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Last Map Update: Sat, Sep 12, 2026 at 2:14:17 pm MST

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

National Weather Service NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM

National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona

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Temperatures Slowly Cooling

Thunderstorm Outlook This Weekend

Thunderstorm Outlook Next Week

Temperatures will gradually cool through early next week. Thunderstorms will continue to struggle off the higher terrain through the weekend, but better moisture over South-Central AZ and an unsettled pattern next week could result in a few active days with severe weather potential. Stay tuned as details become more clear over the next few days.

Thunderstorm chances will remain low across the bulk of the area with storms focused across the higher terrain areas of eastern Arizona. Although moisture levels increase and support a slightly better chance of rain across south-central Arizona, chances for storms surviving into lower elevations is around 20% or less. Gusty winds and blowing dust will be the greatest weather hazards. Conditions become more favorable for storms over the lower deserts of South-Central AZ by the start of next week.

Winds will turn out of the southwest and dry out much of the western half of AZ, especially by next week. However, better moisture will remain across eastern AZ to support daily chances for thunderstorms. A couple active days with strong to potentially severe thunderstorms over lower deserts of South-Central AZ will be possible. Details on timing and extend of thunderstorm chances remain unclear this far out.

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NWS Forecast Office Phoenix, AZ