for 
the mountains west of the Blue Ridge, and in the upper 50s to 
low 60s to the east. Winds were gusty this morning behind a 
departing low pressure system. Expect this gustiness to continue
today, with winds backing to the WSW later today as opposed to 
this morning's more WNW component. May see some gusts to 30 kts 
today with deep mixing and pressure rising. 

Rainfall amounts have been mostly negligible with the departing 
system in our area. The mountains of WV and parts of VA towards 
Marion and Wytheville saw between 1 to 4 tenths of an inch of 
rain, and some parts of the southern Shenandoah Valley have seen
light rain this morning. But the vast majority of locations saw
little to no wetting rain. 

A Fire Danger Statement is in effect today from 10 AM to 7 PM for
our NC counties. Other parts of the forecast area remain above 
criteria.

A stronger cold front is expected to push through the region 
Saturday, which will increase wind gusts once again up to 35 mph 
at times, especially behind the frontal passage. RH values look to
drop below 30 percent in the afternoon, and increased fire danger
is possible again for areas east of the Blue Ridge on Saturday. 

Sunday and Monday have the potential to be favorable burn days, 
since the winds will be lighter.

VAZ007-010>014-018-022-023-WVZ044-282100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST Eastern Divide Zone-
INCLUDING Blacksburg and New Castle
700 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat          

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        
Precip Type           None         None         None         
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            
Max/Min Temp          56           38           51           
Min/Max RH %          28           80           45           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W  8 G30     SW  8 G25    W 10 G25     
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W  7 G22     W  9 G27     NW 12 G27    
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration                                              
Precip Begin                                                 
Precip End                                                   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    4610                      5080         
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 17                      NW 25        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    78370                     127000       
Dispersion                         Good                      
Max ADI Early         64 Good      9 Poor       76 Good      
Max ADI Late          76 Good      10 Poor      78 Good      
Max LVORI Early       3            2            3            
Max LVORI Late        1            3            1            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 18. Highs in the mid 30s.
Minimum RH 28 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Not as cool. Lows around 19. Highs in the
mid 40s. Minimum RH 27 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Brief rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Brief rain and a chance of snow.
Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. 

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$