National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
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Last Map Update: Mon, Oct 19, 2026 at 12:44:12 pm MST

Isolated to scattered showers will be present once again over parts of south-central Arizona today. Majority of the activity should remain to the east of Phoenix, but some activity cannot be completely ruled out over parts of the metro.
An amplified low pressure system off the CA coast by the middle of the week is expected to pull in well-above normal moisture into the Desert Southwest. This will result in heightened rain chances on Wednesday and Thursday. The highest rain chances (50-90%) are expected across south-central AZ and the eastern AZ high terrain. While some uncertainties remain in the rainfall totals, the current forecast is between 0.25-1.00” across the lower deserts and 1.00-2.50” across the higher terrain areas.
The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has placed areas from Phoenix and points north and east in a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall leading to flash flooding for both Wednesday and Thursday.
Near to slightly above normal temperatures the next couple of days with widespread Minor HeatRisk expected. A weather system affecting the area by the latter half of the week will result in a cooling trend.

 

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