National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Tracking Two Storms Impacting the Northern U.S. Through Thanksgiving and into This Weekend

Heavy lake effect snow, gusty winds, and localized blizzard conditions will persist through Thanksgiving near and downwind of the Great Lakes. Rain and mountain snow are forecast for the Pacific Northwest. Confidence is increasing for another winter storm to develop over the northern and central Rockies Friday and track across the central Plains through the Midwest and Great Lakes this weekend. Read More >

Rip Current Risk Definitions

Low Risk Surf zone conditions are not expected to support the development of life threatening rip currents. However, life threatening rip currents often occur in the vicinity of groins, jetties, reefs, and piers.
Moderate Risk Surf zone conditions are favorable for the development of life threatening rip currents.
High Risk Surf zone conditions will likely support the development of life threatening rip currents.

Lightning Risk Definitions

Low Risk Thunderstorms are only expected to be isolated or widely scattered in coverage (20 Percent Chance). Atmospheric conditions do not support frequent cloud-to-ground lightning strikes.
Moderate Risk Thunderstorms are forecast to be scattered in coverage (30-50 Percent Chance). Atmospheric conditions support frequent cloud-to-ground lightning strikes.
High Risk Thunderstorms are forecast to be numerous or widespread in coverage (60-100 Percent Chance). Atmospheric conditions support continuous and intense cloud-to-ground lightning strikes.

Waterspout Risk Definitions

None

No threat of waterspouts
Low Risk Showers or thunderstorms are possible, but conditions are not particularly favorable for waterspout development.
Moderate Risk Showers or thunderstorms are possible, and conditions could support the development of waterspouts. Mariners and beach-goers should keep an eye on the weather.
High Risk Showers or thunderstorms are possible, and conditions are supportive of waterspout development. Mariners and beach-goers should keep a close eye on the weather. Listen for possible statements or warnings.