National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Pacific Storms Continue to Impact the Western U.S.; Severe Thunderstorms Forecast Saturday in the South

A series of Pacific storm systems will continue to impact the western U.S. into this weekend with periods of strong to damaging winds, high surf, heavy lower elevation rain, and heavy mountain snow. Severe thunderstorms are expected Saturday from north-central Louisiana to west-central Alabama. Damaging winds, large hail, and strong tornadoes will be possible. Read More >

 

Quick Synopsis:

Mountain snowpack and associated snow water equivalents (SWEs) across central to north central Wyoming were generally below average by late February; while SWEs across southern Wyoming basins were generally near average to slightly above  average.   SWEs at the peak snowmelt runoff elevations (8,000’ – 9.500’) were the highest across the Laramie and Lower Green Basins at 100 to 105 percent of median.  The Tongue and Powder River Drainages had SWEs at 60 to 75 percent of median at the peak snowmelt runoff elevations.

This outlook is based on various diverse hydrological factors such as snow water equivalents (SWEs) in the mountain snowpack, basin morphology (i.e. how basins respond to snowmelt runoff),  antecedent soil moisture, amount of bark beetle kill, low elevation snow depths, and likely temperature and precipitation trends during late spring/early summer.   

 

HIGHLIGHTS:

 

 Moderate potential for flooding associated with snowmelt is expected across lower portions the Upper North Platte and Laramie Watersheds…

 

…All other of headwater basins across Wyoming can expect a generally Low potential for flooding due to springtime snowmelt...

 

The next outlook will be issued around the 20th of March. 

 

*********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

Other hydrological information for Wyoming can be found at the NOAA hydrology website:

https://www.weather.gov/riw/local_hydrology

 

Monthly Wyoming Hydrologic Summary and Graphics:

(updated monthly around the 15th of every month)

 https://www.weather.gov/media/riw/hydro/hydro_report.pdf

 

Wyoming Drought Information Page:

(updated at least once a month)

 https://www.weather.gov/riw/drought

 

Wyoming Graphical Water Supply Outlook:

(updated by the 10th of every month—January-June)

 https://www.weather.gov/images/riw/hydro/watersupply.png

 

Wyoming Average Precipitation by Basin:

 (updated monthly)

 https://www.weather.gov/images/riw/hydro/wyomingprecip.png

 

Wyoming Spring Snowmelt Runoff Flood Potential Graphic:

(updated around the 20th of the month---February-May)

 https://www.weather.gov/images/riw/hydro/floodoutlook.png

 

Current and Forecast Wyoming Streamflows and/or River Stages:

 https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=RIW

 https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=CYS

 https://waterdata.usgs.gov/wy/nwis/rt

 *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

 The current Wyoming Spring 2016 Snowmelt Runoff Flood Potential Outlook graphic: